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Mechelen vs LWD Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 89-79
24-17 23-19 24-28 18-15
Position#8
Record10-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game79.1
vs
Position#15
Record3-10
FormWWLLL
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game99.6
EuropeBNXT LeagueRound 15· Stedelijke Sporthal Winketkaai
Other2025-26
Meetings · Mechelen v LWD Basket
10 Jan 2026
MECH89
LWD 79
01 Feb 2025
MECH89
LWD 69
03 May 2024
MECH92
LWD 77
28 Apr 2023
MECH76
LWD 61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mechelen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
LWD Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MechelenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMechelen
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants 2
#13
W
92-67
92
67
+25
no box
A12/11
Belgian Cup
Leuven Bears
#13
L
57-81
57
81
-24
42avg 72
H15/11
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
W
85-81
85
81
+4
80avg 72
H22/11
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
76-93
76
93
-17
57avg 72
A06/12
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
76-68
76
68
+8
78avg 72
A13/12
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
W
93-84
93
84
+9
88avg 72
H20/12
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
64-104
64
104
-40
50avg 72
A23/12
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
W
85-80
85
80
+5
81avg 72
H26/12
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#4
L
71-81
71
81
-10
63avg 72
H03/01
Belgian Cup
Den Bosch
#6
L
75-86
75
86
-11
72avg 72
A06/01
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-22
26-12
24-17
14-16
11-15
16-20
15-16
15-30
20-22
25-21
16-16
24-22
23-23
10-30
22-17
21-23
23-13
23-16
19-19
11-20
24-18
20-24
27-16
22-26
14-19
10-23
27-29
13-33
26-25
9-11
22-15
28-29
21-26
17-19
17-17
16-19
20-18
23-17
22-24
10-27
159.9Avg total
77.4Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)81.179.1160.2+1.971%
Season at home (7)83.176.6159.7+6.686%
Season away (7)79.081.7160.7-2.757%
Last 10 (10)77.482.5159.9-5.150%
Last 5 (5)77.687.0164.6-9.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)75.985.4161.3-9.541%
vs Similar (5)82.876.4159.2+6.480%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)86.475.6162.0+10.986%
This opponent (LWD Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LWD BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Leiden
#10
L
89-108
89
108
-19
70avg 80
A18/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
94-105
94
105
-11
92avg 80
H22/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
L
96-100 OT
96
100
-4
81avg 80
A25/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
73-122
73
122
-49
65avg 80
H02/11
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
86-72
86
72
+14
78avg 80
A08/11
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
107-101
107
101
+6
99avg 80
A22/11
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
98-85
98
85
+13
98avg 80
H06/12
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
91-97
91
97
-6
87avg 80
H13/12
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
74-84
74
84
-10
64avg 80
H17/12
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
78-129
78
129
-51
64avg 80
A23/12
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
23-28
23-26
22-33
18-23
22-28
23-38
31-16
17-11
28-31
15-21
23-20
23-30
16-33
16-32
18-27
22-16
26-21
14-20
24-15
33-25
33-29
17-30
24-17
22-21
20-17
28-23
28-24
18-25
23-18
27-26
23-28
21-20
15-16
18-18
20-30
19-32
27-34
18-35
14-28
188.9Avg total
88.6Scored
100.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)87.899.6187.5-11.823%
Season at home (7)86.098.1184.1-12.114%
Season away (6)90.0101.3191.3-11.333%
Last 10 (10)88.6100.3188.9-11.730%
Last 5 (5)89.699.2188.8-9.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)84.594.0178.5-9.526%
vs Similar (5)94.489.8184.2+4.680%
vs Weaker (6)84.380.3164.7+4.067%
This opponent (Mechelen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -7.0-7.0Q4Q4: -7.1-7.1Q4: -1.1-1.1
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -7.0-7.0Q4Q4: -7.1-7.1Q4: -1.1-1.1
MechelenLWD Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MechelenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants 2
#13
W
54-34
54
34
+20
A12/11
Belgian Cup
Leuven Bears
#13
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H15/11
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H22/11
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A06/12
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A13/12
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H20/12
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A23/12
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H26/12
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#4
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H03/01
Belgian Cup
Den Bosch
#6
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A06/01
BNXT League
78.3Avg total
38.9Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.241.982.1-1.740%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.242.583.8-1.238%-
Last 30 away (14)38.941.280.1-2.343%-
Last 10 (10)38.939.478.3-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)36.840.076.8-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)38.144.382.4-6.224%-
vs Similar (5)42.438.080.4+4.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)41.740.081.7+1.757%-
This opponent (LWD Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LWD BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leiden
#10
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A18/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H22/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A25/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
39-63
39
63
-24
H02/11
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A08/11
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
66-54
66
54
+12
A22/11
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H06/12
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H13/12
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H17/12
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
46-66
46
66
-20
A23/12
BNXT League
92.6Avg total
44.7Scored
47.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.544.989.4-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.645.189.8-0.543%-
Last 30 away (16)44.444.689.1-0.250%-
Last 10 (10)44.747.992.6-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)46.247.493.6-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)43.247.190.2-3.932%-
vs Similar (5)51.643.094.6+8.680%-
vs Weaker (6)43.039.582.5+3.567%-
This opponent (Mechelen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mechelentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.117.7
51.9%
54.3%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.97.7
35.2%
34.6%23.1
🏀 Free throws20.415.8
77.5%
72.4%15.8
They take 56.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
LWD Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

LWD Basket: 87.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.920.7
51.9%
54.3%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.2
33.5%
34.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws26.418.6
70.5%
72.4%18.6
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mechelen
LLWLWWLWLW
LWD Basket
LLLWWWLLLL
#8
League position
#15
-6.7
Net rating
-14.6
105.9
Offensive rating
107.6
112.6
Defensive rating
122.2
52.2%
Effective FG%
51.2%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
61.5%
18.6%
Turnover %
18.7%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.39
35.2%
3-point %
33.5%
57.1%
Assist %
59.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 107.6Defence112.6 · 122.2Shooting52.2% · 51.2%3-point %35.2% · 33.5%Ball care18.6% · 18.7%Off. rebounds26.1% · 32.4%Free throws0.36 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Mechelen   ■ LWD Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Mechelen wins
2
LWD Basket wins
DateGameScore
01/02/25Mechelen v LWD Basket89-69
27/10/24LWD Basket v Mechelen89-85
03/05/24Mechelen v LWD Basket92-77
24/03/24LWD Basket v Mechelen91-71
28/04/23Mechelen v LWD Basket76-61
02/04/23LWD Basket v Mechelen90-96
Mechelenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/26ADen Bosch75-86
03/01/26HSpirou Charleroi71-81
26/12/25HBrussels Basketball85-80
23/12/25AKortrijk64-104
20/12/25HDonar Groningen93-84
13/12/25ADen Helder76-68
06/12/25AOkapi Aalst76-93
22/11/25HLimburg85-81
15/11/25HLeuven Bears57-81
12/11/25AAntwerp Giants 292-67
LWD Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/25ALimburg78-129
17/12/25HBrussels Basketball74-84
13/12/25HKortrijk91-97
06/12/25HRotterdam98-85
22/11/25ABelfius Mons107-101
08/11/25ABAL Weert86-72
02/11/25HAntwerp Giants73-122
25/10/25ALeuven Bears96-100 OT
22/10/25HOkapi Aalst94-105
18/10/25ALeiden89-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mechelen
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL71%
HomeWLWWW86%
AwayWLWLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %71%86%57%
Points / game81.183.179.0
Allowed / game79.176.681.7
Point differential+1.9+6.6-2.7
Avg total160.2159.7160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%29%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
LWD Basket
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL23%
HomeLLWLL14%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %23%14%33%
Points / game87.886.090.0
Allowed / game99.698.1101.3
Point differential-11.8-12.1-11.3
Avg total187.5184.1191.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%14%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants1413193%96.776.5+20.2
2 Oostende1412286%89.481.6+7.8
3 Mechelen1410471%81.179.1+1.9
4 Leiden1510567%90.880.8+10.0
5 Kortrijk149564%86.879.6+7.2
6 Okapi Aalst149564%95.188.4+6.6
7 Den Bosch149564%87.982.6+5.3
8 Brussels Basketball149564%86.681.9+4.8
9 Donar Groningen137654%81.582.5-1.0
10 Limburg158753%89.480.5+8.9
11 Spirou Charleroi136746%82.289.6-7.5
12 Leuven Bears146843%80.980.6+0.3
13 Belfius Mons145936%89.095.0-6.0
14 Zwolle1541127%79.383.6-4.3
15 Den Helder1331023%79.285.5-6.3
16 LWD Basket1331023%87.899.6-11.8
17 Rotterdam131128%77.794.7-17.0
18 BAL Weert141137%67.690.9-23.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mechelen2423241889
LWD Basket1719281579
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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