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Mestre vs Ruvo Di Puglia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 74-78
27-19 22-24 19-15 6-20
Position#15
Record10-13
FormLLLLW
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game80.8
vs
Position#16
Record7-16
FormWWLLW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game86.2
ItalySerie A2Round 24· Palasport Taliercio
Other2025-26
Meetings · Mestre v Ruvo Di Puglia
21 Oct 2026
MEST93
RUVO71
24 Jan 2026
MEST74
RUVO78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mestre winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ruvo Di Puglia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MestreItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMestre
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#9
L
72-83
72
83
-11
no box
A03/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
85-86
85
86
-1
73avg 66
A06/12
Serie A2
Verona
#2
W
74-72
74
72
+2
72avg 66
H13/12
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
79-75
79
75
+4
76avg 66
A19/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
74-69
74
69
+5
68avg 66
H27/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
63-77
63
77
-14
51avg 66
A03/01
Serie A2
Forli
#17
L
55-83
55
83
-28
42avg 66
H10/01
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
L
85-90
85
90
-5
no box
H15/01
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
72-90
72
90
-18
no box
A17/01
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
85-77
85
77
+8
79avg 66
A21/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
10-18
23-21
15-23
23-22
14-22
24-18
24-24
21-20
15-26
16-16
22-10
20-13
19-21
15-19
25-22
15-15
26-16
15-23
18-15
16-20
14-22
21-18
12-17
22-18
9-21
13-30
11-14
15-18
23-19
26-18
21-35
19-31
15-17
16-30
22-12
15-18
21-14
34-20
15-25
154.6Avg total
74.4Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)77.180.8157.9-3.743%
Season at home (11)76.881.7158.5-4.945%
Season away (12)77.379.9157.2-2.642%
Last 10 (10)74.480.2154.6-5.840%
Last 5 (5)72.083.4155.4-11.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)73.982.7156.6-8.825%
vs Similar (10)80.779.5160.2+1.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)79.071.0150.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Ruvo Di Puglia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ruvo Di PugliaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPuglia
Date
Competition
Verona
#2
L
78-97
78
97
-19
68avg 65
A26/11
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
75-100
75
100
-25
69avg 65
H30/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
71-81
71
81
-10
66avg 65
A06/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
75-80
75
80
-5
68avg 65
H14/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
54-91
54
91
-37
40avg 65
A21/12
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
89-83
89
83
+6
77avg 65
H28/12
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
82-79
82
79
+3
no box
A04/01
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
90-95
90
95
-5
76avg 65
H11/01
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
80-109
80
109
-29
no box
A18/01
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
83-81
83
81
+2
73avg 65
H21/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
25-32
20-34
19-12
14-26
14-20
28-27
19-27
9-24
21-20
24-21
17-16
22-18
19-19
19-25
15-18
7-20
12-20
16-31
19-20
14-19
27-25
26-17
22-22
21-20
26-17
18-12
17-30
15-27
25-26
27-22
23-20
18-33
24-26
11-32
27-18
24-22
16-20
26-19
17-20
167.3Avg total
77.7Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)76.086.2162.2-10.330%
Season at home (12)77.983.8161.7-5.842%
Season away (11)73.888.9162.7-15.118%
Last 10 (10)77.789.6167.3-11.930%
Last 5 (5)84.889.4174.2-4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)75.287.1162.3-11.926%
vs Similar (4)79.882.0161.8-2.250%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mestre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -7.0-7.0Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -0.8-0.8
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -7.0-7.0Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -0.8-0.8
MestreRuvo Di Puglia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MestreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#9
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A03/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A06/12
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H13/12
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A19/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H27/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A03/01
Serie A2
Forli
#17
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H10/01
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H15/01
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A17/01
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A21/01
Serie A2
74.8Avg total
35.6Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (23)38.441.379.7-2.943%-
Last 30 at home (11)38.241.880.0-3.645%-
Last 30 away (12)38.640.879.4-2.242%-
Last 10 (10)35.639.274.8-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)33.839.673.4-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.342.980.2-5.633%-
vs Similar (10)40.140.680.7-0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)34.029.063.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Ruvo Di Puglia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ruvo Di PugliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#2
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A26/11
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
28-46
28
46
-18
H30/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A06/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H14/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
19-40
19
40
-21
A21/12
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H28/12
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A04/01
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
40-53
40
53
-13
H11/01
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
42-59
42
59
-17
A18/01
Serie A2
Cento
#18
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H21/01
Serie A2
82.0Avg total
36.7Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (23)37.541.579.0-4.039%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.938.776.6-0.850%-
Last 30 away (11)37.144.581.6-7.527%-
Last 10 (10)36.745.382.0-8.620%-
Last 5 (5)42.047.089.0-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)36.442.679.0-6.232%-
vs Similar (4)42.836.279.0+6.575%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mestre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mestretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mestre: 72.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.816.5
43.7%
50.8%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.9
34.2%
34.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws16.012.4
77.5%
74.4%12.4
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ruvo Di Pugliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ruvo Di Puglia: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.420.0
52.1%
50.8%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.87.6
36.5%
34.6%22.8
🏀 Free throws18.913.0
68.8%
74.4%13.0
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mestre
WLLLLWWWLL
Ruvo Di Puglia
WLLWWLLLLL
#15
League position
#16
-4.9
Net rating
-12.9
98.9
Offensive rating
97.4
103.9
Defensive rating
110.3
46.8%
Effective FG%
53.0%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
14.4%
Turnover %
19.2%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
18.5%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.2%
3-point %
36.5%
57.1%
Assist %
46.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence98.9 · 97.4Defence103.9 · 110.3Shooting46.8% · 53.0%3-point %34.2% · 36.5%Ball care14.4% · 19.2%Off. rebounds28.3% · 18.5%Free throws0.25 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Mestre   ■ Ruvo Di Puglia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mestre wins
0
Ruvo Di Puglia wins
DateGameScore
08/10/25Ruvo Di Puglia v Mestre71-79
Mestrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/26ARoseto85-77
17/01/26AFortitudo Bologna72-90
15/01/26HBlu Basket Bergamo85-90
10/01/26HForli55-83
03/01/26ACividale63-77
27/12/25HBasket Torino74-69
19/12/25ALibertas Livorno79-75
13/12/25HVerona74-72
06/12/25AUrania Milano85-86
03/12/25ABrindisi72-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/26HCento83-81
18/01/26AScafati80-109
11/01/26HPesaro90-95
04/01/26APistoia82-79
28/12/25HLibertas Livorno89-83
21/12/25AFortitudo Bologna54-91
14/12/25HUrania Milano75-80
06/12/25AJuVi Cremona71-81
30/11/25HScafati75-100
26/11/25AVerona78-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mestre
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW43%
HomeWWWLL45%
AwayLWLLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %43%45%42%
Points / game77.176.877.3
Allowed / game80.881.779.9
Point differential-3.7-4.9-2.6
Avg total157.9158.5157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%9%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)60% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ruvo Di Puglia
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW30%
HomeLLWLW42%
AwayLLLWL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %30%42%18%
Points / game76.077.973.8
Allowed / game86.283.888.9
Point differential-10.3-5.8-15.1
Avg total162.2161.7162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%0%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pesaro2316770%81.877.7+4.1
2 Libertas Livorno2315865%78.672.8+5.8
3 Rimini2315865%81.075.6+5.3
4 Brindisi2315865%76.871.8+5.0
5 Verona2315865%77.673.6+4.0
6 Cividale2315865%77.676.0+1.7
7 Scafati2314961%82.177.5+4.7
8 Fortitudo Bologna2314961%76.172.4+3.7
9 Sebastiani Rieti2314961%80.076.6+3.3
10 Avellino Basket23131057%81.178.0+3.1
11 Basket Torino23121152%74.172.7+1.4
12 Blu Basket Bergamo23111248%80.481.5-1.1
13 JuVi Cremona23101343%74.778.0-3.3
14 Mestre23101343%77.180.8-3.7
15 Cento2391439%78.780.9-2.2
16 Forli2381535%76.480.1-3.7
17 Urania Milano2371630%76.683.0-6.4
18 Ruvo Di Puglia2371630%76.086.2-10.3
19 Pistoia2361726%77.682.9-5.3
20 Roseto2341917%78.784.8-6.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mestre272219674
Ruvo Di Puglia1924152078
← all games of the day
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