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Mechelen vs Kortrijk Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 02 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 93-91 (OT)
16-26 21-19 21-19 20-14 15-13
Position#3
Record19-7
FormLWWLW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game75.4
Mechelen 🏆
vs
Kortrijk
Position#1
Record22-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game96.4
Allowed / game76.3
EuropeBNXT League· Stedelijke Sporthal Winketkaai
Other2024-25
Meetings · Mechelen v Kortrijk
07 Nov 2026
MECH83
KORT93
21 Feb 2026
MECH93
KORT84
02 Apr 2025
MECH93
KORT91
28 Oct 2023
MECH102
KORT74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mechelen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kortrijk winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MechelenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMechelen
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#15
W
75-69
75
69
+6
60avg 76
A12/01
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
W
72-69
72
69
+3
44avg 76
H18/01
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
77-70
77
70
+7
66avg 76
A25/01
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
W
89-69
89
69
+20
86avg 76
H01/02
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
85-75
85
75
+10
77avg 76
A08/02
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
L
86-89
86
89
-3
80avg 76
H15/02
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
79-65
79
65
+14
68avg 76
A01/03
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
W
93-90
93
90
+3
87avg 76
A12/03
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
79-84
79
84
-5
69avg 76
A16/03
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
W
87-74
87
74
+13
87avg 76
A28/03
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-18
22-20
23-5
20-26
19-27
18-17
20-11
15-14
20-13
18-28
19-21
20-8
10-18
32-20
25-20
22-11
26-17
20-24
19-17
20-17
20-22
29-18
13-21
24-28
18-13
17-19
21-21
23-12
28-20
24-21
22-22
19-27
14-28
28-17
16-18
21-21
28-21
23-25
16-16
20-12
157.6Avg total
82.2Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)81.475.4156.8+6.073%
Season at home (11)82.473.2155.5+9.282%
Season away (15)80.777.0157.7+3.767%
Last 10 (10)82.275.4157.6+6.880%
Last 5 (5)84.880.4165.2+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)79.886.8166.5-7.025%
vs Similar (12)78.078.2156.2-0.250%
vs Weaker (13)83.570.7154.2+12.892%
This opponent (Kortrijk) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KortrijkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKortrijk
Date
Competition
Leuven Bears
#7
W
86-74
86
74
+12
83avg 90
A08/02
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#2
W
85-80
85
80
+5
83avg 90
H11/02
Belgian Cup
Leuven Bears
#2
L
77-96
77
96
-19
67avg 90
A13/02
Belgian Cup
LWD Basket
#10
W
109-52
109
52
+57
108avg 90
H16/02
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
88-78
88
78
+10
78avg 90
A01/03
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
91-63
91
63
+28
90avg 90
H12/03
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
93-58
93
58
+35
96avg 90
A15/03
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
W
92-61
92
61
+31
92avg 90
H19/03
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
100-101 OT
100
101
-1
92avg 90
A23/03
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
98-73
98
73
+25
102avg 90
H28/03
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-13
22-19
22-21
21-21
26-19
18-16
21-21
20-24
17-19
22-28
14-22
24-27
29-11
27-17
20-12
33-12
18-24
16-21
25-17
29-16
18-17
17-11
32-22
24-13
18-17
22-12
31-10
22-19
19-15
27-14
22-13
24-19
19-20
21-25
20-30
24-9
23-16
27-20
21-21
27-16
165.5Avg total
91.9Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)96.476.3172.8+20.181%
Season at home (13)104.673.8178.4+30.892%
Season away (14)88.978.7167.6+10.171%
Last 10 (10)91.973.6165.5+18.380%
Last 5 (5)94.871.2166.0+23.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)81.088.0169.0-7.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)96.076.0172.0+20.078%
This opponent (Mechelen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +7.2+7.2
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +7.2+7.2
MechelenKortrijk
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MechelenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#15
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A12/01
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H18/01
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A25/01
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H01/02
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A08/02
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H15/02
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A01/03
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A12/03
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A16/03
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A28/03
BNXT League
83.0Avg total
42.4Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.039.080.0+1.966%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.537.579.0+4.083%-
Last 30 away (17)40.640.180.7+0.553%-
Last 10 (10)42.440.683.0+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)45.840.886.6+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)39.241.881.0-2.550%-
vs Similar (12)41.740.482.1+1.258%-
vs Weaker (13)40.836.977.8+3.977%-
This opponent (Kortrijk) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KortrijkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leuven Bears
#7
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A08/02
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#2
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H11/02
Belgian Cup
Leuven Bears
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A13/02
Belgian Cup
LWD Basket
#10
W
56-28
56
28
+28
H16/02
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A01/03
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H12/03
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A15/03
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H19/03
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A23/03
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H28/03
BNXT League
78.1Avg total
42.7Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.937.683.5+8.377%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.935.184.0+13.793%-
Last 30 away (16)43.339.883.1+3.562%-
Last 10 (10)42.735.478.1+7.370%-
Last 5 (5)42.233.475.6+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)41.541.082.5+0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)46.337.083.3+9.381%-
This opponent (Mechelen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mechelentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.218.6
50.0%
52.6%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.1
36.1%
34.1%27.3
🏀 Free throws21.516.5
76.7%
71.9%16.5
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kortrijktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kortrijk: 91.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.919.3
53.8%
52.6%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.611.8
38.6%
34.1%35.4
🏀 Free throws21.717.1
78.8%
71.9%17.1
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mechelen
WLWWLWWWWW
Kortrijk
WLWWWWWLWW
#3
League position
#1
+8.3
Net rating
+24.3
111.9
Offensive rating
119.8
103.6
Defensive rating
95.5
51.7%
Effective FG%
55.6%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
47.8%
15.6%
Turnover %
17.3%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
36.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.33
36.1%
3-point %
38.6%
50.9%
Assist %
68.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence111.9 · 119.8Defence103.6 · 95.5Shooting51.7% · 55.6%3-point %36.1% · 38.6%Ball care15.6% · 17.3%Off. rebounds29.0% · 36.9%Free throws0.34 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Mechelen   ■ Kortrijk
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Mechelen wins
2
Kortrijk wins
DateGameScore
11/10/24Kortrijk v Mechelen108-85
05/04/24Kortrijk v Mechelen86-87
24/11/23Kortrijk v Mechelen87-70
28/10/23Mechelen v Kortrijk102-74
Mechelenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/25ACircus Brussels87-74
16/03/25AAntwerp Giants79-84
12/03/25ALeuven Bears93-90
01/03/25AOkapi Aalst79-65
15/02/25HCircus Brussels86-89
08/02/25ADonar Groningen85-75
01/02/25HLWD Basket89-69
25/01/25ABAL Weert77-70
18/01/25HDen Bosch72-69
12/01/25AZwolle75-69
Kortrijklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/25HQSTA Utd98-73
23/03/25AAntwerp Giants100-101 OT
19/03/25HBelfius Mons92-61
15/03/25ABAL Weert93-58
12/03/25HOkapi Aalst91-63
01/03/25ADen Helder88-78
16/02/25HLWD Basket109-52
13/02/25ALeuven Bears77-96
11/02/25HLeuven Bears85-80
08/02/25ALeuven Bears86-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mechelen
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW73%
HomeWWWWL82%
AwayWWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261115
Win %73%82%67%
Points / game81.482.480.7
Allowed / game75.473.277.0
Point differential+6.0+9.2+3.7
Avg total156.8155.5157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%45%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)60% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kortrijk
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW81%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWWWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %81%92%71%
Points / game96.4104.688.9
Allowed / game76.373.878.7
Point differential+20.1+30.8+10.1
Avg total172.8178.4167.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%85%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kortrijk2722581%96.476.3+20.1
2 Oostende2923679%88.075.3+12.7
3 Mechelen2619773%81.475.4+6.0
4 Limburg2718967%80.575.3+5.3
5 Circus Brussels27171063%77.776.4+1.3
6 Antwerp Giants27161159%82.080.6+1.4
7 Den Bosch29171259%83.680.8+2.8
8 Spirou Charleroi28161257%81.375.4+5.9
9 Belfius Mons28161257%80.778.4+2.2
10 Leuven Bears28141450%79.875.0+4.8
11 Okapi Aalst28141450%80.679.5+1.1
12 Leiden26131350%76.580.5-4.0
13 LWD Basket27131448%80.983.6-2.7
14 Zwolle26101638%80.483.7-3.3
15 Den Helder2891932%73.584.5-11.0
16 Donar Groningen2671927%76.286.2-10.0
17 Feyenoord2772026%79.387.9-8.7
18 BAL Weert2642215%70.084.9-14.8
19 QSTA Utd2632312%78.390.0-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Mechelen162121201593
Kortrijk261919141391
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