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Florida State vs Miami (FL) Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 25 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 63-86
28-54 35-32
Position#342
Record7-13
FormWLLWW
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game73.3
vs
Position#122
Record22-16
FormLWLLL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game72.4
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Florida State v Miami (FL)
24 Feb 2026
FLOR73
MIAM83
19 Feb 2025
FLOR74
MIAM66
09 Mar 2024
FLOR83
MIAM75
24 Jan 2023
FLOR63
MIAM86
11 Jan 2022
FLOR65
MIAM64
27 Jan 2021
FLOR81
MIAM59
08 Feb 2020
FLOR99
MIAM81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Florida State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami (FL) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Florida StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#367
W
75-53
75
53
+22
H10/12
NCAA
USC Upstate
#190
W
80-63
80
63
+17
H14/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#185
L
79-93
79
93
-14
H17/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
W
73-72
73
72
+1
H22/12
NCAA
Duke
#39
L
67-86
67
86
-19
A31/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H07/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
L
75-90
75
90
-15
A12/01
NCAA
Virginia
#36
L
58-67
58
67
-9
H14/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
W
84-71
84
71
+13
A18/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
W
71-64
71
64
+7
A21/01
NCAA
1H
2H
36-24
39-29
38-31
42-32
37-48
42-45
38-39
35-33
25-42
42-44
39-36
36-28
35-44
40-46
25-33
33-34
39-29
45-42
39-29
32-35
146.0Avg total
73.7Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)69.673.3142.9-3.835%
Season at home (11)73.072.8145.8+0.245%
Season away (9)65.474.0139.4-8.622%
Last 10 (10)73.772.3146.0+1.460%
Last 5 (5)72.671.2143.8+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)69.875.6145.4-5.833%
vs Similar (4)66.276.5142.8-10.250%
vs Weaker (2)63.054.5117.5+8.550%
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami (FL)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Tech
#241
L
70-76
70
76
-6
A05/01
NCAA
Kent State
#17
L
66-69
66
69
-3
H07/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#231
W
91-80
91
80
+11
H11/01
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
88-72
88
72
+16
H12/01
NCAA
NC State
#66
L
81-83 OT
81
83
-2
A14/01
NCAA
Ball State
#103
L
61-75
61
75
-14
A14/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
W
82-78
82
78
+4
H17/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H18/01
NCAA
Duke
#39
L
66-68
66
68
-2
A21/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#296
L
73-83
73
83
-10
A21/01
NCAA
1H
2H
35-39
35-37
31-32
35-37
37-34
54-46
43-28
45-44
32-42
41-31
30-47
31-28
34-38
48-40
40-39
37-42
38-38
28-30
36-46
37-37
152.0Avg total
75.5Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)76.272.4148.6+3.758%
Season at home (24)79.471.6151.0+7.871%
Season away (14)70.773.9144.6-3.136%
Last 10 (10)75.576.5152.0-1.030%
Last 5 (5)71.877.0148.8-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)67.477.8145.2-10.420%
vs Similar (11)76.480.4156.7-4.055%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)79.467.3146.6+12.171%
This opponent (Florida State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -0.4-0.41st half: -2.7-2.72nd half2nd half: +1.8+1.82nd half: +1.9+1.9
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -0.4-0.41st half: -2.7-2.72nd half2nd half: +1.8+1.82nd half: +1.9+1.9
Florida StateMiami (FL)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Florida StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#367
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H10/12
NCAA
USC Upstate
#190
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H14/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#185
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H17/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H22/12
NCAA
Duke
#39
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A31/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H07/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A12/01
NCAA
Virginia
#36
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H14/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A18/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A21/01
NCAA
70.6Avg total
35.1Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.235.968.1-3.733%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.135.069.1-0.935%-
Last 30 away (13)29.737.066.7-7.331%-
Last 10 (10)35.135.570.6-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)35.434.269.6+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)32.736.769.4-4.033%-
vs Similar (4)31.237.568.8-6.225%-
vs Weaker (2)28.022.550.5+5.550%-
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami (FL)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Tech
#241
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A05/01
NCAA
Kent State
#17
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H07/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#231
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H11/01
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H12/01
NCAA
NC State
#66
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A14/01
NCAA
Ball State
#103
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A14/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H17/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H18/01
NCAA
Duke
#39
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A21/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#296
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A21/01
NCAA
73.9Avg total
35.6Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.036.173.1+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.935.274.2+3.756%-
Last 30 away (12)34.137.571.6-3.433%-
Last 10 (10)35.638.373.9-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)35.641.677.2-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)32.642.475.0-9.80%-
vs Similar (11)35.739.575.3-3.836%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)39.631.270.8+8.471%-
This opponent (Florida State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Florida State wins
0
Miami (FL) wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/23APittsburgh71-64
18/01/23ANotre Dame84-71
14/01/23HVirginia58-67
12/01/23AWake Forest75-90
07/01/23HGeorgia Tech75-64
31/12/22ADuke67-86
22/12/22HNotre Dame73-72
17/12/22HSt. John's (N.Y.)79-93
14/12/22HUSC Upstate80-63
10/12/22HLouisville75-53
Miami (FL)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/23ABowling Green73-83
21/01/23ADuke66-68
18/01/23HNorthern Illinois77-81
17/01/23HSyracuse82-78
14/01/23ABall State61-75
14/01/23ANC State81-83 OT
12/01/23HBoston College88-72
11/01/23HBuffalo91-80
07/01/23HKent State66-69
05/01/23AGeorgia Tech70-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Florida State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW35%
HomeWLWWL45%
AwayLLLWW22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %35%45%22%
Points / game69.673.065.4
Allowed / game73.372.874.0
Point differential-3.8+0.2-8.6
Avg total142.9145.8139.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%27%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Miami (FL)
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL58%
HomeLWWWL71%
AwayLLLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games382414
Win %58%71%36%
Points / game76.279.470.7
Allowed / game72.471.673.9
Point differential+3.7+7.8-3.1
Avg total148.6151.0144.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%50%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)50% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia1815383%70.360.3+10.1
2 Clemson2016480%74.566.9+7.5
3 NC State2015575%79.069.0+10.0
4 Duke2014670%72.264.2+7.9
5 North Carolina2014670%79.672.2+7.3
6 Wake Forest2014670%77.372.3+5.0
7 Pittsburgh2013765%74.167.7+6.5
8 Syracuse2013765%75.670.0+5.7
9 Virginia Tech2012860%72.866.1+6.8
10 Miami (FL)38221658%76.272.4+3.7
11 Notre Dame2091145%69.971.3-1.4
12 Boston College2091145%65.969.7-3.8
13 Georgia Tech1981142%69.870.5-0.6
14 Stanford1971237%67.966.2+1.7
15 Florida State2071335%69.673.3-3.8
16 SMU Mustangs2071335%68.772.5-3.9
17 California2031715%61.068.4-7.5
18 Louisville1921711%62.475.2-12.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Florida State283563
Miami (FL)543286
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