Mega Basket vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 11 Jun 2021

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 86-79

35-17 10-29 20-12 21-21

Position#2

Record4-2

FormWWLWL

Points / game82.3

Allowed / game81.0

Mega Basket 🏆

Crvena zvezda

Position#1

Record5-0

FormWWWWW

Points / game88.8

Allowed / game64.0

Super LeagueSuperleague - Final

Other2021

Meetings · Mega Basket v Crvena zvezda

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mega Basket winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Crvena zvezda winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mega Basket Serbia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBasket

Date

Competition

Partizan

73-86

-13

no box

A26/09

ABA Supercup

Mladost Zemun

93-69

+24

no box

H11/02

Korac cup

Vojvodina Novi Sad

82-75

no box

H13/02

Korac cup

Crvena zvezda

60-73

-13

no box

H14/02

Korac cup

Vojvodina Novi Sad

77-66

+11

no box

H27/05

Super League

Vojvodina Novi Sad

95-87

no box

A29/05

Super League

Partizan

94-86

no box

H01/06

Super League

Partizan

77-81

-4

no box

A03/06

Super League

Partizan

82-68

+14

no box

H05/06

Super League

Crvena zvezda

69-98

-29

no box

A09/06

Super League

21-18

12-28

16-25

24-15

31-14

25-28

20-14

17-13

25-11

25-22

11-20

21-22

21-19

19-17

8-17

12-20

28-20

13-13

21-16

15-17

26-18

27-17

24-27

18-25

34-18

16-24

25-18

19-26

25-12

13-28

23-23

16-18

18-17

25-18

19-18

20-15

17-31

20-26

19-21

13-20

159.1Avg total

80.2Scored

78.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	82.3	81.0	163.3	+1.3	67%
Season at home (3)	84.3	73.3	157.7	+11.0	100%
Season away (3)	80.3	88.7	169.0	-8.3	33%
Last 10 (10)	80.2	78.9	159.1	+1.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	83.4	84.0	167.4	-0.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	64.5	85.5	150.0	-21.0	0%
vs Similar (3)	84.3	78.3	162.7	+6.0	67%
vs Weaker (3)	84.7	76.0	160.7	+8.7	100%

This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Crvena zvezda Serbia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 Formzvezda

Date

Competition

Buducnost

82-78

71avg 71

H16/05

ABA League

Buducnost

85-79

80avg 71

H18/05

ABA League

Buducnost

71-75

-4

58avg 71

A22/05

ABA League

Buducnost

80-81

-1

75avg 71

A24/05

ABA League

Buducnost

67-60

60avg 71

H28/05

ABA League

Zlatibor Cajetina

74-56

+18

no box

H31/05

Super League

Zlatibor Cajetina

91-68

+23

no box

A01/06

Super League

Borac Mozzart

101-70

101

+31

no box

H04/06

Super League

Borac Mozzart

80-57

+23

no box

A06/06

Super League

Mega Basket

98-69

+29

no box

H09/06

Super League

20-20

24-18

19-17

19-23

30-17

25-24

8-29

22-9

19-15

13-20

15-16

24-24

23-19

19-20

21-19

17-23

15-14

18-14

20-21

14-11

29-12

14-16

19-14

12-14

21-13

26-19

18-19

26-17

27-18

21-18

21-17

32-17

19-8

27-23

15-13

19-13

31-17

26-20

21-19

20-13

152.2Avg total

82.9Scored

69.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	88.8	64.0	152.8	+24.8	100%
Season at home (3)	91.0	65.0	156.0	+26.0	100%
Season away (2)	85.5	62.5	148.0	+23.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	82.9	69.3	152.2	+13.6	80%
Last 5 (5)	88.8	64.0	152.8	+24.8	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	74.8	84.5	159.2	-9.8	25%
vs Similar (2)	72.0	81.5	153.5	-9.5	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	81.8	69.0	150.8	+12.8	83%

This opponent (Mega Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Mega BasketCrvena zvezda

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (10)	24.6	17.8	42.4	+6.8	90%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	26.2	16.5	42.7	+9.7	100%	-
Last 30 away (4)	22.2	19.8	42.0	+2.5	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.6	17.8	42.4	+6.8	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	19.2	43.2	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	19.0	25.0	44.0	-6.0	50%	-
vs Similar (3)	25.7	15.7	41.3	+10.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (3)	26.3	16.3	42.7	+10.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	18.7	39.6	+2.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	17.8	39.4	+3.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	19.8	39.9	+0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	15.3	38.7	+8.1	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	13.6	39.0	+11.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.2	26.0	42.2	-9.8	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	19.5	23.5	43.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	21.8	17.1	38.9	+4.7	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (10)	19.5	22.1	41.6	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	20.5	20.3	40.8	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (4)	18.0	24.8	42.8	-6.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	22.1	41.6	-2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	22.6	42.8	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	19.5	21.5	41.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (3)	18.0	23.3	41.3	-5.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.7	17.3	39.0	+4.3	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	19.4	40.8	+2.0	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.0	20.1	42.1	+1.9	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.8	18.6	39.4	+2.1	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	19.2	40.5	+2.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	19.2	42.0	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	22.8	20.0	42.8	+2.8	75%	-
vs Similar (2)	15.5	21.0	36.5	-5.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	21.7	19.2	40.9	+2.5	71%	-

Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Partizan

33-46

-13

A26/09

ABA Supercup

Mladost Zemun

56-42

+14

H11/02

Korac cup

Vojvodina Novi Sad

50-33

+17

H13/02

Korac cup

Crvena zvezda

40-36

H14/02

Korac cup

Vojvodina Novi Sad

41-33

H27/05

Super League

Vojvodina Novi Sad

53-35

+18

A29/05

Super League

Partizan

50-42

H01/06

Super League

Partizan

38-40

-2

A03/06

Super League

Partizan

43-35

H05/06

Super League

Crvena zvezda

37-57

-20

A09/06

Super League

84.0Avg total

44.1Scored

39.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (10)	44.1	39.9	84.0	+4.2	70%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	46.7	36.8	83.5	+9.8	100%	-
Last 30 away (4)	40.2	44.5	84.8	-4.2	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.1	39.9	84.0	+4.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	41.8	86.0	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	38.5	46.5	85.0	-8.0	50%	-
vs Similar (3)	43.7	39.0	82.7	+4.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (3)	48.0	33.7	81.7	+14.3	100%	-

This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Buducnost

44-38

H16/05

ABA League

Buducnost

55-41

+14

H18/05

ABA League

Buducnost

32-35

-3

A22/05

ABA League

Buducnost

42-39

A24/05

ABA League

Buducnost

33-28

H28/05

ABA League

Zlatibor Cajetina

43-28

+15

H31/05

Super League

Zlatibor Cajetina

47-32

+15

A01/06

Super League

Borac Mozzart

48-36

+12

H04/06

Super League

Borac Mozzart

46-31

+15

A06/06

Super League

Mega Basket

57-37

+20

H09/06

Super League

79.2Avg total

44.7Scored

34.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.3	38.1	80.5	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.6	37.9	81.4	+5.7	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.9	38.4	79.4	+2.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.7	34.5	79.2	+10.2	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.2	32.8	81.0	+15.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	39.0	46.0	85.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	35.0	44.5	79.5	-9.5	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	43.5	36.3	79.8	+7.2	75%	-

This opponent (Mega Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (10)	18.6	19.9	38.5	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	17.3	17.2	34.5	+0.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (4)	20.5	24.0	44.5	-3.5	0%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	19.9	38.5	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	21.4	43.4	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	13.5	19.0	32.5	-5.5	0%	-
vs Similar (3)	22.3	19.7	42.0	+2.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (3)	18.7	21.0	39.7	-2.3	33%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	17.5	35.0	-0.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.2	16.2	33.5	+1.0	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.8	19.0	36.8	-1.2	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	18.4	36.1	-0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	16.4	35.2	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.5	20.5	39.0	-2.0	25%	-
vs Similar (2)	18.0	18.0	36.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	17.3	17.0	34.3	+0.3	58%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (10)	17.5	19.1	36.6	-1.6	30%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	17.3	18.8	36.2	-1.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (4)	17.8	19.5	37.2	-1.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	19.1	36.6	-1.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	20.8	38.0	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	12.5	20.0	32.5	-7.5	0%	-
vs Similar (3)	18.3	19.7	38.0	-1.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (3)	18.0	21.3	39.3	-3.3	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	16.2	36.6	+4.1	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.0	15.2	36.2	+5.8	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	17.4	37.0	+2.1	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	16.4	36.9	+4.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	14.8	36.6	+7.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.2	18.0	35.2	-0.8	50%	-
vs Similar (2)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	21.0	15.7	36.7	+5.2	79%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (10)	36.1	39.0	75.1	-2.9	30%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	34.7	36.0	70.7	-1.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (4)	38.2	43.5	81.8	-5.2	0%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.1	39.0	75.1	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	42.2	81.4	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	26.0	39.0	65.0	-13.0	0%	-
vs Similar (3)	40.7	39.3	80.0	+1.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (3)	36.7	42.3	79.0	-5.7	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	33.8	71.6	+4.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.2	31.4	69.7	+6.8	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.4	36.4	73.8	+0.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.2	34.8	73.0	+3.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	31.2	71.8	+9.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	35.8	38.5	74.2	-2.8	25%	-
vs Similar (2)	37.0	37.0	74.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	38.2	32.7	71.0	+5.5	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 78.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀50%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 50% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.8	19.6	50.5%	-	39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.3	8.1	36.3%	-	24.3
🏀 Free throws	18.5	14.8	80.0%	-	14.8

They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.0	15.5	47.0%	-	31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	20.8	6.9	33.2%	-	20.7
🏀 Free throws	23.6	17.0	72.0%	-	17.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.4	17.1	49.8%	-	34.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.3	9.4	38.9%	-	28.3
🏀 Free throws	18.0	14.1	78.3%	-	14.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.0	17.2	52.0%	-	34.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.5	8.1	35.9%	-	24.2
🏀 Free throws	19.9	14.5	73.0%	-	14.5

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Mega Basket wins

Crvena zvezda wins

Date	Game	Score
09/06/21	Crvena zvezda v Mega Basket	98-69
14/02/21	Mega Basket v Crvena zvezda	60-73

Mega Basketlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/06/21	A	Crvena zvezda	69-98
05/06/21	H	Partizan	82-68
03/06/21	A	Partizan	77-81
01/06/21	H	Partizan	94-86
29/05/21	A	Vojvodina Novi Sad	95-87
27/05/21	H	Vojvodina Novi Sad	77-66
14/02/21	H	Crvena zvezda	60-73
13/02/21	H	Vojvodina Novi Sad	82-75
11/02/21	H	Mladost Zemun	93-69
26/09/19	A	Partizan	73-86

Crvena zvezdalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/06/21	H	Mega Basket	98-69
06/06/21	A	Borac Mozzart	80-57
04/06/21	H	Borac Mozzart	101-70
01/06/21	A	Zlatibor Cajetina	91-68
31/05/21	H	Zlatibor Cajetina	74-56
28/05/21	H	Buducnost	67-60
24/05/21	A	Buducnost	80-81
22/05/21	A	Buducnost	71-75
18/05/21	H	Buducnost	85-79
16/05/21	H	Buducnost	82-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mega Basket

Super League 2021

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	67%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	WLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	67%	100%	33%
Points / game	82.3	84.3	80.3
Allowed / game	81.0	73.3	88.7
Point differential	+1.3	+11.0	-8.3
Avg total	163.3	157.7	169.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	67%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Crvena zvezda

Super League 2021

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	WW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	88.8	91.0	85.5
Allowed / game	64.0	65.0	62.5
Point differential	+24.8	+26.0	+23.0
Avg total	152.8	156.0	148.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	100%	100%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Crvena zvezda	5	5	0	100%	88.8	64.0	+24.8
2	Mega Basket	6	4	2	67%	82.3	81.0	+1.3
3	Partizan	5	3	2	60%	79.8	77.4	+2.4
4	Borac Mozzart	4	2	2	50%	74.0	83.2	-9.2
5	FMP Beograd	2	0	2	0%	76.0	84.5	-8.5
6	Vojvodina Novi Sad	2	0	2	0%	76.5	86.0	-9.5
7	Mladost Zemun	2	0	2	0%	67.0	82.0	-15.0
8	Zlatibor Cajetina	2	0	2	0%	62.0	82.5	-20.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Mega Basket	35	10	20	21	86
Crvena zvezda	17	29	12	21	79

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Mega Basket vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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