Melbourne Tigers vs Frankston Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Jun 2023

Tip-off: 04:30

Final 98-86 (OT)

22-26 11-20 30-21 20-16 15-3

Position#12

Record7-9

FormLWLWW

Points / game83.3

Allowed / game87.1

Melbourne Tigers 🏆

Frankston

Position#3

Record13-3

FormWWWWW

Points / game93.5

Allowed / game82.9

NBL1 South

Other2023

Meetings · Melbourne Tigers v Frankston

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne Tigers winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Frankston winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne Tigers Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

NW Tasmania

#17

84-69

+15

A29/04

NBL1 South

Mt Gambier

100-76

100

+24

H07/05

NBL1 South

Eltham

91-100

100

-9

A13/05

NBL1 South

Knox

80-93

-13

H14/05

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

75-89

-14

H21/05

NBL1 South

Nunawading

64-103

103

-39

A27/05

NBL1 South

Ballarat

#11

106-88

106

+18

H04/06

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

74-99

-25

A08/06

NBL1 South

Ringwood

#15

100-85

100

+15

H18/06

NBL1 South

Bendigo Braves

#13

83-82 OT

A23/06

NBL1 South

25-11

17-16

27-25

15-17

28-18

25-24

28-14

19-20

22-23

26-20

14-25

29-32

26-25

13-26

12-29

29-13

20-25

31-17

15-18

9-29

19-33

19-19

15-26

11-25

28-14

27-26

23-27

28-21

18-29

17-25

22-23

17-22

23-23

22-22

21-20

34-20

25-21

15-13

13-21

20-18

174.1Avg total

85.7Scored

88.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	83.3	87.1	170.4	-3.8	44%
Season at home (7)	90.1	85.9	176.0	+4.3	57%
Season away (9)	78.0	88.1	166.1	-10.1	33%
Last 10 (10)	85.7	88.4	174.1	-2.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	85.4	91.4	176.8	-6.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	75.2	85.4	160.5	-10.2	26%
vs Similar (8)	83.8	83.0	166.8	+0.8	50%
vs Weaker (3)	79.7	78.3	158.0	+1.3	67%

This opponent (Frankston) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Frankston

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Geelong

#10

73-79

-6

A29/04

NBL1 South

Ballarat

#11

106-87

106

+19

H07/05

NBL1 South

Ringwood

#15

88-81

A13/05

NBL1 South

Casey Cavaliers

#19

90-78

+12

A14/05

NBL1 South

Knox

78-87 OT

-9

A20/05

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#16

106-103

106

103

H27/05

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

99-75

+24

A02/06

NBL1 South

NW Tasmania

#17

76-69

A03/06

NBL1 South

Eltham

90-78

+12

H17/06

NBL1 South

Dandenong

#18

95-90

A24/06

NBL1 South

18-26

22-15

16-18

17-20

32-22

18-26

29-24

27-15

18-24

27-19

21-20

22-18

20-16

23-15

26-18

21-29

15-23

17-13

21-21

21-17

24-32

29-25

29-17

24-29

27-24

27-16

23-22

22-13

23-22

17-12

13-15

23-20

28-19

24-20

22-20

16-19

18-18

27-29

30-9

20-34

172.8Avg total

90.1Scored

82.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	93.5	82.9	176.4	+10.6	81%
Season at home (7)	99.1	86.1	185.3	+13.0	86%
Season away (9)	89.1	80.4	169.6	+8.7	78%
Last 10 (10)	90.1	82.7	172.8	+7.4	80%
Last 5 (5)	93.2	83.0	176.2	+10.2	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	80.3	86.0	166.3	-5.7	33%
vs Similar (6)	92.3	89.5	181.8	+2.8	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	92.1	80.7	172.8	+11.4	86%

This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Melbourne TigersFrankston

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	22.1	42.8	-1.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.7	22.0	44.7	+0.7	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	22.2	41.1	-3.3	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	22.2	45.6	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	24.0	46.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	21.1	22.9	44.1	-1.8	32%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.2	21.5	40.8	-2.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.7	18.3	40.0	+3.3	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	23.5	22.0	45.5	+1.5	59%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	27.1	21.5	48.6	+5.5	77%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	22.4	42.9	-1.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	22.6	44.9	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	23.0	47.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	15.7	24.3	40.0	-8.7	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	28.0	22.0	50.0	+6.0	83%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	23.3	21.6	45.0	+1.7	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	20.6	41.3	+0.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.5	21.8	43.3	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.1	19.5	39.6	+0.6	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	20.8	42.0	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	20.1	21.0	41.1	-0.9	53%	-
vs Similar (8)	23.8	20.0	43.8	+3.8	62%	-
vs Weaker (3)	17.0	19.3	36.3	-2.3	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	22.3	20.4	42.8	+1.9	55%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.6	21.2	41.8	-0.6	46%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.8	19.8	43.5	+4.0	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	19.0	42.1	+4.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	20.4	45.2	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.7	16.0	36.7	+4.7	67%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.8	22.5	44.3	-0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	22.8	20.4	43.2	+2.3	55%	-

Melbourne TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

NW Tasmania

#17

42-27

+15

A29/04

NBL1 South

Mt Gambier

53-42

+11

H07/05

NBL1 South

Eltham

48-43

A13/05

NBL1 South

Knox

39-51

-12

H14/05

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

51-42

H21/05

NBL1 South

Nunawading

38-52

-14

A27/05

NBL1 South

Ballarat

#11

55-40

+15

H04/06

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

35-54

-19

A08/06

NBL1 South

Ringwood

#15

45-45

H18/06

NBL1 South

Bendigo Braves

#13

40-34

A23/06

NBL1 South

87.6Avg total

44.6Scored

43.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	42.7	84.1	-1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.2	43.8	88.0	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.0	41.7	80.7	-2.7	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.6	43.0	87.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	45.0	87.6	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	41.2	43.9	85.2	-2.7	42%	-
vs Similar (8)	43.0	41.5	84.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	38.7	37.7	76.3	+1.0	67%	-

This opponent (Frankston) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

FrankstonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Geelong

#10

40-41

-1

A29/04

NBL1 South

Ballarat

#11

50-48

H07/05

NBL1 South

Ringwood

#15

45-43

A13/05

NBL1 South

Casey Cavaliers

#19

43-31

+12

A14/05

NBL1 South

Knox

32-36

-4

A20/05

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#16

53-57

-4

H27/05

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

54-40

+14

A02/06

NBL1 South

NW Tasmania

#17

40-34

A03/06

NBL1 South

Eltham

52-39

+13

H17/06

NBL1 South

Dandenong

#18

45-47

-2

A24/06

NBL1 South

87.0Avg total

45.4Scored

41.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	45.8	42.4	88.2	+3.4	66%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	47.7	42.8	90.5	+4.9	77%	-
Last 30 away (16)	44.3	42.1	86.4	+2.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.4	41.6	87.0	+3.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.8	43.4	92.2	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	36.3	40.3	76.7	-4.0	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	49.8	44.5	94.3	+5.3	83%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	46.0	42.1	88.2	+3.9	65%	-

This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	20.8	40.0	-1.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	20.9	40.4	-1.3	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	20.8	39.6	-2.0	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	22.8	41.8	-3.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	23.4	42.2	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	18.5	20.7	39.2	-2.2	37%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.1	21.2	42.4	-0.1	25%	-
vs Weaker (3)	18.0	20.7	38.7	-2.7	33%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	22.7	20.1	42.8	+2.6	55%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.0	22.7	44.7	-0.7	46%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.3	18.0	41.3	+5.3	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	18.4	41.4	+4.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	16.6	40.0	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.0	23.0	45.0	-1.0	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.7	23.7	44.3	-3.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	23.4	18.6	42.0	+4.8	65%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.0	20.2	37.2	-3.3	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.6	19.6	36.2	-2.9	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.2	20.8	38.1	-3.6	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	21.7	42.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	21.2	43.2	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	15.4	20.7	36.2	-5.3	11%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.6	20.2	39.9	-0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	19.7	17.0	36.7	+2.7	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.8	20.1	41.9	+1.8	55%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	24.5	20.6	45.2	+3.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	19.6	39.2	+0.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	21.4	42.7	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	23.0	44.0	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.7	18.3	39.0	+2.3	67%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.8	21.3	43.2	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	22.0	19.9	42.0	+2.1	55%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.1	41.1	77.2	-4.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.2	40.4	76.6	-4.2	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.1	41.6	77.7	-5.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	44.5	84.6	-4.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	44.6	85.4	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	33.9	41.4	75.4	-7.5	21%	-
vs Similar (8)	40.8	41.5	82.2	-0.8	62%	-
vs Weaker (3)	37.7	37.7	75.3	+0.0	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	44.6	40.2	84.7	+4.4	62%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	46.5	43.3	89.8	+3.2	54%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.9	37.6	80.6	+5.3	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.3	39.8	84.1	+4.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	39.6	84.0	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	42.7	41.3	84.0	+1.3	67%	-
vs Similar (6)	42.5	45.0	87.5	-2.5	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	45.5	38.5	84.0	+6.9	70%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Melbourne Tigers wins

Frankston wins

Date	Game	Score
14/08/22	Melbourne Tigers v Frankston	61-105
06/07/19	Frankston v Melbourne Tigers	99-98
07/04/19	Melbourne Tigers v Frankston	102-91
01/07/17	Melbourne Tigers v Frankston	85-69
21/05/17	Frankston v Melbourne Tigers	80-78
14/05/16	Melbourne Tigers v Frankston	61-76

Melbourne Tigerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/06/23	A	Bendigo Braves	83-82 OT
18/06/23	H	Ringwood	100-85
08/06/23	A	Sandringham Sabres	74-99
04/06/23	H	Ballarat	106-88
27/05/23	A	Nunawading	64-103
21/05/23	H	Diamond Valley	75-89
14/05/23	H	Knox	80-93
13/05/23	A	Eltham	91-100
07/05/23	H	Mt Gambier	100-76
29/04/23	A	NW Tasmania	84-69

Frankstonlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/06/23	A	Dandenong	95-90
17/06/23	H	Eltham	90-78
03/06/23	A	NW Tasmania	76-69
02/06/23	A	Hobart Chargers	99-75
27/05/23	H	Keilor Thunder	106-103
20/05/23	A	Knox	78-87 OT
14/05/23	A	Casey Cavaliers	90-78
13/05/23	A	Ringwood	88-81
07/05/23	H	Ballarat	106-87
29/04/23	A	Geelong	73-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne Tigers

NBL1 South 2023

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	44%
Home	WLLWW	57%
Away	WLLLW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	7	9
Win %	44%	57%	33%
Points / game	83.3	90.1	78.0
Allowed / game	87.1	85.9	88.1
Point differential	-3.8	+4.3	-10.1
Avg total	170.4	176.0	166.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	31%	43%	22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	50% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	6%	0%	11%

Frankston

NBL1 South 2023

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	81%
Home	WWWWW	86%
Away	WLWWW	78%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	7	9
Win %	81%	86%	78%
Points / game	93.5	99.1	89.1
Allowed / game	82.9	86.1	80.4
Point differential	+10.6	+13.0	+8.7
Avg total	176.4	185.3	169.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	56%	71%	44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	6%	0%	11%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Frankston	16	13	3	81%	93.5	82.9	+10.6
2	Knox	17	13	4	76%	88.2	75.5	+12.7
3	Sandringham Sabres	17	13	4	76%	92.8	84.5	+8.3
4	Mt Gambier	16	11	5	69%	95.2	87.7	+7.5
5	Waverley	16	10	6	62%	86.1	84.4	+1.7
6	Nunawading	17	10	7	59%	90.4	84.4	+6.1
7	Eltham	17	10	7	59%	89.4	83.6	+5.8
8	Diamond Valley	17	10	7	59%	87.9	87.5	+0.4
9	Geelong	16	8	8	50%	89.4	88.7	+0.7
10	Ballarat	17	8	9	47%	92.1	94.1	-2.1
11	Melbourne Tigers	16	7	9	44%	83.3	87.1	-3.8
12	Bendigo Braves	16	7	9	44%	88.2	93.4	-5.2
13	Keilor Thunder	16	7	9	44%	86.8	93.5	-6.7
14	Kilsyth	17	7	10	41%	88.2	89.8	-1.6
15	Hobart Chargers	17	7	10	41%	83.6	86.9	-3.2
16	NW Tasmania	17	7	10	41%	81.6	89.1	-7.5
17	Ringwood	18	5	13	28%	88.9	94.1	-5.2
18	Casey Cavaliers	17	3	14	18%	74.3	86.8	-12.5
19	Dandenong	18	3	15	17%	86.4	91.4	-5.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Melbourne Tigers	22	11	30	20	15	98
Frankston	26	20	21	16	3	86

← all games of the day

Melbourne Tigers vs Frankston Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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