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Diamond Valley vs Keilor Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 85-93
25-22 21-26 21-18 18-27
Position#7
Record3-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game88.4
vs
Position#16
Record2-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game89.5
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2023
Meetings · Diamond Valley v Keilor Thunder
29 Mar 2025
DIAM82
KEIL97
09 Apr 2024
DIAM106
KEIL110
29 Apr 2023
DIAM85
KEIL93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Diamond Valley winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keilor Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Diamond ValleyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keilor Thunder
#14
W
79-76
79
76
+3
A23/07
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#19
W
105-83
105
83
+22
H24/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#17
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H30/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#12
W
101-79
101
79
+22
A06/08
NBL1 South
Frankston
#5
L
87-96
87
96
-9
A13/08
NBL1 South
Eltham
#5
L
77-87
77
87
-10
H01/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
W
108-99
108
99
+9
H14/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#18
W
90-89
90
89
+1
A16/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#3
L
78-94
78
94
-16
A22/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A25/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
18-23
23-18
12-17
26-25
32-14
21-24
26-20
20-21
24-15
18-18
11-15
23-23
34-20
23-17
21-19
21-29
19-21
24-18
23-28
25-17
16-26
20-18
16-26
34-19
20-26
25-26
29-28
18-23
16-27
31-21
25-18
17-31
25-21
23-20
13-22
18-25
20-15
20-20
21-13
172.2Avg total
87.7Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)86.488.4174.8-2.060%
Season at home (2)92.593.0185.5-0.550%
Season away (3)82.385.3167.7-3.067%
Last 10 (10)87.784.5172.2+3.270%
Last 5 (5)86.488.4174.8-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)82.893.0175.8-10.28%
vs Similar (12)85.082.6167.6+2.475%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)88.279.5167.7+8.7100%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor ThunderAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankston
#5
L
69-79
69
79
-10
H17/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#10
L
76-79
76
79
-3
H23/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#4
L
80-89
80
89
-9
A30/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#8
W
98-74
98
74
+24
H06/08
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#15
W
75-67
75
67
+8
H13/08
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
71-85
71
85
-14
A14/08
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
73-88
73
88
-15
H02/04
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#11
W
95-92
95
92
+3
H14/04
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#12
W
84-72
84
72
+12
H15/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#4
L
82-106
82
106
-24
A22/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
22-22
6-20
22-19
18-26
23-18
18-23
17-12
15-17
24-17
21-18
20-37
23-25
24-19
25-15
26-15
18-26
16-15
18-18
23-8
6-21
18-25
23-22
24-17
14-20
29-25
13-30
17-13
33-24
23-26
28-15
11-27
23-15
29-19
16-14
16-24
26-31
22-30
19-16
15-29
163.4Avg total
80.3Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.589.5173.0-6.050%
Season at home (3)84.084.0168.0+0.067%
Season away (1)82.0106.0188.0-24.00%
Last 10 (10)80.383.1163.4-2.840%
Last 5 (5)81.088.6169.6-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)79.585.5164.9-6.036%
vs Similar (11)76.679.6156.3-3.027%
vs Weaker (4)74.566.2140.8+8.275%
This opponent (Diamond Valley) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -1.0-1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -1.0-1.0
Diamond ValleyKeilor Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Diamond ValleyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keilor Thunder
#14
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A23/07
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#19
W
58-39
58
39
+19
H24/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#17
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H30/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#12
W
57-43
57
43
+14
A06/08
NBL1 South
Frankston
#5
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A13/08
NBL1 South
Eltham
#5
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H01/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H14/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#18
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A16/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#3
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A22/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A25/04
NBL1 South
89.1Avg total
45.2Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.344.686.9-2.343%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.042.985.9+0.157%-
Last 30 away (16)41.846.187.8-4.331%-
Last 10 (10)45.243.989.1+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)41.846.087.8-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)39.147.886.9-8.817%-
vs Similar (12)44.042.586.5+1.558%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)45.542.387.8+3.267%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankston
#5
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H17/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#10
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H23/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#4
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A30/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#8
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H06/08
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#15
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H13/08
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
24-46
24
46
-22
A14/08
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H02/04
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#11
W
56-50
56
50
+6
H14/04
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#12
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H15/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#4
L
48-61
48
61
-13
A22/04
NBL1 South
86.4Avg total
42.5Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)39.840.580.3-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.241.483.6+0.957%-
Last 30 away (12)37.139.476.5-2.342%-
Last 10 (10)42.543.986.4-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)44.647.291.8-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)42.543.485.8-0.955%-
vs Similar (11)37.540.978.5-3.436%-
vs Weaker (4)39.031.270.2+7.875%-
This opponent (Diamond Valley) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Diamond Valley wins
0
Keilor Thunder wins
DateGameScore
23/07/22Keilor Thunder v Diamond Valley76-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/23AWaverley79-73
22/04/23AFrankston78-94
16/04/23ADandenong90-89
14/04/23HRingwood108-99
01/04/23HEltham77-87
13/08/22AFrankston87-96
06/08/22ABallarat101-79
30/07/22HEltham73-69
24/07/22HDandenong105-83
23/07/22AKeilor Thunder79-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/04/23AMt Gambier82-106
15/04/23HMelbourne Tigers84-72
14/04/23HBallarat95-92
02/04/23HKnox73-88
14/08/22AKnox71-85
13/08/22HCasey Cavaliers75-67
06/08/22HGeelong98-74
30/07/22ASandringham Sabres80-89
23/07/22HDiamond Valley76-79
17/07/22HFrankston69-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Diamond Valley
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW60%
HomeLW50%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game86.492.582.3
Allowed / game88.493.085.3
Point differential-2.0-0.5-3.0
Avg total174.8185.5167.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Keilor Thunder
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeLWW67%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game83.584.082.0
Allowed / game89.584.0106.0
Point differential-6.0+0.0-24.0
Avg total173.0168.0188.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mt Gambier550100%105.887.8+18.0
2 Eltham440100%90.874.5+16.2
3 Frankston65183%99.283.3+15.8
4 Ballarat64267%94.389.0+5.3
5 Kilsyth64267%94.890.5+4.3
6 Nunawading53260%93.886.0+7.8
7 Diamond Valley53260%86.488.4-2.0
8 Hobart Chargers63350%83.887.3-3.5
9 Keilor Thunder42250%83.589.5-6.0
10 Sandringham Sabres63350%87.294.3-7.2
11 Knox52340%83.676.6+7.0
12 Casey Cavaliers52340%79.680.0-0.4
13 Ringwood52340%90.692.2-1.6
14 NW Tasmania52340%79.491.4-12.0
15 Dandenong62433%87.589.0-1.5
16 Melbourne Tigers62433%79.385.0-5.7
17 Waverley51420%79.889.8-10.0
18 Bendigo Braves61517%85.097.7-12.7
19 Geelong4040%82.593.8-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Diamond Valley2521211885
Keilor Thunder2226182793
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