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Mechelen vs Liege Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 50-63
19-16 15-18 9-9 7-20
Position#8
Record5-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game72.5
vs
Liege 🏆
Position#6
Record4-4
FormWLWWL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game78.8
EuropeBNXT League· Stedelijke Sporthal Winketkaai (Mechelen)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Mechelen v Liege
18 Nov 2023
MECH50
LIE63
11 Feb 2023
MECH84
LIE85
19 Nov 2021
MECH82
LIE72
11 Jan 2020
MECH102
LIE77
21 Sep 2019
MECH71
LIE59
23 Mar 2019
MECH86
LIE84
29 Sep 2018
MECH69
LIE80
14 Apr 2018
MECH87
LIE106
26 Dec 2017
MECH85
LIE83
03 May 2017
MECH86
LIE84
21 Jan 2017
MECH82
LIE75
04 May 2016
MECH104
LIE98
13 Feb 2016
MECH95
LIE84
29 Apr 2015
MECH98
LIE107
15 Nov 2014
MECH76
LIE81
30 Apr 2014
MECH73
LIE84
09 Nov 2013
MECH101
LIE104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mechelen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Liege winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MechelenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMechelen
Date
Competition
Limburg
#10
L
73-83
73
83
-10
no box
H29/05
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
84-90
84
90
-6
73avg 70
A22/09
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
W
76-75
76
75
+1
75avg 70
H30/09
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
65-69
65
69
-4
61avg 70
H04/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
91-84
91
84
+7
86avg 70
H07/10
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
52-70
52
70
-18
46avg 70
A13/10
BNXT League
BCCA Neufchateau
#13
W
101-80
101
80
+21
no box
A20/10
Belgian Cup
Kortrijk
#14
W
102-74
102
74
+28
101avg 70
H28/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
W
84-73
84
73
+11
83avg 70
A31/10
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
W
69-45
69
45
+24
69avg 70
H12/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
18-14
19-26
21-20
19-27
23-22
22-22
20-19
21-19
25-27
17-18
13-11
15-15
18-23
13-15
19-16
29-22
15-23
23-19
24-20
10-24
7-15
17-17
18-14
27-27
21-14
25-21
28-18
24-17
29-11
21-22
28-24
21-19
19-21
22-19
22-14
15-13
17-14
18-11
19-7
154.0Avg total
79.7Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.972.5150.4+5.462%
Season at home (5)80.669.4150.0+11.280%
Season away (3)73.377.7151.0-4.333%
Last 10 (10)79.774.3154.0+5.460%
Last 5 (5)81.668.4150.0+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)74.072.9146.9+1.158%
vs Similar ◀ (10)74.177.8151.9-3.750%
vs Weaker (7)86.171.1157.3+15.086%
This opponent (Liege) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LiegeLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiege
Date
Competition
Circus Brussels
#9
L
59-85
59
85
-26
45avg 69
H04/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
W
84-78
84
78
+6
86avg 69
A07/10
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
78-86
78
86
-8
73avg 69
H13/10
BNXT League
Zielona Gora
#5
W
102-79
102
79
+23
100avg 69
H17/10
ENBL
Kortrijk
#10
L
73-73
73
73
+0
no box
A20/10
Belgian Cup
Kortrijk
#10
W
81-80
81
80
+1
no box
H22/10
Belgian Cup
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
71-81
71
81
-10
58avg 69
A28/10
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
75-72
75
72
+3
67avg 69
H05/11
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
83-80
83
80
+3
83avg 69
A10/11
BNXT League
Voluntari
#3
L
68-89
68
89
-21
58avg 69
A15/11
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-13
14-30
11-26
16-16
16-18
16-20
24-16
28-24
16-19
23-22
18-17
21-28
29-18
27-21
20-22
26-18
–
–
–
–
18-21
19-18
21-19
23-22
37-40
2-5
9-24
23-12
20-17
19-12
22-27
14-16
25-21
19-23
23-21
16-15
13-21
19-23
15-26
21-19
157.7Avg total
77.4Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)75.578.8154.2-3.250%
Season at home (4)73.878.0151.8-4.250%
Season away (4)77.279.5156.8-2.250%
Last 10 (10)77.480.3157.7-2.950%
Last 5 (5)75.680.4156.0-4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)76.784.7161.4-8.029%
vs Similar ◀ (13)79.381.2160.5-1.854%
vs Weaker (10)88.869.7158.5+19.190%
This opponent (Mechelen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +4.9+4.9Q4: +2.0+2.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +4.9+4.9Q4: +2.0+2.0
MechelenLiege
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MechelenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Limburg
#10
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H29/05
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A22/09
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H30/09
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H04/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H07/10
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
17-39
17
39
-22
A13/10
BNXT League
BCCA Neufchateau
#13
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A20/10
Belgian Cup
Kortrijk
#14
W
53-28
53
28
+25
H28/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A31/10
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H12/11
BNXT League
77.8Avg total
38.8Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.438.477.8+1.043%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.136.578.6+5.753%-
Last 30 away (15)36.740.477.1-3.733%-
Last 10 (10)38.839.077.8-0.230%-
Last 5 (5)38.035.073.0+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.338.375.7-1.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.739.676.3-2.910%-
vs Weaker (7)45.636.682.1+9.071%-
This opponent (Liege) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LiegeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Circus Brussels
#9
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H04/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A07/10
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H13/10
BNXT League
Zielona Gora
#5
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H17/10
ENBL
Kortrijk
#10
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H22/10
Belgian Cup
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A28/10
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H05/11
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A10/11
BNXT League
Voluntari
#3
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A15/11
ENBL
79.1Avg total
38.9Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.838.479.1+2.445%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.435.378.7+8.167%-
Last 30 away (14)37.941.679.6-3.721%-
Last 10 (9)38.940.279.1-1.322%-
Last 5 (5)38.240.278.4-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.142.479.6-5.314%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.238.977.1-0.833%-
vs Weaker (10)46.434.981.3+11.580%-
This opponent (Mechelen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mechelentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.320.7
52.7%
52.2%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.16.0
33.1%
33.1%18.0
🏀 Free throws23.717.4
73.4%
71.4%17.4
They take 57.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Liegetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liege: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.017.7
55.3%
52.2%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.77.9
33.3%
33.1%23.7
🏀 Free throws20.213.7
67.8%
71.4%13.7
They take 55.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mechelen
WWWWLWLWLL
Liege
LWWLWLWLWL
#8
League position
#6
+5.4
Net rating
-5.8
103.0
Offensive rating
105.6
97.7
Defensive rating
111.4
51.7%
Effective FG%
53.1%
48.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
21.1%
Turnover %
20.9%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.36
33.1%
3-point %
33.3%
55.1%
Assist %
57.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.0 · 105.6Defence97.7 · 111.4Shooting51.7% · 53.1%3-point %33.1% · 33.3%Ball care21.1% · 20.9%Off. rebounds25.8% · 30.9%Free throws0.41 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Mechelen   ■ Liege
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Mechelen wins
2
Liege wins
DateGameScore
11/02/23Mechelen v Liege84-85
15/10/22Liege v Mechelen65-81
09/02/22Liege v Mechelen99-103
19/11/21Mechelen v Liege82-72
11/01/20Mechelen v Liege102-77
01/11/19Liege v Mechelen68-76
21/09/19Mechelen v Liege71-59
23/03/19Mechelen v Liege86-84
15/03/19Liege v Mechelen84-91
14/12/18Liege v Mechelen92-83
Mechelenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/23HOostende69-45
31/10/23ALeuven Bears84-73
28/10/23HKortrijk102-74
20/10/23ABCCA Neufchateau101-80
13/10/23ALimburg52-70
07/10/23HOkapi Aalst91-84
04/10/23HAntwerp Giants65-69
30/09/23HBelfius Mons76-75
22/09/23ASpirou Charleroi84-90
29/05/23HLimburg73-83
Liegelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/23AVoluntari68-89
10/11/23AOkapi Aalst83-80
05/11/23HLimburg75-72
28/10/23AAntwerp Giants71-81
22/10/23HKortrijk81-80
20/10/23AKortrijk73-73
17/10/23HZielona Gora102-79
13/10/23HOostende78-86
07/10/23ALeuven Bears84-78
04/10/23HCircus Brussels59-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mechelen
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW62%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %62%80%33%
Points / game77.980.673.3
Allowed / game72.569.477.7
Point differential+5.4+11.2-4.3
Avg total150.4150.0151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Liege
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game75.573.877.2
Allowed / game78.878.079.5
Point differential-3.2-4.2-2.2
Avg total154.2151.8156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Den Bosch76186%84.769.9+14.9
2 Leiden76186%81.468.1+13.3
3 Limburg97278%77.367.7+9.7
4 Antwerp Giants97278%79.674.2+5.3
5 Zwolle86275%77.065.0+12.0
6 Oostende86275%76.873.1+3.6
7 Mechelen85362%77.972.5+5.4
8 Donar Groningen74357%73.467.1+6.3
9 BAL Weert74357%73.373.6-0.3
10 Circus Brussels95456%79.676.8+2.8
11 Spirou Charleroi84450%73.175.8-2.6
12 Liege84450%75.578.8-3.2
13 Kortrijk84450%78.484.0-5.6
14 Feyenoord84450%74.481.9-7.5
15 Leuven Bears93633%77.076.7+0.3
16 Den Helder82625%67.280.2-13.0
17 Belfius Mons71614%77.785.0-7.3
18 LWD Basket81712%74.683.4-8.8
19 QSTA Utd81712%69.482.0-12.6
20 Okapi Aalst9090%77.687.8-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mechelen19159750
Liege161892063
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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