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Mega Bemax vs Zadar Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Feb 2019
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 85-97
19-20 26-30 20-25 20-22
Position#7
Record9-8
FormLLLWL
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game85.0
vs
Zadar 🏆
Position#11
Record5-12
FormWLWLW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game86.0
EuropeABA LeagueRound 18
Domestic2018
Meetings · Mega Bemax v Zadar
03 Feb 2019
MBE85
ZAD97
04 Dec 2017
MBE71
ZAD73
22 Jan 2017
MBE92
ZAD75
02 Jan 2016
MBE87
ZAD61
03 Nov 2014
MBE91
ZAD84
25 Jan 2014
MBE91
ZAD75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mega Bemax winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zadar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mega BemaxLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
69-82
69
82
-13
A18/11
ABA League
Cibona
#8
W
82-80
82
80
+2
H24/11
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
85-91
85
91
-6
A10/12
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
68-78
68
78
-10
H15/12
ABA League
Igokea
#9
W
93-88
93
88
+5
H22/12
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#6
L
89-106
89
106
-17
A28/12
ABA League
Cedevita
#2
L
101-107 OT
101
107
-6
H05/01
ABA League
Petrol Olimpija
#13
L
78-91
78
91
-13
A13/01
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#10
W
82-80
82
80
+2
H19/01
ABA League
Partizan
#4
L
86-98
86
98
-12
A26/01
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
11-20
15-21
19-14
15-18
22-22
27-22
18-18
31-21
20-20
18-30
16-20
15-20
10-22
22-22
21-14
16-23
26-17
31-23
20-25
22-31
32-30
21-13
14-32
17-33
21-20
24-12
28-25
20-15
23-20
18-26
17-30
14-21
23-15
16-22
29-22
18-19
22-31
27-21
19-27
173.4Avg total
83.3Scored
90.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)83.585.0168.5-1.553%
Season at home (8)83.881.5165.2+2.262%
Season away (9)83.388.1171.4-4.844%
Last 10 (10)83.390.1173.4-6.830%
Last 5 (5)87.296.4183.6-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)79.589.4168.9-9.917%
vs Similar ◀ (10)84.282.2166.4+2.080%
vs Weaker (8)89.076.1165.1+12.975%
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#6
L
79-85
79
85
-6
H21/12
ABA League
Cedevita
#2
L
72-83
72
83
-11
A29/12
ABA League
Petrol Olimpija
#13
W
84-80 OT
84
80
+4
H04/01
ABA League
Jazine
#7
W
116-54
116
54
+62
A09/01
Croatian Cup
Mornar Bar
#10
L
81-89
81
89
-8
A13/01
ABA League
Bosco
#12
W
88-79
88
79
+9
H16/01
Premijer liga
Partizan
#4
L
92-97 OT
92
97
-5
H19/01
ABA League
Zabok
#7
W
90-66
90
66
+24
H24/01
Premijer liga
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
64-72
64
72
-8
H27/01
ABA League
Gorica
#6
W
85-77
85
77
+8
A01/02
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
21-22
22-20
18-21
16-28
27-17
14-19
15-19
20-16
19-21
16-15
20-23
–
–
–
–
25-22
14-25
22-25
20-17
16-20
28-22
29-16
15-21
23-20
23-30
19-19
17-13
23-18
22-17
20-11
25-20
12-17
14-22
18-14
20-19
24-19
12-19
25-19
24-20
163.3Avg total
85.1Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)81.886.0167.8-4.229%
Season at home (9)81.286.1167.3-4.922%
Season away (8)82.585.9168.4-3.438%
Last 10 (10)85.178.2163.3+6.950%
Last 5 (5)83.878.2162.0+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.587.8163.3-12.317%
vs Similar ◀ (12)83.980.2164.2+3.758%
vs Weaker (12)89.676.8166.3+12.875%
This opponent (Mega Bemax) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +0.1+0.1
Mega BemaxZadar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mega BemaxLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A18/11
ABA League
Cibona
#8
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H24/11
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A10/12
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
25-42
25
42
-17
H15/12
ABA League
Igokea
#9
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H22/12
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#6
L
54-61
54
61
-7
A28/12
ABA League
Cedevita
#2
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H05/01
ABA League
Petrol Olimpija
#13
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A13/01
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#10
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H19/01
ABA League
Partizan
#4
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A26/01
ABA League
84.7Avg total
40.2Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.542.183.6-0.643%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.242.382.5-2.143%-
Last 30 away (16)42.642.084.6+0.644%-
Last 10 (10)40.244.584.7-4.340%-
Last 5 (5)42.447.089.4-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)38.445.984.3-7.58%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)41.740.982.6+0.860%-
vs Weaker (8)45.938.083.9+7.975%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#6
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H21/12
ABA League
Cedevita
#2
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A29/12
ABA League
Petrol Olimpija
#13
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H04/01
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#10
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A13/01
ABA League
Bosco
#12
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H16/01
Premijer liga
Partizan
#4
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H19/01
ABA League
Zabok
#7
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H24/01
Premijer liga
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H27/01
ABA League
Gorica
#6
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A01/02
Premijer liga
81.6Avg total
39.7Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.440.081.4+1.452%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.939.581.4+2.360%-
Last 30 away (14)40.940.681.5+0.443%-
Last 10 (9)39.741.981.6-2.233%-
Last 5 (5)39.440.880.2-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.344.081.3-6.717%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.540.982.4+0.642%-
vs Weaker (11)43.536.980.5+6.682%-
This opponent (Mega Bemax) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mega Bemaxtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Bemax: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.519.1
48.4%
51.6%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.6
31.5%
33.9%22.8
🏀 Free throws30.219.6
64.9%
72.5%19.6
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.521.9
55.4%
51.6%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.4
32.8%
33.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws17.814.3
80.3%
72.5%14.3
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mega Bemax
LWLLLWLLWL
Zadar
WLWLWLWWLL
#7
League position
#11
-7.8
Net rating
+2.9
101.7
Offensive rating
109.8
109.5
Defensive rating
106.9
48.0%
Effective FG%
53.0%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
17.0%
Turnover %
17.4%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.47
Free-throw rate
0.27
31.5%
3-point %
32.8%
70.0%
Assist %
56.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.7 · 109.8Defence109.5 · 106.9Shooting48.0% · 53.0%3-point %31.5% · 32.8%Ball care17.0% · 17.4%Off. rebounds29.5% · 30.3%Free throws0.47 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Mega Bemax   ■ Zadar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Mega Bemax wins
4
Zadar wins
DateGameScore
09/11/18Zadar v Mega Bemax80-84
05/03/18Zadar v Mega Bemax95-91
04/12/17Mega Bemax v Zadar71-73
22/01/17Mega Bemax v Zadar92-75
22/10/16Zadar v Mega Bemax90-86
02/01/16Mega Bemax v Zadar87-61
12/10/15Zadar v Mega Bemax76-81
26/01/15Zadar v Mega Bemax74-73
03/11/14Mega Bemax v Zadar91-84
25/01/14Mega Bemax v Zadar91-75
Mega Bemaxlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/19APartizan86-98
19/01/19HMornar Bar82-80
13/01/19APetrol Olimpija78-91
05/01/19HCedevita101-107 OT
28/12/18AFMP Beograd89-106
22/12/18HIgokea93-88
15/12/18HCrvena zvezda68-78
10/12/18ABuducnost85-91
24/11/18HCibona82-80
18/11/18AKK Krka Novo mesto69-82
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/19AGorica85-77
27/01/19HKK Krka Novo mesto64-72
24/01/19HZabok90-66
19/01/19HPartizan92-97 OT
16/01/19HBosco88-79
13/01/19AMornar Bar81-89
09/01/19AJazine116-54
04/01/19HPetrol Olimpija84-80 OT
29/12/18ACedevita72-83
21/12/18HFMP Beograd79-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mega Bemax
ABA League 2018
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL53%
HomeWLWLW62%
AwayLLLLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %53%62%44%
Points / game83.583.883.3
Allowed / game85.081.588.1
Point differential-1.5+2.2-4.8
Avg total168.5165.2171.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (7)100% (4)100% (3)
Overtime %12%25%0%
Zadar
ABA League 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL29%
HomeWLWLL22%
AwayWWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %29%22%38%
Points / game81.881.282.5
Allowed / game86.086.185.9
Point differential-4.2-4.9-3.4
Avg total167.8167.3168.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%11%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %12%22%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda1817194%84.969.3+15.6
2 Cedevita1813572%87.480.7+6.8
3 Buducnost1712571%80.674.6+6.1
4 Partizan1812667%83.177.6+5.6
5 Mega Bemax179853%83.585.0-1.5
6 Mornar Bar1771041%84.386.5-2.2
7 FMP Beograd1771041%80.583.2-2.6
8 Cibona1871139%76.882.3-5.5
9 Igokea1861233%82.887.1-4.3
10 Zadar1751229%81.886.0-4.2
11 KK Krka Novo mesto1751229%72.381.8-9.5
12 Petrol Olimpija1851328%77.882.8-4.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mega Bemax1926202085
Zadar2030252297
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