PythiaBasketballBETA
Mega Basket will host Spartak Subotica in the ABA League on 2 November 2026, with the model favouring Spartak Subotica as the likely winner at 61% to Mega Basket's 39%. Both clubs have finished the season 2-2, with Mega Basket averaging 75.8 points and conceding 87.2, while Spartak Subotica averages 82.5 points and allows 82.0, placing them 12th and 11th respectively. At home Mega Basket is undefeated 1-0, scoring 88.0 and giving up 82.0, whereas Spartak Subotica has a 1-0 road record, 82.0 points scored and 76.0 allowed. In the last five games each side has won three and lost two, and recent results show Mega Basket's 94-88 win over Vienna Basket, a 62-96 loss to Perspektiva Ilirija, and a 88-82 home victory over Zadar, while Spartak Subotica's recent outings include a 69-65 win over Cholet, an 80-82 loss to Partizan, and a 89-75 win over Cluj-Napoca. Historically, Spartak Subotica has won three of the four meetings, most recently defeating Mega Basket 94-89 on 8 February 2026. The model projects a final score of 83-86 for a total of 168.6 points, with a 5% chance of overtime.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 75.8 | 87.2 | 163.0 | -11.5 | 50% |
| Season at home (1) | 88.0 | 82.0 | 170.0 | +6.0 | 100% |
| Season away (3) | 71.7 | 89.0 | 160.7 | -17.3 | 33% |
| Last 10 (10) | 83.7 | 87.7 | 171.4 | -4.0 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 80.2 | 87.6 | 167.8 | -7.4 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (12) | 78.8 | 94.1 | 172.8 | -15.3 | 25% |
| vs Similar (16) | 90.4 | 87.4 | 177.8 | +3.1 | 62% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 84.5 | 84.0 | 168.5 | +0.5 | 50% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 82.5 | 82.0 | 164.5 | +0.5 | 50% |
| Season at home (3) | 82.7 | 84.0 | 166.7 | -1.3 | 33% |
| Season away (1) | 82.0 | 76.0 | 158.0 | +6.0 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 81.7 | 80.1 | 161.8 | +1.6 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 80.8 | 76.8 | 157.6 | +4.0 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (4) | 76.0 | 86.8 | 162.8 | -10.8 | 0% |
| vs Similar (16) | 78.6 | 75.8 | 154.4 | +2.9 | 69% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (10) | 88.6 | 85.5 | 174.1 | +3.1 | 40% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 42.5 | 47.4 | 89.9 | -4.9 | 33% | - |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 45.9 | 45.2 | 91.1 | +0.7 | 57% | - |
| Last 30 away (16) | 39.5 | 49.4 | 88.9 | -9.9 | 12% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 41.4 | 45.3 | 86.7 | -3.9 | 30% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.0 | 43.4 | 85.4 | -1.4 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (12) | 39.4 | 48.6 | 88.0 | -9.2 | 17% | - |
| vs Similar (16) | 45.2 | 46.7 | 91.9 | -1.4 | 44% | - |
| vs Weaker (2) | 39.0 | 46.5 | 85.5 | -7.5 | 50% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.2 | 39.1 | 80.3 | +2.1 | 53% | - |
| Last 30 at home (17) | 43.4 | 38.9 | 82.3 | +4.4 | 59% | - |
| Last 30 away (13) | 38.4 | 39.4 | 77.8 | -1.0 | 46% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 41.8 | 42.4 | 84.2 | -0.6 | 30% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 38.8 | 37.8 | 76.6 | +1.0 | 20% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (4) | 43.8 | 47.8 | 91.5 | -4.0 | 25% | - |
| vs Similar (16) | 38.4 | 36.5 | 74.9 | +1.9 | 56% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (10) | 44.6 | 39.9 | 84.5 | +4.7 | 60% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 35.3 | 19.1 | 57.6% | 38.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 27.2 | 7.9 | 33.0% | 23.7 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 25.3 | 18.5 | 73.0% | 18.5 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 40.2 | 21.4 | 57.6% | 42.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 22.8 | 7.5 | 33.0% | 22.5 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 22.4 | 16.2 | 73.0% | 16.2 |
Mega Basket
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 08/02/26 | Mega Basket v Spartak Subotica | 89-94 |
| 06/12/25 | Spartak Subotica v Mega Basket | 85-73 |
| 15/04/25 | Mega Basket v Spartak Subotica | 97-90 |
| 14/12/24 | Spartak Subotica v Mega Basket | 110-86 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10/26 | A | Vienna Basket | 94-88 |
| 18/10/26 | A | Perspektiva Ilirija | 62-96 |
| 11/10/26 | H | Zadar | 88-82 |
| 05/10/26 | A | Partizan | 59-83 |
| 26/04/26 | A | Borac Mozzart | 98-89 |
| 20/04/26 | H | Split | 95-72 |
| 13/04/26 | A | Studentski Centar | 85-89 |
| 06/04/26 | H | KK Krka Novo mesto | 103-98 OT |
| 28/03/26 | H | FMP Beograd | 79-84 |
| 22/03/26 | A | Split | 74-96 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10/26 | A | Cholet | 69-65 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Partizan | 80-82 |
| 18/10/26 | H | Cluj-Napoca | 89-75 |
| 14/10/26 | H | Hapoel Holon | 84-86 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Perspektiva Ilirija | 82-76 |
| 07/10/26 | H | Vechta | 96-64 |
| 03/10/26 | H | KK Bosna | 79-95 |
| 10/05/26 | H | Dubai | 84-88 |
| 06/05/26 | A | Dubai | 74-102 |
| 03/05/26 | A | Igokea | 80-68 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLW | 50% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | LLW | 33% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| Win % | 50% | 100% | 33% |
| Points / game | 75.8 | 88.0 | 71.7 |
| Allowed / game | 87.2 | 82.0 | 89.0 |
| Point differential | -11.5 | +6.0 | -17.3 |
| Avg total | 163.0 | 170.0 | 160.7 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWWL | 50% |
| Home | LWL | 33% |
| Away | W | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| Win % | 50% | 33% | 100% |
| Points / game | 82.5 | 82.7 | 82.0 |
| Allowed / game | 82.0 | 84.0 | 76.0 |
| Point differential | +0.5 | -1.3 | +6.0 |
| Avg total | 164.5 | 166.7 | 158.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 25% | 33% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | 0% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Partizan | 5 | 5 | 0 | 100% | 90.0 | 75.6 | +14.4 |
| 2 |  Dubai | 5 | 5 | 0 | 100% | 93.4 | 80.6 | +12.8 |
| 3 |  Buducnost | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 90.0 | 79.2 | +10.8 |
| 4 |  Crvena zvezda | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 93.6 | 84.2 | +9.4 |
| 5 |  Cedevita Olimpija | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 85.6 | 81.8 | +3.8 |
| 6 |  KK Bosna | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 90.0 | 86.6 | +3.4 |
| 7 |  Slovan Bratislava | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 82.6 | 83.2 | -0.6 |
| 8 |  Siroki Brijeg | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 81.6 | 82.8 | -1.2 |
| 9 |  Borac Mozzart | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 87.4 | 91.2 | -3.8 |
| 10 | Spartak Subotica | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 82.5 | 82.0 | +0.5 |
| 11 | Mega Basket | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 75.8 | 87.2 | -11.5 |
| 12 |  Igokea | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 86.0 | 85.2 | +0.8 |
| 13 |  Zadar | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 78.8 | 78.0 | +0.8 |
| 14 |  Cluj-Napoca | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 86.4 | 88.0 | -1.6 |
| 15 |  Perspektiva Ilirija | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 79.2 | 81.2 | -2.0 |
| 16 |  FMP Beograd | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 81.8 | 85.2 | -3.4 |
| 17 |  Cibona | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 84.0 | 89.4 | -5.4 |
| 18 |  Vienna Basket | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 81.8 | 87.8 | -6.0 |
| 19 |  KK Krka Novo mesto | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0% | 73.2 | 83.6 | -10.4 |
| 20 |  Studentski Centar | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0% | 81.2 | 94.2 | -13.0 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mega Basket | 14 | 30 | 25 | 25 | 10 | 104 |
| Spartak Subotica | 30 | 20 | 25 | 19 | 15 | 109 |
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