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Florida State vs Miami (FL) Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 83-75
37-32 46-43
Position#196
Record15-15
FormWLWLL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game75.8
vs
Position#246
Record15-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game73.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Florida State v Miami (FL)
24 Feb 2026
FLOR73
MIAM83
19 Feb 2025
FLOR74
MIAM66
09 Mar 2024
FLOR83
MIAM75
24 Jan 2023
FLOR63
MIAM86
11 Jan 2022
FLOR65
MIAM64
27 Jan 2021
FLOR81
MIAM59
08 Feb 2020
FLOR99
MIAM81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Florida State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami (FL) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Florida StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#348
L
92-101
92
101
-9
A04/02
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
63-62
63
62
+1
A07/02
NCAA
Virginia
#66
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H11/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
75-83
75
83
-8
A14/02
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H17/02
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
84-76
84
76
+8
H21/02
NCAA
Clemson
#74
L
63-74
63
74
-11
A25/02
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
90-83
90
83
+7
H28/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
L
76-85
76
85
-9
A02/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
73-88
73
88
-15
A06/03
NCAA
1H
2H
35-47
57-54
37-31
26-31
30-34
46-46
39-39
36-44
34-44
33-32
43-43
41-33
28-38
35-36
41-33
49-50
41-44
35-41
31-42
42-46
156.7Avg total
75.9Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)76.375.8152.2+0.550%
Season at home (17)77.673.5151.1+4.159%
Season away (13)74.778.8153.5-4.238%
Last 10 (10)75.980.8156.7-4.930%
Last 5 (5)77.281.2158.4-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)71.077.2148.2-6.229%
vs Similar ◀ (13)80.572.1152.5+8.477%
vs Weaker (3)83.385.7169.0-2.333%
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami (FL)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC State
#94
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A31/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
82-74
82
74
+8
H03/02
NCAA
Virginia
#66
L
38-60
38
60
-22
A06/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
72-75
72
75
-3
H10/02
NCAA
Clemson
#74
L
60-77
60
77
-17
A15/02
NCAA
Boston College
#169
L
77-85
77
85
-8
A17/02
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
55-84
55
84
-29
H22/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H24/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
71-75
71
75
-4
A27/02
NCAA
Boston College
#169
L
57-67
57
67
-10
H07/03
NCAA
1H
2H
29-33
39-41
26-35
56-39
17-29
21-31
41-40
31-35
30-31
30-46
41-41
36-44
23-40
32-44
49-45
27-35
32-37
39-38
32-28
25-39
140.7Avg total
65.6Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)75.773.0148.8+2.748%
Season at home (20)79.971.8151.7+8.165%
Season away (11)68.275.3143.5-7.118%
Last 10 (10)65.675.1140.7-9.510%
Last 5 (5)67.278.2145.4-11.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)71.481.3152.8-9.922%
vs Similar ◀ (14)74.472.4146.9+2.050%
vs Weaker (7)80.365.4145.7+14.971%
This opponent (Florida State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -3.6-3.61st half: -3.9-3.92nd half2nd half: -1.3-1.32nd half: -5.6-5.6
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -3.6-3.61st half: -3.9-3.92nd half2nd half: -1.3-1.32nd half: -5.6-5.6
Florida StateMiami (FL)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Florida StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#348
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A04/02
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A07/02
NCAA
Virginia
#66
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H11/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A14/02
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H17/02
NCAA
Boston College
#169
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H21/02
NCAA
Clemson
#74
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A25/02
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H28/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A02/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A06/03
NCAA
75.4Avg total
35.9Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.634.969.5-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.832.567.3+2.253%-
Last 30 away (13)34.438.172.5-3.738%-
Last 10 (10)35.939.575.4-3.620%-
Last 5 (5)36.840.076.8-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)30.736.467.1-5.736%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)38.532.971.4+5.562%-
vs Weaker (3)36.036.772.7-0.733%-
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami (FL)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC State
#94
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A31/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H03/02
NCAA
Virginia
#66
L
17-29
17
29
-12
A06/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H10/02
NCAA
Clemson
#74
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A15/02
NCAA
Boston College
#169
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A17/02
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
23-40
23
40
-17
H22/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H24/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A27/02
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H07/03
NCAA
67.9Avg total
32.0Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.933.670.5+3.357%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.633.172.7+6.574%-
Last 30 away (11)32.234.466.5-2.227%-
Last 10 (10)32.035.967.9-3.930%-
Last 5 (5)35.438.273.6-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)34.637.972.4-3.322%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)34.931.966.8+2.957%-
vs Weaker (7)44.031.375.3+12.7100%-
This opponent (Florida State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Florida State wins
1
Miami (FL) wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/24APittsburgh73-88
02/03/24AGeorgia Tech76-85
28/02/24HNC State90-83
25/02/24AClemson63-74
21/02/24HBoston College84-76
17/02/24HDuke67-76
14/02/24AVirginia Tech75-83
11/02/24HVirginia76-80
07/02/24ABoston College63-62
04/02/24ALouisville92-101
Miami (FL)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/24HBoston College57-67
27/02/24ANorth Carolina71-75
24/02/24HGeorgia Tech76-80
22/02/24HDuke55-84
17/02/24ABoston College77-85
15/02/24AClemson60-77
10/02/24HNorth Carolina72-75
06/02/24AVirginia38-60
03/02/24HVirginia Tech82-74
31/01/24ANC State68-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Florida State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL50%
HomeLLLWW59%
AwayWLLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301713
Win %50%59%38%
Points / game76.377.674.7
Allowed / game75.873.578.8
Point differential+0.5+4.1-4.2
Avg total152.2151.1153.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%24%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)40% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Miami (FL)
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL48%
HomeWLLLL65%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312011
Win %48%65%18%
Points / game75.779.968.2
Allowed / game73.071.875.3
Point differential+2.7+8.1-7.1
Avg total148.8151.7143.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%40%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %3%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke3024680%80.266.7+13.6
2 North Carolina3024680%81.569.8+11.8
3 Clemson3021970%78.270.8+7.4
4 Virginia3021970%63.259.2+4.0
5 SMU Mustangs30201067%77.167.4+9.7
6 Pittsburgh30201067%75.667.3+8.3
7 Syracuse31201165%76.775.4+1.3
8 Wake Forest30181260%78.670.3+8.3
9 Virginia Tech31181358%75.070.6+4.4
10 NC State30171357%75.672.5+3.1
11 Boston College30161453%75.073.5+1.6
12 Florida State30151550%76.375.8+0.5
13 Miami (FL)31151648%75.773.0+2.7
14 Georgia Tech30141647%71.275.0-3.9
15 Stanford30131743%76.576.4+0.1
16 California31131842%73.976.7-2.8
17 Notre Dame31121939%63.566.6-3.0
18 Louisville3082227%71.979.0-7.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Florida State374683
Miami (FL)324375
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