PythiaBasketballBETA
The Memphis Grizzlies host the Golden State Warriors on 19 November 2026 in the NBA, with the Warriors the model favourite and a 57% chance of victory versus 43% for Memphis, who are projected to score 114 to 116 for a total of 230.3 points. Memphis is 8-4 across all 12 games this season, averaging 119.9 points and allowing 111.8, while Golden State is 8-5 in 13 games, averaging 116.7 points and conceding 112.4. At home, Memphis has struggled, 2-4 with 118.5 points for and 116.8 against, whereas on the road Golden State is 2-4, 112.2 points for and 120.7 against. In the last five, Memphis went 2-3 and Golden State 3-2, with recent results showing Memphis beating the Pelicans 142-111 and Toronto 118-102, and losing to Denver 118-123, while Golden State fell to the Spurs 85-123 and Rockets 108-115 but beat the Pelicans 138-87. Historically, the Warriors have won eight of ten meetings, most recently losing 111-108 to Memphis on 23 October. The Pythia model gives the Warriors a 57% chance to win and a 43% chance for Memphis, with a projected score of 114-116, a 6% overtime probability, and no spread or total lines provided.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (12) | 119.9 | 111.8 | 231.8 | +8.1 | 67% |
| Season at home (6) | 118.5 | 116.8 | 235.3 | +1.7 | 33% |
| Season away (6) | 121.3 | 106.8 | 228.2 | +14.5 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 120.5 | 113.1 | 233.6 | +7.4 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 115.6 | 114.2 | 229.8 | +1.4 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (13) | 109.8 | 128.6 | 238.5 | -18.8 | 8% |
| vs Similar ◀ (7) | 113.6 | 123.6 | 237.1 | -10.0 | 43% |
| vs Weaker (10) | 120.4 | 113.1 | 233.5 | +7.3 | 60% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (13) | 116.7 | 112.4 | 229.1 | +4.3 | 62% |
| Season at home (7) | 120.6 | 105.3 | 225.9 | +15.3 | 86% |
| Season away (6) | 112.2 | 120.7 | 232.8 | -8.5 | 33% |
| Last 10 (10) | 118.2 | 109.2 | 227.4 | +9.0 | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 115.4 | 108.8 | 224.2 | +6.6 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (8) | 104.2 | 118.4 | 222.6 | -14.1 | 12% |
| vs Similar ◀ (10) | 111.5 | 115.7 | 227.2 | -4.2 | 30% |
| vs Weaker (12) | 123.0 | 114.2 | 237.2 | +8.8 | 83% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 56.6 | 61.4 | 118.0 | -4.8 | 30% | - |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 55.6 | 61.1 | 116.7 | -5.4 | 19% | - |
| Last 30 away (14) | 57.7 | 61.8 | 119.5 | -4.1 | 43% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 59.3 | 58.4 | 117.7 | +0.9 | 60% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 56.4 | 60.2 | 116.6 | -3.8 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (13) | 54.3 | 63.9 | 118.2 | -9.6 | 8% | - |
| vs Similar ◀ (7) | 56.1 | 62.0 | 118.1 | -5.9 | 14% | - |
| vs Weaker (10) | 59.9 | 57.7 | 117.6 | +2.2 | 70% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 54.8 | 56.6 | 111.4 | -1.8 | 30% | - |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 56.5 | 54.8 | 111.3 | +1.7 | 36% | - |
| Last 30 away (16) | 53.2 | 58.2 | 111.4 | -4.9 | 25% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 55.7 | 52.7 | 108.4 | +3.0 | 50% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 53.2 | 51.2 | 104.4 | +2.0 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (8) | 50.4 | 57.2 | 107.6 | -6.9 | 25% | - |
| vs Similar ◀ (10) | 52.4 | 56.8 | 109.2 | -4.4 | 10% | - |
| vs Weaker (12) | 59.7 | 56.0 | 115.7 | +3.7 | 50% | - |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 50.5 | 26.7 | 54.0% | 53.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 40.0 | 15.3 | 35.1% | 45.9 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 20.3 | 17.2 | 77.2% | 17.2 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 44.1 | 23.6 | 54.0% | 47.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 40.7 | 16.7 | 35.1% | 50.1 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 23.8 | 19.0 | 77.2% | 19.0 |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 24/10/26 | Golden State Warriors v Memphis Grizzlies | 108-111 |
| 26/02/26 | Memphis Grizzlies v Golden State Warriors | 112-133 |
| 10/02/26 | Golden State Warriors v Memphis Grizzlies | 114-113 |
| 28/10/25 | Golden State Warriors v Memphis Grizzlies | 131-118 |
| 16/04/25 | Golden State Warriors v Memphis Grizzlies | 121-116 |
| 02/04/25 | Memphis Grizzlies v Golden State Warriors | 125-134 |
| 05/01/25 | Golden State Warriors v Memphis Grizzlies | 121-113 |
| 20/12/24 | Memphis Grizzlies v Golden State Warriors | 144-93 |
| 16/11/24 | Golden State Warriors v Memphis Grizzlies | 123-118 |
| 21/03/24 | Golden State Warriors v Memphis Grizzlies | 137-116 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | A | New Orleans Pelicans | 142-111 |
| 12/11/26 | H | Denver Nuggets | 118-123 |
| 10/11/26 | A | Toronto Raptors | 118-102 |
| 07/11/26 | H | Oklahoma City Thunder | 97-128 |
| 05/11/26 | H | Indiana Pacers | 103-107 |
| 03/11/26 | H | New Orleans Pelicans | 134-135 OT |
| 01/11/26 | H | Sacramento Kings | 136-105 |
| 30/10/26 | A | Portland Trail Blazers | 124-103 |
| 27/10/26 | A | Utah Jazz | 110-105 |
| 26/10/26 | A | Sacramento Kings | 123-112 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | A | San Antonio Spurs | 85-123 |
| 12/11/26 | A | Houston Rockets | 108-115 |
| 10/11/26 | H | New Orleans Pelicans | 138-87 |
| 08/11/26 | H | Orlando Magic | 126-119 OT |
| 06/11/26 | H | Miami Heat | 120-100 |
| 03/11/26 | H | Phoenix Suns | 116-113 |
| 02/11/26 | H | Los Angeles Clippers | 124-112 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Los Angeles Lakers | 112-95 |
| 29/10/26 | A | Minnesota Timberwolves | 119-114 |
| 27/10/26 | A | Denver Nuggets | 134-114 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWLW | 67% |
| Home | WLLLL | 33% |
| Away | WWWWW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 12 | 6 | 6 |
| Win % | 67% | 33% | 100% |
| Points / game | 119.9 | 118.5 | 121.3 |
| Allowed / game | 111.8 | 116.8 | 106.8 |
| Point differential | +8.1 | +1.7 | +14.5 |
| Avg total | 231.8 | 235.3 | 228.2 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 50% | 33% | 67% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 40% (5) | 0% (3) | 100% (2) |
| Overtime % | 8% | 17% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWLL | 62% |
| Home | WWWWW | 86% |
| Away | LWWLL | 33% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 13 | 7 | 6 |
| Win % | 62% | 86% | 33% |
| Points / game | 116.7 | 120.6 | 112.2 |
| Allowed / game | 112.4 | 105.3 | 120.7 |
| Point differential | +4.3 | +15.3 | -8.5 |
| Avg total | 229.1 | 225.9 | 232.8 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 38% | 57% | 17% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 67% (3) | 50% (2) | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 8% | 14% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  San Antonio Spurs | 13 | 11 | 2 | 85% | 119.5 | 106.2 | +13.2 |
| 2 |  Los Angeles Lakers | 13 | 11 | 2 | 85% | 122.2 | 114.2 | +7.9 |
| 3 |  Boston Celtics | 12 | 10 | 2 | 83% | 114.2 | 103.1 | +11.2 |
| 4 |  Houston Rockets | 13 | 10 | 3 | 77% | 116.2 | 107.4 | +8.8 |
| 5 |  Philadelphia 76ers | 13 | 10 | 3 | 77% | 111.2 | 109.4 | +1.8 |
| 6 |  Minnesota Timberwolves | 12 | 9 | 3 | 75% | 119.3 | 105.9 | +13.4 |
| 7 |  Portland Trail Blazers | 12 | 9 | 3 | 75% | 119.6 | 111.8 | +7.8 |
| 8 |  Detroit Pistons | 11 | 8 | 3 | 73% | 115.5 | 107.8 | +7.7 |
| 9 | Memphis Grizzlies | 12 | 8 | 4 | 67% | 119.9 | 111.8 | +8.1 |
| 10 | Golden State Warriors | 13 | 8 | 5 | 62% | 116.7 | 112.4 | +4.3 |
| 11 |  Oklahoma City Thunder | 13 | 8 | 5 | 62% | 111.2 | 107.4 | +3.8 |
| 12 |  Denver Nuggets | 10 | 6 | 4 | 60% | 114.5 | 113.3 | +1.2 |
| 13 |  Dallas Mavericks | 12 | 7 | 5 | 58% | 113.2 | 112.2 | +1.0 |
| 14 |  Atlanta Hawks | 13 | 7 | 6 | 54% | 118.2 | 116.8 | +1.3 |
| 15 |  New York Knicks | 12 | 6 | 6 | 50% | 109.8 | 103.7 | +6.1 |
| 16 |  Miami Heat | 12 | 6 | 6 | 50% | 117.2 | 120.1 | -2.9 |
| 17 |  Cleveland Cavaliers | 13 | 6 | 7 | 46% | 116.8 | 115.8 | +1.0 |
| 18 |  Phoenix Suns | 11 | 5 | 6 | 45% | 111.7 | 116.1 | -4.4 |
| 19 |  Toronto Raptors | 12 | 5 | 7 | 42% | 114.2 | 112.8 | +1.4 |
| 20 |  Orlando Magic | 12 | 5 | 7 | 42% | 108.3 | 112.8 | -4.4 |
| 21 |  Indiana Pacers | 13 | 5 | 8 | 38% | 111.2 | 113.2 | -2.1 |
| 22 |  Charlotte Hornets | 12 | 4 | 8 | 33% | 98.6 | 109.6 | -11.0 |
| 23 |  Washington Wizards | 13 | 4 | 9 | 31% | 110.0 | 115.8 | -5.8 |
| 24 |  New Orleans Pelicans | 13 | 4 | 9 | 31% | 116.5 | 125.6 | -9.2 |
| 25 |  Brooklyn Nets | 11 | 3 | 8 | 27% | 110.2 | 115.3 | -5.1 |
| 26 |  Los Angeles Clippers | 11 | 3 | 8 | 27% | 112.3 | 117.5 | -5.3 |
| 27 |  Chicago Bulls | 11 | 2 | 9 | 18% | 114.4 | 127.7 | -13.4 |
| 28 |  Sacramento Kings | 12 | 1 | 11 | 8% | 108.2 | 120.9 | -12.8 |
| 29 |  Utah Jazz | 13 | 1 | 12 | 8% | 107.5 | 118.6 | -11.2 |
| 30 |  Milwaukee Bucks | 13 | 1 | 12 | 8% | 106.2 | 120.2 | -14.1 |
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