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Michigan State vs Alcorn State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 81-49
44-16 37-33
Position#154
Record2-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game64.5
vs
Position#268
Record1-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game83.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alcorn State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#213
W
80-67
80
67
+13
A01/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
W
84-78
84
78
+6
H04/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
L
58-68
58
68
-10
H10/03
NCAA
USC
#73
W
72-62
72
62
+10
H17/03
NCAA
Marquette
#15
W
69-60
69
60
+9
A19/03
NCAA
Kansas State
#51
L
93-98 OT
93
98
-5
A23/03
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
76-79 OT
76
79
-3
H07/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
W
74-51
74
51
+23
H10/11
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
65-74
65
74
-9
H15/11
NCAA
Butler
#164
W
74-54
74
54
+20
H17/11
NCAA
1H
2H
26-38
54-29
43-34
41-44
24-33
34-35
34-34
38-28
33-28
36-32
38-43
44-39
33-37
35-31
37-14
37-37
20-31
45-43
37-25
37-29
143.6Avg total
74.5Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)72.264.5136.8+7.850%
Season at home (4)72.264.5136.8+7.850%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.569.1143.6+5.460%
Last 5 (5)76.471.2147.6+5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)65.668.4134.0-2.825%
vs Similar (18)72.868.2141.0+4.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)73.857.0130.8+16.8100%
This opponent (Alcorn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alcorn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Prairie View A&M
#269
L
71-75
71
75
-4
H25/02
NCAA
Texas Southern
#273
W
89-81
89
81
+8
H28/02
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#366
W
70-60
70
60
+10
A03/03
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#321
W
63-58
63
58
+5
A04/03
NCAA
Texas Southern
#273
L
62-66
62
66
-4
H09/03
NCAA
North Texas
#1
L
53-69
53
69
-16
A16/03
NIT
Arkansas
#224
L
59-93
59
93
-34
A07/11
NCAA
Xavier
#245
W
70-62
70
62
+8
H09/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
L
86-100
86
100
-14
A15/11
NCAA
UAB
#77
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A17/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
34-38
0-0
37-37
0-0
44-33
0-0
45-48
0-0
34-27
0-0
36-33
0-0
26-29
0-0
37-29
0-0
30-27
0-0
32-39
0-0
26-30
0-0
27-39
0-0
22-46
0-0
37-47
0-0
31-29
0-0
39-33
0-0
34-48
0-0
52-52
0-0
42-41
0-0
35-39
144.4Avg total
70.0Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)73.083.8156.8-10.825%
Season at home (1)70.062.0132.0+8.0100%
Season away (3)74.091.0165.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)70.074.4144.4-4.440%
Last 5 (5)69.080.8149.8-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)64.079.3143.3-15.322%
vs Similar (13)71.272.1143.3-0.854%
vs Weaker (7)74.165.6139.7+8.6100%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +0.8+0.81st half: -2.5-2.52nd half2nd half: +5.4+5.42nd half: -1.9-1.9
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +0.8+0.81st half: -2.5-2.52nd half2nd half: +5.4+5.42nd half: -1.9-1.9
Michigan StateAlcorn State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#213
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A01/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H04/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H10/03
NCAA
USC
#73
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H17/03
NCAA
Marquette
#15
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A19/03
NCAA
Kansas State
#51
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A23/03
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H07/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
W
37-14
37
14
+23
H10/11
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
20-31
20
31
-11
H15/11
NCAA
Butler
#164
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H17/11
NCAA
64.2Avg total
32.5Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.529.462.0+3.160%-
Last 30 at home (18)32.827.260.0+5.667%-
Last 30 away (12)32.232.864.9-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)32.531.764.2+0.840%-
Last 5 (5)33.030.063.0+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)28.930.659.5-1.850%-
vs Similar (18)34.130.364.4+3.861%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)32.823.256.0+9.575%-
This opponent (Alcorn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alcorn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Prairie View A&M
#269
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H25/02
NCAA
Texas Southern
#273
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H28/02
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#366
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A03/03
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#321
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A04/03
NCAA
Texas Southern
#273
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H09/03
NCAA
North Texas
#1
L
26-30
26
30
-4
A16/03
NIT
Arkansas
#224
L
22-46
22
46
-24
A07/11
NCAA
Xavier
#245
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H09/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A15/11
NCAA
UAB
#77
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A17/11
NCAA
67.1Avg total
32.3Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.633.164.7-1.547%-
Last 30 at home (11)34.029.463.4+4.682%-
Last 30 away (19)30.235.365.5-5.126%-
Last 10 (10)32.334.867.1-2.550%-
Last 5 (5)31.038.869.8-7.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)29.939.169.0-9.222%-
vs Similar (13)33.130.763.8+2.462%-
vs Weaker (7)31.930.462.3+1.457%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Michigan State wins
0
Alcorn State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/23HButler74-54
15/11/23HDuke65-74
10/11/23HSouthern Indiana74-51
07/11/23HJames Madison76-79 OT
23/03/23AKansas State93-98 OT
19/03/23AMarquette69-60
17/03/23HUSC72-62
10/03/23HOhio State58-68
04/03/23HOhio State84-78
01/03/23ANebraska80-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/23AUAB77-80
15/11/23AArkansas State86-100
09/11/23HXavier70-62
07/11/23AArkansas59-93
16/03/23ANorth Texas53-69
09/03/23HTexas Southern62-66
04/03/23AArkansas-Pine Bluff63-58
03/03/23AMiss. Valley St.70-60
28/02/23HTexas Southern89-81
25/02/23HPrairie View A&M71-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeLWLW50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game72.272.2-
Allowed / game64.564.5-
Point differential+7.8+7.8-
Avg total136.8136.8-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %25%25%-
Alcorn State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%100%0%
Points / game73.070.074.0
Allowed / game83.862.091.0
Point differential-10.8+8.0-17.0
Avg total156.8132.0165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue330100%89.357.7+31.7
2 Penn State440100%77.553.5+24.0
3 Nebraska550100%79.456.4+23.0
4 UCLA330100%73.750.7+23.0
5 Oregon330100%83.066.3+16.7
6 Rutgers54180%70.458.6+11.8
7 Northwestern54180%67.062.6+4.4
8 Iowa43175%95.075.2+19.8
9 Michigan43175%91.575.8+15.8
10 Minnesota43175%79.264.8+14.5
11 Illinois43175%73.860.0+13.8
12 Ohio State43175%73.563.5+10.0
13 Washington43175%79.069.5+9.5
14 Indiana43175%71.871.0+0.8
15 USC32167%75.766.0+9.7
16 Michigan State42250%72.264.5+7.8
17 Wisconsin42250%78.074.0+4.0
18 Maryland41325%58.060.0-2.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southwestern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bethune-Cookman32167%92.363.0+29.3
2 Arkansas-Pine Bluff53260%94.685.0+9.6
3 Prairie View A&M53260%74.272.0+2.2
4 Grambling St.52340%71.679.6-8.0
5 Alabama A&M Bulldogs31233%86.382.7+3.7
6 Alabama State41325%79.077.5+1.5
7 Alcorn State41325%73.083.8-10.8
8 Southern Univ.41325%74.891.0-16.2
9 Jackson State5050%64.484.2-19.8
10 Texas Southern4040%47.574.8-27.2
11 Florida A&M3030%58.791.7-33.0
12 Miss. Valley St.4040%52.090.2-38.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan State443781
Alcorn State163349
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