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Mega Soccerbet vs Borac Mozzart Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 86-84
28-13 18-22 16-25 24-24
Position#6
Record12-6
FormLWWLW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game75.7
vs
Position#13
Record4-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game78.1
EuropeABA LeagueRound 19
Domestic2020
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mega Soccerbet winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Borac Mozzart winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mega SoccerbetLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSoccerbet
Date
Competition
Split
#11
W
91-75
91
75
+16
73avg 74
H06/12
ABA League
Partizan
#7
L
77-79
77
79
-2
77avg 74
A12/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
W
78-72
78
72
+6
72avg 74
H20/12
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#8
W
92-91 OT
92
91
+1
no box
A25/12
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#3
L
88-93
88
93
-5
66avg 74
H02/01
ABA League
Igokea
#4
L
84-86
84
86
-2
no box
H10/01
ABA League
Zadar
#10
W
90-83
90
83
+7
88avg 74
A17/01
ABA League
Cibona
#9
W
72-71
72
71
+1
63avg 74
H24/01
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
85-92
85
92
-7
no box
A01/02
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#5
W
90-89
90
89
+1
83avg 74
H07/02
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-22
11-11
21-11
30-31
27-16
23-24
15-16
12-23
27-18
19-10
14-21
18-23
25-18
12-23
20-17
20-19
29-28
20-20
21-24
18-21
24-26
17-25
21-17
22-18
21-21
20-19
25-21
24-22
20-17
17-20
19-20
16-14
24-28
22-21
20-25
19-18
25-24
14-27
22-16
29-22
167.8Avg total
84.7Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)79.675.7155.2+3.967%
Season at home (9)81.979.9161.8+2.067%
Season away (9)77.271.4148.7+5.867%
Last 10 (10)84.783.1167.8+1.660%
Last 5 (5)84.284.2168.4+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)79.688.0167.6-8.412%
vs Similar ◀ (6)84.279.8164.0+4.350%
vs Weaker (16)88.974.7163.6+14.294%
This opponent (Borac Mozzart) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Borac MozzartLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMozzart
Date
Competition
Igokea
#4
L
71-73
71
73
-2
40avg 62
A05/12
ABA League
Primorska
#15
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
H14/12
ABA League
Split
#11
W
90-69
90
69
+21
71avg 62
H27/12
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#5
L
76-87
76
87
-11
55avg 62
H30/12
ABA League
Partizan
#7
W
75-71
75
71
+4
no box
H09/01
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
72-76
72
76
-4
66avg 62
H23/01
ABA League
Cibona
#9
L
64-69
64
69
-5
56avg 62
A27/01
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#5
L
72-86
72
86
-14
62avg 62
A30/01
ABA League
Partizan
#3
L
72-76
72
76
-4
no box
A11/02
Korac cup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
63-83
63
83
-20
54avg 62
A17/02
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
15-18
21-19
18-15
–
–
–
–
23-24
30-19
13-18
24-8
18-24
23-24
12-21
23-18
19-15
19-18
22-17
15-21
21-25
16-19
12-18
23-14
12-11
13-23
16-18
23-17
24-25
21-29
11-13
16-19
16-20
16-20
17-22
23-14
16-23
17-15
14-23
16-22
136.5Avg total
67.5Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)73.878.1151.9-4.325%
Season at home (8)70.873.1143.9-2.438%
Season away (8)76.983.1160.0-6.212%
Last 10 (10)67.569.0136.5-1.530%
Last 5 (5)68.678.0146.6-9.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)75.183.2158.3-8.120%
vs Similar ◀ (5)82.681.0163.6+1.640%
vs Weaker (14)82.472.9155.3+9.479%
This opponent (Mega Soccerbet) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +3.7+3.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +3.7+3.7
Mega SoccerbetBorac Mozzart
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mega SoccerbetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Split
#11
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H06/12
ABA League
Partizan
#7
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A12/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H20/12
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#8
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A25/12
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#3
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H02/01
ABA League
Igokea
#4
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H10/01
ABA League
Zadar
#10
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A17/01
ABA League
Cibona
#9
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H24/01
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A01/02
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#5
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H07/02
ABA League
84.4Avg total
42.6Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)45.640.686.2+5.062%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.539.985.4+5.560%-
Last 30 away (14)45.741.387.0+4.464%-
Last 10 (10)42.641.884.4+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)40.845.686.4-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.443.184.5-1.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)46.043.889.8+2.250%-
vs Weaker (15)47.737.985.6+9.773%-
This opponent (Borac Mozzart) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Borac MozzartLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Igokea
#4
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A05/12
ABA League
Split
#11
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H27/12
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#5
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H30/12
ABA League
Partizan
#7
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H09/01
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H23/01
ABA League
Cibona
#9
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A27/01
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#5
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A30/01
ABA League
Partizan
#3
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A11/02
Korac cup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A17/02
ABA League
78.8Avg total
37.3Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.041.983.9+0.145%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.043.484.4-2.433%-
Last 30 away (17)42.740.883.5+1.953%-
Last 10 (9)37.341.478.8-4.122%-
Last 5 (5)34.442.076.4-7.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.943.582.4-4.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)43.044.087.0-1.040%-
vs Weaker (13)44.840.084.8+4.869%-
This opponent (Mega Soccerbet) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mega Soccerbettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Soccerbet: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.820.2
54.9%
52.4%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.7
36.4%
36.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.915.5
77.9%
75.0%15.5
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Borac Mozzarttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Borac Mozzart: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.316.5
54.5%
52.4%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.48.5
31.0%
36.1%25.5
🏀 Free throws21.916.2
74.0%
75.0%16.2
They take 57.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Feb 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mega Soccerbet
WLWWLLWWLW
Borac Mozzart
LLLLLWLWWL
#6
League position
#13
+3.0
Net rating
-6.2
110.5
Offensive rating
105.0
107.5
Defensive rating
111.2
54.8%
Effective FG%
50.7%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
17.8%
Turnover %
17.0%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
24.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.38
36.4%
3-point %
31.0%
63.3%
Assist %
62.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence110.5 · 105.0Defence107.5 · 111.2Shooting54.8% · 50.7%3-point %36.4% · 31.0%Ball care17.8% · 17.0%Off. rebounds29.8% · 24.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Mega Soccerbet   ■ Borac Mozzart
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mega Soccerbet wins
0
Borac Mozzart wins
DateGameScore
06/11/20Borac Mozzart v Mega Soccerbet83-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/21HMornar Bar90-89
01/02/21ACrvena zvezda85-92
24/01/21HCibona72-71
17/01/21AZadar90-83
10/01/21HIgokea84-86
02/01/21HCedevita Olimpija88-93
25/12/20AFMP Beograd92-91 OT
20/12/20HBuducnost78-72
12/12/20APartizan77-79
06/12/20HSplit91-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/21ACrvena zvezda63-83
11/02/21APartizan72-76
30/01/21AMornar Bar72-86
27/01/21ACibona64-69
23/01/21HBuducnost72-76
09/01/21HPartizan75-71
30/12/20HMornar Bar76-87
27/12/20HSplit90-69
14/12/20HPrimorska20-0
05/12/20AIgokea71-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mega Soccerbet
ABA League 2020
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW67%
HomeWLLWW67%
AwayWLWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game79.681.977.2
Allowed / game75.779.971.4
Point differential+3.9+2.0+5.8
Avg total155.2161.8148.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%11%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)57% (7)67% (3)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Borac Mozzart
ABA League 2020
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL25%
HomeWWLWL38%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %25%38%12%
Points / game73.870.876.9
Allowed / game78.173.183.1
Point differential-4.3-2.4-6.2
Avg total151.9143.9160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)33% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda1614288%77.762.9+14.8
2 Cedevita Olimpija1714382%82.272.4+9.8
3 Igokea1714382%73.266.9+6.3
4 Buducnost1512380%77.471.3+6.1
5 Mornar Bar1814478%81.273.3+7.9
6 Mega Soccerbet1812667%79.675.7+3.9
7 Zadar156940%68.869.3-0.5
8 Partizan1871139%76.876.6+0.3
9 Cibona1661038%68.072.8-4.8
10 FMP Beograd1651131%75.980.6-4.7
11 KK Krka Novo mesto1751229%67.472.6-5.2
12 Split1851328%72.979.7-6.8
13 Borac Mozzart1641225%73.878.1-4.3
14 Primorska190190%0.020.0-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mega Soccerbet2818162486
Borac Mozzart1322252484
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