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Merrimack Warriors vs Mount St. Mary's Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 02 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 75-65
29-27 46-38
Position#66
Record7-7
FormWWWLW
Points / game65.9
Allowed / game72.0
Merrimack Warriors 🏆
USA
vs
Mount St. Mary's
USA
Position#242
Record5-9
FormLWLWW
Points / game68.4
Allowed / game74.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Merrimack Warriors v Mount St. Mary's
02 Jan 2026
MERR75
MOUN65
14 Mar 2025
MERR55
MOUN57
31 Jan 2025
MERR58
MOUN66
17 Jan 2022
MERR50
MOUN57
09 Jan 2020
MERR64
MOUN61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Merrimack Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mount St. Mary's winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Merrimack WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maine Black Bears
#355
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H20/11
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
45-80
45
80
-35
A22/11
NCAA
Penn
#115
L
65-77
65
77
-12
A28/11
NCAA
Hofstra
#54
L
58-78
58
78
-20
A29/11
NCAA
La Salle
#346
W
66-60
66
60
+6
A30/11
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H05/12
NCAA
Fairfield
#105
W
74-63
74
63
+11
H07/12
NCAA
Princeton
#337
W
59-56
59
56
+3
A10/12
NCAA
Vermont
#85
L
59-66
59
66
-7
A14/12
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
W
80-72
80
72
+8
A29/12
NCAA
1H
2H
34-27
38-38
17-44
28-36
30-35
35-42
30-43
28-35
42-36
24-24
37-33
31-33
39-30
35-33
32-29
27-27
21-30
38-36
38-32
42-40
132.9Avg total
64.6Scored
68.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)65.972.0137.9-6.150%
Season at home (4)70.067.2137.2+2.875%
Season away (10)64.273.9138.1-9.740%
Last 10 (10)64.668.3132.9-3.760%
Last 5 (5)68.064.6132.6+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)51.579.0130.5-27.50%
vs Similar (19)66.566.8133.3-0.347%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)68.662.0130.6+6.689%
This opponent (Mount St. Mary's) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mount St. Mary'sUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maryland
#305
L
90-95 OT
90
95
-5
A20/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
L
60-83
60
83
-23
A23/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
60-113
60
113
-53
A25/11
NCAA
Howard
#55
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H29/11
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
L
80-87
80
87
-7
H04/12
NCAA
Marist
#106
L
56-64
56
64
-8
A06/12
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#314
W
81-73
81
73
+8
A13/12
NCAA
Drexel
#193
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A20/12
NCAA
Penn State Brandywine
#506
W
73-42
73
42
+31
H21/12
NCAA
Iona
#152
W
66-59
66
59
+7
H30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
32-40
45-37
34-38
26-45
26-52
34-61
45-43
34-32
45-51
35-36
20-30
36-34
38-37
43-36
33-38
34-37
39-26
34-16
30-33
36-26
147.8Avg total
71.2Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)68.474.8143.1-6.436%
Season at home (5)72.067.2139.2+4.860%
Season away (9)66.379.0145.3-12.722%
Last 10 (10)71.276.6147.8-5.440%
Last 5 (5)68.662.6131.2+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)60.480.9141.3-20.414%
vs Similar (18)70.767.6138.2+3.172%
vs Weaker (5)74.468.4142.8+6.060%
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.9-1.91st half: -4.6-4.62nd half2nd half: -1.8-1.82nd half: -0.3-0.3
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.9-1.91st half: -4.6-4.62nd half2nd half: -1.8-1.82nd half: -0.3-0.3
Merrimack WarriorsMount St. Mary's
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Merrimack WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maine Black Bears
#355
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H20/11
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
17-44
17
44
-27
A22/11
NCAA
Penn
#115
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A28/11
NCAA
Hofstra
#54
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A29/11
NCAA
La Salle
#346
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A30/11
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H05/12
NCAA
Fairfield
#105
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H07/12
NCAA
Princeton
#337
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A10/12
NCAA
Vermont
#85
L
21-30
21
30
-9
A14/12
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A29/12
NCAA
65.9Avg total
32.0Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.032.164.1-0.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.430.461.7+1.057%-
Last 30 away (16)32.633.666.2-0.944%-
Last 10 (10)32.033.965.9-1.960%-
Last 5 (5)33.430.864.2+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)23.543.567.0-20.00%-
vs Similar (19)30.931.462.3-0.442%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)36.231.067.2+5.278%-
This opponent (Mount St. Mary's) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mount St. Mary'sLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maryland
#305
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A20/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A23/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
26-52
26
52
-26
A25/11
NCAA
Howard
#55
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H29/11
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H04/12
NCAA
Marist
#106
L
20-30
20
30
-10
A06/12
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#314
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A13/12
NCAA
Drexel
#193
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A20/12
NCAA
Penn State Brandywine
#506
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H21/12
NCAA
Iona
#152
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H30/12
NCAA
73.0Avg total
34.2Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.134.367.4-1.247%-
Last 30 at home (10)33.935.169.0-1.240%-
Last 30 away (20)32.733.966.6-1.150%-
Last 10 (10)34.238.873.0-4.630%-
Last 5 (5)32.032.864.8-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)30.939.670.4-8.729%-
vs Similar (18)33.432.565.9+0.950%-
vs Weaker (5)35.233.268.4+2.060%-
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Merrimack Warriors wins
7
Mount St. Mary's wins
DateGameScore
15/03/25Merrimack Warriors v Mount St. Mary's55-57
01/02/25Merrimack Warriors v Mount St. Mary's58-66
04/02/22Mount St. Mary's v Merrimack Warriors69-53
17/01/22Merrimack Warriors v Mount St. Mary's50-57
15/01/21Mount St. Mary's v Merrimack Warriors63-52
15/01/21Mount St. Mary's v Merrimack Warriors77-57
23/02/20Mount St. Mary's v Merrimack Warriors65-57
10/01/20Merrimack Warriors v Mount St. Mary's64-61
Merrimack Warriorslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/25ASacred Heart80-72
14/12/25AVermont59-66
10/12/25APrinceton59-56
07/12/25HFairfield74-63
05/12/25HRider68-66
30/11/25ALa Salle66-60
29/11/25AHofstra58-78
28/11/25APenn65-77
22/11/25AFlorida45-80
20/11/25HMaine Black Bears72-65
Mount St. Mary'slast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/25HIona66-59
21/12/25HPenn State Brandywine73-42
20/12/25ADrexel67-75
13/12/25ALoyola Maryland81-73
06/12/25AMarist56-64
04/12/25HSacred Heart80-87
29/11/25HHoward79-75
25/11/25AOhio State60-113
23/11/25AWestern Michigan60-83
20/11/25AMaryland90-95 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Merrimack Warriors
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW50%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLWWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14410
Win %50%75%40%
Points / game65.970.064.2
Allowed / game72.067.273.9
Point differential-6.1+2.8-9.7
Avg total137.9137.2138.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mount St. Mary's
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW36%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayLLLWL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1459
Win %36%60%22%
Points / game68.472.066.3
Allowed / game74.867.279.0
Point differential-6.4+4.8-12.7
Avg total143.1139.2145.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %7%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quinnipiac1410471%77.772.4+5.4
2 Siena139469%69.564.5+5.0
3 Marist128467%72.363.2+9.1
4 Iona149564%78.977.6+1.4
5 Fairfield148657%77.073.4+3.6
6 St. Peters116555%72.569.5+3.0
7 Merrimack Warriors147750%65.972.0-6.1
8 Manhattan146843%77.982.5-4.6
9 Canisius135838%60.170.2-10.2
10 Sacred Heart145936%75.677.8-2.2
11 Mount St. Mary's145936%68.474.8-6.4
12 Niagara123925%62.875.0-12.2
13 Rider121118%61.375.8-14.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Merrimack Warriors294675
Mount St. Mary's273865
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