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Mestre vs Ruvo Di Puglia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 93-71
24-12 21-26 26-8 22-25
Position#12
Record1-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game80.8
vs
Position#15
Record1-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game88.0
ItalySerie A2Round 5· Palasport Taliercio
Other2026-27
Meetings · Mestre v Ruvo Di Puglia
21 Oct 2026
MEST93
RUVO71
24 Jan 2026
MEST74
RUVO78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mestre winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ruvo Di Puglia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MestreItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMestre
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#9
W
86-70
86
70
+16
80avg 66
H28/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
81-95
81
95
-14
74avg 66
A05/04
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
83-85
83
85
-2
70avg 66
H08/04
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
68-87
68
87
-19
48avg 66
A12/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
82-90
82
90
-8
64avg 66
H18/04
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
82-83
82
83
-1
68avg 66
A26/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#3
W
79-57
79
57
+22
72avg 66
A27/09
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
49-88
49
88
-39
15avg 66
H03/10
Serie A2
Sassari
#10
L
74-87
74
87
-13
60avg 66
H10/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#4
L
76-91
76
91
-15
66avg 66
A18/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-11
27-20
26-15
19-24
16-22
22-28
21-24
22-21
22-26
24-19
20-24
17-16
11-21
21-29
16-20
20-17
26-17
13-28
19-21
24-24
24-21
26-29
20-16
12-17
23-15
19-26
21-11
16-5
9-19
11-22
12-26
17-21
27-25
21-25
15-19
11-18
16-20
23-26
17-29
20-16
159.3Avg total
76.0Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)69.580.8150.2-11.225%
Season at home (2)61.587.5149.0-26.00%
Season away (2)77.574.0151.5+3.550%
Last 10 (10)76.083.3159.3-7.320%
Last 5 (5)72.081.2153.2-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)75.281.8157.0-6.535%
vs Similar ◀ (12)78.779.9158.6-1.242%
vs Weaker (1)74.078.0152.0-4.00%
This opponent (Ruvo Di Puglia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ruvo Di PugliaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPuglia
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#19
L
78-80
78
80
-2
72avg 71
H13/05
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
72-68
72
68
+4
65avg 71
H17/05
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
87-83
87
83
+4
80avg 71
H19/05
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
L
84-100
84
100
-16
77avg 71
A22/05
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
L
76-105
76
105
-29
66avg 71
A24/05
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
94-70
94
70
+24
88avg 71
H27/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#6
L
70-92
70
92
-22
71avg 71
A27/09
Serie A2
Cividale
#13
L
83-86
83
86
-3
16avg 71
H04/10
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#18
W
96-88
96
88
+8
88avg 71
A10/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#5
L
76-86
76
86
-10
70avg 71
H18/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
18-24
18-23
17-16
20-23
16-19
16-14
20-12
26-21
21-28
27-18
13-16
19-34
16-27
24-13
25-26
20-28
22-27
17-20
17-30
20-14
23-16
23-22
28-18
25-16
14-24
12-22
19-30
19-23
23-19
22-18
19-26
21-24
20-21
36-21
19-22
15-13
31-27
17-22
13-24
167.4Avg total
81.6Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.288.0169.2-6.825%
Season at home (2)79.586.0165.5-6.50%
Season away (2)83.090.0173.0-7.050%
Last 10 (10)81.685.8167.4-4.240%
Last 5 (5)83.884.4168.2-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)77.089.4166.4-12.425%
vs Similar ◀ (14)86.484.6170.9+1.857%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mestre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -3.0-3.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -3.0-3.0
MestreRuvo Di Puglia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MestreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#9
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H28/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A05/04
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H08/04
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A12/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H18/04
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A26/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A27/09
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
20-41
20
41
-21
H03/10
Serie A2
Sassari
#10
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H10/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#4
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A18/10
Serie A2
84.4Avg total
39.5Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.341.780.9-2.443%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.441.381.7-0.953%-
Last 30 away (15)38.142.180.2-3.933%-
Last 10 (10)39.544.984.4-5.430%-
Last 5 (5)39.845.685.4-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)37.942.680.5-4.835%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.440.280.6+0.250%-
vs Weaker (1)49.043.092.0+6.0100%-
This opponent (Ruvo Di Puglia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ruvo Di PugliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#19
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H13/05
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H17/05
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H19/05
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
L
35-61
35
61
-26
A22/05
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A24/05
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H27/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#6
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A27/09
Serie A2
Cividale
#13
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H04/10
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#18
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A10/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#5
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H18/10
Serie A2
85.9Avg total
41.4Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.644.786.3-3.130%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.943.586.4-0.638%-
Last 30 away (14)40.246.186.3-5.921%-
Last 10 (10)41.444.585.9-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)42.239.481.6+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)40.245.485.6-5.119%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)43.243.987.1-0.743%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mestre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mestretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mestre: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.516.5
46.5%
51.5%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.8
32.8%
34.5%26.4
🏀 Free throws19.814.8
74.7%
70.9%14.8
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ruvo Di Pugliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ruvo Di Puglia: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.816.1
49.1%
51.5%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.59.5
38.8%
34.5%28.5
🏀 Free throws19.614.5
74.0%
70.9%14.5
They take 57.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mestre
LLLWLLLLLW
Ruvo Di Puglia
LWLLWLLWWL
#12
League position
#15
-8.1
Net rating
-3.6
91.4
Offensive rating
97.9
99.6
Defensive rating
101.6
47.7%
Effective FG%
53.0%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
11.6%
Turnover %
14.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.34
32.8%
3-point %
38.8%
41.9%
Assist %
50.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence91.4 · 97.9Defence99.6 · 101.6Shooting47.7% · 53.0%3-point %32.8% · 38.8%Ball care11.6% · 14.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Mestre   ■ Ruvo Di Puglia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mestre wins
1
Ruvo Di Puglia wins
DateGameScore
24/01/26Mestre v Ruvo Di Puglia74-78
08/10/25Ruvo Di Puglia v Mestre71-79
Mestrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/26ARimini76-91
10/10/26HSassari74-87
03/10/26HLibertas Livorno49-88
27/09/26ABasket Torino79-57
26/04/26AJuVi Cremona82-83
18/04/26HLibertas Livorno82-90
12/04/26AVerona68-87
08/04/26HAvellino Basket83-85
05/04/26ARimini81-95
28/03/26HBrindisi86-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/26HPesaro76-86
10/10/26AUrania Milano96-88
04/10/26HCividale83-86
27/09/26AFortitudo Bologna70-92
27/05/26HRoseto94-70
24/05/26ARoseto76-105
22/05/26ARoseto84-100
19/05/26HRoseto87-83
17/05/26HRoseto72-68
13/05/26HPistoia78-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mestre
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeLL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%0%50%
Points / game69.561.577.5
Allowed / game80.887.574.0
Point differential-11.2-26.0+3.5
Avg total150.2149.0151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ruvo Di Puglia
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeLL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%0%50%
Points / game81.279.583.0
Allowed / game88.086.090.0
Point differential-6.8-6.5-7.0
Avg total169.2165.5173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fortitudo Bologna440100%86.071.5+14.5
2 Libertas Livorno440100%78.264.0+14.2
3 Avellino Basket440100%82.871.0+11.8
4 Pesaro440100%88.079.5+8.5
5 Forli43175%84.876.5+8.2
6 Brindisi43175%81.875.8+6.0
7 Sassari43175%77.273.2+4.0
8 Sebastiani Rieti43175%77.275.0+2.2
9 Basket Torino43175%75.574.0+1.5
10 Rimini42250%78.271.5+6.8
11 Pistoia41325%74.573.8+0.8
12 Caserta41325%81.884.0-2.2
13 Cento41325%80.586.0-5.5
14 Ruvo Di Puglia41325%81.288.0-6.8
15 Mestre41325%69.580.8-11.2
16 Cividale41325%68.880.2-11.5
17 Montecatini41325%71.885.8-14.0
18 JuVi Cremona4040%76.281.0-4.8
19 Urania Milano4040%77.284.2-7.0
20 Vigevano4040%72.888.2-15.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mestre2421262293
Ruvo Di Puglia122682571
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