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Melbourne Tigers W vs Diamond Valley W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 11 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 102-55
23-18 27-12 30-11 22-14
Position#8
Record11-8
FormWWWLL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game75.3
vs
Position#6
Record12-6
FormWLWWL
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game77.3
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2025
Meetings · Melbourne Tigers W v Diamond Valley W
11 Jul 2025
MELB102
DIAM55
21 May 2023
MELB61
DIAM81
03 Jul 2022
MELB60
DIAM50
11 May 2019
MELB73
DIAM51
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne Tigers W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Diamond Valley W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne Tigers WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Casey Cavaliers W
#11
W
85-77
85
77
+8
A24/05
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#1
L
56-79
56
79
-23
A31/05
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
L
80-91
80
91
-11
H06/06
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A14/06
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
W
104-74
104
74
+30
H15/06
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#14
W
82-57
82
57
+25
A20/06
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
W
92-89 OT
92
89
+3
H28/06
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
W
98-61
98
61
+37
H29/06
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
L
79-82
79
82
-3
A05/07
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#10
L
43-69
43
69
-26
A08/07
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-18
17-27
22-16
14-16
15-11
10-26
16-18
15-24
24-27
21-15
8-33
27-16
18-31
21-9
15-12
10-16
21-16
20-22
30-27
33-9
31-17
17-15
17-8
17-17
28-16
24-28
13-20
15-16
24-19
22-16
22-17
30-9
15-28
25-13
13-21
26-20
6-17
15-15
16-22
6-15
153.0Avg total
78.3Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)79.475.3154.7+4.158%
Season at home (9)85.278.6163.8+6.767%
Season away (10)74.172.4146.5+1.750%
Last 10 (10)78.374.7153.0+3.650%
Last 5 (5)78.871.6150.4+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)68.480.3148.6-11.918%
vs Similar ◀ (5)71.482.2153.6-10.80%
vs Weaker (14)86.477.0163.4+9.479%
This opponent (Diamond Valley W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Diamond Valley WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat W
#13
W
86-71
86
71
+15
A11/05
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
W
94-78
94
78
+16
H17/05
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
L
83-85
83
85
-2
A24/05
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#19
W
92-55
92
55
+37
A31/05
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A09/06
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
W
101-68
101
68
+33
H14/06
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#1
L
66-83
66
83
-17
A21/06
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#14
W
80-60
80
60
+20
A27/06
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
W
92-87
92
87
+5
H29/06
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
L
63-76
63
76
-13
A05/07
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
22-18
22-18
20-18
26-22
21-19
25-19
22-18
13-25
17-12
29-27
24-21
24-15
20-10
21-15
27-15
21-18
20-24
11-13
25-16
35-15
20-21
24-23
22-9
20-29
12-18
18-16
16-20
20-21
24-12
22-15
14-12
21-19
30-29
22-24
19-15
16-19
18-18
8-21
21-18
156.8Avg total
83.4Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)84.277.3161.6+6.967%
Season at home (8)90.181.6171.8+8.575%
Season away (10)79.573.9153.4+5.660%
Last 10 (10)83.473.4156.8+10.070%
Last 5 (5)80.474.8155.2+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)68.783.4152.1-14.811%
vs Similar ◀ (10)83.073.3156.3+9.770%
vs Weaker (11)87.573.0160.5+14.591%
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +4.8+4.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +4.8+4.8
Melbourne Tigers WDiamond Valley W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Melbourne Tigers WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Casey Cavaliers W
#11
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A24/05
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#1
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A31/05
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H06/06
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A14/06
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H15/06
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#14
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A20/06
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H28/06
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H29/06
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A05/07
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#10
L
21-32
21
32
-11
A08/07
NBL1 South Women
79.2Avg total
40.6Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.240.380.5-0.157%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.441.180.4-1.757%-
Last 30 away (16)40.939.680.5+1.256%-
Last 10 (10)40.638.679.2+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)41.436.878.2+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)35.042.277.2-7.227%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)38.438.276.6+0.260%-
vs Weaker (14)44.939.684.4+5.379%-
This opponent (Diamond Valley W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Diamond Valley WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat W
#13
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A11/05
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H17/05
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A24/05
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#19
W
44-25
44
25
+19
A31/05
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A09/06
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H14/06
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#1
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A21/06
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#14
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A27/06
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H29/06
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A05/07
NBL1 South Women
80.3Avg total
42.2Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.239.681.8+2.550%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.142.487.4+2.757%-
Last 30 away (16)39.637.276.9+2.444%-
Last 10 (10)42.238.180.3+4.160%-
Last 5 (5)43.240.283.4+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.843.880.6-7.011%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)43.737.781.4+6.050%-
vs Weaker (11)45.238.083.2+7.282%-
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Melbourne Tigers W wins
2
Diamond Valley W wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/07/25ARingwood W43-69
05/07/25ASandringham W79-82
29/06/25HBendigo Braves W98-61
28/06/25HLaunceston W92-89 OT
20/06/25AMt. Gambier W82-57
15/06/25HHobart Chargers W104-74
14/06/25AKnox W64-68
06/06/25HKeilor Thunder W80-91
31/05/25AGeelong W56-79
24/05/25ACasey Cavaliers W85-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/07/25AKeilor Thunder W63-76
29/06/25HLaunceston W92-87
27/06/25AMt. Gambier W80-60
21/06/25AGeelong W66-83
14/06/25HSandringham W101-68
09/06/25AWaverley W77-71
31/05/25AEltham W92-55
24/05/25ABendigo Braves W83-85
17/05/25HKilsyth W94-78
11/05/25ABallarat W86-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne Tigers W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL58%
HomeWLWWW67%
AwayLLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %58%67%50%
Points / game79.485.274.1
Allowed / game75.378.672.4
Point differential+4.1+6.7+1.7
Avg total154.7163.8146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%33%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %5%11%0%
Diamond Valley W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL67%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %67%75%60%
Points / game84.290.179.5
Allowed / game77.381.673.9
Point differential+6.9+8.5+5.6
Avg total161.6171.8153.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Geelong W18180100%89.164.8+24.3
2 Keilor Thunder W1816289%81.971.5+10.4
3 Knox W1916384%82.165.2+16.8
4 Dandenong Rangers W1813572%85.473.2+12.2
5 Waverley W1913668%77.971.7+6.2
6 Diamond Valley W1812667%84.277.3+6.9
7 Melbourne Tigers W1911858%79.475.3+4.1
8 Frankston W1810856%76.271.8+4.4
9 Ringwood W2011955%78.575.0+3.4
10 Sandringham W189950%78.679.2-0.7
11 Casey Cavaliers W1881044%74.579.6-5.1
12 Nunawading W1981142%67.476.6-9.2
13 Ballarat W1861233%70.782.3-11.6
14 Mt. Gambier W1961332%67.776.1-8.4
15 Hobart Chargers W1951426%71.480.6-9.3
16 Kilsyth W1951426%69.981.5-11.6
17 Launceston W1941521%73.281.3-8.1
18 Eltham W1831517%72.884.8-12.1
19 Bendigo Braves W2031715%72.283.0-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Melbourne Tigers W23273022102
Diamond Valley W1812111455
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