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Mercer vs VMI Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 20 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 23:00
Scheduled
Position#259
Record2-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game80.6
vs
Position#177
Record3-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game70.4
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Mercer v VMI
20 Jan 2027
MERC v VMI
upcoming
31 Jan 2026
MERC95
VMI81
15 Feb 2025
MERC71
VMI80
03 Feb 2024
MERC90
VMI69
04 Feb 2023
MERC80
VMI54
13 Jan 2022
MERC97
VMI91
23 Jan 2021
MERC83
VMI80
15 Jan 2020
MERC73
VMI62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mercer win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
VMI win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MercerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
L
90-94
90
94
-4
H20/02
NCAA
Samford
#149
W
89-86
89
86
+3
H21/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A26/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H28/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
73-77
73
77
-4
H08/03
NCAA
Reinhardt
#443
W
90-53
90
53
+37
H02/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#45
L
67-96
67
96
-29
A06/11
NCAA
Davidson
#124
L
76-88
76
88
-12
A08/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#312
W
97-91 OT
97
91
+6
A11/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#9
L
61-75
61
75
-14
A13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-44
51-50
44-41
45-45
32-33
42-45
49-35
33-41
35-36
38-41
39-21
51-32
24-47
43-49
33-34
43-54
39-46
39-32
28-31
33-44
161.3Avg total
79.9Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.280.6158.8-2.440%
Season at home (1)90.053.0143.0+37.0100%
Season away (4)75.287.5162.8-12.225%
Last 10 (10)79.981.4161.3-1.540%
Last 5 (5)78.280.6158.8-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)68.086.3154.3-18.30%
vs Similar (8)74.075.9149.9-1.950%
vs Weaker (16)84.177.9162.0+6.156%
This opponent (VMI) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VMIUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wofford
#126
L
76-82
76
82
-6
A18/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
62-81
62
81
-19
H21/02
NCAA
Samford
#149
L
61-80
61
80
-19
A27/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
L
79-86
79
86
-7
A28/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
L
70-84
70
84
-14
A07/03
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#498
W
115-83
115
83
+32
H02/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#33
L
70-95
70
95
-25
A06/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#167
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A07/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#357
W
65-51
65
51
+14
H11/11
NCAA
Mary Baldwin
#376
W
71-53
71
53
+18
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-44
44-38
30-38
32-43
36-36
25-44
33-42
46-44
27-39
43-45
60-31
55-52
28-47
42-48
35-31
33-39
32-22
33-29
38-18
33-35
150.2Avg total
73.7Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.870.4148.2+7.460%
Season at home (3)83.762.3146.0+21.3100%
Season away (2)69.082.5151.5-13.50%
Last 10 (10)73.776.5150.2-2.830%
Last 5 (5)77.870.4148.2+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)68.983.0152.0-14.19%
vs Similar (2)62.081.0143.0-19.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)82.768.0150.7+14.767%
This opponent (Mercer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: -3.1-3.1
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: -3.1-3.1
MercerVMI
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MercerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H20/02
NCAA
Samford
#149
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H21/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A26/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H28/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H08/03
NCAA
Reinhardt
#443
W
39-21
39
21
+18
H02/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#45
L
24-47
24
47
-23
A06/11
NCAA
Davidson
#124
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A08/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#312
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A11/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#9
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A13/11
NCAA
73.0Avg total
36.2Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.234.673.8+4.653%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.633.278.9+12.471%-
Last 30 away (16)33.635.869.4-2.238%-
Last 10 (10)36.236.873.0-0.630%-
Last 5 (5)32.635.868.4-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)28.337.365.7-9.00%-
vs Similar (8)36.536.873.2-0.250%-
vs Weaker (16)40.135.475.6+4.756%-
This opponent (VMI) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VMILast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wofford
#126
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A18/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H21/02
NCAA
Samford
#149
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A27/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A28/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A07/03
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#498
W
60-31
60
31
+29
H02/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#33
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A06/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#167
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A07/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#357
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H11/11
NCAA
Mary Baldwin
#376
W
38-18
38
18
+20
H14/11
NCAA
69.9Avg total
35.1Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.836.970.7-3.230%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.333.370.6+4.050%-
Last 30 away (16)30.740.170.8-9.412%-
Last 10 (10)35.134.869.9+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)38.629.868.4+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)32.239.471.6-7.317%-
vs Similar (2)29.540.570.0-11.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)42.328.070.3+14.3100%-
This opponent (Mercer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Mercer wins
2
VMI wins
DateGameScore
31/01/26Mercer v VMI95-81
15/01/26VMI v Mercer67-77
15/02/25Mercer v VMI71-80
04/01/25VMI v Mercer67-70
03/02/24Mercer v VMI90-69
06/01/24VMI v Mercer64-86
04/02/23Mercer v VMI80-54
20/01/23VMI v Mercer61-69
11/02/22VMI v Mercer85-79
14/01/22Mercer v VMI97-91
Mercerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AWest Virginia61-75
11/11/26AGeorgia Southern97-91 OT
08/11/26ADavidson76-88
06/11/26AVirginia Tech67-96
02/11/26HReinhardt90-53
08/03/26HWestern Carolina73-77
28/02/26HEast Tennessee St82-76
26/02/26AWestern Carolina74-78
21/02/26HSamford89-86
20/02/26HChattanooga Mocs90-94
VMIlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HMary Baldwin71-53
11/11/26HN. Carolina Central65-51
07/11/26AUTSA Roadrunners68-70
06/11/26ASMU Mustangs70-95
02/11/26HVirginia-Lynchburg115-83
07/03/26ANC Greensboro70-84
28/02/26AChattanooga Mocs79-86
27/02/26ASamford61-80
21/02/26HWestern Carolina62-81
18/02/26AWofford76-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mercer
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL40%
HomeW100%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %40%100%25%
Points / game78.290.075.2
Allowed / game80.653.087.5
Point differential-2.4+37.0-12.2
Avg total158.8143.0162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %20%0%25%
VMI
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW60%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%100%0%
Points / game77.883.769.0
Allowed / game70.462.382.5
Point differential+7.4+21.3-13.5
Avg total148.2146.0151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Furman54180%88.068.8+19.2
2 Citadel43175%90.064.5+25.5
3 VMI53260%77.870.4+7.4
4 Western Carolina42250%89.874.5+15.2
5 NC Greensboro42250%81.070.8+10.2
6 Chattanooga Mocs42250%84.279.5+4.8
7 Wofford52340%82.482.0+0.4
8 Mercer52340%78.280.6-2.4
9 Samford31233%77.378.7-1.3
10 East Tennessee St31233%65.368.3-3.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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