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Mets de Guaynabo vs Capitanes de Arecibo Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 06 May 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 107-90
25-15 32-16 29-28 21-31
Position#10
Record7-9
FormLWLWL
Points / game91.7
Allowed / game93.8
vs
Position#6
Record10-8
FormWWLLL
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game86.0
Puerto RicoBSN· Mario Morales Coliseum
Other2025
Meetings · Mets de Guaynabo v Capitanes de Arecibo
05 May 2025
METS107
CAPI90
16 Apr 2024
METS92
CAPI90
24 Jun 2023
METS111
CAPI96
19 Jun 2023
METS96
CAPI82
30 Mar 2023
METS84
CAPI93
04 May 2022
METS90
CAPI98
17 Nov 2021
METS68
CAPI88
13 Nov 2021
METS95
CAPI80
11 Nov 2021
METS89
CAPI75
30 Aug 2021
METS111
CAPI112
01 Dec 2020
METS97
CAPI89
03 Jun 2020
METS v CAPI
upcoming
30 Apr 2020
METS v CAPI
upcoming
24 Mar 2015
METS81
CAPI84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mets de Guaynabo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Capitanes de Arecibo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mets de GuaynaboPuerto RicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuaynabo
Date
Competition
San German
#8
W
109-89
109
89
+20
110avg 80
H10/04
BSN
Criollos de Caguas
#7
L
83-87
83
87
-4
73avg 80
H13/04
BSN
Vaqueros de Bayamon
#1
L
87-116
87
116
-29
75avg 80
H16/04
BSN
Vaqueros de Bayamon
#1
L
85-100
85
100
-15
86avg 80
A18/04
BSN
Cangrejeros
#2
L
78-91
78
91
-13
71avg 80
H20/04
BSN
Indios de Mayaguez
#3
L
78-83
78
83
-5
66avg 80
A22/04
BSN
Osos de Manati
#12
W
96-93
96
93
+3
96avg 80
H24/04
BSN
Osos de Manati
#12
L
88-91
88
91
-3
90avg 80
A26/04
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#4
W
104-98
104
98
+6
102avg 80
A27/04
BSN
Cangrejeros
#2
L
92-104
92
104
-12
88avg 80
H30/04
BSN
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-21
25-17
18-30
34-21
23-20
19-16
20-26
21-25
24-36
18-20
27-24
18-36
20-21
25-31
20-25
20-23
24-31
13-18
22-20
19-22
18-25
14-15
23-19
23-24
28-17
20-22
31-31
17-23
32-14
22-24
16-27
18-26
24-26
28-32
29-24
23-16
18-25
30-27
16-25
28-27
185.2Avg total
90.0Scored
95.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)91.793.8185.4-2.144%
Season at home (8)94.596.0190.5-1.550%
Season away (8)88.991.5180.4-2.638%
Last 10 (10)90.095.2185.2-5.230%
Last 5 (5)91.693.8185.4-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)86.0101.2187.2-15.20%
vs Similar ◀ (24)92.190.1182.2+2.062%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Capitanes de Arecibo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Capitanes de AreciboPuerto RicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormArecibo
Date
Competition
Leones De Ponce
#5
W
94-91
94
91
+3
88avg 85
H08/04
BSN
Gigantes de Carolina
#9
W
94-74
94
74
+20
92avg 85
A11/04
BSN
Gigantes de Carolina
#9
L
90-99
90
99
-9
87avg 85
H13/04
BSN
Aguada Santeros
#11
W
89-86
89
86
+3
85avg 85
H15/04
BSN
Criollos de Caguas
#7
L
75-84
75
84
-9
67avg 85
A18/04
BSN
Leones De Ponce
#5
W
99-82
99
82
+17
98avg 85
A24/04
BSN
Criollos de Caguas
#7
W
91-80
91
80
+11
86avg 85
H27/04
BSN
Leones De Ponce
#5
L
88-94
88
94
-6
82avg 85
H29/04
BSN
Leones De Ponce
#5
L
71-93
71
93
-22
59avg 85
A01/05
BSN
San German
#8
L
92-96
92
96
-4
88avg 85
A03/05
BSN
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-29
17-13
24-24
31-25
24-12
18-12
23-28
29-22
19-26
17-30
31-25
23-18
20-16
19-22
22-26
28-22
27-22
20-18
17-23
11-21
28-14
21-25
23-24
27-19
24-22
19-15
17-16
31-27
22-18
27-19
19-32
20-25
14-31
13-14
21-21
23-27
20-25
19-25
28-19
25-27
176.2Avg total
88.3Scored
87.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)85.886.0171.8-0.256%
Season at home (8)88.689.8178.4-1.162%
Season away (10)83.583.0166.5+0.550%
Last 10 (10)88.387.9176.2+0.450%
Last 5 (5)88.289.0177.2-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (28)87.091.2178.2-4.243%
vs Weaker (2)93.089.5182.5+3.5100%
This opponent (Mets de Guaynabo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +1.5+1.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +1.5+1.5
Mets de GuaynaboCapitanes de Arecibo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mets de GuaynaboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San German
#8
W
57-38
57
38
+19
H10/04
BSN
Criollos de Caguas
#7
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H13/04
BSN
Vaqueros de Bayamon
#1
L
42-56
42
56
-14
H16/04
BSN
Vaqueros de Bayamon
#1
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A18/04
BSN
Cangrejeros
#2
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H20/04
BSN
Indios de Mayaguez
#3
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A22/04
BSN
Osos de Manati
#12
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H24/04
BSN
Osos de Manati
#12
W
54-38
54
38
+16
A26/04
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#4
L
52-58
52
58
-6
A27/04
BSN
Cangrejeros
#2
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H30/04
BSN
91.5Avg total
45.7Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.044.788.7-0.747%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.844.291.0+2.664%-
Last 30 away (16)41.645.186.6-3.531%-
Last 10 (10)45.745.891.5-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)46.845.492.2+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)41.850.792.5-8.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (24)44.543.287.7+1.458%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Capitanes de Arecibo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Capitanes de AreciboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leones De Ponce
#5
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H08/04
BSN
Gigantes de Carolina
#9
W
42-24
42
24
+18
A11/04
BSN
Gigantes de Carolina
#9
L
36-56
36
56
-20
H13/04
BSN
Aguada Santeros
#11
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H15/04
BSN
Criollos de Caguas
#7
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A18/04
BSN
Leones De Ponce
#5
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A24/04
BSN
Criollos de Caguas
#7
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H27/04
BSN
Leones De Ponce
#5
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H29/04
BSN
Leones De Ponce
#5
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A01/05
BSN
San German
#8
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A03/05
BSN
81.8Avg total
41.0Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.043.086.1+0.057%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.041.987.9+4.171%-
Last 30 away (16)40.444.184.5-3.644%-
Last 10 (10)41.040.881.8+0.260%-
Last 5 (5)41.441.683.0-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (28)42.943.386.2-0.457%-
vs Weaker (2)45.039.084.0+6.050%-
This opponent (Mets de Guaynabo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mets de Guaynabotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mets de Guaynabo: 89.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.021.5
55.1%
53.8%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.510.0
39.2%
36.0%30.0
🏀 Free throws21.216.4
77.4%
75.6%16.4
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Capitanes de Arecibotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Capitanes de Arecibo: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.823.4
58.8%
53.8%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.69.8
34.3%
36.0%29.4
🏀 Free throws14.511.3
77.9%
75.6%11.3
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mets de Guaynabo
LWLWLLLLLW
Capitanes de Arecibo
LLLWWLWLWW
#10
League position
#6
-6.2
Net rating
+0.5
113.7
Offensive rating
114.0
119.9
Defensive rating
113.4
56.6%
Effective FG%
55.7%
56.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
17.9%
Turnover %
17.2%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.21
39.2%
3-point %
34.3%
58.4%
Assist %
54.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence113.7 · 114.0Defence119.9 · 113.4Shooting56.6% · 55.7%3-point %39.2% · 34.3%Ball care17.9% · 17.2%Off. rebounds27.4% · 31.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Mets de Guaynabo   ■ Capitanes de Arecibo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/25HCangrejeros92-104
27/04/25APiratas de Quebradillas104-98
26/04/25AOsos de Manati88-91
24/04/25HOsos de Manati96-93
22/04/25AIndios de Mayaguez78-83
20/04/25HCangrejeros78-91
18/04/25AVaqueros de Bayamon85-100
16/04/25HVaqueros de Bayamon87-116
13/04/25HCriollos de Caguas83-87
10/04/25HSan German109-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/25ASan German92-96
01/05/25ALeones De Ponce71-93
29/04/25HLeones De Ponce88-94
27/04/25HCriollos de Caguas91-80
24/04/25ALeones De Ponce99-82
18/04/25ACriollos de Caguas75-84
15/04/25HAguada Santeros89-86
13/04/25HGigantes de Carolina90-99
11/04/25AGigantes de Carolina94-74
08/04/25HLeones De Ponce94-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mets de Guaynabo
BSN 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL44%
HomeLLLWL50%
AwayWLLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %44%50%38%
Points / game91.794.588.9
Allowed / game93.896.091.5
Point differential-2.1-1.5-2.6
Avg total185.4190.5180.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%25%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Capitanes de Arecibo
BSN 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL56%
HomeWLWWL62%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %56%62%50%
Points / game85.888.683.5
Allowed / game86.089.883.0
Point differential-0.2-1.1+0.5
Avg total171.8178.4166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%12%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)100% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vaqueros de Bayamon1815383%88.679.9+8.7
2 Indios de Mayaguez1711665%85.182.5+2.6
3 Cangrejeros1610662%85.785.4+0.3
4 Gigantes de Carolina148657%89.388.2+1.1
5 Capitanes de Arecibo1810856%85.886.0-0.2
6 Piratas de Quebradillas168850%85.286.1-0.9
7 Criollos de Caguas178947%87.886.4+1.4
8 Leones De Ponce157847%83.584.9-1.4
9 Mets de Guaynabo167944%91.793.8-2.1
10 San German1551033%86.091.4-5.4
11 Aguada Santeros1431121%82.985.8-2.9
12 Osos de Manati1431121%90.894.4-3.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mets de Guaynabo25322921107
Capitanes de Arecibo1516283190
← all games of the day
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