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Mechelen vs Donar Groningen Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 11 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 14:00
Scheduled
Position#11
Record3-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game91.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.4/10
Around normal
4.5/10
Below normal
Position#9
Record4-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game86.7
EuropeBNXT League· Stedelijke Sporthal Winketkaai
Other2026-27
Meetings · Mechelen v Donar Groningen
11 Apr 2027
MECH v DGR
upcoming
20 Dec 2025
MECH93
DGR84
12 Apr 2025
MECH85
DGR62
19 Apr 2023
MECH74
DGR72
03 Jun 2022
MECH85
DGR89
30 Mar 2022
MECH86
DGR61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mechelen win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Donar Groningen win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MechelenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMechelen
Date
Competition
Den Helder
#12
L
80-87
80
87
-7
68avg 70
H02/05
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
W
57-56
57
56
+1
49avg 70
A06/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
97-73
97
73
+24
99avg 70
H09/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
W
109-100
109
100
+9
107avg 70
A02/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#4
L
79-94
79
94
-15
64avg 70
H10/10
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
W
96-78
96
78
+18
84avg 70
H17/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
75-109
75
109
-34
67avg 70
A24/10
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#7
L
86-95
86
95
-9
75avg 70
A30/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#13
L
83-93
83
93
-10
no box
H07/11
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#12
W
91-68
91
68
+23
no box
A14/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
22-27
21-14
19-25
10-16
17-17
13-17
17-6
23-7
29-16
23-32
22-18
29-33
23-20
29-27
28-20
21-23
28-19
16-26
14-26
24-21
33-20
19-20
20-17
16-31
19-28
26-26
14-24
20-21
20-27
18-31
28-16
29-15
15-23
14-27
25-28
25-25
23-11
20-12
23-20
170.6Avg total
85.3Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)88.491.0179.4-2.643%
Season at home (3)86.088.3174.3-2.333%
Season away (4)90.293.0183.2-2.850%
Last 10 (10)85.385.3170.6+0.050%
Last 5 (5)86.288.6174.8-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)75.384.1159.4-8.940%
vs Similar ◀ (8)77.683.0160.6-5.425%
vs Weaker (7)83.976.0159.9+7.971%
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Donar GroningenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGroningen
Date
Competition
Kortrijk
#13
W
85-76
85
76
+9
80avg 75
A02/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#12
W
81-78
81
78
+3
70avg 75
H06/10
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#2
L
63-90
63
90
-27
42avg 75
H14/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#4
L
90-114
90
114
-24
72avg 75
A25/10
BNXT League
Voluntari
#5
W
90-71
90
71
+19
87avg 75
H27/10
ENBL
Leiden
#10
W
96-83
96
83
+13
94avg 75
A31/10
BNXT League
Alkar
#13
W
92-80
92
80
+12
no box
A03/11
ENBL
Limburg
#5
L
73-96
73
96
-23
no box
H08/11
BNXT League
AEL
#4
W
83-81
83
81
+2
no box
H11/11
ENBL
Rotterdam
#14
W
83-70
83
70
+13
no box
A15/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-17
25-14
13-23
18-22
11-13
29-17
22-23
19-25
19-27
11-28
13-20
20-15
24-31
29-28
12-30
25-25
23-22
20-13
24-18
23-18
24-17
19-22
25-26
28-18
22-25
28-15
25-24
17-16
10-31
26-23
20-19
17-23
22-16
28-27
14-21
19-17
24-24
21-8
22-22
16-16
167.5Avg total
83.6Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)81.686.7168.3-5.157%
Season at home (3)72.388.0160.3-15.733%
Season away (4)88.585.8174.2+2.875%
Last 10 (10)83.683.9167.5-0.370%
Last 5 (5)85.482.0167.4+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)77.890.8168.6-13.125%
vs Similar ◀ (14)85.378.9164.1+6.471%
vs Weaker (4)90.581.8172.2+8.875%
This opponent (Mechelen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +0.7+0.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +0.7+0.7
MechelenDonar Groningen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MechelenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Helder
#12
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H02/05
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A06/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
52-23
52
23
+29
H09/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A02/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#4
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H10/10
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
W
57-41
57
41
+16
H17/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
35-59
35
59
-24
A24/10
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#7
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A30/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#13
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H07/11
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#12
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A14/11
BNXT League
86.5Avg total
44.4Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.440.880.3-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.138.581.6+4.767%-
Last 30 away (15)35.743.278.9-7.513%-
Last 10 (10)44.442.186.5+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)44.844.489.2+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)37.142.679.7-5.533%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)37.641.979.5-4.225%-
vs Weaker (7)46.435.982.3+10.671%-
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Donar GroningenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kortrijk
#13
W
54-31
54
31
+23
A02/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#12
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H06/10
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#2
L
30-55
30
55
-25
H14/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#4
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A25/10
BNXT League
Voluntari
#5
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H27/10
ENBL
Leiden
#10
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A31/10
BNXT League
Alkar
#13
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A03/11
ENBL
Limburg
#5
L
36-54
36
54
-18
H08/11
BNXT League
AEL
#4
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H11/11
ENBL
Rotterdam
#14
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A15/11
BNXT League
86.2Avg total
44.4Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.040.983.9+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.139.881.9+2.462%-
Last 30 away (14)44.142.286.3+1.943%-
Last 10 (10)44.441.886.2+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)44.841.686.4+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)41.846.287.9-4.425%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)42.436.178.4+6.371%-
vs Weaker (4)49.242.091.2+7.275%-
This opponent (Mechelen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mechelentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.620.6
50.7%
53.2%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.7
35.7%
32.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.713.2
70.6%
71.0%13.2
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Donar Groningentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Donar Groningen: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.218.9
53.7%
53.2%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.910.6
35.5%
32.1%31.8
🏀 Free throws18.712.1
64.7%
71.0%12.1
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mechelen
WLLLWLWWWL
Donar Groningen
WWLWWWLLWW
#11
League position
#9
-5.6
Net rating
-1.6
91.3
Offensive rating
94.9
96.9
Defensive rating
96.5
51.8%
Effective FG%
53.5%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
16.4%
Turnover %
14.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.7%
3-point %
35.5%
59.4%
Assist %
55.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence91.3 · 94.9Defence96.9 · 96.5Shooting51.8% · 53.5%3-point %35.7% · 35.5%Ball care16.4% · 14.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Mechelen   ■ Donar Groningen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Mechelen wins
4
Donar Groningen wins
Mechelenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ALeuven Bears91-68
07/11/26HKortrijk83-93
30/10/26ADen Bosch86-95
24/10/26AAntwerp Giants75-109
17/10/26HCB Liege96-78
10/10/26HOkapi Aalst79-94
02/10/26ALimburg109-100
09/05/26HRotterdam97-73
06/05/26ABrussels Basketball57-56
02/05/26HDen Helder80-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ARotterdam83-70
11/11/26HAEL83-81
08/11/26HLimburg73-96
03/11/26AAlkar92-80
31/10/26ALeiden96-83
27/10/26HVoluntari90-71
25/10/26AOkapi Aalst90-114
14/10/26HSpirou Charleroi63-90
06/10/26HLeuven Bears81-78
02/10/26AKortrijk85-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mechelen
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW43%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%33%50%
Points / game88.486.090.2
Allowed / game91.088.393.0
Point differential-2.6-2.3-2.8
Avg total179.4174.3183.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Donar Groningen
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW57%
HomeWLL33%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%33%75%
Points / game81.672.388.5
Allowed / game86.788.085.8
Point differential-5.1-15.7+2.8
Avg total168.3160.3174.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants770100%99.378.0+21.3
2 Spirou Charleroi75271%79.068.0+11.0
3 Brussels Basketball75271%80.470.9+9.6
4 Okapi Aalst75271%91.786.9+4.9
5 Limburg74357%90.984.9+6.0
6 Oostende74357%76.973.1+3.7
7 Den Bosch74357%83.683.6+0.0
8 Zwolle74357%74.978.0-3.1
9 Donar Groningen74357%81.686.7-5.1
10 Leiden73443%77.178.4-1.3
11 Mechelen73443%88.491.0-2.6
12 Leuven Bears73443%69.974.6-4.7
13 Kortrijk72529%83.082.4+0.6
14 Rotterdam72529%75.080.6-5.6
15 CB Liege71614%77.089.0-12.0
16 Belfius Mons7070%66.989.4-22.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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