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Petrol Olimpija vs Mega Bemax Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 13 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 91-78
15-20 20-23 26-18 30-17
Position#13
Record4-10
FormLWWLL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game82.8
Petrol Olimpija 🏆
vs
Mega Bemax
Position#7
Record8-6
FormLLWLL
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game84.0
EuropeABA LeagueRound 15
Domestic2018
Meetings · Petrol Olimpija v Mega Bemax
13 Jan 2019
POL91
MBE78
05 Jan 2018
POL69
MBE76
18 Dec 2016
POL82
MBE69
21 Nov 2015
POL89
MBE99
17 Jan 2015
POL85
MBE75
08 Dec 2013
POL88
MBE75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Petrol Olimpija winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mega Bemax winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlimpija
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#17
L
76-80
76
80
-4
no box
H18/12
Champions League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#3
L
76-92
76
92
-16
no box
H20/12
Liga Nova KBM
Mornar Bar
#10
L
75-80
75
80
-5
104avg 105
A23/12
ABA League
Partizan
#4
L
66-72
66
72
-6
85avg 105
H29/12
ABA League
Polzela
#5
W
78-76
78
76
+2
no box
A30/12
Liga Nova KBM
Zadar
#11
L
80-84 OT
80
84
-4
no box
A04/01
ABA League
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
W
76-72
76
72
+4
no box
H05/01
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#16
W
95-92
95
92
+3
no box
A07/01
Slovenian Cup
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
84-87
84
87
-3
no box
A09/01
Champions League
KK Primorska
#1
L
63-80
63
80
-17
no box
A12/01
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
16-11
20-34
18-20
18-22
18-24
23-21
17-25
16-18
22-20
22-25
15-17
15-15
17-18
19-20
15-19
20-19
21-19
16-21
21-17
16-20
21-19
15-16
23-20
21-19
17-13
18-21
20-19
26-25
17-21
21-19
31-27
23-13
18-24
22-24
21-26
15-23
10-22
20-20
18-15
158.4Avg total
76.9Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)79.182.8161.9-3.729%
Season at home (7)77.176.7153.9+0.457%
Season away (7)81.088.9169.9-7.90%
Last 10 (10)76.981.5158.4-4.630%
Last 5 (5)79.683.0162.6-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)73.882.6156.4-8.814%
vs Similar ◀ (10)82.186.7168.8-4.640%
vs Weaker (6)85.876.8162.7+9.083%
This opponent (Mega Bemax) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BemaxLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBemax
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#10
W
84-80
84
80
+4
115avg 113
A28/10
ABA League
Partizan
#4
L
74-81
74
81
-7
109avg 113
H03/11
ABA League
Zadar
#11
W
84-80
84
80
+4
110avg 113
A09/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
69-82
69
82
-13
97avg 113
A18/11
ABA League
Cibona
#8
W
82-80
82
80
+2
133avg 113
H24/11
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
85-91
85
91
-6
115avg 113
A10/12
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
68-78
68
78
-10
90avg 113
H15/12
ABA League
Igokea
#9
W
93-88
93
88
+5
127avg 113
H22/12
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#6
L
89-106
89
106
-17
118avg 113
A28/12
ABA League
Cedevita
#2
L
101-107 OT
101
107
-6
no box
H05/01
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-17
19-23
19-21
17-19
15-24
20-22
20-23
19-12
15-27
22-14
18-24
29-15
24-27
11-20
15-21
19-14
15-18
22-22
27-22
18-18
31-21
20-20
18-30
16-20
15-20
10-22
22-22
21-14
16-23
26-17
31-23
20-25
22-31
32-30
21-13
14-32
17-33
21-20
24-12
28-25
170.2Avg total
82.9Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)83.984.0167.9-0.157%
Season at home (7)84.081.7165.7+2.357%
Season away (7)83.786.3170.0-2.657%
Last 10 (10)82.987.3170.2-4.440%
Last 5 (5)87.294.0181.2-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)78.988.6167.5-9.718%
vs Similar ◀ (10)87.283.3170.5+3.980%
vs Weaker (9)88.776.2164.9+12.478%
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +0.7+0.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +0.7+0.7
Petrol OlimpijaMega Bemax
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#17
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H18/12
Champions League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#3
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H20/12
Liga Nova KBM
Mornar Bar
#10
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A23/12
ABA League
Partizan
#4
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H29/12
ABA League
Polzela
#5
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A30/12
Liga Nova KBM
Zadar
#11
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A04/01
ABA League
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H05/01
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#16
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A07/01
Slovenian Cup
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A09/01
Champions League
KK Primorska
#1
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A12/01
Liga Nova KBM
74.9Avg total
36.9Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.141.180.3-2.040%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.837.474.1-0.643%-
Last 30 away (16)41.244.485.6-3.238%-
Last 10 (10)36.938.074.9-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)36.839.876.6-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)36.542.579.0-6.029%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)39.642.181.7-2.530%-
vs Weaker (6)44.536.380.8+8.283%-
This opponent (Mega Bemax) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BemaxLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#10
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A28/10
ABA League
Partizan
#4
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H03/11
ABA League
Zadar
#11
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A09/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A18/11
ABA League
Cibona
#8
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H24/11
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A10/12
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
25-42
25
42
-17
H15/12
ABA League
Igokea
#9
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H22/12
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#6
L
54-61
54
61
-7
A28/12
ABA League
Cedevita
#2
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H05/01
ABA League
85.3Avg total
40.2Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.242.584.6-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.542.584.0-0.947%-
Last 30 away (15)42.842.585.3+0.340%-
Last 10 (10)40.245.185.3-4.930%-
Last 5 (5)42.047.489.4-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.345.583.8-7.39%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)43.043.086.0+0.050%-
vs Weaker (9)46.038.184.1+7.978%-
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Petrol Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Petrol Olimpija: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.917.0
47.4%
51.6%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.7
36.9%
33.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws23.217.4
75.0%
72.5%17.4
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mega Bemaxtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Bemax: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.419.6
53.8%
51.6%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.3
29.4%
33.9%21.9
🏀 Free throws30.520.0
65.6%
72.5%20.0
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Jan 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Petrol Olimpija
LLWWLWLLLL
Mega Bemax
LLWLLWLWLW
#13
League position
#7
-8.4
Net rating
-4.2
103.5
Offensive rating
102.5
112.0
Defensive rating
106.7
50.5%
Effective FG%
49.9%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
20.0%
Turnover %
18.1%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.50
36.9%
3-point %
29.4%
58.0%
Assist %
69.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.5 · 102.5Defence112.0 · 106.7Shooting50.5% · 49.9%3-point %36.9% · 29.4%Ball care20.0% · 18.1%Off. rebounds31.2% · 29.1%Free throws0.39 · 0.50Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Petrol Olimpija   ■ Mega Bemax
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Petrol Olimpija wins
5
Mega Bemax wins
DateGameScore
19/10/18Mega Bemax v Petrol Olimpija81-77 OT
05/01/18Petrol Olimpija v Mega Bemax69-76
15/10/17Mega Bemax v Petrol Olimpija77-86
18/12/16Petrol Olimpija v Mega Bemax82-69
29/09/16Mega Bemax v Petrol Olimpija86-85
13/02/16Mega Bemax v Petrol Olimpija78-81
21/11/15Petrol Olimpija v Mega Bemax89-99
17/01/15Petrol Olimpija v Mega Bemax85-75
25/10/14Mega Bemax v Petrol Olimpija85-66
15/03/14Mega Bemax v Petrol Olimpija80-85
Petrol Olimpijalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/19AKK Primorska63-80
09/01/19AVirtus Bologna84-87
07/01/19ARogaska95-92
05/01/19HTajfun Sentjur76-72
04/01/19AZadar80-84 OT
30/12/18APolzela78-76
29/12/18HPartizan66-72
23/12/18AMornar Bar75-80
20/12/18HKK Krka Novo mesto76-92
18/12/18HPromitheas76-80
Mega Bemaxlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/19HCedevita101-107 OT
28/12/18AFMP Beograd89-106
22/12/18HIgokea93-88
15/12/18HCrvena zvezda68-78
10/12/18ABuducnost85-91
24/11/18HCibona82-80
18/11/18AKK Krka Novo mesto69-82
09/11/18AZadar84-80
03/11/18HPartizan74-81
28/10/18AMornar Bar84-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Petrol Olimpija
ABA League 2018
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL29%
HomeLLWWL57%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %29%57%0%
Points / game79.177.181.0
Allowed / game82.876.788.9
Point differential-3.7+0.4-7.9
Avg total161.9153.9169.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)67% (3)0% (4)
Overtime %21%14%29%
Mega Bemax
ABA League 2018
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL57%
HomeLWLWL57%
AwayWWLLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %57%57%57%
Points / game83.984.083.7
Allowed / game84.081.786.3
Point differential-0.1+2.3-2.6
Avg total167.9165.7170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (6)100% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %14%29%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda15150100%86.169.3+16.8
2 Cedevita1511473%88.981.9+7.0
3 Buducnost149564%80.574.9+5.6
4 Partizan159660%81.277.3+3.9
5 Mega Bemax148657%83.984.0-0.1
6 FMP Beograd146843%82.183.6-1.4
7 Cibona156940%77.382.5-5.3
8 Zadar145936%82.486.0-3.6
9 Mornar Bar145936%83.887.9-4.1
10 Igokea1551033%84.588.9-4.5
11 Petrol Olimpija1441029%79.182.8-3.7
12 KK Krka Novo mesto1541127%72.583.7-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Petrol Olimpija1520263091
Mega Bemax2023181778
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