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Miami (FL) vs NC State Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 30 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Scheduled
Position#92
Record3-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game59.2
vs
Position#46
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game62.2
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Miami (FL) v NC State
29 Dec 2026
MIAM v NC S
upcoming
08 Mar 2025
MIAM72
NC S70
10 Dec 2022
MIAM80
NC S73
29 Dec 2021
MIAM91
NC S83
05 Feb 2020
MIAM72
NC S83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami (FL) win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
NC State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami (FL)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
77-69
77
69
+8
A05/03
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
89-92
89
92
-3
H07/03
NCAA
Louisville
#53
W
78-73
78
73
+5
H12/03
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
62-84
62
84
-22
A13/03
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
80-66
80
66
+14
H21/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
69-79
69
79
-10
A22/03
NCAA
Florida
#54
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A02/11
NCAA
Wagner
#315
W
83-57
83
57
+26
H07/11
NCAA
North Florida
#331
W
89-51
89
51
+38
H10/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#244
W
94-52
94
52
+42
H13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
38-31
39-38
37-46
52-46
37-38
41-35
23-38
39-46
27-26
53-40
40-38
29-41
36-46
31-31
34-21
49-36
44-25
45-26
54-26
40-26
148.8Avg total
78.8Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.259.2142.5+24.075%
Season at home (3)88.753.3142.0+35.3100%
Season away (1)67.077.0144.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)78.870.0148.8+8.860%
Last 5 (5)80.463.2143.6+17.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)74.078.1152.1-4.138%
vs Weaker (22)83.069.0152.0+14.086%
This opponent (NC State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#269
L
90-96 OT
90
96
-6
A28/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
64-93
64
93
-29
H03/03
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
84-85
84
85
-1
H07/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
98-88
98
88
+10
H11/03
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A12/03
NCAA
Texas
#135
L
66-68
66
68
-2
H18/03
NCAA
Campbell
#316
W
83-64
83
64
+19
H03/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#283
W
77-63
77
63
+14
H07/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#379
W
94-60
94
60
+34
H11/11
NCAA
Troy
#325
W
81-62
81
62
+19
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
44-38
37-43
30-47
34-46
34-37
50-48
51-50
47-38
32-33
42-48
29-30
37-38
41-19
42-45
35-36
42-27
46-19
48-41
36-27
45-35
157.1Avg total
81.1Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.862.2146.0+21.5100%
Season at home (4)83.862.2146.0+21.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.176.0157.1+5.150%
Last 5 (5)80.263.4143.6+16.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.5105.5176.0-35.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)75.974.1150.0+1.842%
vs Weaker (16)86.470.2156.6+16.288%
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +3.5+3.51st half: +4.2+4.22nd half2nd half: +5.3+5.32nd half: +1.5+1.5
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +3.5+3.51st half: +4.2+4.22nd half2nd half: +5.3+5.32nd half: +1.5+1.5
Miami (FL)NC State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Miami (FL)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A05/03
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H07/03
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H12/03
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
23-38
23
38
-15
A13/03
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
27-26
27
26
+1
H21/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A22/03
NCAA
Florida
#54
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A02/11
NCAA
Wagner
#315
W
34-21
34
21
+13
H07/11
NCAA
North Florida
#331
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H10/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#244
W
54-26
54
26
+28
H13/11
NCAA
70.5Avg total
37.0Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.435.774.1+2.753%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.834.774.4+5.150%-
Last 30 away (12)36.237.273.5-1.058%-
Last 10 (10)37.033.570.5+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)41.631.272.8+10.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)35.939.575.4-3.638%-
vs Weaker (22)39.334.373.6+5.059%-
This opponent (NC State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#269
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A28/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H03/03
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H07/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H11/03
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A12/03
NCAA
Texas
#135
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H18/03
NCAA
Campbell
#316
W
41-19
41
19
+22
H03/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#283
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H07/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#379
W
46-19
46
19
+27
H11/11
NCAA
Troy
#325
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H14/11
NCAA
71.4Avg total
37.8Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.133.171.1+5.067%-
Last 30 at home (20)38.031.669.5+6.470%-
Last 30 away (10)38.236.174.3+2.160%-
Last 10 (10)37.833.671.4+4.250%-
Last 5 (5)37.426.263.6+11.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.051.584.5-18.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)33.431.965.3+1.542%-
vs Weaker (16)42.231.673.8+10.694%-
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Miami (FL) wins
4
NC State wins
DateGameScore
14/02/26NC State v Miami (FL)76-77
08/03/25Miami (FL) v NC State72-70
31/01/24NC State v Miami (FL)74-68
14/01/23NC State v Miami (FL)83-81 OT
10/12/22Miami (FL) v NC State80-73
30/12/21Miami (FL) v NC State91-83
09/01/21NC State v Miami (FL)59-64
06/02/20Miami (FL) v NC State72-83
16/01/20NC State v Miami (FL)80-63
Miami (FL)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HNorth Alabama94-52
10/11/26HNorth Florida89-51
07/11/26HWagner83-57
02/11/26AFlorida67-77
22/03/26APurdue69-79
21/03/26HMissouri80-66
13/03/26AVirginia62-84
12/03/26HLouisville78-73
07/03/26HLouisville89-92
05/03/26ASMU Mustangs77-69
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HTroy81-62
11/11/26HPresbyterian94-60
07/11/26HEast Tennessee St77-63
03/11/26HCampbell83-64
18/03/26HTexas66-68
12/03/26AVirginia74-81
11/03/26HPittsburgh98-88
07/03/26HStanford84-85
03/03/26HDuke64-93
28/02/26ANotre Dame90-96 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami (FL)
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game83.288.767.0
Allowed / game59.253.377.0
Point differential+24.0+35.3-10.0
Avg total142.5142.0144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
NC State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game83.883.8-
Allowed / game62.262.2-
Point differential+21.5+21.5-
Avg total146.0146.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Louisville220100%95.563.5+32.0
2 SMU Mustangs440100%92.067.5+24.5
3 Boston College330100%76.353.0+23.3
4 Notre Dame440100%87.564.2+23.2
5 Virginia550100%91.869.6+22.2
6 Virginia Tech440100%89.867.8+22.0
7 NC State440100%83.862.2+21.5
8 Pittsburgh440100%83.264.5+18.8
9 Georgia Tech440100%82.570.8+11.8
10 California54180%85.874.8+11.0
11 Duke43175%90.057.0+33.0
12 Miami (FL)43175%83.259.2+24.0
13 Wake Forest43175%76.262.8+13.5
14 North Carolina43175%83.870.8+13.0
15 Stanford43175%78.569.2+9.2
16 Clemson43175%84.276.8+7.5
17 Syracuse32167%85.363.3+22.0
18 Florida State42250%79.080.2-1.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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