PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Mechelen vs QSTA Utd Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 May 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 95-80
26-19 30-16 21-26 18-19
Position#3
Record25-10
FormWWLLW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game75.1
vs
Position#19
Record4-31
FormWLLLL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game88.4
EuropeBNXT League· Stedelijke Sporthal Winketkaai
Other2024-25
Meetings · Mechelen v QSTA Utd
10 May 2025
MECH95
QSTA80
13 Apr 2024
MECH94
QSTA67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mechelen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
QSTA Utd winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MechelenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMechelen
Date
Competition
Circus Brussels
#5
W
87-74
87
74
+13
87avg 72
A28/03
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
W
93-91 OT
93
91
+2
83avg 72
H02/04
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
85-62
85
62
+23
54avg 72
H12/04
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
74-64
74
64
+10
66avg 72
H18/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
61-81
61
81
-20
45avg 72
A20/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
95-66
95
66
+29
100avg 72
A23/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
93-67
93
67
+26
94avg 72
H26/04
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
L
78-79
78
79
-1
74avg 72
H30/04
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
75-89
75
89
-14
56avg 72
A03/05
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
W
70-68
70
68
+2
57avg 72
H07/05
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-21
23-25
16-16
20-12
16-26
21-19
21-19
20-14
25-15
31-14
19-22
10-11
24-15
14-20
20-17
16-12
20-14
16-19
12-31
13-17
24-19
25-12
31-13
15-22
23-21
21-17
20-11
29-18
23-22
20-22
20-17
15-18
16-27
20-23
13-20
26-19
17-17
21-24
16-16
16-11
155.2Avg total
81.1Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)81.275.1156.2+6.171%
Season at home (17)82.372.7155.0+9.682%
Season away (18)80.177.3157.4+2.861%
Last 10 (10)81.174.1155.2+7.070%
Last 5 (5)82.273.8156.0+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)80.579.8160.2+0.850%
vs Similar (8)81.581.9163.4-0.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)81.869.6151.5+12.288%
This opponent (QSTA Utd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
QSTA UtdLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUtd
Date
Competition
Kortrijk
#1
L
73-98
73
98
-25
61avg 64
A28/03
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
L
73-106
73
106
-33
54avg 64
H02/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
85-87
85
87
-2
74avg 64
A05/04
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
L
68-71
68
71
-3
57avg 64
A09/04
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
L
55-86
55
86
-31
38avg 64
H12/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
W
79-78
79
78
+1
76avg 64
A18/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
66-82
66
82
-16
48avg 64
H21/04
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
60-78
60
78
-18
50avg 64
A25/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
L
67-81
67
81
-14
54avg 64
A01/05
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
L
77-85
77
85
-8
74avg 64
H04/05
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
20-27
21-21
16-27
13-29
21-25
17-29
22-23
23-26
20-26
27-15
15-20
14-18
20-21
20-9
14-23
13-17
17-29
11-31
14-9
24-25
19-21
17-18
19-14
13-29
21-20
9-19
23-14
19-17
14-17
16-21
11-23
24-10
12-27
17-24
14-20
25-19
18-22
23-27
11-17
155.5Avg total
70.3Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)76.288.4164.6-12.211%
Season at home (18)75.488.9164.3-13.46%
Season away (17)77.087.9164.9-10.918%
Last 10 (10)70.385.2155.5-14.910%
Last 5 (5)69.880.8150.6-11.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)73.488.8162.2-15.44%
vs Similar (6)84.081.8165.8+2.233%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mechelen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -3.1-3.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -3.1-3.1
MechelenQSTA Utd
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MechelenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Circus Brussels
#5
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A28/03
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H02/04
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
56-29
56
29
+27
H12/04
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H18/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A20/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A23/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H26/04
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H30/04
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A03/05
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H07/05
BNXT League
82.0Avg total
42.8Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.238.980.1+2.362%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.938.880.7+3.164%-
Last 30 away (15)40.539.079.5+1.560%-
Last 10 (10)42.839.282.0+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)42.040.882.8+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.540.276.8-3.850%-
vs Similar (8)43.544.187.6-0.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)41.236.177.3+5.171%-
This opponent (QSTA Utd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
QSTA UtdLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kortrijk
#1
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A28/03
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
L
34-54
34
54
-20
H02/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A05/04
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A09/04
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H12/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A18/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H21/04
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A25/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A01/05
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H04/05
BNXT League
81.4Avg total
36.6Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.344.781.9-7.417%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.944.580.4-8.520%-
Last 30 away (14)38.744.983.6-6.114%-
Last 10 (10)36.644.881.4-8.210%-
Last 5 (5)37.841.479.2-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)36.645.381.9-8.713%-
vs Similar (6)39.842.382.2-2.533%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mechelen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mechelentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.119.9
52.2%
52.6%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.08.5
37.0%
34.1%25.5
🏀 Free throws22.015.6
70.9%
71.9%15.6
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
QSTA Utdtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

QSTA Utd: 69.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.216.6
47.2%
52.6%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.08.0
27.6%
34.1%24.0
🏀 Free throws16.411.9
72.6%
71.9%11.9
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mechelen
WLLWWLWWWW
QSTA Utd
LLLLWLLLLL
#3
League position
#19
+10.4
Net rating
-20.4
105.7
Offensive rating
92.2
95.2
Defensive rating
112.6
53.4%
Effective FG%
44.5%
46.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
19.0%
Turnover %
17.3%
24.5%
Off. rebound %
23.3%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.26
37.0%
3-point %
27.6%
60.6%
Assist %
54.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence105.7 · 92.2Defence95.2 · 112.6Shooting53.4% · 44.5%3-point %37.0% · 27.6%Ball care19.0% · 17.3%Off. rebounds24.5% · 23.3%Free throws0.36 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 10%
■ Mechelen   ■ QSTA Utd
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Mechelen wins
0
QSTA Utd wins
DateGameScore
17/11/24QSTA Utd v Mechelen70-82
13/04/24Mechelen v QSTA Utd94-67
03/03/24QSTA Utd v Mechelen58-70
Mechelenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/05/25HLeiden70-68
03/05/25ASpirou Charleroi75-89
30/04/25HOkapi Aalst78-79
26/04/25HDen Helder93-67
23/04/25AFeyenoord95-66
20/04/25ABelfius Mons61-81
18/04/25HOostende74-64
12/04/25HDonar Groningen85-62
02/04/25HKortrijk93-91 OT
28/03/25ACircus Brussels87-74
QSTA Utdlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/25HCircus Brussels77-85
01/05/25ADen Helder67-81
25/04/25ASpirou Charleroi60-78
21/04/25HLWD Basket66-82
18/04/25ADen Bosch79-78
12/04/25HLeuven Bears55-86
09/04/25ALeiden68-71
05/04/25ABelfius Mons85-87
02/04/25HZwolle73-106
28/03/25AKortrijk73-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mechelen
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW71%
HomeWWWLW82%
AwayLWLWL61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %71%82%61%
Points / game81.282.380.1
Allowed / game75.172.777.3
Point differential+6.1+9.6+2.8
Avg total156.2155.0157.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%47%39%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)62% (8)50% (4)
Overtime %3%6%0%
QSTA Utd
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL11%
HomeLLLLL6%
AwayLLWLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351817
Win %11%6%18%
Points / game76.275.477.0
Allowed / game88.488.987.9
Point differential-12.2-13.4-10.9
Avg total164.6164.3164.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%6%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (10)0% (4)33% (6)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kortrijk35251071%93.277.9+15.3
2 Oostende35251071%86.275.4+10.8
3 Mechelen35251071%81.275.1+6.1
4 Limburg35251071%81.375.4+5.9
5 Circus Brussels35241169%78.575.9+2.6
6 Antwerp Giants35221363%84.081.0+3.0
7 Leuven Bears35211460%79.873.9+5.9
8 Den Bosch36211558%83.479.9+3.5
9 Spirou Charleroi35191654%79.975.2+4.7
10 Belfius Mons35191654%79.978.6+1.2
11 LWD Basket35191654%82.183.1-1.1
12 Leiden35171849%77.180.0-2.8
13 Okapi Aalst35161946%80.080.1-0.1
14 Zwolle35122334%81.985.4-3.6
15 Donar Groningen35122334%77.683.6-6.0
16 Den Helder35122334%73.183.1-10.0
17 Feyenoord3592626%77.987.1-9.1
18 BAL Weert3562917%70.584.7-14.2
19 QSTA Utd3543111%76.288.4-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mechelen2630211895
QSTA Utd1916261980
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.