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Melbourne Tigers vs Ballarat Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Jun 2023
Tip-off: 04:30
Final 106-88
28-14 27-26 23-27 28-21
Position#12
Record4-8
FormWLLLL
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game86.7
vs
Position#11
Record6-7
FormLLLWL
Points / game91.8
Allowed / game93.2
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2023
Meetings · Melbourne Tigers v Ballarat
26 Jul 2025
MELB89
BALL77
18 May 2024
MELB80
BALL78
04 Jun 2023
MELB106
BALL88
07 Aug 2022
MELB86
BALL78
27 Jun 2021
MELB77
BALL92
20 May 2017
MELB55
BALL86
08 May 2016
MELB82
BALL103
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne Tigers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ballarat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne TigersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keilor Thunder
#16
L
72-84
72
84
-12
A15/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#6
W
82-79
82
79
+3
H20/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#18
W
95-82
95
82
+13
A22/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
71-82
71
82
-11
A28/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#17
W
84-69
84
69
+15
A29/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#4
W
100-76
100
76
+24
H07/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#5
L
91-100
91
100
-9
A13/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
80-93
80
93
-13
H14/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#7
L
75-89
75
89
-14
H21/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#6
L
64-103
64
103
-39
A27/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
19-29
14-16
24-16
29-13
26-19
15-25
12-22
24-21
25-17
19-21
27-23
13-25
18-24
22-23
18-10
25-11
17-16
27-25
15-17
28-18
25-24
28-14
19-20
22-23
26-20
14-25
29-32
26-25
13-26
12-29
29-13
20-25
31-17
15-18
9-29
19-33
19-19
15-26
11-25
167.1Avg total
81.4Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)80.886.7167.5-5.833%
Season at home (5)85.085.6170.6-0.640%
Season away (7)77.987.4165.3-9.629%
Last 10 (10)81.485.7167.1-4.340%
Last 5 (5)82.092.2174.2-10.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)74.885.4160.2-10.623%
vs Similar ◀ (6)77.381.8159.2-4.533%
vs Weaker (2)78.076.5154.5+1.550%
This opponent (Ballarat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BallaratAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nunawading
#6
L
76-104
76
104
-28
A15/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
94-83
94
83
+11
A21/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#17
W
94-84
94
84
+10
A22/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#18
W
97-88
97
88
+9
H29/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#7
L
75-87
75
87
-12
A06/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#3
L
87-106
87
106
-19
A07/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
92-99
92
99
-7
H13/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
L
95-108
95
108
-13
H20/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
94-91 OT
94
91
+3
A27/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
L
87-99
87
99
-12
H03/06
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-35
22-22
12-28
18-19
27-16
16-24
27-14
24-29
29-25
14-25
19-21
32-13
24-24
18-21
29-14
26-29
19-17
21-18
19-28
16-24
22-32
26-18
24-29
15-27
38-23
30-30
8-22
16-24
32-19
18-38
17-24
28-27
23-13
18-31
26-25
18-16
18-14
22-30
19-23
28-32
184.0Avg total
89.1Scored
94.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)91.893.2185.0-1.546%
Season at home (6)96.893.7190.5+3.250%
Season away (7)87.492.9180.3-5.443%
Last 10 (10)89.194.9184.0-5.840%
Last 5 (5)91.0100.6191.6-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)81.294.2175.4-13.011%
vs Similar ◀ (13)82.383.9166.2-1.646%
vs Weaker (8)91.485.8177.1+5.675%
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -1.9-1.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -1.9-1.9
Melbourne TigersBallarat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Melbourne TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keilor Thunder
#16
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A15/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#6
W
55-32
55
32
+23
H20/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#18
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A22/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A28/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#17
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A29/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#4
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H07/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#5
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A13/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H14/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#7
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H21/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#6
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A27/05
NBL1 South
86.8Avg total
44.0Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.143.083.1-3.043%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.644.186.8-1.550%-
Last 30 away (16)37.842.179.9-4.238%-
Last 10 (10)44.042.886.8+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)45.846.091.8-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)40.143.984.0-3.841%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)40.741.281.8-0.550%-
vs Weaker (2)38.039.577.5-1.550%-
This opponent (Ballarat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nunawading
#6
L
46-57
46
57
-11
A15/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A21/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#17
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A22/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#18
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H29/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#7
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A06/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#3
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A07/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
W
68-53
68
53
+15
H13/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
L
50-57
50
57
-7
H20/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A27/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H03/06
NBL1 South
93.6Avg total
46.1Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.244.688.8-0.443%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.744.090.7+2.753%-
Last 30 away (15)41.745.186.9-3.433%-
Last 10 (10)46.147.593.6-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)49.449.699.0-0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)45.346.491.8-1.144%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)41.442.483.8-1.046%-
vs Weaker (8)47.546.093.5+1.538%-
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Melbourne Tigers wins
7
Ballarat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/05/23ANunawading64-103
21/05/23HDiamond Valley75-89
14/05/23HKnox80-93
13/05/23AEltham91-100
07/05/23HMt Gambier100-76
29/04/23ANW Tasmania84-69
28/04/23AHobart Chargers71-82
22/04/23ADandenong95-82
20/04/23HNunawading82-79
15/04/23AKeilor Thunder72-84
Ballaratlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/06/23HSandringham Sabres87-99
27/05/23ACasey Cavaliers94-91 OT
20/05/23HWaverley95-108
13/05/23HKnox92-99
07/05/23AFrankston87-106
06/05/23ADiamond Valley75-87
29/04/23HDandenong97-88
22/04/23ANW Tasmania94-84
21/04/23AHobart Chargers94-83
15/04/23ANunawading76-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne Tigers
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL33%
HomeLWWLL40%
AwayWLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %33%40%29%
Points / game80.885.077.9
Allowed / game86.785.687.4
Point differential-5.8-0.6-9.6
Avg total167.5170.6165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%20%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ballarat
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL46%
HomeWWLLL50%
AwayWWLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %46%50%43%
Points / game91.896.887.4
Allowed / game93.293.792.9
Point differential-1.5+3.2-5.4
Avg total185.0190.5180.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%33%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Frankston1411379%93.682.8+10.9
2 Eltham1310377%93.180.2+12.9
3 Knox1410471%85.676.6+9.1
4 Sandringham Sabres1410471%92.586.7+5.8
5 Nunawading139469%92.182.1+10.0
6 Mt Gambier127558%93.587.8+5.8
7 Diamond Valley137654%87.387.8-0.5
8 Waverley137654%84.586.1-1.5
9 Geelong126650%87.688.2-0.7
10 Hobart Chargers147750%82.884.7-1.9
11 Ballarat136746%91.893.2-1.5
12 Keilor Thunder136746%86.592.2-5.6
13 NW Tasmania146843%81.988.6-6.7
14 Kilsyth135838%86.991.0-4.1
15 Bendigo Braves135838%89.397.2-7.8
16 Melbourne Tigers124833%80.886.7-5.8
17 Ringwood1441029%88.091.6-3.6
18 Casey Cavaliers1331023%77.087.5-10.5
19 Dandenong1531220%86.490.9-4.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Melbourne Tigers28272328106
Ballarat1426272188
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