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Mechelen vs Limburg Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 26 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 76-65
21-18 21-17 19-14 15-16
Position#3
Record10-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game76.1
vs
Position#4
Record10-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game74.6
EuropeBNXT League· Stedelijke Sporthal Winketkaai
Other2024-25
Meetings · Mechelen v Limburg
08 May 2027
MECH v LIMB
upcoming
22 Nov 2025
MECH85
LIMB81
28 May 2025
MECH85
LIMB78
24 May 2025
MECH78
LIMB91
20 May 2025
MECH95
LIMB84
26 Dec 2024
MECH76
LIMB65
10 May 2024
MECH75
LIMB70
26 Dec 2023
MECH87
LIMB92
29 May 2023
MECH73
LIMB83
07 Jan 2023
MECH85
LIMB79
13 Nov 2021
MECH89
LIMB86
24 Jan 2021
MECH68
LIMB71
05 Oct 2019
MECH73
LIMB78
06 Apr 2019
MECH75
LIMB78
13 Oct 2018
MECH83
LIMB71
28 Apr 2018
MECH97
LIMB91
13 Jan 2018
MECH76
LIMB96
17 Mar 2017
MECH98
LIMB91
05 Nov 2016
MECH86
LIMB84
03 Oct 2015
MECH105
LIMB97
18 Oct 2014
MECH82
LIMB90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mechelen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Limburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MechelenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMechelen
Date
Competition
LWD Basket
#10
L
85-89
85
89
-4
81avg 75
A27/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
W
72-67
72
67
+5
70avg 75
H02/11
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
W
79-68
79
68
+11
74avg 75
H09/11
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#13
W
93-78
93
78
+15
no box
H13/11
Belgian Cup
QSTA Utd
#19
W
82-70
82
70
+12
76avg 75
A17/11
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
84-95
84
95
-11
70avg 75
A29/11
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
87-65
87
65
+22
89avg 75
H01/12
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
W
81-69
81
69
+12
76avg 75
A07/12
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
75-48
75
48
+27
72avg 75
A14/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
100-93
100
93
+7
94avg 75
H21/12
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-26
24-22
20-29
13-12
15-19
21-13
24-20
12-15
17-18
20-16
20-17
22-17
–
–
–
–
14-24
27-10
19-28
22-8
20-32
19-20
25-25
20-18
21-24
20-10
31-17
15-14
19-8
23-24
24-18
15-19
14-9
22-15
20-14
19-10
23-19
21-31
30-19
26-24
158.0Avg total
83.8Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)81.376.1157.3+5.267%
Season at home (7)83.373.3156.6+10.086%
Season away (8)79.578.5158.0+1.050%
Last 10 (10)83.874.2158.0+9.680%
Last 5 (5)85.474.0159.4+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)82.091.5173.5-9.550%
vs Similar ◀ (11)79.880.5160.3-0.655%
vs Weaker (16)85.172.6157.8+12.581%
This opponent (Limburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LimburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLimburg
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#8
W
92-61
92
61
+31
89avg 72
H02/11
BNXT League
Szolnoki Olaj
#38
W
77-74
77
74
+3
81avg 72
H05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Zwolle
#15
W
85-73
85
73
+12
89avg 72
H08/11
BNXT League
FC Porto
#7
L
76-83
76
83
-7
72avg 72
H12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Oostende
#2
L
72-84
72
84
-12
58avg 72
A16/11
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
W
95-89
95
89
+6
90avg 72
H29/11
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
80-76
80
76
+4
71avg 72
A01/12
BNXT League
Leuven Bears B
#15
W
101-68
101
68
+33
no box
A08/12
Belgian Cup
QSTA Utd
#19
W
112-82
112
82
+30
113avg 72
H13/12
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
73-85
73
85
-12
61avg 72
A17/12
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-9
26-18
25-13
17-21
14-22
24-17
20-17
19-18
24-21
22-16
22-13
17-23
16-15
25-16
20-24
15-28
13-22
20-29
24-10
15-23
33-17
23-23
17-30
22-19
15-16
18-18
23-20
24-22
24-21
33-14
22-22
22-11
35-22
27-16
25-18
25-26
15-17
21-16
22-27
15-25
163.8Avg total
86.3Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)82.974.6157.6+8.371%
Season at home (7)87.968.4156.3+19.4100%
Season away (7)78.080.9158.9-2.943%
Last 10 (10)86.377.5163.8+8.870%
Last 5 (5)92.280.0172.2+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)71.781.5153.2-9.718%
vs Similar ◀ (10)81.774.8156.5+6.970%
vs Weaker (8)87.171.9159.0+15.2100%
This opponent (Mechelen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: +5.6+5.6Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -2.5-2.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: +5.6+5.6Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -2.5-2.5
MechelenLimburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MechelenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LWD Basket
#10
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A27/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H02/11
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H09/11
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A17/11
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A29/11
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H01/12
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A07/12
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
36-24
36
24
+12
A14/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H21/12
BNXT League
78.7Avg total
40.9Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.237.679.8+4.772%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.035.978.9+7.179%-
Last 30 away (15)41.539.280.7+2.367%-
Last 10 (9)40.937.878.7+3.178%-
Last 5 (5)40.438.478.8+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)43.043.086.0+0.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.638.278.8+2.564%-
vs Weaker (16)43.236.579.8+6.881%-
This opponent (Limburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LimburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#8
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H02/11
BNXT League
Szolnoki Olaj
#38
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Zwolle
#15
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H08/11
BNXT League
FC Porto
#7
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Oostende
#2
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A16/11
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H29/11
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A01/12
BNXT League
Leuven Bears B
#15
W
57-35
57
35
+22
A08/12
Belgian Cup
QSTA Utd
#19
W
62-38
62
38
+24
H13/12
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A17/12
BNXT League
81.7Avg total
45.2Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.037.977.9+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.633.877.4+9.880%-
Last 30 away (15)36.541.978.4-5.527%-
Last 10 (10)45.236.581.7+8.770%-
Last 5 (5)48.836.084.8+12.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.140.476.5-4.336%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)41.137.478.5+3.760%-
vs Weaker (8)42.035.477.4+6.662%-
This opponent (Mechelen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mechelentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.021.7
55.6%
52.6%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.77.0
32.3%
34.1%21.0
🏀 Free throws21.917.0
77.6%
71.9%17.0
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Limburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Limburg: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.421.8
56.8%
52.6%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.17.3
36.3%
34.1%21.9
🏀 Free throws24.317.7
72.8%
71.9%17.7
They take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mechelen
WWWWLWWWWL
Limburg
LWWWWLLWWW
#3
League position
#4
+11.9
Net rating
+5.9
110.4
Offensive rating
113.6
98.4
Defensive rating
107.7
53.0%
Effective FG%
56.0%
47.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
18.8%
Turnover %
17.2%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.42
32.3%
3-point %
36.3%
54.4%
Assist %
61.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence110.4 · 113.6Defence98.4 · 107.7Shooting53.0% · 56.0%3-point %32.3% · 36.3%Ball care18.8% · 17.2%Off. rebounds31.9% · 27.6%Free throws0.36 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Mechelen   ■ Limburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Mechelen wins
7
Limburg wins
DateGameScore
20/09/24Limburg v Mechelen74-65
12/05/24Limburg v Mechelen81-69
10/05/24Mechelen v Limburg75-70
08/05/24Limburg v Mechelen90-84
26/12/23Mechelen v Limburg87-92
13/10/23Limburg v Mechelen70-52
29/05/23Mechelen v Limburg73-83
27/05/23Limburg v Mechelen93-71
07/01/23Mechelen v Limburg85-79
04/11/22Limburg v Mechelen91-99 OT
Mechelenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24HFeyenoord100-93
14/12/24ADen Helder75-48
07/12/24ALeiden81-69
01/12/24HBAL Weert87-65
29/11/24ADen Bosch84-95
17/11/24AQSTA Utd82-70
13/11/24HBelfius Mons93-78
09/11/24HBelfius Mons79-68
02/11/24HLeuven Bears72-67
27/10/24ALWD Basket85-89
Limburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/24ASpirou Charleroi73-85
13/12/24HQSTA Utd112-82
08/12/24ALeuven Bears B101-68
01/12/24AOkapi Aalst80-76
29/11/24HCircus Brussels95-89
16/11/24AOostende72-84
12/11/24HFC Porto76-83
08/11/24HZwolle85-73
05/11/24HSzolnoki Olaj77-74
02/11/24HDen Bosch92-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mechelen
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayLWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %67%86%50%
Points / game81.383.379.5
Allowed / game76.173.378.5
Point differential+5.2+10.0+1.0
Avg total157.3156.6158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%43%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Limburg
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL71%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %71%100%43%
Points / game82.987.978.0
Allowed / game74.668.480.9
Point differential+8.3+19.4-2.9
Avg total157.6156.3158.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%57%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende1513287%89.777.2+12.5
2 Kortrijk1512380%96.979.7+17.1
3 Limburg1410471%82.974.6+8.3
4 Mechelen1510567%81.376.1+5.2
5 Circus Brussels1510567%76.975.5+1.3
6 Antwerp Giants138562%79.677.5+2.1
7 LWD Basket159660%82.582.0+0.5
8 Spirou Charleroi158753%81.175.2+5.9
9 Leuven Bears158753%78.574.6+3.9
10 Belfius Mons158753%80.678.3+2.3
11 Leiden178947%76.880.6-3.8
12 Okapi Aalst157847%78.877.4+1.4
13 Den Bosch156940%80.183.9-3.7
14 Zwolle156940%81.586.5-5.0
15 Feyenoord145936%82.289.3-7.1
16 Den Helder1651131%71.782.8-11.1
17 Donar Groningen134931%74.679.5-4.9
18 QSTA Utd1521313%78.488.2-9.8
19 BAL Weert1521313%70.784.8-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mechelen2121191576
Limburg1817141665
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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