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NC State vs Wake Forest Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 85-73
40-34 45-39
Position#293
Record10-16
FormLLLWL
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game69.7
NC State 🏆
USA
vs
Wake Forest
USA
Position#87
Record19-7
FormWWWLW
Points / game70.6
Allowed / game66.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · NC State v Wake Forest
23 Jan 2027
NC S v WAKE
upcoming
31 Dec 2025
NC S70
WAKE57
22 Feb 2025
NC S85
WAKE73
16 Jan 2024
NC S83
WAKE76
22 Feb 2023
NC S90
WAKE74
09 Feb 2022
NC S51
WAKE69
27 Jan 2021
NC S72
WAKE67
06 Mar 2020
NC S84
WAKE64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NC State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wake Forest winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia Tech
#286
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A16/01
NCAA
California
#268
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H18/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
57-63
57
63
-6
H25/01
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
64-74
64
74
-10
A28/01
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
58-68
58
68
-10
H01/02
NCAA
California
#268
L
62-74
62
74
-12
A06/02
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
73-74
73
74
-1
A09/02
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
66-91
66
91
-25
H13/02
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
70-62
70
62
+8
H15/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
73-97
73
97
-24
A20/02
NCAA
1H
2H
45-34
31-45
29-31
33-34
26-34
31-29
37-33
27-41
31-34
27-34
30-34
32-40
33-29
40-45
27-41
39-50
44-29
26-33
26-54
47-43
140.8Avg total
66.1Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)69.569.7139.2-0.238%
Season at home (17)71.365.8137.1+5.559%
Season away (9)66.176.9143.0-10.80%
Last 10 (10)66.174.7140.8-8.610%
Last 5 (5)68.879.6148.4-10.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)63.971.0134.9-7.121%
vs Similar ◀ (12)71.969.0140.9+2.950%
vs Weaker (4)80.561.8142.2+18.8100%
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wake ForestUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stanford
#127
W
80-67
80
67
+13
H15/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
72-63
72
63
+9
A18/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H22/01
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
56-63
56
63
-7
H25/01
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
59-72
59
72
-13
A29/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H01/02
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A06/02
NCAA
California
#268
W
76-66
76
66
+10
A08/02
NCAA
Florida State
#177
L
70-72
70
72
-2
H13/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
77-66
77
66
+11
A15/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-35
47-32
31-29
41-34
29-31
38-35
22-35
34-28
21-45
38-27
34-36
42-38
40-37
39-36
31-29
45-37
35-21
35-51
32-34
45-32
139.4Avg total
71.2Scored
68.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)70.666.7137.3+3.973%
Season at home (15)72.064.3136.3+7.787%
Season away (11)68.769.9138.6-1.255%
Last 10 (10)71.268.2139.4+3.070%
Last 5 (5)75.670.2145.8+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)63.470.6134.0-7.129%
vs Similar ◀ (11)70.065.8135.8+4.273%
vs Weaker (11)75.466.2141.5+9.291%
This opponent (NC State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -2.5-2.51st half: -2.4-2.42nd half2nd half: -6.1-6.12nd half: +5.4+5.4
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -2.5-2.51st half: -2.4-2.42nd half2nd half: -6.1-6.12nd half: +5.4+5.4
NC StateWake Forest
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia Tech
#286
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A16/01
NCAA
California
#268
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H18/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H25/01
NCAA
Duke
#7
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A28/01
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H01/02
NCAA
California
#268
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A06/02
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A09/02
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H13/02
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H15/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
26-54
26
54
-28
A20/02
NCAA
68.1Avg total
32.8Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.732.265.9+1.650%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.830.765.4+4.156%-
Last 30 away (12)32.234.466.6-2.242%-
Last 10 (10)32.835.368.1-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)32.037.469.4-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)29.434.463.8-4.921%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)34.930.865.7+4.267%-
vs Weaker (4)45.228.874.0+16.5100%-
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wake ForestLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stanford
#127
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H15/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A18/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H22/01
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
22-35
22
35
-13
H25/01
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
21-45
21
45
-24
A29/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H01/02
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A06/02
NCAA
California
#268
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A08/02
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
35-21
35
21
+14
H13/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A15/02
NCAA
64.0Avg total
30.8Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.932.965.8+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.631.966.5+2.756%-
Last 30 away (12)30.434.364.8-3.942%-
Last 10 (10)30.833.264.0-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)34.431.465.8+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)27.436.964.3-9.40%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)31.831.763.5+0.136%-
vs Weaker (11)37.332.069.3+5.391%-
This opponent (NC State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
NC State wins
4
Wake Forest wins
DateGameScore
04/01/25Wake Forest v NC State77-59
10/02/24Wake Forest v NC State83-79
17/01/24NC State v Wake Forest83-76
23/02/23NC State v Wake Forest90-74
28/01/23Wake Forest v NC State77-79
03/03/22Wake Forest v NC State101-76
10/02/22NC State v Wake Forest51-69
20/02/21Wake Forest v NC State62-80
28/01/21NC State v Wake Forest72-67
07/03/20NC State v Wake Forest84-64
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/25ANorth Carolina73-97
15/02/25HBoston College70-62
13/02/25HLouisville66-91
09/02/25AStanford73-74
06/02/25ACalifornia62-74
01/02/25HClemson58-68
28/01/25ADuke64-74
25/01/25HSMU Mustangs57-63
18/01/25HCalifornia62-65
16/01/25AVirginia Tech76-79
Wake Forestlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/25ASMU Mustangs77-66
13/02/25HFlorida State70-72
08/02/25ACalifornia76-66
06/02/25AStanford79-73
01/02/25HPittsburgh76-74
29/01/25ALouisville59-72
25/01/25HDuke56-63
22/01/25HNorth Carolina67-66
18/01/25AVirginia Tech72-63
15/01/25HStanford80-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NC State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL38%
HomeLLLLW59%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games26179
Win %38%59%0%
Points / game69.571.366.1
Allowed / game69.765.876.9
Point differential-0.2+5.5-10.8
Avg total139.2137.1143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%41%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)25% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %4%6%0%
Wake Forest
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW73%
HomeWWLWL87%
AwayWLWWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261511
Win %73%87%55%
Points / game70.672.068.7
Allowed / game66.764.369.9
Point differential+3.9+7.7-1.2
Avg total137.3136.3138.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%47%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)80% (5)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2623388%81.060.8+20.2
2 Clemson2621581%77.466.4+11.0
3 Louisville2721678%79.969.4+10.4
4 SMU Mustangs2620677%82.771.4+11.3
5 Wake Forest2619773%70.666.7+3.9
6 Pittsburgh26161062%77.371.0+6.3
7 Stanford26161062%74.671.8+2.7
8 North Carolina27161159%80.976.7+4.2
9 Florida State27161159%75.571.4+4.1
10 Georgia Tech26131350%74.673.5+1.1
11 Virginia26131350%64.565.5-1.0
12 California26121446%74.775.7-1.0
13 Notre Dame26111542%73.271.9+1.3
14 Virginia Tech26111542%68.771.9-3.2
15 Boston College26111542%71.075.5-4.5
16 Syracuse27111641%74.778.6-3.9
17 NC State26101638%69.569.7-0.2
18 Miami (FL)2662023%74.979.7-4.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
NC State404585
Wake Forest343973
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