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Merrimack Warriors vs Wagner Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 12 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 47-54
25-29 22-25
Position#91
Record21-11
FormWWLWW
Points / game69.9
Allowed / game65.8
vs
Wagner 🏆
USA
Position#193
Record15-15
FormWLLWW
Points / game63.9
Allowed / game62.6
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Merrimack Warriors v Wagner
12 Mar 2024
MERR47
WAGN54
19 Jan 2024
MERR65
WAGN71
16 Jan 2023
MERR57
WAGN62
23 Jan 2022
MERR57
WAGN71
15 Feb 2020
MERR68
WAGN59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Merrimack Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wagner winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Merrimack WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Connecticut State
#88
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H03/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#350
W
82-79 OT
82
79
+3
A09/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#233
W
66-50
66
50
+16
H10/02
NCAA
Stonehill
#363
W
66-63
66
63
+3
A16/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#350
W
83-68
83
68
+15
H17/02
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#344
W
71-60
71
60
+11
H23/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#242
W
74-55
74
55
+19
A01/03
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#202
L
85-89
85
89
-4
A02/03
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#350
W
72-66
72
66
+6
H07/03
NCAA
Le Moyne
#233
W
61-51
61
51
+10
H09/03
NCAA
1H
2H
41-36
30-32
34-41
39-32
35-25
31-25
31-25
35-38
33-34
50-34
33-25
38-35
34-24
40-31
42-41
43-48
43-39
29-27
28-20
33-31
138.0Avg total
73.1Scored
64.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)69.965.8135.7+4.166%
Season at home (15)71.962.5134.4+9.387%
Season away (17)68.168.6136.8-0.547%
Last 10 (10)73.164.9138.0+8.290%
Last 5 (5)72.664.2136.8+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.573.5146.0-1.050%
vs Similar ◀ (13)65.266.2131.3-1.046%
vs Weaker (15)73.163.9137.0+9.187%
This opponent (Wagner) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WagnerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stonehill
#363
L
61-71
61
71
-10
A03/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#242
W
66-62
66
62
+4
A09/02
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#344
W
65-63 OT
65
63
+2
A16/02
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#202
L
53-63
53
63
-10
H17/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#88
L
72-73
72
73
-1
H23/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#350
W
72-57
72
57
+15
H25/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#233
L
56-70
56
70
-14
A01/03
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#242
L
54-57
54
57
-3
H02/03
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#202
W
60-57
60
57
+3
A07/03
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#88
W
66-56
66
56
+10
A09/03
NCAA
1H
2H
26-29
35-42
–
–
30-28
27-29
29-29
24-34
37-28
35-45
32-22
40-35
24-32
32-38
26-31
28-26
35-31
25-26
28-23
38-33
125.4Avg total
62.5Scored
62.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)63.962.6126.5+1.350%
Season at home (12)67.858.2126.0+9.758%
Season away (18)61.265.6126.8-4.344%
Last 10 (10)62.562.9125.4-0.450%
Last 5 (5)61.659.4121.0+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)64.265.2129.5-1.025%
vs Similar ◀ (14)59.465.4124.7-6.036%
vs Weaker (11)67.759.5127.2+8.373%
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.4+4.41st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: +3.5+3.52nd half: -2.7-2.7
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.4+4.41st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: +3.5+3.52nd half: -2.7-2.7
Merrimack WarriorsWagner
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Merrimack WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Connecticut State
#88
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H03/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#350
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A09/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#233
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H10/02
NCAA
Stonehill
#363
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A16/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#350
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H17/02
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#344
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H23/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#242
W
34-24
34
24
+10
A01/03
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#202
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A02/03
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#350
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H07/03
NCAA
Le Moyne
#233
W
28-20
28
20
+8
H09/03
NCAA
66.4Avg total
35.4Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.429.261.6+3.163%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.327.661.9+6.686%-
Last 30 away (16)30.730.661.3+0.144%-
Last 10 (10)35.431.066.4+4.480%-
Last 5 (5)36.029.865.8+6.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.030.561.5+0.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)31.329.861.2+1.562%-
vs Weaker (15)33.528.562.0+4.967%-
This opponent (Wagner) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WagnerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stonehill
#363
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A03/02
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#344
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A16/02
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#202
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H17/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#88
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H23/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#350
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H25/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#233
L
24-32
24
32
-8
A01/03
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#242
L
26-31
26
31
-5
H02/03
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#202
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A07/03
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#88
W
28-23
28
23
+5
A09/03
NCAA
57.8Avg total
29.7Scored
28.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)29.628.858.4+0.848%-
Last 30 at home (12)33.825.259.0+8.575%-
Last 30 away (17)26.631.458.0-4.729%-
Last 10 (9)29.728.157.8+1.656%-
Last 5 (5)29.027.856.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)30.028.858.8+1.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)27.529.857.2-2.338%-
vs Weaker (11)30.628.158.7+2.555%-
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Merrimack Warriors wins
5
Wagner wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24HLe Moyne61-51
07/03/24HLIU Sharks72-66
02/03/24ASacred Heart85-89
01/03/24AFairleigh Dickinson74-55
23/02/24HSt. Francis (PA)71-60
17/02/24HLIU Sharks83-68
16/02/24AStonehill66-63
10/02/24HLe Moyne66-50
09/02/24ALIU Sharks82-79 OT
03/02/24HCentral Connecticut State71-68
Wagnerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24ACentral Connecticut State66-56
07/03/24ASacred Heart60-57
02/03/24HFairleigh Dickinson54-57
01/03/24ALe Moyne56-70
25/02/24HLIU Sharks72-57
23/02/24HCentral Connecticut State72-73
17/02/24HSacred Heart53-63
16/02/24ASt. Francis (PA)65-63 OT
09/02/24AFairleigh Dickinson66-62
03/02/24AStonehill61-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Merrimack Warriors
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW66%
HomeWWWWW87%
AwayWWWWL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321517
Win %66%87%47%
Points / game69.971.968.1
Allowed / game65.862.568.6
Point differential+4.1+9.3-0.5
Avg total135.7134.4136.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%53%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)100% (3)50% (6)
Overtime %6%7%6%
Wagner
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeWLLWL58%
AwayWWLWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301218
Win %50%58%44%
Points / game63.967.861.2
Allowed / game62.658.265.6
Point differential+1.3+9.7-4.3
Avg total126.5126.0126.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%58%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)0% (2)56% (9)
Overtime %10%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quinnipiac3123874%78.472.4+6.0
2 Merrimack Warriors32211166%69.965.8+4.1
3 Fairfield31201165%76.871.3+5.5
4 Marist29171259%64.862.2+2.6
5 St. Peters29161355%65.964.1+1.8
6 Sacred Heart32161650%74.172.3+1.8
7 Niagara30151550%73.172.6+0.5
8 Iona31151648%72.071.1+0.9
9 Rider31151648%72.972.8+0.1
10 Canisius31141745%71.072.0-1.0
11 Mount St. Mary's31131842%72.471.3+1.1
12 Manhattan2972224%66.576.4-9.9
13 Siena3142713%60.374.7-14.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Central Connecticut State31201165%72.266.5+5.7
2 Wagner30151550%63.962.6+1.3
3 Le Moyne32151747%72.470.2+2.3
4 Fairleigh Dickinson32151747%75.977.6-1.6
5 Chicago State30121840%69.170.2-1.1
6 St. Francis (PA)3182326%64.972.7-7.8
7 LIU Sharks2972224%66.576.8-10.3
8 Stonehill3142713%63.576.1-12.7
9 St. Francis (ILL)1010%47.079.0-32.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Merrimack Warriors252247
Wagner292554
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