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FMP Beograd vs Mega Bemax Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 106-89
31-22 30-32 13-21 32-14
Position#6
Record5-7
FormLLLLW
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game82.6
vs
Position#7
Record8-4
FormLWLLW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game80.2
EuropeABA LeagueRound 13
Domestic2018
Meetings · FMP Beograd v Mega Bemax
28 Dec 2018
FBE106
MBE89
17 Nov 2017
FBE96
MBE88
23 Apr 2017
FBE90
MBE70
04 Oct 2016
FBE98
MBE84
10 Jun 2016
FBE79
MBE90
06 Jun 2016
FBE89
MBE83
14 May 2015
FBE83
MBE92
21 Apr 2014
FBE67
MBE96
08 Feb 2014
FBE85
MBE93
03 May 2011
FBE96
MBE71
03 Dec 2010
FBE102
MBE86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FMP Beograd winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mega Bemax winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
Cibona
#8
W
93-88 OT
93
88
+5
no box
H13/10
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
59-79
59
79
-20
84avg 108
A22/10
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
72-81
72
81
-9
99avg 108
H27/10
ABA League
Igokea
#9
W
85-74
85
74
+11
117avg 108
A02/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
93-65
93
65
+28
118avg 108
H12/11
ABA League
Cedevita
#2
L
81-95
81
95
-14
112avg 108
H17/11
ABA League
Petrol Olimpija
#13
L
86-88
86
88
-2
no box
A24/11
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#10
L
82-84
82
84
-2
115avg 108
H08/12
ABA League
Partizan
#4
L
77-83
77
83
-6
96avg 108
A15/12
ABA League
Zadar
#11
W
85-79
85
79
+6
112avg 108
A21/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
20-19
18-10
17-28
12-22
16-26
15-9
16-22
12-25
20-20
17-15
23-21
18-21
26-14
14-27
27-12
33-20
26-18
18-24
16-3
16-25
19-22
19-26
27-22
21-16
12-17
22-22
31-33
14-23
15-18
24-23
29-20
22-17
20-26
20-25
15-15
22-18
22-21
20-22
21-18
162.9Avg total
81.3Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)81.182.6163.7-1.542%
Season at home (6)86.783.2169.8+3.550%
Season away (6)75.582.0157.5-6.533%
Last 10 (10)81.381.6162.9-0.340%
Last 5 (5)82.285.8168.0-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.683.9158.4-9.30%
vs Similar ◀ (12)81.279.4160.7+1.858%
vs Weaker (11)92.571.5164.0+21.1100%
This opponent (Mega Bemax) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BemaxLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBemax
Date
Competition
Cedevita
#2
W
95-86
95
86
+9
111avg 112
A13/10
ABA League
Petrol Olimpija
#13
W
81-77 OT
81
77
+4
no box
H19/10
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#10
W
84-80
84
80
+4
115avg 112
A28/10
ABA League
Partizan
#4
L
74-81
74
81
-7
109avg 112
H03/11
ABA League
Zadar
#11
W
84-80
84
80
+4
110avg 112
A09/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
69-82
69
82
-13
97avg 112
A18/11
ABA League
Cibona
#8
W
82-80
82
80
+2
133avg 112
H24/11
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
85-91
85
91
-6
115avg 112
A10/12
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
68-78
68
78
-10
90avg 112
H15/12
ABA League
Igokea
#9
W
93-88
93
88
+5
127avg 112
H22/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
20-24
26-21
22-18
20-18
19-30
17-15
18-11
29-17
19-23
19-21
17-19
15-24
20-22
20-23
19-12
15-27
22-14
18-24
29-15
24-27
11-20
15-21
19-14
15-18
22-22
27-22
18-18
31-21
20-20
18-30
16-20
15-20
10-22
22-22
21-14
16-23
26-17
31-23
20-25
163.8Avg total
81.5Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)82.080.2162.2+1.867%
Season at home (6)81.277.5158.7+3.767%
Season away (6)82.883.0165.8-0.267%
Last 10 (10)81.582.3163.8-0.860%
Last 5 (5)79.483.8163.2-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)76.987.0163.9-10.118%
vs Similar ◀ (9)87.080.8167.8+6.289%
vs Weaker (9)88.776.2164.9+12.478%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +3.3+3.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +3.3+3.3
FMP BeogradMega Bemax
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#8
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H13/10
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A22/10
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H27/10
ABA League
Igokea
#9
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A02/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
59-38
59
38
+21
H12/11
ABA League
Cedevita
#2
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H17/11
ABA League
Petrol Olimpija
#13
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A24/11
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#10
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H08/12
ABA League
Partizan
#4
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A15/12
ABA League
Zadar
#11
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A21/12
ABA League
80.0Avg total
39.0Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.538.581.0+3.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.437.380.7+6.167%-
Last 30 away (15)41.539.881.3+1.747%-
Last 10 (10)39.041.080.0-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)36.640.677.2-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.345.181.4-8.90%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.137.577.6+2.658%-
vs Weaker (11)49.035.584.5+13.591%-
This opponent (Mega Bemax) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BemaxLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita
#2
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A13/10
ABA League
Petrol Olimpija
#13
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H19/10
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#10
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A28/10
ABA League
Partizan
#4
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H03/11
ABA League
Zadar
#11
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A09/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A18/11
ABA League
Cibona
#8
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H24/11
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A10/12
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
25-42
25
42
-17
H15/12
ABA League
Igokea
#9
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H22/12
ABA League
82.8Avg total
39.6Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.241.383.5+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.541.483.9+1.153%-
Last 30 away (15)41.941.283.1+0.740%-
Last 10 (10)39.643.282.8-3.630%-
Last 5 (5)38.042.080.0-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.544.583.1-6.09%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.841.082.8+0.856%-
vs Weaker (9)46.038.184.1+7.978%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.617.2
51.2%
51.6%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.48.4
30.7%
33.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws24.217.3
71.5%
72.5%17.3
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mega Bemaxtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Bemax: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.819.9
54.1%
51.6%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.5
30.2%
33.9%22.5
🏀 Free throws29.719.2
64.6%
72.5%19.2
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FMP Beograd
WLLLLWWLLW
Mega Bemax
WLLWLWLWWW
#6
League position
#7
-5.5
Net rating
+2.3
100.3
Offensive rating
102.6
105.8
Defensive rating
100.3
48.9%
Effective FG%
50.6%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.2%
19.8%
Turnover %
18.3%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.48
30.7%
3-point %
30.2%
62.5%
Assist %
70.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence100.3 · 102.6Defence105.8 · 100.3Shooting48.9% · 50.6%3-point %30.7% · 30.2%Ball care19.8% · 18.3%Off. rebounds30.7% · 29.4%Free throws0.40 · 0.48Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ FMP Beograd   ■ Mega Bemax
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
FMP Beograd wins
6
Mega Bemax wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/18AZadar85-79
15/12/18APartizan77-83
08/12/18HMornar Bar82-84
24/11/18APetrol Olimpija86-88
17/11/18HCedevita81-95
12/11/18HKK Krka Novo mesto93-65
02/11/18AIgokea85-74
27/10/18HCrvena zvezda72-81
22/10/18ABuducnost59-79
13/10/18HCibona93-88 OT
Mega Bemaxlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/18HIgokea93-88
15/12/18HCrvena zvezda68-78
10/12/18ABuducnost85-91
24/11/18HCibona82-80
18/11/18AKK Krka Novo mesto69-82
09/11/18AZadar84-80
03/11/18HPartizan74-81
28/10/18AMornar Bar84-80
19/10/18HPetrol Olimpija81-77 OT
13/10/18ACedevita95-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FMP Beograd
ABA League 2018
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW42%
HomeWLWLL50%
AwayLWLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %42%50%33%
Points / game81.186.775.5
Allowed / game82.683.282.0
Point differential-1.5+3.5-6.5
Avg total163.7169.8157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Mega Bemax
ABA League 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW67%
HomeWLWLW67%
AwayWWWLL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game82.081.282.8
Allowed / game80.277.583.0
Point differential+1.8+3.7-0.2
Avg total162.2158.7165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (6)100% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda12120100%85.968.8+17.2
2 Buducnost128467%79.974.3+5.6
3 Cedevita128467%87.982.3+5.6
4 Mega Bemax128467%82.080.2+1.8
5 Partizan126650%82.080.4+1.6
6 FMP Beograd125742%81.182.6-1.5
7 Igokea135838%86.289.2-3.0
8 Cibona135838%77.082.9-5.9
9 Petrol Olimpija124833%80.183.6-3.5
10 Zadar124833%83.286.8-3.6
11 Mornar Bar124833%84.589.8-5.3
12 KK Krka Novo mesto124833%74.282.2-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FMP Beograd31301332106
Mega Bemax2232211489
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