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Mechelen vs LWD Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 89-69
10-18 32-20 25-20 22-11
Position#3
Record14-5
FormLLWWW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game74.4
vs
Position#10
Record11-8
FormLWWLL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game80.7
EuropeBNXT League· Stedelijke Sporthal Winketkaai
Other2024-25
Meetings · Mechelen v LWD Basket
10 Jan 2026
MECH89
LWD 79
01 Feb 2025
MECH89
LWD 69
03 May 2024
MECH92
LWD 77
28 Apr 2023
MECH76
LWD 61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mechelen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
LWD Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MechelenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMechelen
Date
Competition
BAL Weert
#18
W
87-65
87
65
+22
89avg 75
H01/12
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
W
81-69
81
69
+12
76avg 75
A07/12
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
75-48
75
48
+27
72avg 75
A14/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
100-93
100
93
+7
94avg 75
H21/12
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
76-65
76
65
+11
65avg 75
H26/12
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#2
L
82-86
82
86
-4
no box
H03/01
Belgian Cup
Leuven Bears
#2
L
73-78
73
78
-5
no box
A05/01
Belgian Cup
Zwolle
#15
W
75-69
75
69
+6
60avg 75
A12/01
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
W
72-69
72
69
+3
44avg 75
H18/01
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
77-70
77
70
+7
66avg 75
A25/01
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
20-10
31-17
15-14
19-8
23-24
24-18
15-19
14-9
22-15
20-14
19-10
23-19
21-31
30-19
26-24
21-18
21-17
19-14
15-16
24-19
15-17
18-30
25-20
17-17
15-28
26-11
15-22
10-18
22-20
23-5
20-26
19-27
18-17
20-11
15-14
20-13
18-28
19-21
20-8
151.0Avg total
79.8Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)79.974.4154.4+5.574%
Season at home (9)81.271.9153.1+9.389%
Season away (10)78.876.7155.5+2.160%
Last 10 (10)79.871.2151.0+8.680%
Last 5 (5)75.874.4150.2+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)79.886.8166.5-7.025%
vs Similar (10)75.076.2151.2-1.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)85.271.7156.9+13.593%
This opponent (LWD Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LWD BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Leiden
#12
L
92-95 OT
92
95
-3
88avg 75
H01/12
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
85-101
85
101
-16
72avg 75
H07/12
BNXT League
Den Helder 2
#10
W
81-67
81
67
+14
no box
A11/12
DBL Cup
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
82-64
82
64
+18
77avg 75
A14/12
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
72-101
72
101
-29
56avg 75
A20/12
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
57-75
57
75
-18
51avg 75
A10/01
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
95-70
95
70
+25
94avg 75
H14/01
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
90-76
90
76
+14
95avg 75
H18/01
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
L
74-83
74
83
-9
69avg 75
H25/01
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#2
L
79-84
79
84
-5
no box
A28/01
DBL Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-11
18-21
22-21
21-28
16-25
21-27
22-27
26-22
23-10
19-19
29-19
10-19
17-23
21-4
25-22
19-15
19-22
18-24
17-31
18-24
14-26
15-17
15-17
13-15
28-23
25-13
24-15
18-19
22-23
27-12
18-17
23-24
24-22
9-23
26-21
15-17
11-28
25-12
20-16
23-28
162.3Avg total
80.7Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)81.880.7162.5+1.158%
Season at home (11)86.582.3168.7+4.255%
Season away (8)75.478.6154.0-3.262%
Last 10 (10)80.781.6162.3-0.940%
Last 5 (5)79.077.6156.6+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)76.885.2162.0-8.433%
vs Similar (6)84.381.7166.0+2.750%
vs Weaker (5)82.072.6154.6+9.480%
This opponent (Mechelen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +7.0+7.0Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -2.5-2.5
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +7.0+7.0Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -2.5-2.5
MechelenLWD Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MechelenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BAL Weert
#18
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H01/12
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A07/12
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
36-24
36
24
+12
A14/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H21/12
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H26/12
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#2
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H03/01
Belgian Cup
Leuven Bears
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A05/01
Belgian Cup
Zwolle
#15
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A12/01
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H18/01
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A25/01
BNXT League
76.2Avg total
38.3Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.237.879.1+3.469%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.736.078.7+6.786%-
Last 30 away (15)39.939.579.4+0.353%-
Last 10 (10)38.337.976.2+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)35.640.876.4-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.241.881.0-2.550%-
vs Similar (10)39.738.678.3+1.160%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)42.836.379.1+6.580%-
This opponent (LWD Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LWD BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leiden
#12
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H01/12
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H07/12
BNXT League
Den Helder 2
#10
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A11/12
DBL Cup
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A14/12
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A20/12
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A10/01
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H14/01
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H18/01
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H25/01
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#2
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A28/01
DBL Cup
77.7Avg total
39.2Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.441.881.2-2.540%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.541.784.2+0.753%-
Last 30 away (15)36.341.978.2-5.727%-
Last 10 (10)39.238.577.7+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)40.039.879.8+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)38.345.083.3-6.722%-
vs Similar (6)40.237.077.2+3.267%-
vs Weaker (5)41.638.880.4+2.860%-
This opponent (Mechelen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mechelentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.720.5
51.6%
52.6%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.8
32.2%
34.1%23.4
🏀 Free throws20.615.5
75.2%
71.9%15.5
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
LWD Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

LWD Basket: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.218.5
52.6%
52.6%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.99.8
39.4%
34.1%29.4
🏀 Free throws18.814.7
78.2%
71.9%14.7
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mechelen
WWWLLWWWWW
LWD Basket
LLWWLLWWLL
#3
League position
#10
+12.8
Net rating
+0.5
108.6
Offensive rating
109.4
95.8
Defensive rating
108.8
50.4%
Effective FG%
55.2%
47.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
16.7%
Turnover %
19.1%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
25.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.2%
3-point %
39.4%
47.7%
Assist %
62.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence108.6 · 109.4Defence95.8 · 108.8Shooting50.4% · 55.2%3-point %32.2% · 39.4%Ball care16.7% · 19.1%Off. rebounds31.4% · 25.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Mechelen   ■ LWD Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Mechelen wins
2
LWD Basket wins
DateGameScore
27/10/24LWD Basket v Mechelen89-85
03/05/24Mechelen v LWD Basket92-77
24/03/24LWD Basket v Mechelen91-71
28/04/23Mechelen v LWD Basket76-61
02/04/23LWD Basket v Mechelen90-96
Mechelenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25ABAL Weert77-70
18/01/25HDen Bosch72-69
12/01/25AZwolle75-69
05/01/25ALeuven Bears73-78
03/01/25HLeuven Bears82-86
26/12/24HLimburg76-65
21/12/24HFeyenoord100-93
14/12/24ADen Helder75-48
07/12/24ALeiden81-69
01/12/24HBAL Weert87-65
LWD Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/25ADonar Groningen79-84
25/01/25HCircus Brussels74-83
18/01/25HAntwerp Giants90-76
14/01/25HDen Helder95-70
10/01/25ALimburg57-75
20/12/24ABelfius Mons72-101
14/12/24AOkapi Aalst82-64
11/12/24ADen Helder 281-67
07/12/24HSpirou Charleroi85-101
01/12/24HLeiden92-95 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mechelen
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW74%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayLWWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %74%89%60%
Points / game79.981.278.8
Allowed / game74.471.976.7
Point differential+5.5+9.3+2.1
Avg total154.4153.1155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%44%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
LWD Basket
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL58%
HomeLLWWL55%
AwayWWWLL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %58%55%62%
Points / game81.886.575.4
Allowed / game80.782.378.6
Point differential+1.1+4.2-3.2
Avg total162.5168.7154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%36%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %11%9%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende1917289%91.377.0+14.3
2 Kortrijk1915479%97.279.0+18.2
3 Mechelen1914574%79.974.4+5.5
4 Limburg1913668%80.374.3+6.0
5 Circus Brussels1912763%76.875.7+1.1
6 Leuven Bears1911858%80.273.7+6.5
7 Okapi Aalst1911858%82.577.7+4.8
8 LWD Basket1911858%81.880.7+1.1
9 Antwerp Giants1810856%78.978.3+0.6
10 Spirou Charleroi1910953%79.474.5+4.8
11 Belfius Mons20101050%80.279.2+1.0
12 Den Bosch20101050%81.280.5+0.8
13 Leiden1991047%76.880.1-3.3
14 Zwolle1971237%81.786.9-5.2
15 Donar Groningen1861233%76.984.6-7.7
16 Den Helder2161529%70.383.7-13.4
17 Feyenoord1951426%80.489.7-9.3
18 BAL Weert1821611%68.883.1-14.2
19 QSTA Utd1921711%76.888.2-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mechelen1032252289
LWD Basket1820201169
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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