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Texas State vs Southern Miss Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 69-79
29-41 40-38
Position#236
Record13-17
FormWLLWL
Points / game65.5
Allowed / game67.0
vs
Position#21
Record24-6
FormWWLWL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game64.9
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Texas State v Southern Miss
13 Nov 2026
TEXA v SOUT
upcoming
06 Mar 2026
TEXA77
SOUT81
17 Jan 2026
TEXA74
SOUT67
18 Jan 2025
TEXA85
SOUT82
03 Feb 2024
TEXA60
SOUT55
24 Feb 2023
TEXA69
SOUT79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Southern Miss winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
51-60
51
60
-9
H21/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
W
70-67
70
67
+3
H27/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
L
58-67
58
67
-9
A28/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
63-82
63
82
-19
A03/02
NCAA
Troy
#115
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A05/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
66-62
66
62
+4
H10/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
L
68-70
68
70
-2
H11/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
L
75-82
75
82
-7
A16/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#294
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A18/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H23/02
NCAA
1H
2H
22-27
29-33
31-36
39-31
27-34
31-33
34-38
29-44
24-45
40-23
33-30
33-32
32-37
36-33
31-33
44-49
34-34
44-41
33-38
34-38
136.9Avg total
66.0Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)65.567.0132.5-1.543%
Season at home (14)66.767.2133.9-0.536%
Season away (16)64.466.9131.3-2.450%
Last 10 (10)66.070.9136.9-4.930%
Last 5 (5)70.873.0143.8-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)64.269.0133.2-4.823%
vs Similar (11)66.167.9134.0-1.855%
vs Weaker (3)60.057.0117.0+3.067%
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern MissUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
James Madison
#69
W
83-70
83
70
+13
H21/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
73-57
73
57
+16
H27/01
NCAA
Texas State
#236
W
67-58
67
58
+9
H28/01
NCAA
Troy
#115
W
74-65
74
65
+9
A03/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
W
79-71
79
71
+8
A04/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H10/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
W
76-67
76
67
+9
H11/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
L
54-85
54
85
-31
A17/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
W
73-62
73
62
+11
H18/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
L
64-69
64
69
-5
A23/02
NCAA
1H
2H
43-36
40-34
33-27
40-30
34-27
33-31
30-23
44-42
30-34
49-37
33-38
49-33
31-33
45-34
27-42
27-43
35-29
38-33
32-34
32-35
140.0Avg total
72.5Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)74.564.9139.4+9.680%
Season at home (16)78.161.3139.4+16.8100%
Season away (14)70.569.0139.5+1.557%
Last 10 (10)72.567.5140.0+5.080%
Last 5 (5)69.870.8140.6-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)76.072.0148.0+4.0100%
vs Similar (9)70.873.0143.8-2.267%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)76.260.9137.1+15.385%
This opponent (Texas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -5.1-5.11st half: +0.5+0.52nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: +4.5+4.5
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -5.1-5.11st half: +0.5+0.52nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: +4.5+4.5
Texas StateSouthern Miss
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
22-27
22
27
-5
H21/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H27/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A28/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A03/02
NCAA
Troy
#115
L
24-45
24
45
-21
A05/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H10/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H11/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A16/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#294
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A18/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H23/02
NCAA
65.3Avg total
30.1Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.430.560.8-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.231.762.9-0.536%-
Last 30 away (16)29.629.459.0+0.250%-
Last 10 (10)30.135.265.3-5.110%-
Last 5 (5)32.634.467.0-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)29.731.561.2-1.831%-
vs Similar (11)30.631.261.8-0.545%-
vs Weaker (3)26.725.352.0+1.367%-
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern MissLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
James Madison
#69
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H21/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H27/01
NCAA
Texas State
#236
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H28/01
NCAA
Troy
#115
W
30-23
30
23
+7
A03/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A04/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H10/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H11/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A17/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H18/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A23/02
NCAA
65.1Avg total
32.8Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.430.965.3+3.560%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.629.666.2+7.075%-
Last 30 away (14)31.932.464.2-0.543%-
Last 10 (10)32.832.365.1+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)31.635.266.8-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.022.061.0+17.0100%-
vs Similar (9)30.434.064.4-3.633%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)36.029.965.9+6.070%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Texas State wins
1
Southern Miss wins
DateGameScore
28/01/23Southern Miss v Texas State67-58
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/23HSouth Alabama67-76
18/02/23ACoastal Carolina78-75
16/02/23AAppalachian State75-82
11/02/23HOld Dominion68-70
10/02/23HArkansas State66-62
05/02/23ATroy64-68
03/02/23ALouisiana Lafayette63-82
28/01/23ASouthern Miss58-67
27/01/23HGeorgia Southern70-67
21/01/23HLouisiana Lafayette51-60
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/23AOld Dominion64-69
18/02/23HGeorgia Southern73-62
17/02/23ASouth Alabama54-85
11/02/23HLouisiana Monroe76-67
10/02/23HLouisiana Lafayette82-71
04/02/23AGeorgia State79-71
03/02/23ATroy74-65
28/01/23HTexas State67-58
27/01/23HArkansas State73-57
21/01/23HJames Madison83-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL43%
HomeLWWLL36%
AwayLLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %43%36%50%
Points / game65.566.764.4
Allowed / game67.067.266.9
Point differential-1.5-0.5-2.4
Avg total132.5133.9131.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%21%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)40% (5)62% (8)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Southern Miss
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL80%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %80%100%57%
Points / game74.578.170.5
Allowed / game64.961.369.0
Point differential+9.6+16.8+1.5
Avg total139.4139.4139.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%69%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Miss3024680%74.564.9+9.6
2 Marshall3124777%82.271.3+10.9
3 Louisiana Lafayette2922776%79.371.3+8.0
4 James Madison30201067%80.967.7+13.2
5 Old Dominion30191163%67.966.2+1.7
6 Troy31191261%73.566.8+6.7
7 South Alabama30161453%71.165.0+6.1
8 Appalachian State31161552%70.564.5+6.1
9 Georgia Southern31161552%69.167.0+2.1
10 Texas State30131743%65.567.0-1.5
11 Arkansas State31121939%65.367.7-2.5
12 Coastal Carolina30111937%73.573.6-0.1
13 Louisiana Monroe31112035%67.770.0-2.2
14 Georgia State29101934%66.368.2-1.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Texas State294069
Southern Miss413879
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