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Memphis vs Dayton Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 29 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#198
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game89.7
vs
Position#258
Record1-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game79.3
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Memphis v Dayton
29 Nov 2026
MEMP v DAYT
upcoming
20 Mar 2021
MEMP71
DAYT60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Memphis win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Dayton win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MemphisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Florida
#40
L
66-87
66
87
-21
A20/02
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
67-78
67
78
-11
H22/02
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
L
82-88
82
88
-6
H27/02
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
L
68-84
68
84
-16
A01/03
NCAA
South Florida
#40
L
89-96
89
96
-7
H06/03
NCAA
Tulane
#173
W
96-95 OT
96
95
+1
A08/03
NCAA
Tulane
#173
L
69-81
69
81
-12
H11/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#138
W
80-76
80
76
+4
A03/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#148
W
89-88
89
88
+1
H07/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#26
L
81-105
81
105
-24
A11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-47
35-40
30-46
37-32
35-40
47-48
30-44
38-40
46-51
43-45
31-40
50-41
31-39
38-42
40-39
40-37
44-48
45-40
42-47
39-58
166.5Avg total
78.7Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)83.389.7173.0-6.367%
Season at home (1)89.088.0177.0+1.0100%
Season away (2)80.590.5171.0-10.050%
Last 10 (10)78.787.8166.5-9.130%
Last 5 (5)83.089.0172.0-6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)74.579.5154.0-5.040%
vs Similar (8)79.273.2152.5+6.062%
vs Weaker (2)81.576.5158.0+5.050%
This opponent (Dayton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Louis Billikens
#13
W
77-62
77
62
+15
H25/02
NCAA
George Washington
#160
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A28/02
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
W
65-60
65
60
+5
A04/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
62-68
62
68
-6
H07/03
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
W
68-63
68
63
+5
H13/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A14/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A15/03
NCAA
NJIT
#335
W
89-58
89
58
+31
H03/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#211
L
76-81 OT
76
81
-5
H08/11
NCAA
Siena
#177
L
89-99
89
99
-10
H11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
44-28
33-34
34-31
34-35
40-32
25-28
36-37
26-31
30-27
38-36
33-36
37-33
25-40
37-30
47-23
42-35
29-40
38-27
45-46
44-53
142.2Avg total
72.6Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)84.779.3164.0+5.333%
Season at home (3)84.779.3164.0+5.333%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.669.6142.2+3.060%
Last 5 (5)77.275.4152.6+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)69.779.4149.1-9.729%
vs Similar (18)75.370.7146.1+4.667%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)77.061.0138.0+16.080%
This opponent (Memphis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -8.1-8.11st half: +2.3+2.32nd half2nd half: -1.1-1.12nd half: +1.2+1.2
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -8.1-8.11st half: +2.3+2.32nd half2nd half: -1.1-1.12nd half: +1.2+1.2
MemphisDayton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MemphisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Florida
#40
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A20/02
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H22/02
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H27/02
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A01/03
NCAA
South Florida
#40
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H06/03
NCAA
Tulane
#173
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A08/03
NCAA
Tulane
#173
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H11/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#138
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A03/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#148
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H07/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#26
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A11/11
NCAA
80.1Avg total
36.0Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.136.871.9-1.737%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.633.670.2+3.056%-
Last 30 away (14)33.440.473.9-7.014%-
Last 10 (10)36.044.180.1-8.110%-
Last 5 (5)37.642.680.2-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)35.038.273.2-3.235%-
vs Similar (8)35.132.867.9+2.438%-
vs Weaker (2)36.538.575.0-2.050%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Louis Billikens
#13
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H25/02
NCAA
George Washington
#160
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A28/02
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A04/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H07/03
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H13/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A14/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A15/03
NCAA
NJIT
#335
W
47-23
47
23
+24
H03/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#211
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H08/11
NCAA
Siena
#177
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H11/11
NCAA
70.3Avg total
36.3Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.833.969.7+1.960%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.831.569.3+6.378%-
Last 30 away (12)32.837.470.2-4.733%-
Last 10 (10)36.334.070.3+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)35.837.072.8-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.439.171.6-6.714%-
vs Similar (18)36.832.669.4+4.278%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)36.831.067.8+5.860%-
This opponent (Memphis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Memphis wins
0
Dayton wins
DateGameScore
20/03/21Memphis v Dayton71-60
Memphislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26AVanderbilt81-105
07/11/26HVCU Rams89-88
03/11/26AIowa State80-76
11/03/26HTulane69-81
08/03/26ATulane96-95 OT
06/03/26HSouth Florida89-96
01/03/26AEast Carolina68-84
27/02/26HWichita State82-88
22/02/26HUAB67-78
20/02/26ASouth Florida66-87
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HSiena89-99
08/11/26HNorthern Illinois76-81 OT
03/11/26HNJIT89-58
15/03/26AVCU Rams62-70
14/03/26ASt. Louis Billikens70-69
13/03/26HSt. Bonaventure68-63
07/03/26HVCU Rams62-68
04/03/26ARichmond Spiders65-60
28/02/26AGeorge Washington68-66
25/02/26HSt. Louis Billikens77-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Memphis
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game83.389.080.5
Allowed / game89.788.090.5
Point differential-6.3+1.0-10.0
Avg total173.0177.0171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dayton
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeWLL33%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %33%33%-
Points / game84.784.7-
Allowed / game79.379.3-
Point differential+5.3+5.3-
Avg total164.0164.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %33%33%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tulsa330100%90.765.3+25.3
2 North Texas32167%90.064.3+25.7
3 Wichita State32167%92.773.3+19.3
4 East Carolina32167%76.771.7+5.0
5 Tulane32167%87.382.7+4.7
6 UAB32167%80.075.3+4.7
7 Charlotte32167%72.368.3+4.0
8 UTSA Roadrunners32167%76.774.0+2.7
9 Florida Atlantic32167%80.082.3-2.3
10 Memphis32167%83.389.7-6.3
11 Rice31233%81.372.7+8.7
12 South Florida31233%86.078.7+7.3
13 Temple31233%67.375.3-8.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Richmond Spiders330100%95.358.7+36.7
2 St. Louis Billikens330100%102.371.3+31.0
3 George Washington330100%78.350.0+28.3
4 Rhode Island330100%86.063.3+22.7
5 George Mason220100%75.052.5+22.5
6 Davidson330100%75.360.7+14.7
7 Saint Josephs Hawks330100%77.370.0+7.3
8 Duquesne330100%72.766.7+6.0
9 St. Bonaventure32167%82.364.0+18.3
10 VCU Rams32167%85.770.0+15.7
11 Loyola Chicago32167%82.070.7+11.3
12 Fordham32167%75.376.7-1.3
13 Dayton31233%84.779.3+5.3
14 La Salle31233%67.384.7-17.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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