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Mega Soccerbet vs Mornar Bar Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 90-89
25-24 14-27 22-16 29-22
Position#6
Record11-6
FormLLWWL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game74.9
vs
Position#5
Record13-3
FormLLLWL
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game73.0
EuropeABA LeagueRound 18
Domestic2020
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mega Soccerbet winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mega SoccerbetLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSoccerbet
Date
Competition
Primorska
#15
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
A21/11
ABA League
Split
#11
W
91-75
91
75
+16
73avg 73
H06/12
ABA League
Partizan
#7
L
77-79
77
79
-2
77avg 73
A12/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
W
78-72
78
72
+6
72avg 73
H20/12
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#8
W
92-91 OT
92
91
+1
no box
A25/12
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#3
L
88-93
88
93
-5
66avg 73
H02/01
ABA League
Igokea
#4
L
84-86
84
86
-2
no box
H10/01
ABA League
Zadar
#10
W
90-83
90
83
+7
88avg 73
A17/01
ABA League
Cibona
#9
W
72-71
72
71
+1
63avg 73
H24/01
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
85-92
85
92
-7
no box
A01/02
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
29-22
11-11
21-11
30-31
27-16
23-24
15-16
12-23
27-18
19-10
14-21
18-23
25-18
12-23
20-17
20-19
29-28
20-20
21-24
18-21
24-26
17-25
21-17
22-18
21-21
20-19
25-21
24-22
20-17
17-20
19-20
16-14
24-28
22-21
20-25
19-18
151.9Avg total
77.7Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)78.974.9153.8+4.165%
Season at home (8)80.978.8159.6+2.162%
Season away (9)77.271.4148.7+5.867%
Last 10 (10)77.774.2151.9+3.560%
Last 5 (5)83.885.0168.8-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)79.688.0167.6-8.412%
vs Similar ◀ (5)83.078.0161.0+5.040%
vs Weaker (16)88.974.7163.6+14.294%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBar
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#3
W
93-88
93
88
+5
63avg 73
A27/12
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
87-76
87
76
+11
69avg 73
A30/12
ABA League
Igokea
#4
W
90-76
90
76
+14
79avg 73
H03/01
ABA League
Gran Canaria
#4
W
102-100
102
100
+2
101avg 73
A13/01
Eurocup
Cibona
#9
W
92-78
92
78
+14
90avg 73
A16/01
ABA League
MoraBanc Andorra
#14
L
71-74
71
74
-3
58avg 73
H20/01
Eurocup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
78-86
78
86
-8
no box
H24/01
ABA League
Unics Kazan
#7
L
70-87
70
87
-17
no box
H27/01
Eurocup
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
86-72
86
72
+14
83avg 73
H30/01
ABA League
Unics Kazan
#7
L
61-86
61
86
-25
47avg 73
A03/02
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-15
22-23
19-26
19-24
24-18
24-23
21-12
18-23
27-22
22-17
25-15
16-22
27-23
20-20
25-24
30-33
25-21
28-17
18-12
21-28
18-12
19-22
20-25
14-15
22-25
15-15
24-24
17-22
22-21
14-22
18-27
16-17
25-24
29-21
13-11
19-16
17-27
14-24
10-16
20-19
165.3Avg total
83.0Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)80.873.0153.8+7.881%
Season at home (8)78.065.6143.6+12.488%
Season away (8)83.680.4164.0+3.275%
Last 10 (10)83.082.3165.3+0.760%
Last 5 (5)73.281.0154.2-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)76.985.5162.5-8.638%
vs Similar ◀ (8)81.977.6159.5+4.262%
vs Weaker (9)82.166.1148.2+16.0100%
This opponent (Mega Soccerbet) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -2.9-2.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -2.9-2.9
Mega SoccerbetMornar Bar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mega SoccerbetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Split
#11
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H06/12
ABA League
Partizan
#7
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A12/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H20/12
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#8
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A25/12
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#3
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H02/01
ABA League
Igokea
#4
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H10/01
ABA League
Zadar
#10
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A17/01
ABA League
Cibona
#9
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H24/01
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A01/02
ABA League
83.8Avg total
43.0Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)45.840.286.0+5.664%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.939.185.1+6.864%-
Last 30 away (14)45.741.387.0+4.464%-
Last 10 (9)43.040.883.8+2.256%-
Last 5 (5)42.845.087.8-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.443.184.5-1.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)47.442.489.8+5.060%-
vs Weaker (15)47.737.985.6+9.773%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#3
W
55-38
55
38
+17
A27/12
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A30/12
ABA League
Igokea
#4
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H03/01
ABA League
Gran Canaria
#4
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A13/01
Eurocup
Cibona
#9
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A16/01
ABA League
MoraBanc Andorra
#14
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H20/01
Eurocup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H24/01
ABA League
Unics Kazan
#7
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H27/01
Eurocup
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H30/01
ABA League
Unics Kazan
#7
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A03/02
Eurocup
85.9Avg total
44.7Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.840.784.5+3.266%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.439.784.1+4.671%-
Last 30 away (15)43.341.584.9+1.860%-
Last 10 (10)44.741.285.9+3.570%-
Last 5 (5)39.042.681.6-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)41.242.884.0-1.546%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)44.139.083.1+5.175%-
vs Weaker (8)47.838.986.6+8.988%-
This opponent (Mega Soccerbet) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mega Soccerbettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Soccerbet: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.320.0
56.7%
52.4%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.29.0
37.2%
36.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.215.5
76.7%
75.0%15.5
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.017.2
52.1%
52.4%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.010.6
39.3%
36.1%31.8
🏀 Free throws21.516.0
74.4%
75.0%16.0
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Feb 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mega Soccerbet
LWWLLWWLWW
Mornar Bar
LWLLLWWWWW
#6
League position
#5
+4.2
Net rating
+0.9
111.7
Offensive rating
111.3
107.5
Defensive rating
110.3
56.3%
Effective FG%
55.2%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
18.4%
Turnover %
14.6%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
20.5%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.36
37.2%
3-point %
39.3%
66.6%
Assist %
54.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.7 · 111.3Defence107.5 · 110.3Shooting56.3% · 55.2%3-point %37.2% · 39.3%Ball care18.4% · 14.6%Off. rebounds29.7% · 20.5%Free throws0.34 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Mega Soccerbet   ■ Mornar Bar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mega Soccerbet wins
1
Mornar Bar wins
DateGameScore
31/10/20Mornar Bar v Mega Soccerbet80-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/21ACrvena zvezda85-92
24/01/21HCibona72-71
17/01/21AZadar90-83
10/01/21HIgokea84-86
02/01/21HCedevita Olimpija88-93
25/12/20AFMP Beograd92-91 OT
20/12/20HBuducnost78-72
12/12/20APartizan77-79
06/12/20HSplit91-75
21/11/20APrimorska20-0
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/21AUnics Kazan61-86
30/01/21HBorac Mozzart86-72
27/01/21HUnics Kazan70-87
24/01/21HCrvena zvezda78-86
20/01/21HMoraBanc Andorra71-74
16/01/21ACibona92-78
13/01/21AGran Canaria102-100
03/01/21HIgokea90-76
30/12/20ABorac Mozzart87-76
27/12/20ACedevita Olimpija93-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mega Soccerbet
ABA League 2020
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL65%
HomeWWLLW62%
AwayWLWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %65%62%67%
Points / game78.980.977.2
Allowed / game74.978.871.4
Point differential+4.1+2.1+5.8
Avg total153.8159.6148.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%12%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (6)67% (3)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Mornar Bar
ABA League 2020
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW81%
HomeWWWLW88%
AwayWLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %81%88%75%
Points / game80.878.083.6
Allowed / game73.065.680.4
Point differential+7.8+12.4+3.2
Avg total153.8143.6164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%62%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda1412286%81.467.4+14.0
2 Igokea1714382%73.266.9+6.3
3 Mornar Bar1613381%80.873.0+7.8
4 Cedevita Olimpija1512380%80.570.4+10.1
5 Buducnost1512380%77.471.3+6.1
6 Mega Soccerbet1711665%78.974.9+4.1
7 Partizan1771041%75.875.4+0.4
8 KK Krka Novo mesto1551033%66.570.7-4.2
9 FMP Beograd1551033%75.279.7-4.5
10 Cibona1551033%71.277.6-6.4
11 Zadar134931%65.266.9-1.8
12 Split1751229%72.779.2-6.5
13 Borac Mozzart1541127%74.577.8-3.3
14 Primorska170170%0.020.0-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mega Soccerbet2514222990
Mornar Bar2427162289
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