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Mersin SK vs Balikesir Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 06 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#4
Record8-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game81.5
Mersin SK
Turkey
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.8/10
Above normal
5.6/10
Above normal
Balikesir
Turkey
Position#15
Record3-8
FormLLLWL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game79.5
TurkeyTBLRound 27· Servet Tazegül Spor Salonu
Other2026-27
Meetings · Mersin SK v Balikesir
06 Mar 2027
MES v BALI
upcoming
23 Oct 2021
MES72
BALI85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mersin SK win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Balikesir win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mersin SKTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSK
Date
Competition
MKE Ankaragucu
#14
W
100-70
100
70
+30
111avg 88
A19/09
TBL
Konya BBSK
#13
W
87-82
87
82
+5
88avg 88
H26/09
TBL
iLab Basketbol
#9
W
81-78
81
78
+3
84avg 88
A04/10
TBL
Gaziantep
#5
W
92-70
92
70
+22
87avg 88
H08/10
TBL
Fenerbahce 2
#10
W
85-77
85
77
+8
89avg 88
A11/10
TBL
Darussafaka
#11
W
95-82
95
82
+13
93avg 88
H18/10
TBL
Kahramanmaras
#3
W
85-73
85
73
+12
89avg 88
A24/10
TBL
Ankara Kolejliler
#16
W
100-65
100
65
+35
102avg 88
H31/10
TBL
Balikesir
#15
L
76-98
76
98
-22
no box
A08/11
TBL
Kecioren Baglum
#17
L
89-120
89
120
-31
no box
H14/11
TBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-18
17-23
29-17
16-12
15-26
24-11
24-26
24-19
21-23
23-14
19-23
18-18
27-13
19-15
28-16
18-26
20-19
16-21
20-16
29-21
24-21
26-19
24-22
21-20
28-18
14-20
24-22
19-13
17-22
27-18
34-15
22-10
19-28
23-31
14-23
20-16
23-35
24-32
25-30
17-23
170.5Avg total
89.0Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)89.081.5170.5+7.580%
Season at home (5)92.683.8176.4+8.880%
Season away (5)85.479.2164.6+6.280%
Last 10 (10)89.081.5170.5+7.580%
Last 5 (5)89.087.6176.6+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)80.090.7170.7-10.717%
vs Similar (9)91.686.3177.9+5.267%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)88.985.1174.0+3.867%
This opponent (Balikesir) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BalikesirTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBalikesir
Date
Competition
Darussafaka
#11
L
65-67
65
67
-2
60avg 68
A20/09
TBL
Kahramanmaras
#3
L
69-79
69
79
-10
60avg 68
H27/09
TBL
Ankara Kolejliler
#16
W
91-85
91
85
+6
83avg 68
A03/10
TBL
Goztepe
#2
L
67-78
67
78
-11
52avg 68
A07/10
TBL
Kecioren Baglum
#17
W
94-92
94
92
+2
84avg 68
H11/10
TBL
Final Spor
#7
L
52-68
52
68
-16
37avg 68
A18/10
TBL
CO Basket
#12
L
79-89 OT
79
89
-10
68avg 68
H25/10
TBL
Harem Spor
#1
L
73-77 OT
73
77
-4
62avg 68
A31/10
TBL
Mersin SK
#4
W
98-76
98
76
+22
no box
H08/11
TBL
Buyukcekmece
#6
L
77-93
77
93
-16
no box
A14/11
TBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-22
20-17
15-10
19-18
13-23
23-18
8-16
25-22
15-29
25-13
25-19
26-24
22-16
11-25
17-20
17-17
29-20
15-23
26-25
24-24
16-20
11-12
10-16
15-20
15-7
16-22
16-29
26-15
22-14
17-16
10-16
18-21
28-19
31-23
23-14
16-20
20-18
19-22
15-24
23-29
156.9Avg total
76.5Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)75.879.5155.3-3.627%
Season at home (5)81.881.2163.0+0.640%
Season away (6)70.878.0148.8-7.217%
Last 10 (10)76.580.4156.9-3.930%
Last 5 (5)75.880.6156.4-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)76.884.1160.8-7.325%
vs Similar (12)80.280.5160.8-0.250%
vs Weaker (2)49.544.594.0+5.050%
This opponent (Mersin SK) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -0.1-0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -0.1-0.1
Mersin SKBalikesir
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mersin SKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MKE Ankaragucu
#14
W
55-41
55
41
+14
A19/09
TBL
Konya BBSK
#13
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H26/09
TBL
iLab Basketbol
#9
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A04/10
TBL
Gaziantep
#5
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H08/10
TBL
Fenerbahce 2
#10
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A11/10
TBL
Darussafaka
#11
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H18/10
TBL
Kahramanmaras
#3
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A24/10
TBL
Ankara Kolejliler
#16
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H31/10
TBL
Balikesir
#15
L
42-59
42
59
-17
A08/11
TBL
Kecioren Baglum
#17
L
47-67
47
67
-20
H14/11
TBL
87.2Avg total
44.5Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.445.689.0-2.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.743.591.2+4.160%-
Last 30 away (15)39.147.786.8-8.727%-
Last 10 (10)44.542.787.2+1.870%-
Last 5 (5)45.048.893.8-3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)38.247.385.5-9.217%-
vs Similar (9)48.142.991.0+5.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)45.646.191.7-0.656%-
This opponent (Balikesir) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BalikesirLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Darussafaka
#11
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A20/09
TBL
Kahramanmaras
#3
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H27/09
TBL
Ankara Kolejliler
#16
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A03/10
TBL
Goztepe
#2
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A07/10
TBL
Kecioren Baglum
#17
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H11/10
TBL
Final Spor
#7
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A18/10
TBL
CO Basket
#12
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H25/10
TBL
Harem Spor
#1
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A31/10
TBL
Mersin SK
#4
W
59-42
59
42
+17
H08/11
TBL
Buyukcekmece
#6
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A14/11
TBL
75.8Avg total
37.9Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.540.379.8-0.838%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.940.781.6+0.340%-
Last 30 away (14)37.939.977.8-1.936%-
Last 10 (10)37.937.975.8+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)39.034.673.6+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)39.240.980.2-1.731%-
vs Similar (12)40.540.380.8+0.242%-
vs Weaker (1)31.029.060.0+2.0100%-
This opponent (Mersin SK) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mersin SKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mersin SK: 88.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.420.8
60.5%
53.0%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.910.9
40.5%
33.0%32.7
🏀 Free throws18.914.2
75.1%
71.2%14.2
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Balikesirtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Balikesir: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.317.2
43.8%
53.0%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.6
33.5%
33.0%25.8
🏀 Free throws20.713.6
65.7%
71.2%13.6
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mersin SK
LLWWWWWWWW
Balikesir
LWLLLWLWLL
#4
League position
#15
+13.7
Net rating
-6.9
107.1
Offensive rating
85.8
93.4
Defensive rating
92.7
60.6%
Effective FG%
46.3%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
15.7%
Turnover %
14.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
40.5%
3-point %
33.5%
77.9%
Assist %
61.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence107.1 · 85.8Defence93.4 · 92.7Shooting60.6% · 46.3%3-point %40.5% · 33.5%Ball care15.7% · 14.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Mersin SK   ■ Balikesir
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mersin SK wins
2
Balikesir wins
DateGameScore
08/11/26Balikesir v Mersin SK98-76
12/02/22Balikesir v Mersin SK59-66
23/10/21Mersin SK v Balikesir72-85
Mersin SKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HKecioren Baglum89-120
08/11/26ABalikesir76-98
31/10/26HAnkara Kolejliler100-65
24/10/26AKahramanmaras85-73
18/10/26HDarussafaka95-82
11/10/26AFenerbahce 285-77
08/10/26HGaziantep92-70
04/10/26AiLab Basketbol81-78
26/09/26HKonya BBSK87-82
19/09/26AMKE Ankaragucu100-70
Balikesirlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ABuyukcekmece77-93
08/11/26HMersin SK98-76
31/10/26AHarem Spor73-77 OT
25/10/26HCO Basket79-89 OT
18/10/26AFinal Spor52-68
11/10/26HKecioren Baglum94-92
07/10/26AGoztepe67-78
03/10/26AAnkara Kolejliler91-85
27/09/26HKahramanmaras69-79
20/09/26ADarussafaka65-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mersin SK
TBL 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL80%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %80%80%80%
Points / game89.092.685.4
Allowed / game81.583.879.2
Point differential+7.5+8.8+6.2
Avg total170.5176.4164.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Balikesir
TBL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL27%
HomeLLWLW40%
AwayWLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %27%40%17%
Points / game75.881.870.8
Allowed / game79.581.278.0
Point differential-3.6+0.6-7.2
Avg total155.3163.0148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %18%20%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Harem Spor119282%82.370.8+11.5
2 Goztepe108280%84.975.9+9.0
3 Kahramanmaras108280%83.074.5+8.5
4 Mersin SK108280%89.081.5+7.5
5 Gaziantep107370%80.776.3+4.4
6 Buyukcekmece106460%81.077.5+3.5
7 Final Spor116555%80.679.0+1.6
8 OGM Ormanspor105550%82.880.4+2.4
9 iLab Basketbol105550%84.185.0-0.9
10 Fenerbahce 2104640%76.581.3-4.8
11 Darussafaka104640%77.883.9-6.1
12 CO Basket114736%72.682.8-10.2
13 Konya BBSK103730%82.786.4-3.7
14 MKE Ankaragucu103730%80.190.2-10.1
15 Balikesir113827%75.879.5-3.6
16 Ankara Kolejliler113827%73.580.3-6.8
17 Kecioren Baglum112918%87.488.6-1.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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