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Merkezefendi vs Tofas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 78-72
16-17 22-18 24-13 16-24
Position#10
Record2-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Position#9
Record4-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game80.0
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 8· Pamukkale Üniversitesi Spor Salonu
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Merkezefendi v Tofas
16 Nov 2025
MER78
TOF72
11 May 2025
MER92
TOF94
13 Oct 2023
MER93
TOF97
16 Apr 2023
MER88
TOF95
26 Mar 2022
MER66
TOF98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Merkezefendi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tofas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MerkezefendiTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerkezefendi
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#7
W
78-64
78
64
+14
74avg 76
A05/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#4
L
92-94
92
94
-2
87avg 76
H11/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
L
76-112
76
112
-36
64avg 76
A19/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#12
W
75-65
75
65
+10
64avg 76
H29/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#15
L
69-76
69
76
-7
60avg 76
A05/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
72-90
72
90
-18
59avg 76
A12/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
W
84-75
84
75
+9
78avg 76
H19/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#11
L
79-88
79
88
-9
72avg 76
A25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
L
77-95
77
95
-18
69avg 76
H01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
67-85
67
85
-18
58avg 76
A08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
14-22
16-11
27-10
21-29
22-27
28-20
21-18
15-27
28-27
8-36
25-22
19-18
23-17
10-14
23-16
13-24
15-16
21-18
20-18
16-33
22-19
14-25
20-13
21-24
27-19
19-19
17-13
24-23
21-20
16-20
18-25
11-28
25-16
22-27
19-24
15-26
13-25
24-14
15-20
161.3Avg total
76.9Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)74.782.0156.7-7.329%
Season at home (3)78.778.3157.0+0.367%
Season away (4)71.884.8156.5-13.00%
Last 10 (10)76.984.4161.3-7.530%
Last 5 (5)75.886.6162.4-10.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)78.387.5165.8-9.231%
vs Similar ◀ (14)86.185.2171.4+0.950%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#7
L
91-93
91
93
-2
89avg 83
A03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bnei Herzliya
#34
W
90-86
90
86
+4
96avg 83
H08/10
Champions League
Turk Telekom
#5
W
85-73
85
73
+12
93avg 83
H11/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trapani
#25
W
91-89
91
89
+2
91avg 83
A14/10
Champions League
Mersin SK
#13
L
80-84
80
84
-4
73avg 83
A19/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#16
W
91-70
91
70
+21
94avg 83
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#12
L
64-81
64
81
-17
58avg 83
H28/10
Champions League
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
70-92
70
92
-22
64avg 83
A31/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#12
W
84-70
84
70
+14
92avg 83
H08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#12
L
70-80
70
80
-10
62avg 83
A11/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
18-29
21-23
28-21
24-22
25-27
14-26
27-11
26-12
24-20
16-23
19-18
26-17
27-19
19-28
19-25
21-20
16-22
22-19
21-23
22-15
24-15
21-21
24-19
12-20
16-20
23-16
13-25
18-19
15-20
18-26
19-27
20-21
23-20
26-13
15-16
22-18
16-21
10-20
22-21
163.4Avg total
81.6Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.080.0163.0+3.057%
Season at home (4)85.072.8157.8+12.2100%
Season away (3)80.389.7170.0-9.30%
Last 10 (10)81.681.8163.4-0.250%
Last 5 (5)75.878.6154.4-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)79.184.4163.5-5.238%
vs Similar ◀ (13)84.388.4172.7-4.131%
vs Weaker (8)94.481.8176.1+12.688%
This opponent (Merkezefendi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.7-7.7Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +0.1+0.1
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.7-7.7Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +0.1+0.1
MerkezefendiTofas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MerkezefendiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#7
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A05/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#4
L
43-56
43
56
-13
H11/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A19/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#12
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H29/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#15
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A05/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A12/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H19/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#11
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
28-51
28
51
-23
A08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
84.7Avg total
38.6Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.645.386.9-3.737%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.743.387.0+0.450%-
Last 30 away (16)39.847.186.9-7.425%-
Last 10 (10)38.646.184.7-7.530%-
Last 5 (5)39.046.685.6-7.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)39.947.887.7-7.919%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)43.642.586.1+1.157%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#7
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bnei Herzliya
#34
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H08/10
Champions League
Turk Telekom
#5
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H11/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trapani
#25
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A14/10
Champions League
Mersin SK
#13
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A19/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#16
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#12
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H28/10
Champions League
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A31/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#12
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#12
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A11/11
Champions League
81.6Avg total
41.9Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.641.486.0+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.840.687.4+6.281%-
Last 30 away (14)42.142.384.4-0.236%-
Last 10 (10)41.939.781.6+2.240%-
Last 5 (5)37.637.875.4-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)42.041.183.1+0.950%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)44.142.086.1+2.154%-
vs Weaker (8)48.240.288.5+8.088%-
This opponent (Merkezefendi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Merkezefenditheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Merkezefendi: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.216.8
49.1%
54.0%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.910.1
34.9%
35.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws15.711.6
73.9%
76.0%11.6
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.622.0
57.0%
54.0%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.77.2
34.8%
35.6%21.6
🏀 Free throws19.415.2
78.4%
76.0%15.2
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Merkezefendi
LLLWLLWLLW
Tofas
LWLLWLWWWL
#10
League position
#9
-7.3
Net rating
+0.0
103.9
Offensive rating
108.3
111.2
Defensive rating
108.3
50.6%
Effective FG%
55.3%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
17.2%
Turnover %
20.1%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.9%
3-point %
34.8%
61.0%
Assist %
74.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.9 · 108.3Defence111.2 · 108.3Shooting50.6% · 55.3%3-point %34.9% · 34.8%Ball care17.2% · 20.1%Off. rebounds27.5% · 29.0%Free throws0.25 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Merkezefendi   ■ Tofas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Merkezefendi wins
8
Tofas wins
DateGameScore
11/05/25Merkezefendi v Tofas92-94
12/01/25Tofas v Merkezefendi91-80
28/01/24Tofas v Merkezefendi98-77
13/10/23Merkezefendi v Tofas93-97
16/04/23Merkezefendi v Tofas88-95 OT
12/12/22Tofas v Merkezefendi90-79
26/03/22Merkezefendi v Tofas66-98
01/12/21Tofas v Merkezefendi97-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/25ABahcesehir Kol.67-85
01/11/25HBesiktas77-95
25/10/25AManisa79-88
19/10/25HTrabzonspor84-75
12/10/25AAnadolu Efes72-90
05/10/25AKarsiyaka69-76
29/09/25HBursaspor75-65
19/05/25ABahcesehir Kol.76-112
11/05/25HTofas92-94
05/05/25ATurk Telekom78-64
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/25ATenerife70-80
08/11/25HBursaspor84-70
31/10/25AEsenler Erokspor70-92
28/10/25HTenerife64-81
25/10/25HBuyukcekmece91-70
19/10/25AMersin SK80-84
14/10/25ATrapani91-89
11/10/25HTurk Telekom85-73
08/10/25HBnei Herzliya90-86
03/10/25AGalatasaray91-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Merkezefendi
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL29%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%67%0%
Points / game74.778.771.8
Allowed / game82.078.384.8
Point differential-7.3+0.3-13.0
Avg total156.7157.0156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW57%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%100%0%
Points / game83.085.080.3
Allowed / game80.072.889.7
Point differential+3.0+12.2-9.3
Avg total163.0157.8170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Besiktas880100%89.976.8+13.1
2 Bahcesehir Kol.87188%83.579.2+4.2
3 Fenerbahce76186%89.380.1+9.1
4 Anadolu Efes86275%87.976.2+11.6
5 Galatasaray85362%86.083.8+2.2
6 Esenler Erokspor74357%81.775.1+6.6
7 Tofas74357%83.080.0+3.0
8 Turk Telekom84450%87.879.9+7.9
9 Trabzonspor84450%82.080.2+1.8
10 Bursaspor83538%74.879.9-5.1
11 Petkim Spor83538%78.483.6-5.2
12 Manisa83538%77.985.0-7.1
13 Merkezefendi72529%74.782.0-7.3
14 Mersin SK82625%81.484.6-3.2
15 Karsiyaka81712%73.690.1-16.5
16 Buyukcekmece8080%78.191.8-13.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Merkezefendi1622241678
Tofas1718132472
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