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Merrimack Warriors vs Canisius Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 16 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 20:00
Scheduled
Position#235
Record2-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game62.8
Allowed / game65.8
vs
Position#237
Record2-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game81.5
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Merrimack Warriors v Canisius
16 Jan 2027
MERR v CANI
upcoming
08 Feb 2025
MERR69
CANI51
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Merrimack Warriors win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Canisius win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Merrimack WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iona
#152
W
88-86 OT
88
86
+2
H22/02
NCAA
Canisius
#327
L
62-67
62
67
-5
A28/02
NCAA
Niagara
#351
W
73-66
73
66
+7
A01/03
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
W
70-48
70
48
+22
H06/03
NCAA
Marist
#106
W
58-57
58
57
+1
H08/03
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
54-64
54
64
-10
H11/03
NCAA
Appalachian State
#205
W
63-49
63
49
+14
H02/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#107
L
61-71
61
71
-10
H06/11
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#234
W
73-60
73
60
+13
A08/11
NCAA
Florida
#54
L
54-83
54
83
-29
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-33
32-35
32-29
30-38
30-28
43-38
39-25
31-23
30-28
28-29
30-33
24-31
43-21
20-28
26-38
35-33
30-26
43-34
26-43
28-40
130.7Avg total
65.6Scored
65.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)62.865.8128.5-3.050%
Season at home (2)62.060.0122.0+2.050%
Season away (2)63.571.5135.0-8.050%
Last 10 (10)65.665.1130.7+0.560%
Last 5 (5)61.065.4126.4-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)59.367.7127.0-8.333%
vs Similar ◀ (18)69.562.9132.4+6.678%
vs Weaker (9)70.762.6133.2+8.189%
This opponent (Canisius) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CanisiusUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iona
#152
L
63-69
63
69
-6
H14/02
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
L
65-69
65
69
-4
H15/02
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
72-66
72
66
+6
A21/02
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
L
47-68
47
68
-21
A22/02
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
W
67-62
67
62
+5
H28/02
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
L
63-67
63
67
-4
H01/03
NCAA
Penn State
#179
L
57-97
57
97
-40
A03/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#100
L
49-88
49
88
-39
H08/11
NCAA
Hiram
#509
W
117-60
117
60
+57
H09/11
NCAA
Brown
#334
W
86-81
86
81
+5
A13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
24-34
39-35
27-37
38-32
40-30
32-36
24-20
23-48
29-32
38-30
30-29
33-38
26-47
31-50
14-43
35-45
57-19
60-41
44-30
42-51
141.3Avg total
68.6Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)77.281.5158.8-4.250%
Season at home (2)83.074.0157.0+9.050%
Season away (2)71.589.0160.5-17.550%
Last 10 (10)68.672.7141.3-4.140%
Last 5 (5)74.478.6153.0-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)61.275.6136.8-14.315%
vs Similar ◀ (8)67.063.0130.0+4.062%
vs Weaker (1)72.066.0138.0+6.0100%
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: -3.5-3.5
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: -3.5-3.5
Merrimack WarriorsCanisius
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Merrimack WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iona
#152
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H22/02
NCAA
Canisius
#327
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A28/02
NCAA
Niagara
#351
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A01/03
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H06/03
NCAA
Marist
#106
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H08/03
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H11/03
NCAA
Appalachian State
#205
W
43-21
43
21
+22
H02/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#107
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H06/11
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#234
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A08/11
NCAA
Florida
#54
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A14/11
NCAA
62.6Avg total
32.2Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.829.763.5+4.073%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.829.565.3+6.380%-
Last 30 away (15)31.730.061.7+1.767%-
Last 10 (10)32.230.462.6+1.870%-
Last 5 (5)31.032.263.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.734.065.7-2.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)33.328.962.2+4.472%-
vs Weaker (9)35.330.065.3+5.389%-
This opponent (Canisius) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CanisiusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iona
#152
L
24-34
24
34
-10
H14/02
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H15/02
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A21/02
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
W
24-20
24
20
+4
A22/02
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H28/02
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H01/03
NCAA
Penn State
#179
L
26-47
26
47
-21
A03/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#100
L
14-43
14
43
-29
H08/11
NCAA
Hiram
#509
W
57-19
57
19
+38
H09/11
NCAA
Brown
#334
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A13/11
NCAA
63.6Avg total
31.5Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.432.863.2-2.333%-
Last 30 at home (15)30.633.163.7-2.533%-
Last 30 away (15)30.332.562.7-2.233%-
Last 10 (10)31.532.163.6-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)34.233.667.8+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)28.435.063.4-6.625%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)31.129.260.4+1.938%-
vs Weaker (1)40.030.070.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Merrimack Warriors wins
1
Canisius wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AFlorida54-83
08/11/26AAlbany Great Danes73-60
06/11/26HUMass Lowell61-71
02/11/26HAppalachian State63-49
11/03/26HSiena54-64
08/03/26HMarist58-57
06/03/26HSacred Heart70-48
01/03/26ANiagara73-66
28/02/26ACanisius62-67
22/02/26HIona88-86 OT
Canisiuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26ABrown86-81
09/11/26HHiram117-60
08/11/26HSt. Bonaventure49-88
03/11/26APenn State57-97
01/03/26HQuinnipiac63-67
28/02/26HMerrimack Warriors67-62
22/02/26AMount St. Mary's47-68
21/02/26ARider72-66
15/02/26HManhattan65-69
14/02/26HIona63-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Merrimack Warriors
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game62.862.063.5
Allowed / game65.860.071.5
Point differential-3.0+2.0-8.0
Avg total128.5122.0135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Canisius
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game77.283.071.5
Allowed / game81.574.089.0
Point differential-4.2+9.0-17.5
Avg total158.8157.0160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siena43175%83.877.8+6.0
2 Sacred Heart42250%84.868.2+16.5
3 Merrimack Warriors42250%62.865.8-3.0
4 Canisius42250%77.281.5-4.2
5 Fairfield42250%60.071.8-11.8
6 Iona52340%64.869.6-4.8
7 Quinnipiac52340%68.274.8-6.6
8 Mount St. Mary's31233%60.778.7-18.0
9 Marist41325%67.869.2-1.5
10 Manhattan41325%63.873.8-10.0
11 Rider51420%64.077.6-13.6
12 St. Peters4040%47.563.8-16.2
13 Niagara3030%63.084.0-21.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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