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Tofas vs Merkezefendi Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 98-77
19-23 28-17 25-20 26-17
Position#11
Record7-10
FormLLWLL
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game86.4
Tofas 🏆
Turkey
vs
Position#14
Record6-11
FormLWLWW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game86.6
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 18· Tofas Spor Salonu
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Tofas v Merkezefendi
21 Mar 2026
TOF88
MER93
12 Jan 2025
TOF91
MER80
28 Jan 2024
TOF98
MER77
12 Dec 2022
TOF90
MER79
01 Dec 2021
TOF97
MER77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Merkezefendi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Murcia
#2
L
75-90
75
90
-15
71avg 80
H20/12
Champions League
Karsiyaka
#4
L
71-98
71
98
-27
57avg 80
A24/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
88-86
88
86
+2
86avg 80
H29/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
PAOK
#32
W
95-63
95
63
+32
98avg 80
A02/01
Champions League
Galatasaray
#5
L
76-95
76
95
-19
64avg 80
A06/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
PAOK
#32
L
87-88 OT
87
88
-1
71avg 80
H09/01
Champions League
Samsunspor
#16
L
86-87
86
87
-1
90avg 80
A13/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
PAOK
#32
W
84-71
84
71
+13
83avg 80
A16/01
Champions League
Besiktas
#3
L
81-85
81
85
-4
77avg 80
H20/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Unicaja
#1
L
70-89
70
89
-19
56avg 80
A24/01
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
28-25
11-26
19-16
19-26
14-17
17-22
21-33
24-26
24-20
19-17
21-23
27-12
26-14
24-16
18-21
21-24
14-32
22-18
19-21
23-16
9-15
12-23
26-16
21-13
25-34
25-19
15-21
22-19
18-15
22-15
22-22
24-19
22-27
17-19
18-20
21-17
6-24
18-23
25-25
166.5Avg total
81.3Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)84.286.4170.6-2.241%
Season at home (8)88.584.4172.9+4.162%
Season away (9)80.388.2168.6-7.922%
Last 10 (10)81.385.2166.5-3.930%
Last 5 (5)81.684.0165.6-2.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.691.7168.3-15.10%
vs Similar ◀ (12)85.886.2172.0-0.550%
vs Weaker (8)95.181.1176.2+14.075%
This opponent (Merkezefendi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MerkezefendiTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerkezefendi
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
64-79
64
79
-15
53avg 73
H19/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#9
L
89-112
89
112
-23
82avg 73
A25/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#13
W
83-81
83
81
+2
79avg 73
H02/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#8
W
87-85
87
85
+2
74avg 73
A10/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
64-78
64
78
-14
57avg 73
H18/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
L
84-88
84
88
-4
77avg 73
A23/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#4
W
107-94
107
94
+13
102avg 73
H29/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
L
79-86
79
86
-7
71avg 73
A05/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#5
W
102-87
102
87
+15
103avg 73
A14/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Samsunspor
#16
W
83-74 OT
83
74
+9
no box
H22/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
22-15
11-24
13-20
23-31
15-24
24-21
27-36
20-24
22-23
21-23
20-11
20-20
30-20
24-13
13-32
17-18
13-17
16-14
18-29
29-19
24-17
19-24
12-28
17-26
30-25
31-20
29-23
21-20
23-27
25-19
10-20
24-15
26-23
31-26
21-23
18-18
15-18
23-16
13-17
170.6Avg total
84.2Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)79.986.6166.5-6.735%
Season at home (8)79.282.1161.4-2.950%
Season away (9)80.490.6171.0-10.122%
Last 10 (10)84.286.4170.6-2.250%
Last 5 (5)91.085.8176.8+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)75.386.7162.0-11.417%
vs Similar ◀ (10)84.587.4171.9-2.950%
vs Weaker (2)84.084.5168.5-0.550%
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -6.3-6.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -6.3-6.3
TofasMerkezefendi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#2
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H20/12
Champions League
Karsiyaka
#4
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A24/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H29/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
PAOK
#32
W
53-26
53
26
+27
A02/01
Champions League
Galatasaray
#5
L
35-56
35
56
-21
A06/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
PAOK
#32
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H09/01
Champions League
Samsunspor
#16
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A13/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
PAOK
#32
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A16/01
Champions League
Besiktas
#3
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H20/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Unicaja
#1
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A24/01
Champions League
82.3Avg total
40.5Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.241.783.9+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.142.186.3+2.064%-
Last 30 away (16)40.441.381.8-0.938%-
Last 10 (10)40.541.882.3-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)38.239.878.0-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.645.683.2-8.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)45.141.386.4+3.875%-
vs Weaker (8)43.537.480.9+6.175%-
This opponent (Merkezefendi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MerkezefendiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#2
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H19/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#9
L
38-55
38
55
-17
A25/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#13
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H02/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#8
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A10/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H18/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A23/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#4
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H29/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A05/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#5
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A14/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Samsunspor
#16
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H22/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
84.7Avg total
42.7Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.541.279.7-2.723%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.041.179.1-3.120%-
Last 30 away (15)39.041.480.4-2.427%-
Last 10 (10)42.742.084.7+0.740%-
Last 5 (5)45.441.687.0+3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)36.040.676.6-4.617%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)43.542.886.3+0.740%-
vs Weaker (2)36.039.575.5-3.50%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.416.9
47.7%
53.6%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.2
36.2%
36.3%27.6
🏀 Free throws24.118.9
78.4%
74.7%18.9
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Merkezefenditheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Merkezefendi: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.621.1
56.1%
53.6%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.2
34.0%
36.3%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.814.3
72.2%
74.7%14.3
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
LLWLLLWWLL
Merkezefendi
WWLWLLWWLL
#11
League position
#14
-5.9
Net rating
-8.2
109.6
Offensive rating
109.1
115.5
Defensive rating
117.3
50.5%
Effective FG%
54.1%
56.4%
Opp. effective FG%
57.5%
16.2%
Turnover %
17.4%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
25.0%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.32
36.2%
3-point %
34.0%
67.0%
Assist %
58.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.6 · 109.1Defence115.5 · 117.3Shooting50.5% · 54.1%3-point %36.2% · 34.0%Ball care16.2% · 17.4%Off. rebounds28.2% · 25.0%Free throws0.40 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Tofas   ■ Merkezefendi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Tofas wins
0
Merkezefendi wins
DateGameScore
13/10/23Merkezefendi v Tofas93-97
16/04/23Merkezefendi v Tofas88-95 OT
12/12/22Tofas v Merkezefendi90-79
26/03/22Merkezefendi v Tofas66-98
01/12/21Tofas v Merkezefendi97-77
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/24AUnicaja70-89
20/01/24HBesiktas81-85
16/01/24APAOK84-71
13/01/24ASamsunspor86-87
09/01/24HPAOK87-88 OT
06/01/24AGalatasaray76-95
02/01/24APAOK95-63
29/12/23HBahcesehir Kol.88-86
24/12/23AKarsiyaka71-98
20/12/23HMurcia75-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/24HSamsunspor83-74 OT
14/01/24AGalatasaray102-87
05/01/24ABahcesehir Kol.79-86
29/12/23HKarsiyaka107-94
23/12/23AÇağdaş Bodrum Spor84-88
18/12/23HBuyukcekmece64-78
10/12/23ABursaspor87-85
02/12/23HDarussafaka83-81
25/11/23ATurk Telekom89-112
19/11/23HAnadolu Efes64-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL41%
HomeWWWWL62%
AwayWLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %41%62%22%
Points / game84.288.580.3
Allowed / game86.484.488.2
Point differential-2.2+4.1-7.9
Avg total170.6172.9168.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Merkezefendi
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW35%
HomeLWLWW50%
AwayLWLLW22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %35%50%22%
Points / game79.979.280.4
Allowed / game86.682.190.6
Point differential-6.7-2.9-10.1
Avg total166.5161.4171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce1815383%90.674.6+15.9
2 Anadolu Efes1815383%85.679.4+6.2
3 Besiktas1814478%79.672.8+6.8
4 Karsiyaka1812667%88.483.3+5.2
5 Manisa1810856%82.082.6-0.6
6 Petkim Spor189950%83.980.7+3.3
7 Galatasaray189950%81.280.8+0.4
8 Darussafaka178947%78.984.1-5.2
9 Turk Telekom1881044%79.979.7+0.3
10 Tofas1771041%84.286.4-2.2
11 Buyukcekmece1771041%77.981.4-3.4
12 Bahcesehir Kol.1871139%88.488.9-0.4
13 Bursaspor1871139%80.384.5-4.2
14 Merkezefendi1761135%79.986.6-6.7
15 Çağdaş Bodrum Spor1851328%77.383.8-6.6
16 Samsunspor1831517%74.684.3-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tofas1928252698
Merkezefendi2317201777
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