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Mornar Bar vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 78-86
22-25 15-15 24-24 17-22
Position#5
Record12-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game72.1
Mornar Bar
vs
Crvena zvezda 🏆
Position#1
Record10-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game65.1
EuropeABA LeagueRound 16
Domestic2020
Meetings · Mornar Bar v Crvena zvezda
20 Jan 2025
MBA69
CZV110
03 Mar 2024
MBA66
CZV102
20 Apr 2023
MBA65
CZV87
24 Oct 2021
MBA69
CZV77
24 Jan 2021
MBA78
CZV86
09 Feb 2019
MBA57
CZV90
25 Mar 2018
MBA88
CZV84
17 Dec 2017
MBA74
CZV82
31 Oct 2016
MBA59
CZV71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBar
Date
Competition
Levallois
#8
W
89-78
89
78
+11
77avg 73
H09/12
Eurocup
Buducnost
#2
L
74-81
74
81
-7
54avg 73
A13/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#12
W
84-78
84
78
+6
82avg 73
A16/12
Eurocup
FMP Beograd
#8
W
84-74
84
74
+10
80avg 73
H20/12
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#3
W
93-88
93
88
+5
63avg 73
A27/12
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
87-76
87
76
+11
69avg 73
A30/12
ABA League
Igokea
#4
W
90-76
90
76
+14
79avg 73
H03/01
ABA League
Gran Canaria
#4
W
102-100
102
100
+2
101avg 73
A13/01
Eurocup
Cibona
#9
W
92-78
92
78
+14
90avg 73
A16/01
ABA League
MoraBanc Andorra
#14
L
71-74
71
74
-3
58avg 73
H20/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-20
17-24
24-19
16-15
27-17
18-26
14-20
15-18
22-17
25-25
18-16
19-20
20-22
21-18
22-23
21-11
33-15
22-23
19-26
19-24
24-18
24-23
21-12
18-23
27-22
22-17
25-15
16-22
27-23
20-20
25-24
30-33
25-21
28-17
18-12
21-28
18-12
19-22
20-25
14-15
166.9Avg total
86.6Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)80.672.1152.8+8.586%
Season at home (6)76.761.2137.8+15.5100%
Season away (8)83.680.4164.0+3.275%
Last 10 (10)86.680.3166.9+6.380%
Last 5 (5)88.480.8169.2+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)79.185.3164.4-6.250%
vs Similar (9)82.877.6160.3+5.267%
vs Weaker (11)81.567.9149.5+13.691%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#15
L
84-90 OT
84
90
-6
no box
H15/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
W
76-73
76
73
+3
72avg 70
H18/12
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
69-98
69
98
-29
61avg 70
A22/12
Euroleague
Igokea
#4
L
65-85
65
85
-20
39avg 70
A27/12
ABA League
Panathinaikos
#16
W
74-71
74
71
+3
64avg 70
H30/12
Euroleague
Zadar
#10
W
81-66
81
66
+15
75avg 70
H02/01
ABA League
Fenerbahce
#9
L
71-73
71
73
-2
68avg 70
H07/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
L
71-91
71
91
-20
62avg 70
A15/01
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#7
W
79-77
79
77
+2
72avg 70
A18/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
60-72
60
72
-12
46avg 70
H22/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
21-19
20-14
19-28
20-22
25-14
12-21
19-16
12-30
25-18
17-21
15-29
16-25
12-25
15-21
22-14
22-15
26-22
9-9
17-25
22-16
21-12
25-22
13-16
22-18
17-20
14-15
18-20
15-27
27-22
15-19
14-23
23-21
22-19
21-18
13-19
11-21
20-14
14-22
15-15
152.6Avg total
73.0Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)80.265.1145.2+15.183%
Season at home (5)81.066.6147.6+14.480%
Season away (7)79.664.0143.6+15.686%
Last 10 (10)73.079.6152.6-6.640%
Last 5 (5)72.475.8148.2-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)71.979.2151.1-7.329%
vs Similar (4)79.575.5155.0+4.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)77.966.5144.4+11.475%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.8+6.8Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -4.0-4.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.8+6.8Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -4.0-4.0
Mornar BarCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Levallois
#8
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H09/12
Eurocup
Buducnost
#2
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A13/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#12
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A16/12
Eurocup
FMP Beograd
#8
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H20/12
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#3
W
55-38
55
38
+17
A27/12
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A30/12
ABA League
Igokea
#4
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H03/01
ABA League
Gran Canaria
#4
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A13/01
Eurocup
Cibona
#9
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A16/01
ABA League
MoraBanc Andorra
#14
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H20/01
Eurocup
87.3Avg total
47.1Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)44.239.884.0+4.569%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.539.483.9+5.171%-
Last 30 away (15)44.040.184.1+3.967%-
Last 10 (10)47.140.287.3+6.9100%-
Last 5 (5)46.839.085.8+7.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)43.242.285.4+1.060%-
vs Similar (9)44.838.683.3+6.278%-
vs Weaker (10)44.838.483.2+6.470%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#15
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H15/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H18/12
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A22/12
Euroleague
Igokea
#4
L
28-50
28
50
-22
A27/12
ABA League
Panathinaikos
#16
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H30/12
Euroleague
Zadar
#10
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H02/01
ABA League
Fenerbahce
#9
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H07/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A15/01
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#7
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A18/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H22/01
Euroleague
79.0Avg total
39.5Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.438.879.2+1.755%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.136.977.0+3.160%-
Last 30 away (14)40.940.781.6+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)39.539.579.0+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)40.038.078.0+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)37.940.077.9-2.136%-
vs Similar (4)42.036.878.8+5.2100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.237.981.1+5.364%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.719.0
54.8%
52.4%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.510.6
41.6%
36.1%31.8
🏀 Free throws20.815.8
76.0%
75.0%15.8
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.016.7
50.6%
52.4%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.49.1
37.3%
36.1%27.3
🏀 Free throws18.514.2
76.8%
75.0%14.2
They take 57.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mornar Bar
LWWWWWWWLW
Crvena zvezda
LWLLWWLLWL
#5
League position
#1
+8.1
Net rating
-3.1
113.7
Offensive rating
107.0
105.6
Defensive rating
110.1
58.0%
Effective FG%
52.9%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
15.3%
Turnover %
19.3%
20.4%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.32
41.6%
3-point %
37.3%
54.4%
Assist %
61.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence113.7 · 107.0Defence105.6 · 110.1Shooting58.0% · 52.9%3-point %41.6% · 37.3%Ball care15.3% · 19.3%Off. rebounds20.4% · 29.4%Free throws0.35 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Mornar Bar   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mornar Bar wins
9
Crvena zvezda wins
DateGameScore
18/10/20Crvena zvezda v Mornar Bar93-62
09/02/19Mornar Bar v Crvena zvezda57-90
17/11/18Crvena zvezda v Mornar Bar104-71
02/04/18Crvena zvezda v Mornar Bar88-69
25/03/18Mornar Bar v Crvena zvezda88-84
18/03/18Crvena zvezda v Mornar Bar91-63
17/12/17Mornar Bar v Crvena zvezda74-82
01/10/17Crvena zvezda v Mornar Bar88-77
30/01/17Crvena zvezda v Mornar Bar82-71
31/10/16Mornar Bar v Crvena zvezda59-71
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/21HMoraBanc Andorra71-74
16/01/21ACibona92-78
13/01/21AGran Canaria102-100
03/01/21HIgokea90-76
30/12/20ABorac Mozzart87-76
27/12/20ACedevita Olimpija93-88
20/12/20HFMP Beograd84-74
16/12/20ABuducnost84-78
13/12/20ABuducnost74-81
09/12/20HLevallois89-78
Crvena zvezdalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/21HBarcelona60-72
18/01/21AReal Madrid79-77
15/01/21AValencia71-91
07/01/21HFenerbahce71-73
02/01/21HZadar81-66
30/12/20HPanathinaikos74-71
27/12/20AIgokea65-85
22/12/20AZenit Petersburg69-98
18/12/20HValencia76-73
15/12/20HAlba Berlin84-90 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mornar Bar
ABA League 2020
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %86%100%75%
Points / game80.676.783.6
Allowed / game72.161.280.4
Point differential+8.5+15.5+3.2
Avg total152.8137.8164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %7%17%0%
Crvena zvezda
ABA League 2020
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW83%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWWWWL86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %83%80%86%
Points / game80.281.079.6
Allowed / game65.166.664.0
Point differential+15.1+14.4+15.6
Avg total145.2147.6143.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%60%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mornar Bar1412286%80.672.1+8.5
2 Crvena zvezda1210283%80.265.1+15.1
3 Igokea1512380%71.666.3+5.3
4 Cedevita Olimpija1411379%80.770.8+9.9
5 Buducnost1411379%75.970.1+5.8
6 Mega Soccerbet1611569%78.673.8+4.8
7 Partizan157847%76.674.7+1.9
8 KK Krka Novo mesto145936%66.370.1-3.9
9 FMP Beograd145936%74.378.3-4.0
10 Split1651131%73.078.7-5.7
11 Borac Mozzart134931%75.577.8-2.3
12 Zadar123925%68.972.5-3.6
13 Cibona1331023%70.879.3-8.5
14 Primorska160160%0.020.0-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mornar Bar2215241778
Crvena zvezda2515242286
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