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Merrimack Warriors vs Iona Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 30 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#235
Record2-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game62.8
Allowed / game65.8
vs
Position#265
Record2-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game64.8
Allowed / game69.6
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Merrimack Warriors v Iona
29 Dec 2026
MERR v IONA
upcoming
22 Feb 2026
MERR88
IONA86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Merrimack Warriors win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Iona win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Merrimack WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iona
#152
W
88-86 OT
88
86
+2
H22/02
NCAA
Canisius
#327
L
62-67
62
67
-5
A28/02
NCAA
Niagara
#351
W
73-66
73
66
+7
A01/03
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
W
70-48
70
48
+22
H06/03
NCAA
Marist
#106
W
58-57
58
57
+1
H08/03
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
54-64
54
64
-10
H11/03
NCAA
Appalachian State
#206
W
63-49
63
49
+14
H02/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#107
L
61-71
61
71
-10
H06/11
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#234
W
73-60
73
60
+13
A08/11
NCAA
Florida
#52
L
54-83
54
83
-29
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-33
32-35
32-29
30-38
30-28
43-38
39-25
31-23
30-28
28-29
30-33
24-31
43-21
20-28
26-38
35-33
30-26
43-34
26-43
28-40
130.7Avg total
65.6Scored
65.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)62.865.8128.5-3.050%
Season at home (2)62.060.0122.0+2.050%
Season away (2)63.571.5135.0-8.050%
Last 10 (10)65.665.1130.7+0.560%
Last 5 (5)61.065.4126.4-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)59.367.7127.0-8.333%
vs Similar ◀ (18)69.562.9132.4+6.678%
vs Weaker (9)70.762.6133.2+8.189%
This opponent (Iona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IonaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Peters
#134
W
72-64 OT
72
64
+8
H21/02
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
L
86-88 OT
86
88
-2
A22/02
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
80-58
80
58
+22
H28/02
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
W
69-65
69
65
+4
A01/03
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
L
80-91
80
91
-11
H05/03
NCAA
Vermont
#194
W
56-55
56
55
+1
H03/11
NCAA
NJIT
#345
W
72-49
72
49
+23
H06/11
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#19
L
65-104
65
104
-39
A08/11
NCAA
Fordham
#136
L
72-78
72
78
-6
A11/11
NCAA
Hofstra
#211
L
59-62 OT
59
62
-3
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-31
32-30
33-36
35-32
40-30
40-28
35-26
34-39
29-34
51-57
21-29
35-26
39-19
33-30
23-54
42-50
37-43
35-35
20-22
31-29
142.5Avg total
71.1Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)64.869.6134.4-4.840%
Season at home (2)64.052.0116.0+12.0100%
Season away (3)65.381.3146.7-16.00%
Last 10 (10)71.171.4142.5-0.350%
Last 5 (5)64.869.6134.4-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)62.478.7141.1-16.329%
vs Similar ◀ (12)71.975.8147.7-3.833%
vs Weaker (11)72.360.4132.6+11.982%
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: -1.8-1.82nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: +1.2+1.2
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: -1.8-1.82nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: +1.2+1.2
Merrimack WarriorsIona
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Merrimack WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iona
#152
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H22/02
NCAA
Canisius
#327
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A28/02
NCAA
Niagara
#351
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A01/03
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H06/03
NCAA
Marist
#106
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H08/03
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H11/03
NCAA
Appalachian State
#206
W
43-21
43
21
+22
H02/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#107
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H06/11
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#234
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A08/11
NCAA
Florida
#52
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A14/11
NCAA
62.6Avg total
32.2Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.829.763.5+4.073%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.829.565.3+6.380%-
Last 30 away (15)31.730.061.7+1.767%-
Last 10 (10)32.230.462.6+1.870%-
Last 5 (5)31.032.263.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.734.065.7-2.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)33.328.962.2+4.472%-
vs Weaker (9)35.330.065.3+5.389%-
This opponent (Iona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Peters
#134
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H21/02
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A22/02
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H28/02
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A01/03
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H05/03
NCAA
Vermont
#194
L
21-29
21
29
-8
H03/11
NCAA
NJIT
#345
W
39-19
39
19
+20
H06/11
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#19
L
23-54
23
54
-31
A08/11
NCAA
Fordham
#136
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A11/11
NCAA
Hofstra
#211
L
20-22
20
22
-2
A14/11
NCAA
63.0Avg total
30.6Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.732.865.5-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.630.163.8+3.557%-
Last 30 away (16)31.935.267.1-3.344%-
Last 10 (10)30.632.463.0-1.830%-
Last 5 (5)28.033.461.4-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)26.438.064.4-11.60%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)34.634.268.8+0.350%-
vs Weaker (11)34.628.062.6+6.682%-
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Merrimack Warriors wins
1
Iona wins
DateGameScore
22/02/26Merrimack Warriors v Iona88-86 OT
23/01/26Iona v Merrimack Warriors61-60
23/02/25Iona v Merrimack Warriors70-77 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AFlorida54-83
08/11/26AAlbany Great Danes73-60
06/11/26HUMass Lowell61-71
02/11/26HAppalachian State63-49
11/03/26HSiena54-64
08/03/26HMarist58-57
06/03/26HSacred Heart70-48
01/03/26ANiagara73-66
28/02/26ACanisius62-67
22/02/26HIona88-86 OT
Ionalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AHofstra59-62 OT
11/11/26AFordham72-78
08/11/26ASt. John's (N.Y.)65-104
06/11/26HNJIT72-49
03/11/26HVermont56-55
05/03/26HSacred Heart80-91
01/03/26AManhattan69-65
28/02/26HRider80-58
22/02/26AMerrimack Warriors86-88 OT
21/02/26HSt. Peters72-64 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Merrimack Warriors
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game62.862.063.5
Allowed / game65.860.071.5
Point differential-3.0+2.0-8.0
Avg total128.5122.0135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Iona
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL40%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%100%0%
Points / game64.864.065.3
Allowed / game69.652.081.3
Point differential-4.8+12.0-16.0
Avg total134.4116.0146.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %20%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siena43175%83.877.8+6.0
2 Sacred Heart42250%84.868.2+16.5
3 Merrimack Warriors42250%62.865.8-3.0
4 Canisius42250%77.281.5-4.2
5 Fairfield42250%60.071.8-11.8
6 Iona52340%64.869.6-4.8
7 Quinnipiac52340%68.274.8-6.6
8 Mount St. Mary's31233%60.778.7-18.0
9 Marist41325%67.869.2-1.5
10 Manhattan41325%63.873.8-10.0
11 Rider51420%64.077.6-13.6
12 St. Peters4040%47.563.8-16.2
13 Niagara4040%58.579.5-21.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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