Mechelen vs Kortrijk Result & Analysis

Mechelen will host Kortrijk on 7 November 2026 in the BNXT League, a contest that the Pythia model predicts to be low-scoring as both sides have struggled to keep points off the board, with Kortrijk holding a 0-5 record and Mechelen a 2-3 record across all games this season. Mechelen's 5 games have yielded an average of 89.0 points scored and 95.2 points allowed, while Kortrijk's 5 games average 81.0 points scored and 86.2 points allowed, placing Mechelen 12th and Kortrijk 14th in the league. At home Mechelen has gone 1-1, averaging 87.5 points for and 86.0 against, and their last five games include a 96-78 win over CB Liege at home but two recent defeats away, whereas Kortrijk has gone 0-3 on the road, with three straight losses including a 71-73 loss to Zwolle and a 69-72 loss to Leuven Bears. Historically the teams have met seven times, with Mechelen winning four and Kortrijk three, the most recent meeting ending 93-84 in favour of Mechelen on 21 February 2026. Pythia gives Kortrijk a 58% chance of winning against Mechelen's 42%, projecting a final score of 81-83 and a total of 164.0 points; the home team's line is -3.5 with a 32% chance of covering, while the over on 171.0 points carries a 33% probability, and there is a 5% chance of overtime. The game will likely hinge on whether Kortrijk can maintain its defensive pressure and keep the score close enough to edge out Mechelen's modest offensive output.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mechelen winLost

41.8%fair 2.39

Best odds1.80

Implied53.1%

Edge-11.2pp

Kortrijk winWon

58.2%fair 1.72

Best odds2.10

Implied46.9%

Edge+11.2pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 06 Nov 07:38 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MechelenLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormMechelen

Date

Competition

Oostende

73-83

-10

61avg 70

H19/04

BNXT League

Donar Groningen

63-99

-36

44avg 70

A25/04

BNXT League

Den Helder

#12

80-87

-7

68avg 70

H02/05

BNXT League

Brussels Basketball

57-56

49avg 70

A06/05

BNXT League

Rotterdam

#17

97-73

+24

99avg 70

H09/05

BNXT League

Limburg

109-100

109

100

107avg 70

A02/10

BNXT League

Okapi Aalst

79-94

-15

64avg 70

H10/10

BNXT League

CB Liege

#15

96-78

+18

84avg 70

H17/10

BNXT League

Antwerp Giants

75-109

109

-34

67avg 70

A24/10

BNXT League

Den Bosch

86-95

-9

75avg 70

A30/10

BNXT League

22-31

18-29

13-12

20-11

14-22

11-23

15-27

23-27

18-21

22-27

21-14

19-25

10-16

17-17

13-17

17-6

23-7

29-16

23-32

22-18

29-33

23-20

29-27

28-20

21-23

28-19

16-26

14-26

24-21

33-20

19-20

20-17

16-31

19-28

26-26

14-24

20-21

20-27

18-31

28-16

168.9Avg total

81.5Scored

87.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	89.0	95.2	184.2	-6.2	40%
Season at home (2)	87.5	86.0	173.5	+1.5	50%
Season away (3)	90.0	101.3	191.3	-11.3	33%
Last 10 (10)	81.5	87.4	168.9	-5.9	40%
Last 5 (5)	89.0	95.2	184.2	-6.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	75.2	85.9	161.2	-10.7	35%
vs Similar (6)	75.7	82.0	157.7	-6.3	33%
vs Weaker (7)	83.9	76.0	159.9	+7.9	71%

This opponent (Kortrijk) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

KortrijkLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormKortrijk

Date

Competition

Spirou Charleroi

#11

84-86

-2

74avg 78

A19/04

BNXT League

Den Helder

#12

85-80

78avg 78

H24/04

BNXT League

Leuven Bears

#13

97-86

+11

90avg 78

A02/05

BNXT League

Oostende

96-80

+16

85avg 78

H06/05

BNXT League

Zwolle

#14

83-70

+13

83avg 78

A09/05

BNXT League

Donar Groningen

#11

76-85

-9

62avg 78

H02/10

BNXT League

Antwerp Giants

106-113 OT

106

113

-7

91avg 78

A10/10

BNXT League

Leuven Bears

69-72

-3

55avg 78

A17/10

BNXT League

Limburg

83-88

-5

73avg 78

H23/10

BNXT League

Zwolle

#10

71-73

-2

63avg 78

A01/11

BNXT League

28-27

25-22

14-20

17-17

28-25

17-22

22-16

18-17

25-21

28-16

23-24

21-25

24-24

27-22

21-19

24-15

24-16

18-15

25-25

16-14

17-29

14-25

23-13

22-18

24-22

21-24

16-19

23-19

22-16

13-26

23-12

11-18

20-31

15-26

20-19

28-12

22-12

17-18

26-18

6-25

168.3Avg total

85.0Scored

83.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	81.0	86.2	167.2	-5.2	0%
Season at home (2)	79.5	86.5	166.0	-7.0	0%
Season away (3)	82.0	86.0	168.0	-4.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	85.0	83.3	168.3	+1.7	40%
Last 5 (5)	81.0	86.2	167.2	-5.2	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	97.0	98.0	195.0	-1.0	33%
vs Similar (10)	84.4	81.7	166.1	+2.7	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	87.6	77.4	165.1	+10.2	76%

This opponent (Mechelen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 166.5Actual: Over 166.5

Over 166.5

43.1%

@ 1.52-18.6pp

Under 166.5

56.9%

@ 2.42+18.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.52

Bet365

1.52

Betano

1.47

Under

Betano

2.42

Bet365

2.40

Over/Under 171.5 · main lineActual: Over 171.5

Over 171.5

31.9%

@ 1.89-17.6pp

Under 171.5

68.1%

@ 1.95+17.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.89

SBO

1.86

WilliamHill

1.85

Marathon Be

1.84

Betano

1.80

Under

Bet365

1.95

Betano

1.87

Pinnacle

1.85

WilliamHill

1.85

SBO

1.82

Over/Under 176.5Actual: Under 176.5

Over 176.5

22.2%

@ 2.32-18.1pp

Under 176.5

77.8%

@ 1.57+18.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.32

Bet365

2.25

Under

Bet365

1.57

Betano

1.52

📊 3. Team Totals

Mechelen total 82Actual: Mechelen over 82

Over 82

44.9%

Under 82

55.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Mechelen total 86 · main lineActual: Mechelen under 86

Over 86

30.0%

@ 1.81-20.4pp

Under 86

70.0%

@ 1.85+20.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.81

1xBet

1.71

Under

Marathon Be

1.85

1xBet

1.73

Mechelen total 90Actual: Mechelen under 90

Over 90

18.1%

Under 90

81.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Kortrijk total 79.5Actual: Kortrijk over 79.5

Over 79.5

63.7%

@ 1.45-1.6pp

Under 79.5

36.3%

@ 2.71+1.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.45

1xBet

1.31

Under

1xBet

2.71

Betano

2.50

Kortrijk total 83.5 · main lineActual: Kortrijk over 83.5

Over 83.5

48.5%

@ 1.83-5.0pp

Under 83.5

51.5%

@ 2.07+5.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.74

Betano

1.65

1xBet

1.58

Under

Betano

2.07

Marathon Be

1.91

1xBet

1.90

Bet365

1.83

Kortrijk total 87.5Actual: Kortrijk over 87.5

Over 87.5

33.5%

@ 2.20-8.0pp

Under 87.5

66.5%

@ 1.57+8.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.20

1xBet

2.10

Under

Betano

1.57

1xBet

1.48

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Mechelen -4.5Actual: Kortrijk +4.5

MECH -4.5

28.7%

@ 2.36-10.5pp

KORT +4.5

71.3%

@ 1.73+10.5pp

Best 5 market prices

MECH

Pinnacle

2.36

1xBet

2.21

Betano

2.15

Bet365

2.15

Marathon Be

2.03

KORT

Betfair

1.73

Bet365

1.62

Betano

1.60

Marathon Be

1.55

Pinnacle

1.52

Spread Mechelen -1.5 · main lineActual: Kortrijk +1.5

MECH -1.5

39.1%

@ 1.88-11.0pp

KORT +1.5

60.9%

@ 1.87+11.0pp

Best 5 market prices

MECH

BetVictor

1.88

Pinnacle

1.86

SBO

1.84

Bet365

1.83

Betfair

1.83

KORT

Betano

1.87

Pinnacle

1.87

1xBet

1.86

Marathon Be

1.86

Bet365

1.86

Spread Mechelen +1.5Actual: Kortrijk -1.5

MECH +1.5

44.7%

@ 1.68-10.5pp

KORT -1.5

55.3%

@ 2.20+10.5pp

Best 5 market prices

MECH

Pinnacle

1.68

Betano

1.62

Bet365

1.60

Marathon Be

1.58

1xBet

1.53

KORT

Bet365

2.20

Betano

2.12

Marathon Be

2.12

1xBet

2.10

Pinnacle

2.07

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

MechelenKortrijk

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.5
Last 30 (30)	19.0	20.7	39.7	-1.8	33%	33%
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	19.2	40.3	+1.9	60%	40%
Last 30 away (15)	16.8	22.3	39.1	-5.5	7%	27%
Last 10 (10)	19.7	22.6	42.3	-2.9	20%	50%
Last 5 (5)	22.0	25.8	47.8	-3.8	20%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	18.3	21.8	40.1	-3.5	24%	41%
vs Similar (6)	17.8	21.3	39.2	-3.5	17%	17%
vs Weaker (7)	21.6	17.7	39.3	+3.9	71%	29%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.5
Last 30 (30)	21.9	20.6	42.5	+1.2	57%	57%
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	22.3	44.8	+0.1	53%	73%
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	18.9	40.2	+2.3	60%	40%
Last 10 (10)	23.4	22.3	45.7	+1.1	70%	70%
Last 5 (5)	21.0	22.0	43.0	-1.0	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.7	24.0	46.7	-1.3	67%	100%
vs Similar (10)	22.1	20.8	42.9	+1.3	50%	60%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	21.6	19.9	41.5	+1.6	59%	47%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.4	40.1	-0.8	37%	47%
Last 30 at home (15)	22.0	19.5	41.5	+2.5	53%	60%
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	21.3	38.7	-4.0	20%	33%
Last 10 (10)	22.0	22.6	44.6	-0.6	40%	70%
Last 5 (5)	24.6	22.8	47.4	+1.8	60%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	18.2	21.1	39.4	-2.9	29%	41%
vs Similar (6)	17.7	21.2	38.8	-3.5	17%	50%
vs Weaker (7)	24.9	18.1	43.0	+6.7	71%	57%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.3	40.8	+0.1	53%	33%
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	21.0	41.9	-0.1	53%	40%
Last 30 away (15)	20.0	19.7	39.7	+0.3	53%	27%
Last 10 (10)	19.5	21.6	41.1	-2.1	40%	40%
Last 5 (5)	16.0	23.8	39.8	-7.8	0%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.0	24.3	45.3	-3.3	33%	67%
vs Similar (10)	20.4	21.9	42.3	-1.5	40%	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	20.4	18.7	39.1	+1.6	65%	18%

MechelenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Oostende

40-60

-20

H19/04

BNXT League

Donar Groningen

25-45

-20

A25/04

BNXT League

Den Helder

#12

40-48

-8

H02/05

BNXT League

Brussels Basketball

27-33

-6

A06/05

BNXT League

Rotterdam

#17

52-23

+29

H09/05

BNXT League

Limburg

52-53

-1

A02/10

BNXT League

Okapi Aalst

49-42

H10/10

BNXT League

CB Liege

#15

57-41

+16

H17/10

BNXT League

Antwerp Giants

35-59

-24

A24/10

BNXT League

Den Bosch

40-48

-8

A30/10

BNXT League

86.9Avg total

41.7Scored

45.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 86.5
Last 30 (30)	38.6	41.2	79.8	-2.5	37%	30%
Last 30 at home (15)	43.1	38.7	81.9	+4.4	67%	27%
Last 30 away (15)	34.1	43.6	77.7	-9.5	7%	33%
Last 10 (10)	41.7	45.2	86.9	-3.5	30%	70%
Last 5 (5)	46.6	48.6	95.2	-2.0	40%	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	36.5	42.9	79.4	-6.4	29%	35%
vs Similar (6)	35.5	42.5	78.0	-7.0	17%	17%
vs Weaker (7)	46.4	35.9	82.3	+10.6	71%	29%

This opponent (Kortrijk) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

KortrijkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Spirou Charleroi

#11

53-49

A19/04

BNXT League

Den Helder

#12

45-47

-2

H24/04

BNXT League

Leuven Bears

#13

53-37

+16

A02/05

BNXT League

Oostende

51-46

H06/05

BNXT League

Zwolle

#14

42-31

+11

A09/05

BNXT League

Donar Groningen

#11

31-54

-23

H02/10

BNXT League

Antwerp Giants

45-46

-1

A10/10

BNXT League

Leuven Bears

35-42

-7

A17/10

BNXT League

Limburg

35-57

-22

H23/10

BNXT League

Zwolle

#10

39-30

A01/11

BNXT League

86.8Avg total

42.9Scored

43.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 86.5
Last 30 (30)	42.3	41.0	83.3	+1.3	63%	43%
Last 30 at home (15)	43.3	43.3	86.7	+0.0	60%	60%
Last 30 away (15)	41.3	38.6	79.9	+2.7	67%	27%
Last 10 (10)	42.9	43.9	86.8	-1.0	50%	60%
Last 5 (5)	37.0	45.8	82.8	-8.8	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	43.7	48.3	92.0	-4.7	33%	100%
vs Similar (10)	42.5	42.7	85.2	-0.2	50%	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	41.9	38.6	80.6	+3.3	76%	29%

This opponent (Mechelen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Mechelen win

MECH win

no forecast

@ 1.80

KORT win

no forecast

@ 2.00

1st half Spread Mechelen -0.5 · main lineActual: Mechelen -0.5

MECH -0.5

no forecast

@ 1.88

KORT +0.5

no forecast

@ 1.91

1st half Over/Under 86.5 · main lineActual: Under 86.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.93

Under

no forecast

@ 1.83

Mechelen 1st half total 43.5 · main lineActual: Mechelen over 43.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.88

Under

no forecast

@ 1.83

Kortrijk 1st half total 41.5 · main lineActual: Kortrijk under 41.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 2.07

1st half: MECH + total 86.5

MECH & over

no forecast

@ 3.55

MECH & under

no forecast

@ 3.40

1st half: Draw + total 86.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 31.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 29.00

1st half: KORT + total 86.5

KORT & over

no forecast

@ 4.00

KORT & under

no forecast

@ 3.80

1st half Over/Under 85.25Actual: Under 85.25

Over

no forecast

@ 1.82

Under

no forecast

@ 1.80

1st half Spread Mechelen -1.5Actual: Mechelen -1.5

MECH -1.5

no forecast

@ 2.00

KORT +1.5

no forecast

@ 1.80

1st half Over/Under 88.5Actual: Under 88.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.25

Under

no forecast

@ 1.60

1st half Over/Under 83.5Actual: Under 83.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.62

Under

no forecast

@ 2.25

1st half Spread Mechelen -2.5Actual: Mechelen -2.5

MECH -2.5

no forecast

@ 2.15

KORT +2.5

no forecast

@ 1.85

1st half Spread Mechelen +1.5Actual: Mechelen +1.5

MECH +1.5

no forecast

@ 1.62

KORT -1.5

no forecast

@ 2.22

1st half Spread Mechelen -3.5Actual: Mechelen -3.5

MECH -3.5

no forecast

@ 2.35

KORT +3.5

no forecast

@ 1.55

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Kortrijk (regulation)

MECH

no forecast

@ 1.83

Draw

no forecast

@ 17.50

KORT

no forecast

@ 2.10

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.25
Last 30 (30)	19.9	21.0	40.9	-1.1	43%	37%
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	19.3	40.6	+1.9	53%	33%
Last 30 away (15)	18.6	22.7	41.3	-4.1	33%	40%
Last 10 (10)	19.3	23.2	42.5	-3.9	30%	40%
Last 5 (5)	21.6	26.0	47.6	-4.4	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	20.1	21.8	41.8	-1.7	41%	41%
vs Similar (6)	19.5	17.3	36.8	+2.2	67%	17%
vs Weaker (7)	20.0	22.3	42.3	-2.3	29%	43%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.25
Last 30 (30)	22.3	20.5	42.8	+1.8	53%	50%
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	19.8	40.9	+1.3	53%	33%
Last 30 away (15)	23.6	21.2	44.8	+2.4	53%	67%
Last 10 (10)	21.3	18.5	39.8	+2.8	60%	30%
Last 5 (5)	21.6	16.2	37.8	+5.4	80%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.7	18.0	39.7	+3.7	67%	33%
vs Similar (10)	22.2	20.1	42.3	+2.1	60%	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	22.5	21.2	43.7	+1.4	47%	53%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.5
Last 30 (30)	18.4	20.5	38.8	-2.1	37%	40%
Last 30 at home (15)	18.8	20.3	39.1	-1.5	33%	40%
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	20.6	38.5	-2.7	40%	40%
Last 10 (10)	20.5	19.0	39.5	+1.5	60%	40%
Last 5 (5)	20.8	20.6	41.4	+0.2	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	18.6	21.3	39.9	-2.6	29%	47%
vs Similar (6)	18.7	21.2	39.8	-2.5	33%	50%
vs Weaker (7)	17.4	17.9	35.3	-0.4	57%	14%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.5
Last 30 (30)	21.8	18.0	39.8	+3.8	73%	33%
Last 30 at home (15)	24.3	17.0	41.3	+7.3	87%	33%
Last 30 away (15)	19.2	19.0	38.2	+0.2	60%	33%
Last 10 (10)	18.6	18.0	36.6	+0.6	60%	10%
Last 5 (5)	18.0	18.4	36.4	-0.4	60%	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	24.3	22.0	46.3	+2.3	67%	33%
vs Similar (10)	18.6	17.5	36.1	+1.1	70%	20%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	23.2	17.6	40.8	+5.6	76%	41%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 84.5
Last 30 (30)	38.3	41.5	79.8	-3.2	43%	43%
Last 30 at home (15)	40.1	39.7	79.7	+0.4	60%	47%
Last 30 away (15)	36.5	43.3	79.8	-6.7	27%	40%
Last 10 (10)	39.8	42.2	82.0	-2.4	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	42.4	46.6	89.0	-4.2	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	38.7	43.1	81.8	-4.4	47%	47%
vs Similar (6)	38.2	38.5	76.7	-0.3	50%	33%
vs Weaker (7)	37.4	40.1	77.6	-2.7	29%	43%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 84.5
Last 30 (30)	44.1	38.5	82.6	+5.6	73%	33%
Last 30 at home (15)	45.4	36.8	82.2	+8.6	80%	27%
Last 30 away (15)	42.8	40.2	83.0	+2.6	67%	40%
Last 10 (10)	39.9	36.5	76.4	+3.4	70%	10%
Last 5 (5)	39.6	34.6	74.2	+5.0	80%	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	46.0	40.0	86.0	+6.0	67%	33%
vs Similar (10)	40.8	37.6	78.4	+3.2	70%	20%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	45.7	38.8	84.5	+6.9	76%	41%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

MECH win + total 171.5

🔒 Pro

KORT win + total 171.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: MECH leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: KORT leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (MECH:KORT): MECH wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Mechelen under 88	76.4%	1.64	1xBet 1.64	-	-	-	-	+23.9pp	Won
Mechelen under 87.5	74.1%	1.72	Bet365 1.80	Marathon Bet 1.76	Betano 1.75	1xBet 1.58	-	+22.1pp	Won
Mechelen under 93.5	88.7%	1.38	Bet365 1.38	-	-	-	-	+21.7pp	Won
Mechelen under 88.5	77.1%	1.65	Bet365 1.80	Betano 1.65	1xBet 1.50	-	-	+21.5pp	Won
Kortrijk +8	81.9%	1.54	Bet365 1.54	-	-	-	-	+21.0pp	Won
Kortrijk +7	79.4%	1.60	Bet365 1.60	-	-	-	-	+20.9pp	Won
Mechelen under 87	73.3%	1.69	Marathon Bet 1.75	1xBet 1.62	-	-	-	+20.7pp	Won
Mechelen under 86.5	71.0%	1.78	Betano 1.85	Marathon Bet 1.81	1xBet 1.68	-	-	+20.4pp	Won
Mechelen under 90.5	82.4%	1.45	Bet365 1.52	Betano 1.47	1xBet 1.37	-	-	+19.9pp	Won
Mechelen under 89.5	79.8%	1.49	Betano 1.55	1xBet 1.43	-	-	-	+19.8pp	Won
Under 176	77.4%	1.60	Bet365 1.60	-	-	-	-	+19.5pp	Push
Mechelen under 91.5	84.7%	1.41	Bet365 1.52	Betano 1.40	1xBet 1.32	-	-	+19.3pp	Won
Mechelen under 95.5	91.8%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+19.0pp	Won
Kortrijk +10.5	86.4%	1.36	Betano 1.36	-	-	-	-	+19.0pp	Won
Under 175.5	76.0%	1.60	Bet365 1.64	Betano 1.57	-	-	-	+18.6pp	Lost
Under 175	75.6%	1.61	Bet365 1.66	Pinnacle 1.61	Marathon Bet 1.57	-	-	+18.6pp	Lost
Under 174.5	74.2%	1.63	Bet365 1.68	Betano 1.65	Pinnacle 1.64	Marathon Bet 1.60	1xBet 1.60	+18.4pp	Lost
Mechelen under 92.5	86.8%	1.32	Bet365 1.38	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	+18.3pp	Won
Under 176.5	77.8%	1.54	Bet365 1.57	Betano 1.52	-	-	-	+18.1pp	Won
Mechelen under 94.5	90.3%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+18.0pp	Won
Under 177.5	79.5%	1.50	Bet365 1.52	Betano 1.47	-	-	-	+17.6pp	Won
Kortrijk +8.5	82.3%	1.44	Bet365 1.52	Betano 1.35	-	-	-	+17.5pp	Won
Kortrijk +9.5	84.5%	1.38	Bet365 1.44	Betano 1.31	-	-	-	+17.3pp	Won
Kortrijk +11.5	88.2%	1.29	Betano 1.29	-	-	-	-	+16.9pp	Won
Kortrijk +6	76.6%	1.51	Pinnacle 1.52	Marathon Bet 1.51	Bet365 1.50	-	-	+16.8pp	Won
Under 172.5	70.2%	1.75	Bet365 1.83	SBO 1.80	Betano 1.78	Pinnacle 1.75	Marathon Bet 1.72	+16.7pp	Lost
Under 173	71.6%	1.73	Bet365 1.80	SBO 1.76	Pinnacle 1.70	1xBet 1.69	Marathon Bet 1.68	+16.7pp	Lost
Under 178.5	81.1%	1.42	Betano 1.42	-	-	-	-	+16.7pp	Won
Under 174	73.6%	1.66	Bet365 1.71	Marathon Bet 1.63	Pinnacle 1.63	-	-	+16.4pp	Lost
Under 173.5	72.2%	1.67	Bet365 1.74	Betano 1.70	Pinnacle 1.67	Marathon Bet 1.66	1xBet 1.58	+16.3pp	Lost
Kortrijk +14.5	92.3%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+16.2pp	Won
Kortrijk +6.5	77.3%	1.48	Bet365 1.66	Marathon Bet 1.48	Pinnacle 1.48	Betano 1.47	1xBet 1.33	+16.0pp	Won
Under 179.5	82.6%	1.38	Betano 1.38	-	-	-	-	+16.0pp	Won
Kortrijk +5.5	74.4%	1.50	Pinnacle 1.55	Bet365 1.54	Betano 1.52	Marathon Bet 1.50	1xBet 1.40	+15.9pp	Won
Under 182.5	86.6%	1.31	Bet365 1.31	-	-	-	-	+15.7pp	Won
Mechelen under 96.5	93.1%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+15.3pp	Won
Mechelen under 97.5	94.2%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+14.7pp	Won
Kortrijk +7.5	79.9%	1.39	Betano 1.40	Bet365 1.40	1xBet 1.38	-	-	+14.5pp	Won
Under 181.5	85.4%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	+13.9pp	Won
Under 187.5	91.7%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+12.9pp	Won
Kortrijk +5	73.6%	1.53	Bet365 1.57	Marathon Bet 1.53	Pinnacle 1.48	-	-	+12.3pp	Won
Kortrijk +19.5	96.5%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+12.1pp	Won
Under 186.5	90.9%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+12.0pp	Won
Kortrijk +12.5	89.7%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+12.0pp	Won
Kortrijk +4	70.3%	1.63	SBO 1.73	Bet365 1.64	Marathon Bet 1.58	Pinnacle 1.56	-	+11.1pp	Won
Kortrijk +4.5	71.3%	1.58	Betfair 1.73	Bet365 1.62	Betano 1.60	Marathon Bet 1.55	Pinnacle 1.52	+10.5pp	Won
Kortrijk under 92.5	81.8%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	+9.9pp	Lost
Kortrijk +17.5	95.1%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+9.6pp	Won
Under 192.5	95.1%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+9.6pp	Won
Kortrijk +24.5	98.4%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+9.4pp	Won
Kortrijk under 91.5	79.2%	1.27	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	-	+9.2pp	Lost
Kortrijk under 90.5	76.3%	1.35	Bet365 1.40	1xBet 1.30	-	-	-	+9.2pp	Lost
Kortrijk under 94.5	86.5%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+8.7pp	Won
Kortrijk under 89.5	73.2%	1.39	Betano 1.42	1xBet 1.35	-	-	-	+8.6pp	Lost
Kortrijk +22.5	97.8%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+8.5pp	Won
Under 191.5	94.5%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+8.4pp	Won
Kortrijk under 93.5	84.3%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
Mechelen +22.5	95.5%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Won
Kortrijk over 64.5	96.5%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Won
Kortrijk over 67.5	93.6%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Kortrijk over 65.5	95.7%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Kortrijk over 66.5	94.7%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Overtime: no	94.7%	1.02	Betano 1.02	-	-	-	-	+3.2pp	-
Kortrijk over 69.5	90.8%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Won
Kortrijk over 68.5	92.3%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+2.6pp	Won
Mechelen +20.5	93.9%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+2.3pp	Won
Kortrijk over 71.5	87.1%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+2.1pp	Won
Kortrijk over 73.5	82.6%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+2.0pp	Won
Mechelen +17.5	90.4%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+1.7pp	Won
Kortrijk over 70.5	89.0%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+1.1pp	Won
Kortrijk over 72.5	84.9%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	-0.6pp	Won
Kortrijk over 74.5	79.9%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	-1.5pp	Won
Mechelen +15.5	87.4%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	-1.6pp	Won
Mechelen +12.5	81.3%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	-1.7pp	Won
Kortrijk over 75.5	77.1%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	-1.8pp	Won
Kortrijk over 76.5	74.0%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	-2.1pp	Won
Mechelen over 68.5	88.3%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	-2.4pp	Won
Over 146.5	85.2%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	-4.4pp	Won
Mechelen over 69.5	86.3%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	-4.9pp	Won
Mechelen over 70.5	84.0%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	-5.4pp	Won
Over 147.5	83.8%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	-5.8pp	Won
Mechelen over 71.5	81.5%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	-7.8pp	Won
Mechelen +10.5	76.3%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	-8.1pp	Won
Mechelen over 72.5	78.8%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	-8.7pp	Won
Over 151.5	77.0%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	-9.6pp	Won
Over 152.5	75.1%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	-11.5pp	Won
Mechelen over 73.5	75.9%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	-12.1pp	Won
Mechelen over 74.5	72.7%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	-12.3pp	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Mechelentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen: 80.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game

49%

32%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.6	20.6	50.7%	53.2%	41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.4	8.7	35.7%	32.1%	26.1
🏀 Free throws	18.7	13.2	70.6%	71.0%	13.2

They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Kortrijktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kortrijk: 83.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀49%

🏀🏀🏀30%

🏀21%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 49% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 21% of the points

League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game

49%

32%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.1	20.3	51.9%	53.2%	40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.1	8.4	32.2%	32.1%	25.2
🏀 Free throws	23.2	17.3	74.6%	71.0%	17.3

They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.0	21.7	54.2%	53.2%	43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.6	9.1	34.2%	32.1%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	19.2	14.7	76.6%	71.0%	14.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.8	21.5	58.4%	53.2%	43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.0	9.0	33.3%	32.1%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	20.3	13.3	65.5%	71.0%	13.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.9	19.4	51.1%	53.2%	38.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.3	8.0	35.8%	32.1%	23.9
🏀 Free throws	19.0	13.8	72.6%	71.0%	13.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.9	19.9	52.6%	53.2%	39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.1	9.6	34.2%	32.1%	28.9
🏀 Free throws	22.3	16.3	73.1%	71.0%	16.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.4	19.2	52.7%	53.2%	38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.2	8.8	33.5%	32.1%	26.3
🏀 Free throws	20.2	14.7	72.9%	71.0%	14.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.7	20.7	57.8%	53.2%	41.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.9	8.6	33.3%	32.1%	25.9
🏀 Free throws	18.6	12.8	69.0%	71.0%	12.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Mechelen

LLWLWWWLLL

Kortrijk

LLLLLWWWWL

#13

League position

#14

-5.6

Net rating

-0.2

91.3

Offensive rating

94.1

96.9

Defensive rating

94.4

51.8%

Effective FG%

50.5%

53.1%

Opp. effective FG%

54.9%

16.4%

Turnover %

14.5%

0.29

Free-throw rate

0.36

35.7%

3-point %

32.2%

59.4%

Assist %

55.7%

40%

Form (last 10/10)

40%

Profile

■ Mechelen ■ Kortrijk

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Mechelen wins

Kortrijk wins

Date	Game	Score
21/02/26	Mechelen v Kortrijk	93-84
23/12/25	Kortrijk v Mechelen	104-64
02/04/25	Mechelen v Kortrijk	93-91 OT
11/10/24	Kortrijk v Mechelen	108-85
05/04/24	Kortrijk v Mechelen	86-87
24/11/23	Kortrijk v Mechelen	87-70
28/10/23	Mechelen v Kortrijk	102-74

Mechelenlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/10/26	A	Den Bosch	86-95
24/10/26	A	Antwerp Giants	75-109
17/10/26	H	CB Liege	96-78
10/10/26	H	Okapi Aalst	79-94
02/10/26	A	Limburg	109-100
09/05/26	H	Rotterdam	97-73
06/05/26	A	Brussels Basketball	57-56
02/05/26	H	Den Helder	80-87
25/04/26	A	Donar Groningen	63-99
19/04/26	H	Oostende	73-83

Kortrijklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/11/26	A	Zwolle	71-73
23/10/26	H	Limburg	83-88
17/10/26	A	Leuven Bears	69-72
10/10/26	A	Antwerp Giants	106-113 OT
02/10/26	H	Donar Groningen	76-85
09/05/26	A	Zwolle	83-70
06/05/26	H	Oostende	96-80
02/05/26	A	Leuven Bears	97-86
24/04/26	H	Den Helder	85-80
19/04/26	A	Spirou Charleroi	84-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mechelen

BNXT League 2026-27

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	40%
Home	LW	50%
Away	WLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	2	3
Win %	40%	50%	33%
Points / game	89.0	87.5	90.0
Allowed / game	95.2	86.0	101.3
Point differential	-6.2	+1.5	-11.3
Avg total	184.2	173.5	191.3
Over 171.5	100%	100%	100%
Win by 10+	20%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Kortrijk

BNXT League 2026-27

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	0%
Home	LL	0%
Away	LLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	2	3
Win %	0%	0%	0%
Points / game	81.0	79.5	82.0
Allowed / game	86.2	86.5	86.0
Point differential	-5.2	-7.0	-4.0
Avg total	167.2	166.0	168.0
Over 171.5	20%	0%	33%
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (1)	0% (2)
Overtime %	20%	0%	33%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Antwerp Giants	5	5	0	100%	107.0	82.0	+25.0
2	Brussels Basketball	5	4	1	80%	81.4	68.2	+13.2
3	Okapi Aalst	5	4	1	80%	92.6	83.4	+9.2
4	Spirou Charleroi	6	4	2	67%	79.3	67.0	+12.3
5	Limburg	5	3	2	60%	91.2	86.6	+4.6
6	Oostende	5	3	2	60%	77.0	73.0	+4.0
7	Den Bosch	5	3	2	60%	79.8	80.4	-0.6
8	Leuven Bears	5	3	2	60%	68.0	69.0	-1.0
9	Donar Groningen	5	3	2	60%	83.0	88.2	-5.2
10	Zwolle	6	3	3	50%	72.7	77.0	-4.3
11	Leiden	5	2	3	40%	75.2	77.6	-2.4
12	Mechelen	5	2	3	40%	89.0	95.2	-6.2
13	Rotterdam	6	2	4	33%	75.8	80.2	-4.3
14	CB Liege	6	1	5	17%	77.5	91.0	-13.5
15	Kortrijk	5	0	5	0%	81.0	86.2	-5.2
16	Belfius Mons	5	0	5	0%	65.2	88.8	-23.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Mechelen	29	15	14	25	83
Kortrijk	15	23	27	28	93

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Mechelen vs Kortrijk Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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