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Mega Basket vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 03 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 78-87
19-25 17-26 17-21 25-15
Position#6
Record12-11
FormLWWWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game86.0
Mega Basket
vs
Crvena zvezda 🏆
Position#2
Record18-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game72.4
EuropeABA LeagueRound 24
Domestic2022
Meetings · Mega Basket v Crvena zvezda
01 Feb 2026
MEG107
CZV102
10 Nov 2024
MEG76
CZV81
07 May 2024
MEG69
CZV94
11 Dec 2023
MEG88
CZV98
03 Apr 2023
MEG78
CZV87
12 Jun 2022
MEG77
CZV70
07 Feb 2022
MEG69
CZV76
11 Jun 2021
MEG86
CZV79
14 Feb 2021
MEG60
CZV73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mega Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Cibona
#11
W
106-72
106
72
+34
116avg 78
A29/01
ABA League
Partizan
#1
L
78-103
78
103
-25
74avg 78
H05/02
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#8
W
103-83
103
83
+20
99avg 78
A11/02
ABA League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#5
W
75-62
75
62
+13
no box
H15/02
Korac cup
FMP Beograd
#4
W
86-67
86
67
+19
no box
A17/02
Korac cup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
79-96
79
96
-17
no box
A18/02
Korac cup
Mornar Bar
#14
W
89-78
89
78
+11
84avg 78
H06/03
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#15
W
93-86
93
86
+7
87avg 78
H12/03
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
86-80
86
80
+6
80avg 78
A19/03
ABA League
Split
#10
W
90-85
90
85
+5
90avg 78
H26/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-18
30-19
29-13
19-22
17-28
20-37
20-20
21-18
21-19
29-30
28-16
25-18
19-18
25-20
19-14
12-10
20-24
10-16
22-14
34-13
23-22
21-29
21-27
14-18
20-24
21-15
19-17
29-22
22-27
26-15
28-22
17-22
17-28
18-16
31-16
20-20
23-20
20-21
26-26
21-18
169.7Avg total
88.5Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)86.086.0172.0+0.152%
Season at home (11)85.984.7170.6+1.264%
Season away (12)86.287.1173.2-0.942%
Last 10 (10)88.581.2169.7+7.380%
Last 5 (5)87.485.0172.4+2.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)74.789.7164.3-15.08%
vs Similar (10)90.284.4174.6+5.870%
vs Weaker (7)92.983.1176.0+9.771%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Bayern
#16
L
80-87
80
87
-7
no box
A02/03
Euroleague
Cibona
#11
L
81-85
81
85
-4
74avg 77
A05/03
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
94-75
94
75
+19
94avg 77
H08/03
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#15
L
66-75
66
75
-9
57avg 77
A10/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#1
L
81-92
81
92
-11
no box
A13/03
ABA League
Barcelona
#3
L
79-85
79
85
-6
73avg 77
A17/03
Euroleague
Studentski Centar
#8
W
90-70
90
70
+20
84avg 77
H19/03
ABA League
Baskonia
#8
W
74-63
74
63
+11
65avg 77
H23/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#13
W
92-73
92
73
+19
89avg 77
H29/03
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
76-60
76
60
+16
70avg 77
A31/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
15-22
18-11
24-35
24-22
16-17
27-22
14-24
20-25
29-20
19-22
26-8
17-9
25-20
13-23
11-23
24-13
24-21
18-29
15-29
15-18
21-22
21-17
22-28
29-26
17-11
24-19
20-14
21-26
18-12
18-11
17-14
20-21
26-20
23-21
23-11
17-19
20-23
19-11
20-7
157.8Avg total
81.3Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)87.372.4159.8+14.986%
Season at home (12)90.271.8162.0+18.392%
Season away (9)83.673.2156.8+10.378%
Last 10 (10)81.376.5157.8+4.850%
Last 5 (5)82.270.2152.4+12.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)77.387.7165.0-10.30%
vs Similar (13)79.277.3156.5+1.846%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)86.573.5159.9+13.085%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +5.8+5.8Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -0.1-0.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +5.8+5.8Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -0.1-0.1
Mega BasketCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#11
W
58-37
58
37
+21
A29/01
ABA League
Partizan
#1
L
37-65
37
65
-28
H05/02
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#8
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A11/02
ABA League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#5
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H15/02
Korac cup
FMP Beograd
#4
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A17/02
Korac cup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A18/02
Korac cup
Mornar Bar
#14
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H06/03
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#15
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H12/03
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A19/03
ABA League
Split
#10
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H26/03
ABA League
87.6Avg total
43.0Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.244.585.8-3.340%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.642.684.2-1.058%-
Last 30 away (18)41.045.886.8-4.828%-
Last 10 (10)43.044.687.6-1.660%-
Last 5 (5)42.243.485.6-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)38.348.086.3-9.78%-
vs Similar (10)41.942.384.2-0.460%-
vs Weaker (7)44.942.787.6+2.157%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#16
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A02/03
Euroleague
Cibona
#11
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A05/03
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H08/03
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#15
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A10/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#1
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A13/03
ABA League
Barcelona
#3
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A17/03
Euroleague
Studentski Centar
#8
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H19/03
ABA League
Baskonia
#8
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H23/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#13
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H29/03
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A31/03
Euroleague
80.7Avg total
42.1Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.038.480.4+3.667%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.539.785.2+5.877%-
Last 30 away (17)39.437.576.8+1.959%-
Last 10 (10)42.138.680.7+3.570%-
Last 5 (5)40.839.680.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.740.377.0-3.70%-
vs Similar (13)42.339.081.3+3.369%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)43.538.081.5+5.577%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 87.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.721.5
57.0%
55.6%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.98.8
38.4%
35.2%26.4
🏀 Free throws25.518.4
72.2%
75.8%18.4
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.717.6
50.7%
55.6%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.010.3
36.8%
35.2%30.9
🏀 Free throws19.314.4
74.6%
75.8%14.4
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mega Basket
WWWWLWWWLW
Crvena zvezda
WWWWLLLWLL
#6
League position
#2
+7.6
Net rating
+6.5
114.8
Offensive rating
113.7
107.2
Defensive rating
107.2
57.3%
Effective FG%
52.7%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
16.8%
Turnover %
15.2%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.31
38.4%
3-point %
36.8%
61.7%
Assist %
69.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.8 · 113.7Defence107.2 · 107.2Shooting57.3% · 52.7%3-point %38.4% · 36.8%Ball care16.8% · 15.2%Off. rebounds29.2% · 31.2%Free throws0.42 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Mega Basket   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Mega Basket wins
8
Crvena zvezda wins
DateGameScore
18/02/23Crvena zvezda v Mega Basket96-79
18/12/22Crvena zvezda v Mega Basket92-58
14/06/22Crvena zvezda v Mega Basket88-66
12/06/22Mega Basket v Crvena zvezda77-70
10/06/22Crvena zvezda v Mega Basket114-78
19/02/22Crvena zvezda v Mega Basket72-53
07/02/22Mega Basket v Crvena zvezda69-76
01/11/21Crvena zvezda v Mega Basket81-67
13/06/21Crvena zvezda v Mega Basket77-65
11/06/21Mega Basket v Crvena zvezda86-79
Mega Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/23HSplit90-85
19/03/23ABorac Mozzart86-80
12/03/23HMZT Skopje93-86
06/03/23HMornar Bar89-78
18/02/23ACrvena zvezda79-96
17/02/23AFMP Beograd86-67
15/02/23HVojvodina Novi Sad75-62
11/02/23AStudentski Centar103-83
05/02/23HPartizan78-103
29/01/23ACibona106-72
Crvena zvezdalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/23ALyon-Villeurbanne76-60
29/03/23HValencia92-73
23/03/23HBaskonia74-63
19/03/23HStudentski Centar90-70
17/03/23ABarcelona79-85
13/03/23APartizan81-92
10/03/23APanathinaikos66-75
08/03/23HAnadolu Efes94-75
05/03/23ACibona81-85
02/03/23ABayern80-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mega Basket
ABA League 2022
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW52%
HomeWLWWW64%
AwayLWWWW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %52%64%42%
Points / game86.085.986.2
Allowed / game86.084.787.1
Point differential+0.1+1.2-0.9
Avg total172.0170.6173.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%27%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %9%9%8%
Crvena zvezda
ABA League 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW86%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWWLL78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21129
Win %86%92%78%
Points / game87.390.283.6
Allowed / game72.471.873.2
Point differential+14.9+18.3+10.3
Avg total159.8162.0156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%67%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan2220291%94.077.3+16.7
2 Crvena zvezda2118386%87.372.4+14.9
3 Buducnost2317674%87.477.4+10.0
4 Cedevita Olimpija2215768%86.079.7+6.3
5 FMP Beograd23131057%90.186.4+3.7
6 Mega Basket23121152%86.086.0+0.1
7 Studentski Centar23101343%84.789.9-5.2
8 Zadar24101442%86.086.8-0.8
9 Split24101442%83.287.0-3.8
10 Igokea2391439%80.884.9-4.1
11 Cibona2491538%80.690.0-9.5
12 Mornar Bar2271532%85.192.1-7.0
13 Borac Mozzart2461825%82.490.2-7.8
14 MZT Skopje2451921%80.290.3-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mega Basket1917172578
Crvena zvezda2526211587
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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