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Mornar Bar vs Zadar Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 13 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 89-81
22-25 25-14 25-22 17-20
Position#10
Record5-9
FormLLWWL
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game87.9
vs
Position#11
Record5-9
FormWLLWW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game86.0
EuropeABA LeagueRound 15
Domestic2018
Meetings · Mornar Bar v Zadar
23 Dec 2024
MBA55
ZAD81
13 Jan 2024
MBA86
ZAD78
09 Oct 2022
MBA100
ZAD91
27 Mar 2022
MBA86
ZAD84
04 Mar 2021
MBA77
ZAD71
13 Jan 2019
MBA89
ZAD81
27 Oct 2017
MBA80
ZAD70
13 Nov 2016
MBA104
ZAD110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mornar Bar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zadar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
71-104
71
104
-33
A17/11
ABA League
Unicaja
#6
L
76-111
76
111
-35
A21/11
Eurocup
Igokea
#9
L
97-103
97
103
-6
H26/11
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#6
W
84-82
84
82
+2
A08/12
ABA League
Frankfurt
#16
L
83-87
83
87
-4
H12/12
Eurocup
Cedevita
#2
L
102-103
102
103
-1
H15/12
ABA League
Rytas
#11
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A19/12
Eurocup
Petrol Olimpija
#13
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H23/12
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
86-77
86
77
+9
H29/12
ABA League
Partizan
#4
L
73-75
73
75
-2
A05/01
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
16-27
27-25
12-29
15-31
26-31
13-26
22-23
23-27
19-27
27-19
28-30
23-14
18-15
23-24
20-29
26-25
16-21
15-18
26-23
27-25
26-19
33-34
16-25
15-17
22-14
17-20
13-20
18-16
20-22
25-22
17-15
21-20
25-15
12-28
28-14
14-18
15-20
24-17
20-20
170.7Avg total
81.9Scored
88.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)83.887.9171.6-4.136%
Season at home (7)91.090.7181.7+0.343%
Season away (7)76.685.0161.6-8.429%
Last 10 (10)81.988.8170.7-6.930%
Last 5 (5)81.680.2161.8+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)80.792.0172.7-11.320%
vs Similar ◀ (13)82.682.2164.8+0.554%
vs Weaker (1)100.078.0178.0+22.0100%
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#3
L
69-89
69
89
-20
H26/11
ABA League
Cedevita
#3
W
69-63
69
63
+6
H06/12
Premijer liga
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
70-97
70
97
-27
A09/12
ABA League
Igokea
#9
W
95-80
95
80
+15
H14/12
ABA League
Skrljevo
#8
W
88-87
88
87
+1
A15/12
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenik
#9
W
94-72
94
72
+22
H18/12
Premijer liga
FMP Beograd
#6
L
79-85
79
85
-6
H21/12
ABA League
Cedevita
#2
L
72-83
72
83
-11
A29/12
ABA League
Petrol Olimpija
#13
W
84-80 OT
84
80
+4
H04/01
ABA League
Jazine
#7
W
116-54
116
54
+62
A09/01
Croatian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-25
14-19
17-22
22-23
20-21
14-16
19-19
16-7
16-22
17-23
20-34
17-18
30-19
17-26
25-18
23-17
18-20
21-23
22-23
27-21
23-17
22-20
21-14
28-21
18-22
21-22
22-20
18-21
16-28
27-17
14-19
15-19
20-16
19-21
16-15
20-23
–
–
–
–
162.6Avg total
83.6Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)82.486.0168.4-3.636%
Season at home (7)82.186.6168.7-4.429%
Season away (7)82.785.4168.1-2.743%
Last 10 (10)83.679.0162.6+4.660%
Last 5 (5)89.074.8163.8+14.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.387.5161.8-13.217%
vs Similar ◀ (11)84.381.5165.7+2.855%
vs Weaker (12)91.381.2172.5+10.267%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +1.8+1.8
Mornar BarZadar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A17/11
ABA League
Unicaja
#6
L
41-62
41
62
-21
A21/11
Eurocup
Igokea
#9
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H26/11
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#6
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A08/12
ABA League
Frankfurt
#16
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H12/12
Eurocup
Cedevita
#2
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H15/12
ABA League
Rytas
#11
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A19/12
Eurocup
Petrol Olimpija
#13
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H23/12
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H29/12
ABA League
Partizan
#4
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A05/01
ABA League
82.8Avg total
40.1Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.344.485.7-3.137%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.344.988.2-1.533%-
Last 30 away (15)39.343.983.3-4.640%-
Last 10 (10)40.142.782.8-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)40.637.277.8+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)41.547.388.8-5.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.941.281.2-1.338%-
vs Weaker (1)54.040.094.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#3
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H26/11
ABA League
Cedevita
#3
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H06/12
Premijer liga
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A09/12
ABA League
Igokea
#9
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H14/12
ABA League
Skrljevo
#8
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A15/12
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenik
#9
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H18/12
Premijer liga
FMP Beograd
#6
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H21/12
ABA League
Cedevita
#2
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A29/12
ABA League
Petrol Olimpija
#13
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H04/01
ABA League
80.7Avg total
38.8Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.740.782.3+1.048%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.640.381.9+1.450%-
Last 30 away (15)41.741.082.7+0.747%-
Last 10 (9)38.841.980.7-3.133%-
Last 5 (5)41.041.282.2-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.843.078.8-7.217%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)42.640.883.5+1.855%-
vs Weaker (11)44.339.083.3+5.364%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.518.2
49.9%
51.6%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.89.9
34.4%
33.9%29.7
🏀 Free throws21.414.8
69.2%
72.5%14.8
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 87.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.624.3
59.9%
51.6%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.3
32.0%
33.9%24.9
🏀 Free throws17.313.9
80.3%
72.5%13.9
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Jan 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mornar Bar
LWWLLLWLLL
Zadar
WWLLWWWLWL
#10
League position
#11
-9.1
Net rating
+5.9
106.3
Offensive rating
114.7
115.3
Defensive rating
108.8
50.6%
Effective FG%
55.3%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
15.5%
Turnover %
16.6%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.4%
3-point %
32.0%
56.6%
Assist %
54.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.3 · 114.7Defence115.3 · 108.8Shooting50.6% · 55.3%3-point %34.4% · 32.0%Ball care15.5% · 16.6%Off. rebounds30.4% · 30.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Mornar Bar   ■ Zadar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Mornar Bar wins
2
Zadar wins
DateGameScore
21/10/18Zadar v Mornar Bar83-93
22/01/18Zadar v Mornar Bar77-93
27/10/17Mornar Bar v Zadar80-70
10/02/17Zadar v Mornar Bar80-62
13/11/16Mornar Bar v Zadar104-110
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/19APartizan73-75
29/12/18HKK Krka Novo mesto86-77
23/12/18HPetrol Olimpija80-75
19/12/18ARytas67-71
15/12/18HCedevita102-103
12/12/18HFrankfurt83-87
08/12/18AFMP Beograd84-82
26/11/18HIgokea97-103
21/11/18AUnicaja76-111
17/11/18ACrvena zvezda71-104
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/19AJazine116-54
04/01/19HPetrol Olimpija84-80 OT
29/12/18ACedevita72-83
21/12/18HFMP Beograd79-85
18/12/18HGKK Sibenik94-72
15/12/18ASkrljevo88-87
14/12/18HIgokea95-80
09/12/18ACrvena zvezda70-97
06/12/18HCedevita69-63
26/11/18HBuducnost69-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mornar Bar
ABA League 2018
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL36%
HomeLLLWW43%
AwayWLLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %36%43%29%
Points / game83.891.076.6
Allowed / game87.990.785.0
Point differential-4.1+0.3-8.4
Avg total171.6181.7161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)40% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zadar
ABA League 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW36%
HomeLLWLW29%
AwayWWWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %36%29%43%
Points / game82.482.182.7
Allowed / game86.086.685.4
Point differential-3.6-4.4-2.7
Avg total168.4168.7168.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%14%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda15150100%86.169.3+16.8
2 Cedevita1511473%88.981.9+7.0
3 Buducnost149564%80.574.9+5.6
4 Partizan159660%81.277.3+3.9
5 Mega Bemax158753%83.584.5-1.0
6 FMP Beograd146843%82.183.6-1.4
7 Cibona156940%77.382.5-5.3
8 Zadar145936%82.486.0-3.6
9 Mornar Bar145936%83.887.9-4.1
10 Petrol Olimpija1551033%79.982.5-2.6
11 Igokea1551033%84.588.9-4.5
12 KK Krka Novo mesto1541127%72.583.7-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mornar Bar2225251789
Zadar2514222081
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