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Miami (FL) vs NC State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 72-70
31-41 41-29
Position#344
Record6-24
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game81.0
vs
Position#293
Record12-18
FormLWLLW
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game70.3
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Miami (FL) v NC State
29 Dec 2026
MIAM v NC S
upcoming
08 Mar 2025
MIAM72
NC S70
10 Dec 2022
MIAM80
NC S73
29 Dec 2021
MIAM91
NC S83
05 Feb 2020
MIAM72
NC S83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami (FL) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
NC State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami (FL)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#230
L
71-82
71
82
-11
H30/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
63-57
63
57
+6
H02/02
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
78-88
78
88
-10
A08/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
91-84
91
84
+7
H12/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A15/02
NCAA
Florida State
#177
L
66-74
66
74
-8
A20/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
L
68-81
68
81
-13
H22/02
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
60-97
60
97
-37
H26/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
73-92
73
92
-19
A01/03
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
L
74-89
74
89
-15
A05/03
NCAA
1H
2H
29-40
42-42
25-36
38-21
38-46
40-42
43-37
48-47
30-32
35-42
31-31
35-43
38-38
30-43
32-47
28-50
31-46
42-46
30-46
44-43
152.7Avg total
70.9Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)74.181.0155.1-6.920%
Season at home (16)77.478.9156.3-1.438%
Season away (14)70.283.4153.6-13.20%
Last 10 (10)70.981.8152.7-10.920%
Last 5 (5)68.286.6154.8-18.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)72.381.5153.9-9.217%
vs Similar (6)77.582.0159.5-4.517%
vs Weaker (1)93.063.0156.0+30.0100%
This opponent (NC State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#22
L
58-68
58
68
-10
H01/02
NCAA
California
#268
L
62-74
62
74
-12
A06/02
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
73-74
73
74
-1
A09/02
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
66-91
66
91
-25
H13/02
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
70-62
70
62
+8
H15/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
73-97
73
97
-24
A20/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
85-73
85
73
+12
H22/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
L
60-74
60
74
-14
A27/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
L
62-87
62
87
-25
A01/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
71-63
71
63
+8
H06/03
NCAA
1H
2H
31-34
27-34
30-34
32-40
33-29
40-45
27-41
39-50
44-29
26-33
26-54
47-43
40-34
45-39
25-38
35-36
30-41
32-46
34-30
37-33
144.3Avg total
68.0Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)69.570.3139.8-0.840%
Season at home (19)72.066.1138.1+5.963%
Season away (11)65.277.5142.7-12.40%
Last 10 (10)68.076.3144.3-8.330%
Last 5 (5)70.278.8149.0-8.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)64.372.7137.0-8.317%
vs Similar (14)70.870.6141.4+0.143%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)80.561.8142.2+18.8100%
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -7.2-7.21st half: -4.4-4.42nd half2nd half: -3.7-3.72nd half: -3.9-3.9
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -7.2-7.21st half: -4.4-4.42nd half2nd half: -3.7-3.72nd half: -3.9-3.9
Miami (FL)NC State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Miami (FL)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#230
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H30/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H02/02
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A08/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H12/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A15/02
NCAA
Florida State
#177
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A20/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H22/02
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
32-47
32
47
-15
H26/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A01/03
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A05/03
NCAA
72.6Avg total
32.7Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.038.072.0-4.027%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.436.172.5+0.244%-
Last 30 away (14)31.340.271.5-8.97%-
Last 10 (10)32.739.972.6-7.210%-
Last 5 (5)32.441.674.0-9.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)32.738.771.4-6.022%-
vs Similar (6)37.538.776.2-1.233%-
vs Weaker (1)43.019.062.0+24.0100%-
This opponent (NC State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#22
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H01/02
NCAA
California
#268
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A06/02
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A09/02
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H13/02
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H15/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
26-54
26
54
-28
A20/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H22/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A27/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A01/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H06/03
NCAA
68.4Avg total
32.0Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.133.167.2+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.230.966.1+4.358%-
Last 30 away (11)32.236.969.1-4.736%-
Last 10 (10)32.036.468.4-4.440%-
Last 5 (5)31.039.470.4-8.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)29.935.465.3-5.525%-
vs Similar (14)34.432.466.8+2.157%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)45.228.874.0+16.5100%-
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Miami (FL) wins
4
NC State wins
DateGameScore
31/01/24NC State v Miami (FL)74-68
14/01/23NC State v Miami (FL)83-81 OT
10/12/22Miami (FL) v NC State80-73
30/12/21Miami (FL) v NC State91-83
09/01/21NC State v Miami (FL)59-64
06/02/20Miami (FL) v NC State72-83
16/01/20NC State v Miami (FL)80-63
Miami (FL)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/25AGeorgia Tech74-89
01/03/25ANorth Carolina73-92
26/02/25HDuke60-97
22/02/25HVirginia Tech68-81
20/02/25AFlorida State66-74
15/02/25APittsburgh65-74
12/02/25HSyracuse91-84
08/02/25ALouisville78-88
02/02/25HNotre Dame63-57
30/01/25HVirginia71-82
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/25HPittsburgh71-63
01/03/25AGeorgia Tech62-87
27/02/25ASyracuse60-74
22/02/25HWake Forest85-73
20/02/25ANorth Carolina73-97
15/02/25HBoston College70-62
13/02/25HLouisville66-91
09/02/25AStanford73-74
06/02/25ACalifornia62-74
01/02/25HClemson58-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami (FL)
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL20%
HomeLWWLL38%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %20%38%0%
Points / game74.177.470.2
Allowed / game81.078.983.4
Point differential-6.9-1.4-13.2
Avg total155.1156.3153.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %7%6%7%
NC State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW40%
HomeLLWWW63%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301911
Win %40%63%0%
Points / game69.572.065.2
Allowed / game70.366.177.5
Point differential-0.8+5.9-12.4
Avg total139.8138.1142.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%42%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)25% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %3%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke3027390%83.561.1+22.4
2 Clemson3025583%77.566.3+11.1
3 Louisville3024680%79.769.2+10.5
4 SMU Mustangs3022873%81.572.0+9.5
5 Wake Forest30201067%70.668.9+1.7
6 North Carolina31201165%82.175.9+6.2
7 Stanford30191163%73.770.4+3.2
8 Pittsburgh30161453%76.071.5+4.5
9 Florida State30161453%74.872.8+2.0
10 Georgia Tech30161453%74.772.8+2.0
11 Virginia30151550%64.866.2-1.5
12 Notre Dame30131743%72.571.7+0.7
13 California30131743%74.375.7-1.4
14 Virginia Tech30131743%69.873.1-3.4
15 NC State30121840%69.570.3-0.8
16 Syracuse30121840%75.478.7-3.3
17 Boston College30121840%70.575.2-4.7
18 Miami (FL)3062420%74.181.0-6.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Miami (FL)314172
NC State412970
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