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Mega Basket vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 11 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 88-98
27-22 13-26 30-20 18-30
Position#4
Record5-5
FormWWLWL
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game79.2
vs
Position#1
Record9-1
FormWWWLL
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game72.9
EuropeABA LeagueRound 11· Hala sportova Ranko
Domestic2023
Meetings · Mega Basket v Crvena zvezda
01 Feb 2026
MEG107
CZV102
10 Nov 2024
MEG76
CZV81
07 May 2024
MEG69
CZV94
11 Dec 2023
MEG88
CZV98
03 Apr 2023
MEG78
CZV87
12 Jun 2022
MEG77
CZV70
07 Feb 2022
MEG69
CZV76
11 Jun 2021
MEG86
CZV79
14 Feb 2021
MEG60
CZV73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mega Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
87-89
87
89
-2
80avg 78
A30/09
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
L
89-90
89
90
-1
85avg 78
H06/10
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
W
83-73
83
73
+10
83avg 78
A16/10
ABA League
Partizan
#3
W
88-86
88
86
+2
81avg 78
H23/10
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
71-73
71
73
-2
65avg 78
A28/10
ABA League
Zadar
#6
W
91-81
91
81
+10
97avg 78
H05/11
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#13
W
99-65
99
65
+34
92avg 78
A12/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
72-77
72
77
-5
60avg 78
H19/11
ABA League
Cibona
#12
W
83-69
83
69
+14
71avg 78
A24/11
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#9
L
82-89
82
89
-7
65avg 78
A04/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-31
21-31
25-20
20-7
25-24
32-28
20-23
12-15
19-21
17-13
19-20
28-19
21-11
19-18
29-32
19-25
13-18
18-23
22-17
18-15
26-17
25-18
15-26
25-20
23-16
23-24
23-6
30-19
21-13
21-19
19-27
11-18
15-18
20-11
23-20
25-20
17-17
19-29
24-13
22-30
163.7Avg total
84.5Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)84.579.2163.7+5.350%
Season at home (4)85.083.5168.5+1.550%
Season away (6)84.276.3160.5+7.850%
Last 10 (10)84.579.2163.7+5.350%
Last 5 (5)85.476.2161.6+9.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)77.486.0163.4-8.612%
vs Similar (8)83.883.9167.6-0.150%
vs Weaker (13)87.275.9163.1+11.277%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Zadar
#6
W
81-74
81
74
+7
78avg 81
A12/11
ABA League
Fenerbahce
#7
W
87-56
87
56
+31
86avg 81
H14/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
L
83-88
83
88
-5
69avg 81
A16/11
Euroleague
Mornar Bar
#13
W
95-75
95
75
+20
101avg 81
H20/11
ABA League
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
71-93
71
93
-22
62avg 81
H24/11
Euroleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
90-67
90
67
+23
92avg 81
A27/11
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
97-83
97
83
+14
94avg 81
H01/12
Euroleague
Cibona
#12
W
84-56
84
56
+28
81avg 81
H03/12
ABA League
Valencia
#14
L
81-85
81
85
-4
85avg 81
A06/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#9
L
85-87
85
87
-2
79avg 81
A08/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
22-19
25-11
11-20
25-16
20-10
15-14
27-16
23-20
21-25
9-19
30-24
29-17
23-22
26-21
17-15
19-20
20-18
17-25
15-30
26-13
15-12
21-17
28-25
22-21
21-28
29-21
25-13
21-16
25-13
15-14
23-13
19-25
21-31
25-16
16-13
18-26
25-26
19-15
23-20
161.8Avg total
85.4Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)88.372.9161.2+15.490%
Season at home (4)92.067.0159.0+25.0100%
Season away (6)85.876.8162.7+9.083%
Last 10 (10)85.476.4161.8+9.060%
Last 5 (5)87.475.6163.0+11.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)85.072.0157.0+13.050%
vs Similar (16)80.883.7164.5-2.925%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)88.870.5159.3+18.3100%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +2.6+2.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +2.6+2.6
Mega BasketCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
42-62
42
62
-20
A30/09
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H06/10
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A16/10
ABA League
Partizan
#3
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H23/10
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A28/10
ABA League
Zadar
#6
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H05/11
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#13
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A12/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H19/11
ABA League
Cibona
#12
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A24/11
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#9
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A04/12
ABA League
81.6Avg total
41.6Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.740.782.4+1.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.538.883.3+5.787%-
Last 30 away (15)38.942.581.5-3.640%-
Last 10 (10)41.640.081.6+1.670%-
Last 5 (5)42.036.478.4+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)38.243.481.6-5.125%-
vs Similar (8)42.242.885.0-0.562%-
vs Weaker (13)43.337.981.2+5.485%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zadar
#6
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A12/11
ABA League
Fenerbahce
#7
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H14/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A16/11
Euroleague
Mornar Bar
#13
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H20/11
ABA League
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H24/11
Euroleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
41-25
41
25
+16
A27/11
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H01/12
Euroleague
Cibona
#12
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H03/12
ABA League
Valencia
#14
L
40-56
40
56
-16
A06/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#9
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A08/12
Euroleague
84.0Avg total
43.8Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.239.081.2+3.257%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.634.278.8+10.477%-
Last 30 away (17)40.442.783.1-2.441%-
Last 10 (10)43.840.284.0+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)42.642.284.8+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)44.535.580.0+9.050%-
vs Similar (16)38.643.982.5-5.225%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)46.633.279.8+13.4100%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.423.5
56.8%
54.3%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.26.4
30.2%
34.1%19.2
🏀 Free throws23.617.1
72.5%
73.8%17.1
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.120.5
60.1%
54.3%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.5
36.0%
34.1%31.5
🏀 Free throws16.212.1
74.7%
73.8%12.1
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mega Basket
LWLWWLWWLL
Crvena zvezda
LLWWWLWLWW
#4
League position
#1
+5.7
Net rating
+12.7
108.1
Offensive rating
117.1
102.4
Defensive rating
104.4
52.9%
Effective FG%
57.3%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
17.5%
Turnover %
17.1%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
33.0%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.26
30.2%
3-point %
36.0%
56.5%
Assist %
70.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.1 · 117.1Defence102.4 · 104.4Shooting52.9% · 57.3%3-point %30.2% · 36.0%Ball care17.5% · 17.1%Off. rebounds28.8% · 33.0%Free throws0.38 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Mega Basket   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mega Basket wins
9
Crvena zvezda wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/23AStudentski Centar82-89
24/11/23ACibona83-69
19/11/23HKK Krka Novo mesto72-77
12/11/23AMornar Bar99-65
05/11/23HZadar91-81
28/10/23ABuducnost71-73
23/10/23HPartizan88-86
16/10/23AFMP Beograd83-73
06/10/23HBorac Mozzart89-90
30/09/23ACedevita Olimpija87-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/23ABaskonia85-87
06/12/23AValencia81-85
03/12/23HCibona84-56
01/12/23HAnadolu Efes97-83
27/11/23AKK Krka Novo mesto90-67
24/11/23HOlimpia Milano71-93
20/11/23HMornar Bar95-75
16/11/23AOlympiacos83-88
14/11/23HFenerbahce87-56
12/11/23AZadar81-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mega Basket
ABA League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayWLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game84.585.084.2
Allowed / game79.283.576.3
Point differential+5.3+1.5+7.8
Avg total163.7168.5160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Crvena zvezda
ABA League 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %90%100%83%
Points / game88.392.085.8
Allowed / game72.967.076.8
Point differential+15.4+25.0+9.0
Avg total161.2159.0162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda109190%88.372.9+15.4
2 Igokea119282%84.578.5+6.0
3 Buducnost118373%83.575.0+8.5
4 Cedevita Olimpija118373%84.182.9+1.2
5 Partizan107370%94.873.2+21.6
6 Studentski Centar106460%87.484.5+2.9
7 Mega Basket105550%84.579.2+5.3
8 Zadar115645%82.580.6+1.9
9 Borac Mozzart115645%77.582.3-4.8
10 Cibona114736%76.083.5-7.5
11 Split113827%72.879.5-6.6
12 FMP Beograd113827%79.588.3-8.7
13 KK Krka Novo mesto112918%73.185.2-12.1
14 Mornar Bar111109%71.590.5-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mega Basket2713301888
Crvena zvezda2226203098
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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