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Miami (Ohio) vs Texas State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 65-75
31-40 34-35
Position#228
Record-
FormLLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#214
Record0-1
FormWWWLL
Points / game66.0
Allowed / game71.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami (Ohio) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Texas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami (Ohio)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Michigan
#335
W
62-57
62
57
+5
H09/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
W
94-78
94
78
+16
H12/02
NCAA
Ohio
#47
L
78-91
78
91
-13
A16/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#320
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A19/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#109
L
84-86
84
86
-2
H23/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
L
69-83
69
83
-14
H25/02
NCAA
Toledo
#21
L
73-88
73
88
-15
A26/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
W
75-61
75
61
+14
A02/03
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
76-63
76
63
+13
H05/03
NCAA
Kent State
#68
L
75-85
75
85
-10
A10/03
NCAA
1H
2H
24-30
38-27
47-32
47-46
39-39
39-52
37-38
41-37
40-45
44-41
37-33
32-50
39-40
34-48
43-23
32-38
46-29
30-34
32-41
43-44
153.1Avg total
76.4Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.476.7153.1-0.350%
Last 5 (5)73.676.0149.6-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)71.580.7152.2-9.210%
vs Similar ◀ (8)74.275.4149.6-1.125%
vs Weaker (11)75.768.4144.1+7.473%
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Old Dominion
#111
L
68-70
68
70
-2
H11/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
L
75-82
75
82
-7
A16/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#294
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A18/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H23/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
L
69-79
69
79
-10
H25/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H01/03
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
W
65-36
65
36
+29
A02/03
NCAA
Marshall
#38
W
71-68
71
68
+3
A04/03
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
58-64
58
64
-6
A06/03
NCAA
UALR
#90
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A07/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-37
36-33
31-33
44-49
34-34
44-41
33-38
34-38
29-41
40-38
41-31
40-45
32-14
33-22
37-38
34-30
25-34
33-30
34-38
32-33
139.5Avg total
69.8Scored
69.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)66.071.0137.0-5.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)66.071.0137.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)69.869.7139.5+0.140%
Last 5 (5)68.263.0131.2+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)63.869.6133.4-5.819%
vs Similar ◀ (11)67.564.5132.0+2.964%
vs Weaker (1)65.055.0120.0+10.0100%
This opponent (Miami (Ohio)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.4+3.41st half: -1.0-1.02nd half2nd half: -3.7-3.72nd half: +1.1+1.1
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.4+3.41st half: -1.0-1.02nd half2nd half: -3.7-3.72nd half: +1.1+1.1
Miami (Ohio)Texas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Miami (Ohio)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Michigan
#335
L
24-30
24
30
-6
H09/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H12/02
NCAA
Ohio
#47
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A16/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#320
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A19/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#109
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H23/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H25/02
NCAA
Toledo
#21
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A26/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
W
43-23
43
23
+20
A02/03
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H05/03
NCAA
Kent State
#68
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A10/03
NCAA
73.4Avg total
38.4Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.534.168.6+0.437%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.532.467.9+3.150%-
Last 30 away (14)33.336.169.4-2.821%-
Last 10 (10)38.435.073.4+3.440%-
Last 5 (5)39.433.272.6+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)32.040.272.2-8.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)35.631.967.5+3.862%-
vs Weaker (11)34.932.066.9+2.945%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Old Dominion
#111
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H11/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A16/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#294
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A18/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H23/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H25/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H01/03
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
W
32-14
32
14
+18
A02/03
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A04/03
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A06/03
NCAA
UALR
#90
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A07/11
NCAA
66.6Avg total
32.8Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.531.562.0-1.137%-
Last 30 at home (14)30.733.564.2-2.829%-
Last 30 away (16)30.229.860.1+0.444%-
Last 10 (10)32.833.866.6-1.020%-
Last 5 (5)33.831.064.8+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)29.833.463.2-3.619%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)31.329.560.7+1.855%-
vs Weaker (1)28.023.051.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Miami (Ohio)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Miami (Ohio) wins
0
Texas State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/22AKent State75-85
05/03/22HEastern Michigan76-63
02/03/22ACentral Michigan75-61
26/02/22AToledo73-88
25/02/22HCentral Michigan69-83
23/02/22HBuffalo84-86
19/02/22ANorthern Illinois78-75
16/02/22AOhio78-91
12/02/22HBowling Green94-78
09/02/22HWestern Michigan62-57
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/23AUALR66-71
06/03/23ALouisiana Lafayette58-64
04/03/23AMarshall71-68
02/03/23AOld Dominion65-36
01/03/23HGeorgia State81-76
25/02/23HSouthern Miss69-79
23/02/23HSouth Alabama67-76
18/02/23ACoastal Carolina78-75
16/02/23AAppalachian State75-82
11/02/23HOld Dominion68-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami (Ohio)
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Texas State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game66.0-66.0
Allowed / game71.0-71.0
Point differential-5.0--5.0
Avg total137.0-137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ball State110100%101.040.0+61.0
2 Toledo110100%94.060.0+34.0
3 Bowling Green110100%70.041.0+29.0
4 UMass110100%92.071.0+21.0
5 Ohio110100%88.070.0+18.0
6 Akron220100%76.564.5+12.0
7 Kent State21150%93.585.5+8.0
8 Western Michigan1010%76.080.0-4.0
9 Buffalo1010%86.092.0-6.0
10 Northern Illinois1010%70.092.0-22.0
11 Central Michigan1010%59.089.0-30.0
12 Eastern Michigan1010%55.094.0-39.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Appalachian State110100%87.049.0+38.0
2 Old Dominion110100%71.057.0+14.0
3 Louisiana Lafayette110100%72.062.0+10.0
4 James Madison220100%96.092.0+4.0
5 Coastal Carolina110100%88.086.0+2.0
6 Marshall21150%75.569.5+6.0
7 Southern Miss21150%59.057.0+2.0
8 Troy31233%80.772.0+8.7
9 Georgia State1010%87.089.0-2.0
10 Texas State1010%66.071.0-5.0
11 South Alabama1010%74.083.0-9.0
12 Georgia Southern1010%62.084.0-22.0
13 Arkansas State1010%76.0105.0-29.0
14 Louisiana Monroe1010%31.084.0-53.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Miami (Ohio)313465
Texas State403575
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