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Miami (FL) vs Florida State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 84-85
54-31 30-54
Position#122
Record34-23
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game72.9
vs
Position#342
Record8-20
FormWLLLL
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game76.2
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Miami (FL) v Florida State
20 Jan 2026
MIAM63
FLOR65
08 Jan 2025
MIAM65
FLOR80
17 Jan 2024
MIAM75
FLOR84
25 Feb 2023
MIAM84
FLOR85
22 Jan 2022
MIAM60
FLOR61
24 Feb 2021
MIAM71
FLOR88
18 Jan 2020
MIAM79
FLOR83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami (FL) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Florida State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami (FL)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Michigan
#345
W
85-78
85
78
+7
H08/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
L
60-66
60
66
-6
H11/02
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
93-85
93
85
+8
H12/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
W
80-72
80
72
+8
A14/02
NCAA
Toledo
#18
L
71-89
71
89
-18
A15/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
W
96-87
96
87
+9
H18/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
W
66-65 OT
66
65
+1
A18/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#296
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H22/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
W
76-70
76
70
+6
A22/02
NCAA
Ohio
#133
W
85-68
85
68
+17
H25/02
NCAA
1H
2H
43-40
42-38
30-25
30-41
42-41
51-44
35-34
45-38
31-47
40-42
47-44
49-43
22-32
36-26
26-29
48-36
36-32
40-38
40-38
45-30
153.1Avg total
78.6Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (57)76.672.9149.5+3.860%
Season at home (34)79.972.5152.4+7.471%
Season away (23)71.873.4145.2-1.743%
Last 10 (10)78.674.5153.1+4.180%
Last 5 (5)79.471.0150.4+8.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.773.2144.8-1.517%
vs Similar (12)79.876.6156.4+3.267%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)74.873.0147.8+1.850%
This opponent (Florida State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#302
W
84-71
84
71
+13
A18/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
W
71-64
71
64
+7
A21/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
63-86
63
86
-23
H25/01
NCAA
Clemson
#60
L
81-82
81
82
-1
H28/01
NCAA
NC State
#66
L
66-94
66
94
-28
A02/02
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
81-78
81
78
+3
A04/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H09/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
L
75-83
75
83
-8
H11/02
NCAA
Clemson
#60
L
54-94
54
94
-40
A16/02
NCAA
Boston College
#221
L
69-75
69
75
-6
H18/02
NCAA
1H
2H
39-29
45-42
39-29
32-35
28-54
35-32
34-33
47-49
27-49
39-45
45-36
36-42
35-29
32-47
33-37
42-46
26-47
28-47
27-38
42-37
151.4Avg total
71.1Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)69.676.2145.8-6.729%
Season at home (16)72.475.2147.6-2.831%
Season away (12)65.877.7143.5-11.825%
Last 10 (10)71.180.3151.4-9.230%
Last 5 (5)69.281.2150.4-12.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)68.977.2146.1-8.224%
vs Similar (3)71.782.3154.0-10.733%
vs Weaker (2)78.065.5143.5+12.5100%
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.0-1.01st half: -4.8-4.82nd half2nd half: +5.0+5.02nd half: -4.4-4.4
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.0-1.01st half: -4.8-4.82nd half2nd half: +5.0+5.02nd half: -4.4-4.4
Miami (FL)Florida State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Miami (FL)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Michigan
#345
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H08/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
W
30-25
30
25
+5
H11/02
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H12/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A14/02
NCAA
Toledo
#18
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A15/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H18/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
L
22-32
22
32
-10
A18/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#296
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H22/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A22/02
NCAA
Ohio
#133
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H25/02
NCAA
71.4Avg total
35.2Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.036.072.0-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.135.973.9+2.267%-
Last 30 away (15)33.936.270.1-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)35.236.271.4-1.070%-
Last 5 (5)34.235.069.2-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.736.571.2-1.817%-
vs Similar (12)36.137.473.5-1.358%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)36.534.470.9+2.158%-
This opponent (Florida State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#302
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A18/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A21/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
28-54
28
54
-26
H25/01
NCAA
Clemson
#60
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H28/01
NCAA
NC State
#66
L
27-49
27
49
-22
A02/02
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A04/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H09/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H11/02
NCAA
Clemson
#60
L
26-47
26
47
-21
A16/02
NCAA
Boston College
#221
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H18/02
NCAA
71.4Avg total
33.3Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.936.369.2-3.443%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.536.470.9-1.944%-
Last 30 away (12)30.536.166.6-5.642%-
Last 10 (10)33.338.171.4-4.850%-
Last 5 (5)33.237.470.6-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)32.336.368.6-4.040%-
vs Similar (3)33.040.773.7-7.733%-
vs Weaker (2)40.530.070.5+10.5100%-
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Miami (FL) wins
6
Florida State wins
Miami (FL)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/23HOhio85-68
22/02/23AVirginia Tech76-70
22/02/23HBowling Green74-65
18/02/23ANorthern Illinois66-65 OT
18/02/23HWake Forest96-87
15/02/23AToledo71-89
14/02/23ANorth Carolina80-72
12/02/23HLouisville93-85
11/02/23HCentral Michigan60-66
08/02/23HWestern Michigan85-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/23HBoston College69-75
16/02/23AClemson54-94
11/02/23HPittsburgh75-83
09/02/23HSyracuse67-76
04/02/23ALouisville81-78
02/02/23ANC State66-94
28/01/23HClemson81-82
25/01/23HMiami (FL)63-86
21/01/23APittsburgh71-64
18/01/23ANotre Dame84-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami (FL)
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW60%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayWWLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games573423
Win %60%71%43%
Points / game76.679.971.8
Allowed / game72.972.573.4
Point differential+3.8+7.4-1.7
Avg total149.5152.4145.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%41%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (16)38% (8)50% (8)
Overtime %4%0%9%
Florida State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL29%
HomeLLLLL31%
AwayWWLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281612
Win %29%31%25%
Points / game69.672.465.8
Allowed / game76.275.277.7
Point differential-6.7-2.8-11.8
Avg total145.8147.6143.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%19%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia2621581%68.360.2+8.0
2 NC State3022873%78.770.3+8.5
3 Clemson2921872%75.768.3+7.4
4 Duke2820871%71.963.9+8.0
5 Pittsburgh2820871%74.967.9+7.0
6 North Carolina28171161%77.372.1+5.2
7 Wake Forest28171161%77.974.5+3.4
8 Miami (FL)57342360%76.672.9+3.8
9 Virginia Tech28161257%74.569.5+5.0
10 Syracuse28161257%73.971.4+2.5
11 Boston College29141548%66.269.9-3.7
12 Georgia Tech29121741%68.670.5-1.9
13 Stanford28111739%69.067.8+1.2
14 Notre Dame28101836%69.871.6-1.9
15 SMU Mustangs28101836%70.574.8-4.2
16 Florida State2882029%69.676.2-6.7
17 Louisville2942514%64.575.8-11.3
18 California2832511%58.669.9-11.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Miami (FL)543084
Florida State315485
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