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Mercer vs VMI Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 90-69
49-38 41-31
Position#223
Record9-13
FormLLLWL
Points / game68.9
Allowed / game70.1
Mercer 🏆
USA
vs
Position#365
Record4-18
FormLWLLL
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game80.7
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Mercer v VMI
20 Jan 2027
MERC v VMI
upcoming
31 Jan 2026
MERC95
VMI81
15 Feb 2025
MERC71
VMI80
03 Feb 2024
MERC90
VMI69
04 Feb 2023
MERC80
VMI54
13 Jan 2022
MERC97
VMI91
23 Jan 2021
MERC83
VMI80
15 Jan 2020
MERC73
VMI62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mercer winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
VMI winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MercerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Talladega
#452
W
74-50
74
50
+24
H29/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A04/01
NCAA
VMI
#365
W
86-64
86
64
+22
A06/01
NCAA
Wofford
#183
L
73-74
73
74
-1
A11/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
L
52-64
52
64
-12
H13/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
L
60-74
60
74
-14
H18/01
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
80-87
80
87
-7
A20/01
NCAA
Citadel
#311
L
66-68
66
68
-2
A25/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
W
70-64
70
64
+6
A28/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
L
49-54
49
54
-5
H01/02
NCAA
1H
2H
39-25
35-25
30-42
39-38
48-28
38-36
37-40
36-34
25-29
27-35
23-31
37-43
33-46
47-41
35-21
31-47
41-31
29-33
20-26
29-28
135.8Avg total
67.9Scored
67.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)68.970.1139.0-1.241%
Season at home (10)67.766.1133.8+1.650%
Season away (12)69.873.4143.2-3.633%
Last 10 (10)67.967.9135.8+0.030%
Last 5 (5)65.069.4134.4-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)65.474.9140.3-9.411%
vs Similar (15)65.969.0134.9-3.133%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)74.751.7126.3+23.0100%
This opponent (VMI) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VMIUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penn State-New Kensington
#405
W
82-65
82
65
+17
H22/12
NCAA
Wofford
#183
L
85-87 OT
85
87
-2
A04/01
NCAA
Mercer
#223
L
64-86
64
86
-22
H06/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
L
61-109
61
109
-48
A12/01
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
96-134
96
134
-38
A13/01
NCAA
Furman
#191
L
60-100
60
100
-40
H17/01
NCAA
Citadel
#311
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H20/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
L
73-74
73
74
-1
H24/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
L
77-102
77
102
-25
A27/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
L
79-85
79
85
-6
H31/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-27
45-38
37-33
40-44
28-48
36-38
30-52
31-57
54-72
42-62
26-41
34-59
35-29
35-34
31-35
42-39
33-63
44-39
29-48
50-37
165.2Avg total
74.7Scored
90.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)71.380.7152.0-9.418%
Season at home (10)75.574.1149.6+1.440%
Season away (12)67.886.2154.0-18.30%
Last 10 (10)74.790.5165.2-15.820%
Last 5 (5)71.884.8156.6-13.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)67.684.1151.7-16.57%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)100.063.0163.0+37.0100%
This opponent (Mercer) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +1.2+1.21st half: -10.8-10.82nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: -4.8-4.8
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +1.2+1.21st half: -10.8-10.82nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: -4.8-4.8
MercerVMI
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MercerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Talladega
#452
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H29/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A04/01
NCAA
VMI
#365
W
48-28
48
28
+20
A06/01
NCAA
Wofford
#183
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A11/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H13/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
L
23-31
23
31
-8
H18/01
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A20/01
NCAA
Citadel
#311
W
35-21
35
21
+14
A25/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A28/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
L
20-26
20
26
-6
H01/02
NCAA
65.0Avg total
33.1Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.531.865.3+1.763%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.928.961.7+4.071%-
Last 30 away (16)34.134.368.4-0.256%-
Last 10 (10)33.131.965.0+1.240%-
Last 5 (5)30.431.061.4-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)30.135.465.6-5.333%-
vs Similar (15)33.531.965.4+1.567%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)36.321.057.3+15.3100%-
This opponent (VMI) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VMILast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penn State-New Kensington
#405
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H22/12
NCAA
Wofford
#183
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A04/01
NCAA
Mercer
#223
L
28-48
28
48
-20
H06/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A12/01
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
54-72
54
72
-18
A13/01
NCAA
Furman
#191
L
26-41
26
41
-15
H17/01
NCAA
Citadel
#311
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H20/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H24/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
L
33-63
33
63
-30
A27/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
L
29-48
29
48
-19
H31/01
NCAA
78.8Avg total
34.0Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.540.071.4-8.520%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.637.168.7-5.436%-
Last 30 away (16)31.342.573.8-11.26%-
Last 10 (10)34.044.878.8-10.830%-
Last 5 (5)30.843.274.0-12.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)30.041.671.6-11.511%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)53.031.084.0+22.0100%-
This opponent (Mercer) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Mercer wins
1
VMI wins
DateGameScore
06/01/24VMI v Mercer64-86
04/02/23Mercer v VMI80-54
20/01/23VMI v Mercer61-69
11/02/22VMI v Mercer85-79
14/01/22Mercer v VMI97-91
08/03/21VMI v Mercer59-73
23/01/21Mercer v VMI83-80
25/01/20VMI v Mercer66-69
16/01/20Mercer v VMI73-62
Mercerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/24HEast Tennessee St49-54
28/01/24ANC Greensboro70-64
25/01/24ACitadel66-68
20/01/24ASamford80-87
18/01/24HChattanooga Mocs60-74
13/01/24HWestern Carolina52-64
11/01/24AWofford73-74
06/01/24AVMI86-64
04/01/24AEast Tennessee St69-80
29/12/23HTalladega74-50
VMIlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/24HNC Greensboro79-85
27/01/24AWestern Carolina77-102
24/01/24HEast Tennessee St73-74
20/01/24HCitadel70-63
17/01/24HFurman60-100
13/01/24ASamford96-134
12/01/24AChattanooga Mocs61-109
06/01/24HMercer64-86
04/01/24AWofford85-87 OT
22/12/23HPenn State-New Kensington82-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mercer
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL41%
HomeWWLLL50%
AwayWLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %41%50%33%
Points / game68.967.769.8
Allowed / game70.166.173.4
Point differential-1.2+1.6-3.6
Avg total139.0133.8143.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%30%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
VMI
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL18%
HomeLLWLL40%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %18%40%0%
Points / game71.375.567.8
Allowed / game80.774.186.2
Point differential-9.4+1.4-18.3
Avg total152.0149.6154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%30%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %5%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samford2219386%88.275.4+12.8
2 Western Carolina2216673%77.268.5+8.8
3 NC Greensboro2216673%77.269.2+8.0
4 Chattanooga Mocs2114767%79.570.3+9.1
5 Furman22121055%81.076.4+4.6
6 Wofford22121055%77.075.8+1.2
7 East Tennessee St21111052%70.769.2+1.5
8 Citadel2291341%71.270.3+1.0
9 Mercer2291341%68.970.1-1.2
10 VMI2241818%71.380.7-9.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Mercer494190
VMI383169
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