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Miami (FL) vs SMU Mustangs Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 74-117
26-60 48-57
Position#344
Record4-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game77.0
vs
Position#58
Record13-4
FormWLLWW
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game71.4
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami (FL) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
SMU Mustangs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami (FL)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#118
L
73-76
73
76
-3
H04/12
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
55-65
55
65
-10
H07/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
62-75
62
75
-13
A10/12
NCAA
Presbyterian
#253
W
94-75
94
75
+19
H15/12
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#112
L
74-78 OT
74
78
-4
H21/12
NCAA
Boston College
#298
L
68-78
68
78
-10
A01/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
L
85-86
85
86
-1
A04/01
NCAA
Florida State
#177
L
65-80
65
80
-15
H09/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
L
78-88
78
88
-10
H11/01
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
54-89
54
89
-35
A15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
40-32
33-44
24-25
31-40
25-38
37-37
49-33
45-42
38-28
28-38
41-29
27-49
39-40
46-46
25-39
40-41
31-39
47-49
26-50
28-39
149.8Avg total
70.8Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)76.177.0153.1-0.924%
Season at home (10)81.274.4155.6+6.840%
Season away (7)68.980.7149.6-11.90%
Last 10 (10)70.879.0149.8-8.210%
Last 5 (5)70.084.2154.2-14.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)72.176.4148.4-4.324%
vs Similar (11)69.877.4147.2-7.59%
vs Weaker (2)84.571.5156.0+13.050%
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SMU MustangsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington State
#148
W
77-60
77
60
+17
A28/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#156
W
101-72
101
72
+29
H04/12
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
63-51
63
51
+12
H07/12
NCAA
LSU
#255
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H14/12
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
103-77
103
77
+26
A21/12
NCAA
Longwood
#151
W
98-82
98
82
+16
H29/12
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
62-89
62
89
-27
H04/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
67-82
67
82
-15
A08/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
93-71
93
71
+22
H11/01
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A16/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-31
50-29
49-39
52-33
30-28
33-23
27-33
47-31
47-40
56-37
45-43
53-39
32-41
30-48
24-39
43-43
50-19
43-52
27-25
27-27
149.2Avg total
79.2Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)82.971.4154.3+11.576%
Season at home (11)87.271.4158.5+15.882%
Season away (6)75.071.5146.5+3.567%
Last 10 (10)79.270.0149.2+9.280%
Last 5 (5)74.875.2150.0-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)62.089.0151.0-27.00%
vs Similar (7)77.477.1154.6+0.343%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)82.770.8153.5+11.981%
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: +2.0+2.02nd half2nd half: -6.3-6.32nd half: +7.2+7.2
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: +2.0+2.02nd half2nd half: -6.3-6.32nd half: +7.2+7.2
Miami (FL)SMU Mustangs
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Miami (FL)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#118
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H04/12
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
24-25
24
25
-1
H07/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A10/12
NCAA
Presbyterian
#253
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H15/12
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#112
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H21/12
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A01/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A04/01
NCAA
Florida State
#177
L
25-39
25
39
-14
H09/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H11/01
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
26-50
26
50
-24
A15/01
NCAA
69.1Avg total
33.8Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.435.770.0-1.337%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.533.671.1+3.962%-
Last 30 away (14)30.838.168.9-7.37%-
Last 10 (10)33.835.369.1-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)32.439.471.8-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)34.535.269.7-0.841%-
vs Similar (11)32.137.069.1-4.918%-
vs Weaker (2)46.032.078.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SMU MustangsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington State
#148
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A28/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#156
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H04/12
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H07/12
NCAA
LSU
#255
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H14/12
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A21/12
NCAA
Longwood
#151
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H29/12
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H04/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A08/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
50-19
50
19
+31
H11/01
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
27-25
27
25
+2
A16/01
NCAA
69.6Avg total
35.8Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.834.372.1+3.663%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.733.372.9+6.478%-
Last 30 away (12)35.135.870.8-0.742%-
Last 10 (10)35.833.869.6+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)35.633.469.0+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)32.041.073.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (7)36.336.072.3+0.343%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)38.133.171.2+5.071%-
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Miami (FL) wins
0
SMU Mustangs wins
No previous meetings.
Miami (FL)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/25ADuke54-89
11/01/25HWake Forest78-88
09/01/25HFlorida State65-80
04/01/25AVirginia Tech85-86
01/01/25ABoston College68-78
21/12/24HMount St. Mary's74-78 OT
15/12/24HPresbyterian94-75
10/12/24ATennessee62-75
07/12/24HClemson55-65
04/12/24HArkansas73-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/25AVirginia54-52
11/01/25HGeorgia Tech93-71
08/01/25ANorth Carolina67-82
04/01/25HDuke62-89
29/12/24HLongwood98-82
21/12/24ABoston College103-77
14/12/24HLSU74-64
07/12/24HVirginia63-51
04/12/24HAlabama State101-72
28/11/24AWashington State77-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami (FL)
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL24%
HomeLWLLL40%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %24%40%0%
Points / game76.181.268.9
Allowed / game77.074.480.7
Point differential-0.9+6.8-11.9
Avg total153.1155.6149.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %6%10%0%
SMU Mustangs
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW76%
HomeWWWLW82%
AwayWWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17116
Win %76%82%67%
Points / game82.987.275.0
Allowed / game71.471.471.5
Point differential+11.5+15.8+3.5
Avg total154.3158.5146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%82%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke1715288%80.959.3+21.6
2 Clemson1915479%77.266.7+10.5
3 SMU Mustangs1713476%82.971.4+11.5
4 Wake Forest1713476%70.865.8+5.0
5 Louisville1914574%78.469.6+8.8
6 Florida State1813572%78.770.2+8.6
7 Pittsburgh1812667%80.470.8+9.6
8 North Carolina1812667%82.976.1+6.9
9 Stanford1711665%76.571.2+5.3
10 NC State179853%71.967.2+4.6
11 Boston College179853%70.673.1-2.5
12 Notre Dame178947%75.270.8+4.4
13 California178947%75.675.7-0.1
14 Virginia Tech178947%70.973.1-2.2
15 Syracuse178947%75.078.1-3.1
16 Virginia1881044%61.364.4-3.1
17 Georgia Tech1981142%74.973.9+0.9
18 Miami (FL)1741324%76.177.0-0.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Miami (FL)264874
SMU Mustangs6057117
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