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Tofas vs Merkezefendi Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 12:30
Final 91-80
22-15 23-23 25-17 21-25
Position#4
Record10-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game83.2
Tofas 🏆
Turkey
vs
Position#14
Record2-11
FormWLLLL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game86.8
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 14· Tofas Spor Salonu
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Tofas v Merkezefendi
21 Mar 2026
TOF88
MER93
12 Jan 2025
TOF91
MER80
28 Jan 2024
TOF98
MER77
12 Dec 2022
TOF90
MER79
01 Dec 2021
TOF97
MER77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Merkezefendi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Petkim Spor
#11
W
107-99
107
99
+8
102avg 85
H17/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#12
W
109-106 OT
109
106
+3
100avg 85
A29/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maroussi
#12
W
96-83
96
83
+13
97avg 85
H04/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Anadolu Efes
#2
W
77-70
77
70
+7
77avg 85
H08/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
FC Porto
#7
W
95-87
95
87
+8
98avg 85
A11/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Fenerbahce
#1
L
88-90
88
90
-2
82avg 85
A14/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#7
W
93-82
93
82
+11
88avg 85
H22/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Mersin SK
#6
L
58-79
58
79
-21
51avg 85
A28/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
L
78-85
78
85
-7
72avg 85
A06/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
83-97
83
97
-14
75avg 85
H08/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-22
21-22
26-24
32-31
25-23
17-21
17-24
30-21
21-20
27-18
24-21
24-24
18-17
21-23
20-14
18-16
29-20
29-19
20-23
17-25
21-24
19-26
26-24
22-16
25-21
21-19
20-17
27-25
14-19
17-24
12-16
15-20
23-15
15-23
20-20
20-27
13-29
31-18
17-23
22-27
176.2Avg total
88.4Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)87.783.2170.9+4.577%
Season at home (6)93.883.8177.7+10.0100%
Season away (7)82.482.7165.1-0.357%
Last 10 (10)88.487.8176.2+0.660%
Last 5 (5)80.086.6166.6-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)85.384.0169.3+1.357%
vs Similar (14)92.790.6183.4+2.171%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)87.075.3162.3+11.789%
This opponent (Merkezefendi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MerkezefendiTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerkezefendi
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#8
L
78-84
78
84
-6
75avg 73
A27/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
80-75
80
75
+5
77avg 73
H03/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#16
L
76-90
76
90
-14
70avg 73
A11/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#9
L
74-88
74
88
-14
68avg 73
H17/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#15
L
68-88
68
88
-20
62avg 73
A02/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#11
W
95-85
95
85
+10
97avg 73
H07/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#12
L
75-80
75
80
-5
72avg 73
A15/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
63-96
63
96
-33
48avg 73
H23/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
72-91
72
91
-19
63avg 73
A29/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#7
L
75-86
75
86
-11
66avg 73
H05/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
20-16
25-20
15-29
17-16
27-15
18-23
18-21
24-22
19-18
19-29
14-21
13-18
23-18
17-28
21-24
20-20
15-21
22-21
11-26
20-16
23-24
26-21
26-24
23-12
14-27
14-14
24-27
17-25
17-28
22-22
7-21
19-23
18-25
21-17
14-26
15-20
19-20
20-21
21-25
161.9Avg total
75.6Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)75.586.8162.3-11.415%
Season at home (7)74.984.4159.3-9.629%
Season away (6)76.289.7165.8-13.50%
Last 10 (10)75.686.3161.9-10.720%
Last 5 (5)76.087.6163.6-11.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)80.186.1166.2-6.138%
vs Similar (13)79.384.8164.1-5.531%
vs Weaker (1)83.074.0157.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -7.3-7.3
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -7.3-7.3
TofasMerkezefendi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Petkim Spor
#11
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H17/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#12
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A29/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maroussi
#12
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H04/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H08/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
FC Porto
#7
W
58-39
58
39
+19
A11/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Fenerbahce
#1
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A14/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#7
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H22/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Mersin SK
#6
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A28/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A06/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H08/01
FIBA Europe Cup
85.8Avg total
43.5Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.842.587.3+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.943.590.5+3.467%-
Last 30 away (15)42.741.584.2+1.147%-
Last 10 (10)43.542.385.8+1.240%-
Last 5 (5)39.843.683.4-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)42.343.185.4-0.957%-
vs Similar (14)46.643.990.6+2.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)43.939.983.8+4.067%-
This opponent (Merkezefendi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MerkezefendiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#8
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A27/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H03/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#16
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A11/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#9
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H17/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#15
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A02/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#11
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H07/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#12
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A15/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
34-53
34
53
-19
H23/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A29/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#7
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H05/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
78.4Avg total
38.1Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.642.181.7-2.533%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.341.079.3-2.731%-
Last 30 away (14)41.143.484.5-2.236%-
Last 10 (10)38.140.378.4-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)37.044.081.0-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)39.643.482.9-3.825%-
vs Similar (13)40.241.081.2-0.846%-
vs Weaker (1)33.036.069.0-3.00%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 95.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.326.4
65.5%
54.1%52.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.58.0
35.6%
35.7%24.0
🏀 Free throws24.918.6
74.7%
76.0%18.6
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Merkezefenditheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Merkezefendi: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.121.7
54.1%
54.1%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.4
34.0%
35.7%25.2
🏀 Free throws15.711.3
72.0%
76.0%11.3
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
LLLWLWWWWW
Merkezefendi
LLLLWLLLWL
#4
League position
#14
+12.7
Net rating
-3.6
122.8
Offensive rating
109.7
110.1
Defensive rating
113.3
61.1%
Effective FG%
52.9%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
16.6%
Turnover %
17.9%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
33.5%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.24
35.6%
3-point %
34.0%
74.7%
Assist %
50.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence122.8 · 109.7Defence110.1 · 113.3Shooting61.1% · 52.9%3-point %35.6% · 34.0%Ball care16.6% · 17.9%Off. rebounds31.8% · 33.5%Free throws0.40 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Tofas   ■ Merkezefendi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Tofas wins
0
Merkezefendi wins
DateGameScore
28/01/24Tofas v Merkezefendi98-77
13/10/23Merkezefendi v Tofas93-97
16/04/23Merkezefendi v Tofas88-95 OT
12/12/22Tofas v Merkezefendi90-79
26/03/22Merkezefendi v Tofas66-98
01/12/21Tofas v Merkezefendi97-77
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/25HBasket Zaragoza83-97
06/01/25ABahcesehir Kol.78-85
28/12/24AMersin SK58-79
22/12/24HTurk Telekom93-82
14/12/24AFenerbahce88-90
11/12/24AFC Porto95-87
08/12/24HAnadolu Efes77-70
04/12/24HMaroussi96-83
29/11/24AManisa109-106 OT
17/11/24HPetkim Spor107-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/25HTurk Telekom75-86
29/12/24AFenerbahce72-91
23/12/24HAnadolu Efes63-96
15/12/24AManisa75-80
07/12/24HPetkim Spor95-85
02/12/24ADarussafaka68-88
17/11/24HBursaspor74-88
11/11/24AYalovaspor76-90
03/11/24HBuyukcekmece80-75
27/10/24AGalatasaray78-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL77%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %77%100%57%
Points / game87.793.882.4
Allowed / game83.283.882.7
Point differential+4.5+10.0-0.3
Avg total170.9177.7165.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%33%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %8%0%14%
Merkezefendi
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL15%
HomeWLWLL29%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %15%29%0%
Points / game75.574.976.2
Allowed / game86.884.489.7
Point differential-11.4-9.6-13.5
Avg total162.3159.3165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce1312192%90.479.3+11.1
2 Anadolu Efes1310377%88.077.5+10.5
3 Galatasaray1310377%89.181.1+8.0
4 Tofas1310377%87.783.2+4.5
5 Besiktas139469%87.581.4+6.2
6 Karsiyaka148657%90.285.9+4.4
7 Bahcesehir Kol.148657%80.678.4+2.1
8 Mersin SK148657%79.682.9-3.2
9 Bursaspor137654%85.088.2-3.2
10 Turk Telekom146843%81.581.0+0.5
11 Petkim Spor146843%81.381.1+0.2
12 Buyukcekmece1441029%82.484.1-1.6
13 Manisa1431121%84.991.1-6.2
14 Yalovaspor1431121%75.985.8-9.9
15 Darussafaka1321115%80.190.9-10.8
16 Merkezefendi1321115%75.586.8-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tofas2223252191
Merkezefendi1523172580
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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