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Mornar Bar vs Borac Mozzart Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 86-72
25-24 29-21 13-11 19-16
Position#5
Record12-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game73.1
vs
Position#13
Record4-10
FormWLWLL
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game77.2
EuropeABA LeagueRound 17
Domestic2020
Meetings · Mornar Bar v Borac Mozzart
19 Oct 2024
MBA90
BOR98
30 Mar 2024
MBA80
BOR78
12 Mar 2023
MBA104
BOR99
09 Oct 2021
MBA85
BOR90
30 Jan 2021
MBA86
BOR72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mornar Bar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Borac Mozzart winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBar
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#12
W
84-78
84
78
+6
82avg 73
A16/12
Eurocup
FMP Beograd
#8
W
84-74
84
74
+10
80avg 73
H20/12
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#3
W
93-88
93
88
+5
63avg 73
A27/12
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
87-76
87
76
+11
69avg 73
A30/12
ABA League
Igokea
#4
W
90-76
90
76
+14
79avg 73
H03/01
ABA League
Gran Canaria
#4
W
102-100
102
100
+2
101avg 73
A13/01
Eurocup
Cibona
#9
W
92-78
92
78
+14
90avg 73
A16/01
ABA League
MoraBanc Andorra
#14
L
71-74
71
74
-3
58avg 73
H20/01
Eurocup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
78-86
78
86
-8
no box
H24/01
ABA League
Unics Kazan
#7
L
70-87
70
87
-17
no box
H27/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
25-25
18-16
19-20
20-22
21-18
22-23
21-11
33-15
22-23
19-26
19-24
24-18
24-23
21-12
18-23
27-22
22-17
25-15
16-22
27-23
20-20
25-24
30-33
25-21
28-17
18-12
21-28
18-12
19-22
20-25
14-15
22-25
15-15
24-24
17-22
22-21
14-22
18-27
16-17
166.8Avg total
85.1Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)80.573.1153.5+7.480%
Season at home (7)76.964.7141.6+12.186%
Season away (8)83.680.4164.0+3.275%
Last 10 (10)85.181.7166.8+3.470%
Last 5 (5)82.685.0167.6-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)78.285.5163.8-7.242%
vs Similar (8)81.977.6159.5+4.262%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)80.967.3148.2+13.690%
This opponent (Borac Mozzart) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Borac MozzartLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMozzart
Date
Competition
Mega Soccerbet
#6
L
83-97
83
97
-14
67avg 63
H06/11
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#3
L
88-97
88
97
-9
no box
A15/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
86-90
86
90
-4
76avg 63
H19/11
ABA League
Igokea
#4
L
71-73
71
73
-2
40avg 63
A05/12
ABA League
Primorska
#15
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
H14/12
ABA League
Split
#11
W
90-69
90
69
+21
71avg 63
H27/12
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#5
L
76-87
76
87
-11
55avg 63
H30/12
ABA League
Partizan
#7
W
75-71
75
71
+4
no box
H09/01
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
72-76
72
76
-4
66avg 63
H23/01
ABA League
Cibona
#9
L
64-69
64
69
-5
56avg 63
A27/01
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
22-31
24-20
18-22
25-25
14-24
18-24
31-24
20-27
21-23
24-20
21-20
17-21
15-18
21-19
18-15
–
–
–
–
23-24
30-19
13-18
24-8
18-24
23-24
12-21
23-18
19-15
19-18
22-17
15-21
21-25
16-19
12-18
23-14
12-11
13-23
16-18
23-17
145.4Avg total
72.5Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)74.777.2151.9-2.529%
Season at home (8)70.873.1143.9-2.438%
Season away (6)80.082.7162.7-2.717%
Last 10 (10)72.572.9145.4-0.430%
Last 5 (5)75.474.4149.8+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)77.082.9159.9-5.925%
vs Similar (5)82.681.0163.6+1.640%
vs Weaker (17)84.175.1159.2+9.082%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +4.1+4.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +4.1+4.1
Mornar BarBorac Mozzart
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#12
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A16/12
Eurocup
FMP Beograd
#8
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H20/12
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#3
W
55-38
55
38
+17
A27/12
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A30/12
ABA League
Igokea
#4
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H03/01
ABA League
Gran Canaria
#4
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A13/01
Eurocup
Cibona
#9
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A16/01
ABA League
MoraBanc Andorra
#14
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H20/01
Eurocup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H24/01
ABA League
Unics Kazan
#7
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H27/01
Eurocup
84.8Avg total
45.0Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.840.183.9+3.666%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.540.183.6+3.464%-
Last 30 away (15)44.040.184.1+3.967%-
Last 10 (10)45.039.884.8+5.280%-
Last 5 (5)42.039.681.6+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)42.142.184.2+0.050%-
vs Similar (8)44.139.083.1+5.175%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)45.738.684.2+7.178%-
This opponent (Borac Mozzart) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Borac MozzartLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mega Soccerbet
#6
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H06/11
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#3
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A15/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H19/11
ABA League
Igokea
#4
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A05/12
ABA League
Split
#11
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H27/12
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#5
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H30/12
ABA League
Partizan
#7
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H09/01
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H23/01
ABA League
Cibona
#9
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A27/01
ABA League
82.4Avg total
38.6Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.141.084.1+2.155%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.542.984.5-1.438%-
Last 30 away (16)44.439.583.9+4.969%-
Last 10 (9)38.643.982.4-5.322%-
Last 5 (5)38.840.479.2-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)38.942.981.8-4.025%-
vs Similar (5)43.044.087.0-1.040%-
vs Weaker (16)45.239.284.4+6.175%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.018.8
53.7%
52.4%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.810.6
41.1%
36.1%31.8
🏀 Free throws19.814.9
75.3%
75.0%14.9
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Borac Mozzarttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Borac Mozzart: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.016.6
53.5%
52.4%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.1
31.7%
36.1%27.3
🏀 Free throws23.217.9
77.2%
75.0%17.9
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mornar Bar
LLLWWWWWWW
Borac Mozzart
LLWLWWLLLL
#5
League position
#13
+4.6
Net rating
-3.6
113.2
Offensive rating
107.2
108.7
Defensive rating
110.7
57.1%
Effective FG%
50.7%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
14.4%
Turnover %
15.4%
19.0%
Off. rebound %
23.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.39
41.1%
3-point %
31.7%
55.8%
Assist %
60.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence113.2 · 107.2Defence108.7 · 110.7Shooting57.1% · 50.7%3-point %41.1% · 31.7%Ball care14.4% · 15.4%Off. rebounds19.0% · 23.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Mornar Bar   ■ Borac Mozzart
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mornar Bar wins
0
Borac Mozzart wins
DateGameScore
30/12/20Borac Mozzart v Mornar Bar76-87
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/21HUnics Kazan70-87
24/01/21HCrvena zvezda78-86
20/01/21HMoraBanc Andorra71-74
16/01/21ACibona92-78
13/01/21AGran Canaria102-100
03/01/21HIgokea90-76
30/12/20ABorac Mozzart87-76
27/12/20ACedevita Olimpija93-88
20/12/20HFMP Beograd84-74
16/12/20ABuducnost84-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/21ACibona64-69
23/01/21HBuducnost72-76
09/01/21HPartizan75-71
30/12/20HMornar Bar76-87
27/12/20HSplit90-69
14/12/20HPrimorska20-0
05/12/20AIgokea71-73
19/11/20HKK Krka Novo mesto86-90
15/11/20ACedevita Olimpija88-97
06/11/20HMega Soccerbet83-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mornar Bar
ABA League 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayWLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %80%86%75%
Points / game80.576.983.6
Allowed / game73.164.780.4
Point differential+7.4+12.1+3.2
Avg total153.5141.6164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%57%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Borac Mozzart
ABA League 2020
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL29%
HomeWWLWL38%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %29%38%17%
Points / game74.770.880.0
Allowed / game77.273.182.7
Point differential-2.5-2.4-2.7
Avg total151.9143.9162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)33% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda1311285%80.666.1+14.5
2 Cedevita Olimpija1512380%80.570.4+10.1
3 Mornar Bar1512380%80.573.1+7.4
4 Buducnost1512380%77.471.3+6.1
5 Igokea1512380%71.666.3+5.3
6 Mega Soccerbet1611569%78.673.8+4.8
7 Partizan167944%75.974.9+0.9
8 KK Krka Novo mesto145936%66.370.1-3.9
9 FMP Beograd1551033%75.279.7-4.5
10 Split1651131%73.078.7-5.7
11 Zadar134931%65.266.9-1.8
12 Borac Mozzart1441029%74.777.2-2.5
13 Cibona1441029%70.778.2-7.5
14 Primorska170170%0.020.0-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mornar Bar2529131986
Borac Mozzart2421111672
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