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Miami (Ohio) vs UMass Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 83-87
39-37 44-50
Position#5
Record31-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.9
Allowed / game74.9
Miami (Ohio)
USA
vs
UMass 🏆
USA
Position#189
Record16-15
FormLLLLW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game77.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Miami (Ohio) v UMass
12 Mar 2026
MIAM83
UMAS87
27 Jan 2026
MIAM86
UMAS84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami (Ohio) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UMass winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami (Ohio)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Illinois
#342
W
85-61
85
61
+24
H31/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A03/02
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
90-74
90
74
+16
A07/02
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
90-74
90
74
+16
H14/02
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
86-77
86
77
+9
A18/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
W
91-77
91
77
+14
H21/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
74-64
74
64
+10
A24/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
69-67
69
67
+2
A27/02
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H04/03
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
110-108 OT
110
108
+2
A07/03
NCAA
1H
2H
40-38
45-23
38-35
35-36
49-31
41-43
43-35
47-39
41-36
45-41
45-30
46-47
43-22
31-42
26-30
43-37
40-35
34-37
54-48
46-52
158.7Avg total
84.2Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)90.974.9165.8+16.0100%
Season at home (17)95.172.6167.6+22.5100%
Season away (14)85.977.7163.6+8.2100%
Last 10 (10)84.274.5158.7+9.7100%
Last 5 (5)83.677.6161.2+6.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)76.073.0149.0+3.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)91.675.1166.7+16.5100%
This opponent (UMass) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMassUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
84-86
84
86
-2
A28/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
70-67
70
67
+3
H31/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
95-89
95
89
+6
H04/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
91-94 OT
91
94
-3
A07/02
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
92-99
92
99
-7
A14/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
77-86
77
86
-9
H18/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
82-86 OT
82
86
-4
H21/02
NCAA
Ball State
#288
L
73-74 OT
73
74
-1
A25/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
62-81
62
81
-19
A28/02
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
94-82
94
82
+12
H04/03
NCAA
1H
2H
47-43
37-43
38-30
32-37
40-47
55-42
32-21
32-43
43-44
49-55
36-41
41-45
34-29
34-39
34-21
27-40
37-28
25-53
37-39
57-43
166.4Avg total
82.0Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)80.577.5157.9+3.052%
Season at home (17)82.275.3157.5+6.965%
Season away (14)78.480.1158.5-1.836%
Last 10 (10)82.084.4166.4-2.430%
Last 5 (5)77.681.8159.4-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)83.090.6173.6-7.60%
vs Similar (14)81.678.5160.1+3.157%
vs Weaker (10)77.373.2150.5+4.170%
This opponent (Miami (Ohio)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.9+7.91st half: +3.5+3.52nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: -5.1-5.1
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.9+7.91st half: +3.5+3.52nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: -5.1-5.1
Miami (Ohio)UMass
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Miami (Ohio)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Illinois
#342
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H31/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A03/02
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A07/02
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H14/02
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A18/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H21/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
43-22
43
22
+21
A24/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
L
26-30
26
30
-4
A27/02
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H04/03
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A07/03
NCAA
75.9Avg total
41.9Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.833.878.6+11.083%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.834.880.6+11.075%-
Last 30 away (14)43.632.676.2+11.193%-
Last 10 (10)41.934.075.9+7.990%-
Last 5 (5)41.633.074.6+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)33.036.069.0-3.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)45.233.778.9+11.586%-
This opponent (UMass) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMassLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (Ohio)
#5
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A28/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H31/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H04/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
32-21
32
21
+11
A07/02
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A14/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H18/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H21/02
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
34-21
34
21
+13
A25/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A28/02
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H04/03
NCAA
72.1Avg total
37.8Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.033.570.5+3.463%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.732.469.1+4.262%-
Last 30 away (14)37.334.872.1+2.564%-
Last 10 (10)37.834.372.1+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)35.631.667.2+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)39.438.077.4+1.440%-
vs Similar (14)36.433.169.5+3.457%-
vs Weaker (10)36.133.269.3+2.980%-
This opponent (Miami (Ohio)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Miami (Ohio) wins
0
UMass wins
DateGameScore
18/02/26UMass v Miami (Ohio)77-86
28/01/26Miami (Ohio) v UMass86-84
Miami (Ohio)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26AOhio110-108 OT
04/03/26HToledo74-72
27/02/26AWestern Michigan69-67
24/02/26AEastern Michigan74-64
21/02/26HBowling Green91-77
18/02/26AUMass86-77
14/02/26HOhio90-74
07/02/26AMarshall90-74
03/02/26ABuffalo73-71
31/01/26HNorthern Illinois85-61
UMasslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/26HOhio94-82
28/02/26ABowling Green62-81
25/02/26ABall State73-74 OT
21/02/26HBuffalo82-86 OT
18/02/26HMiami (Ohio)77-86
14/02/26AAkron92-99
07/02/26ACoastal Carolina91-94 OT
04/02/26HCentral Michigan95-89
31/01/26HEastern Michigan70-67
28/01/26AMiami (Ohio)84-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami (Ohio)
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game90.995.185.9
Allowed / game74.972.677.7
Point differential+16.0+22.5+8.2
Avg total165.8167.6163.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%71%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (9)100% (5)100% (4)
Overtime %13%6%21%
UMass
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW52%
HomeWWLLW65%
AwayLLLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %52%65%36%
Points / game80.582.278.4
Allowed / game77.575.380.1
Point differential+3.0+6.9-1.8
Avg total157.9157.5158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (14)40% (5)33% (9)
Overtime %13%12%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)31310100%90.974.9+16.0
2 Akron3126584%89.673.7+15.9
3 Kent State3122971%85.480.2+5.2
4 Bowling Green31181358%81.571.4+10.1
5 Toledo31171455%81.476.8+4.6
6 Buffalo31171455%78.376.3+2.0
7 UMass31161552%80.577.5+3.0
8 Ohio31151648%78.078.4-0.4
9 Ball State31121939%67.569.5-2.0
10 Eastern Michigan31102132%70.773.5-2.8
11 Central Michigan31102132%73.476.9-3.5
12 Western Michigan31102132%74.879.5-4.7
13 Northern Illinois3092130%69.577.8-8.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Miami (Ohio)394483
UMass375087
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